DC
DELUXE CORP (DLX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered revenue of $540.2M (+2.2% YoY; +3.6% QoQ) and comparable adjusted EBITDA of $118.9M (+13.8% YoY), with comparable adjusted diluted EPS of $1.09 (+29.8% YoY). Management raised FY25 adjusted EPS to $3.45–$3.60 and affirmed revenue ($2.11–$2.13B), adjusted EBITDA ($425–$435M), and FCF ($140–$150M) within narrowed ranges .
- Results beat Wall Street consensus: revenue $526.5M* vs. $540.2M, EPS $0.90* vs. $1.09, and EBITDA $106.1M* vs. $110.0M (GAAP) / $118.9M (adj). Consensus count: 4 estimates for EPS and revenue*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Segment mix shifts toward Payments and Data continued; Data Solutions revenue rose 46% YoY to $89.2M with margins up 400 bps to 32.6%, while Print margins improved to 33.4% despite revenue decline .
- Net debt fell to $1.424B; leverage reached 3.3x a quarter ahead of plan, lowering interest costs under the credit agreement; dividend of $0.30 payable Dec 1, 2025 (record date Nov 17) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin expansion across all segments drove operating leverage; comparable adjusted EBITDA margin rose 220 bps YoY to 22.0%. “We were very pleased to deliver adjusted EBITDA margin expansion across all four operating segments simultaneously.”
- Data Solutions outperformed: revenue +46% YoY to $89.2M; adjusted EBITDA +66.3% YoY; margins up 400 bps to 32.6%. “We put our proprietary AI tools on top of [our data lake] to build high‑converting lead lists...”
- Strong free cash flow and deleveraging: Q3 FCF $43.8M; YTD FCF $95.9M (+$31.6M YoY); net debt down ~$20.6M QoQ; achieved 3.3x leverage target early .
What Went Wrong
- Print revenue declined 5.9% YoY to $279.9M (promo headwinds), though profitability was largely preserved; branded promo down 14.7% YoY .
- Merchant Services faced ongoing macro pressure on discretionary spend; QoQ revenue fell to $98.0M from $101.4M despite YoY growth (+4.8%) .
- B2B Payments revenue declined 2.7% YoY to $73.1M (timing of onboarding), though margins expanded 260 bps YoY to 23% .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance (YoY and QoQ comparison)
Segment revenue
Segment EBITDA and margins
KPIs and balance sheet
Versus Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global. Significant beats in bold in narrative below.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This was our 11th consecutive quarter of year-over-year EBITDA expansion... margins expanding across each operating segment.”
- “We reached our targeted year-end leverage ratio of 3.3x, a full quarter ahead of our previously indicated pacing.”
- “Our on-going cost discipline... allowed us to narrow our full-year 2025 guidance ranges, while raising our adjusted EPS outlook.”
- “Data was our standout performer again in Q3, growing revenue by 46% year-over-year.”
- “Third‑quarter free cash flow of just under $44 million reflected a 37% cash‑to‑EBITDA conversion rate.”
Q&A Highlights
- Free cash flow sustainability: Management reiterated drivers (improved profitability, lower restructuring, working capital efficiency) and confidence in adding $100M annual run-rate FCF into 2026 .
- Merchant pipeline and One Deluxe cross‑sell: Peoples Bank win exemplifies landing to expand across divisions; new ISV sales leadership to accelerate effort .
- Data growth durability: Large cloud‑hosted data lake + proprietary AI tools drive measurable ROI for FIs; expect seasonal moderation and margin normalization to low‑20s in Q4 .
- Print margins: Focus on profitable volume, walking away from low‑margin promo deals; checks remain solid, margin stabilizing in low‑30s .
- Capital allocation: Despite early leverage target attainment, priorities unchanged—debt reduction, investing in growth segments, dividend continuity; year‑end leverage ~3.25x .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: $540.2M actual vs. $526.5M consensus* (+$13.7M; +2.6%). Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actual: .
- EPS beat: $1.09 actual vs. $0.8975 consensus* (+$0.19; +21%). Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actual: .
- EBITDA beat: $110.0M GAAP EBITDA / $118.9M adj vs. $106.1M consensus*; note consensus/actual definitions may differ (GAAP vs. adjusted) and S&P’s “actual” EBITDA field may reflect methodology variance*. Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actual: .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based margin expansion and a meaningful EPS beat, coupled with an FY EPS raise, are supportive for near-term sentiment; continued deleveraging (3.3x) and entry into a lower interest tier are incremental positives .
- Data Solutions is the growth engine (AI‑enabled targeting, high-ROI campaigns) with strong unit economics; expect seasonal Q4 moderation and margin normalization from rebate effects, but full-year double-digit growth remains intact .
- Merchant growth is mid-single digit YoY with improving trajectory via ISV/FI partnerships; watch discretionary demand and attrition offset vs. pricing actions .
- B2B Payments is poised for a return to growth exiting 2025 as onboarding timings resolve; CheckMatch/DPN integration should support 2026 growth and efficiencies .
- Print profitability is resilient; management’s discipline to avoid low-margin promo preserves EBITDA and sustains low‑30s margins despite revenue headwinds .
- FY25 modeling guardrails: revenue $2.11–$2.13B; adj EBITDA $425–$435M; adj EPS $3.45–$3.60; FCF $140–$150M; interest ~$123M; tax 26%; D&A ~$133M; capex $90–$100M; shares ~45.5M .
- Risk watch: Q4 Data seasonality and tougher comps, macro uncertainty in promo/merchant, and segment margin normalization; upside from cross‑sell momentum and continued cost discipline .
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.