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Domino’s Pizza - Earnings Call - Q2 2017

July 25, 2017

Transcript

Speaker 0

Good morning. My name is Kelly, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Second Quarter twenty seventeen Earnings Call. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a question and answer session. You.

Tim McIntyre, Executive Vice President of Communications and Investor Relations, you may now begin your conference.

Speaker 1

Thank you, Kelly, and hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our second quarter twenty seventeen earnings call. As you know, this call is primarily for our investor audience, so I kindly ask that all members of the media and others be in a listen only mode. I also refer you to our safe harbor statement that is both in this morning's eight ks release and in our press release in the event that any forward looking statements are made. This morning, we will start with prepared comments from our Chief Financial Officer, Jeff Lawrence and our Chief Executive Officer, Patrick Doyle, followed by your questions.

With that, I'd like to introduce Jeff Lawrence.

Speaker 2

Thank you, Tim, and good morning, everyone. In the second quarter, our positive global brand momentum continued as we once again delivered solid results for our shareholders. We continue to lead the broader restaurant industry with 25 quarters of positive U. S. Comparable sales and ninety four consecutive quarters of positive international comps.

We also continued to increase our store count at a healthy pace, which we believe is more evidence that our brand is strong and growing. Our diluted earnings per share was $1.32 which is an increase of 34.7% over the prior year quarter. This increase resulted from strong operational results as well as a lower effective tax rate. With that, let's take a closer look at the financial results for Q2. Global Retail sales, which are the total retail sales at franchise and company owned stores worldwide, grew 11.8% in the quarter.

When excluding the impact of foreign currency, global retail sales grew by 14.1%. The drivers of this retail sales growth included strong domestic same store sales, which grew by 9.5% in the quarter. Our U. S. Franchise business was up 9.3%, while our company owned stores were up 11.2%.

Both of these comp increases were driven by order count or traffic growth as consumers continue to respond positively to the overall brand experience we offer them. Our Piece of the Pie loyalty program continues to contribute significantly to our traffic gains. Overall ticket increased slightly during the quarter. On the unit count front, we are pleased to report that we opened 39 net domestic stores in the second quarter, consisting of 43 store openings and four closures. Same store sales for our International division grew 2.6%, lapping a prior year increase of 7.1%.

All four of our geographic regions were positive in the quarter, with The Americas and Asia Pacific regions leading the way. We have had challenging performance in a handful of our 85 markets and are working hard with the teams on the ground to improve those results. We continue to have strong confidence in our international business. The international division added 178 net new stores during Q2 comprised of two zero one store openings and 23 closures. On a total company basis, we opened two seventeen net new stores in the second quarter and twelve eighty one stores over the last twelve months, clearly demonstrating the broad strength and outstanding four wall economics our brand enjoys globally.

Turning to revenues. Total revenues were up 14.8% from the prior year quarter. This increase was primarily a result of increased global comps and store count growth, which also drove higher supply chain volumes. Currency exchange rates negatively impacted international royalty revenues by $1,600,000 versus the prior year quarter due to the dollar strengthening against certain currencies, primarily the British pound. As you know, there are many uncontrollable factors that drive the underlying exchange rates, which does make this a harder part of our business to predict.

Moving on to operating margin. As a percentage of revenues, consolidated operating margin for the quarter decreased to 30.7% from 31.4% in the prior year quarter. The operating margin in our company owned stores decreased to 20.8% from 24.6%, driven primarily by higher insurance expense as well as higher transaction related expenses and increased labor costs. Lower occupancy expenses as a percent of sales benefited the operating margin and partially offset these decreases. Supply Chain operating margin was flat at 11.1%.

Although margins benefited from lower food costs and lower insurance costs, this increase in margin percentage was offset entirely by increased labor and delivery costs. There was very strong domestic volume growth this quarter and even stronger volume growth in Canada. Market pricing to stores increased slightly this quarter. We continue to estimate that the domestic stores' Market Basket costs will range from flat to up 2% in 2017 from 2016 levels. Before we leave operating margin, I'd also like to note that franchisees in The U.

S. Continue to share on our success with record profit sharing checks that they have earned alongside of us with great execution and performance. As I've mentioned before, we also expect to make additional investments in supply chain in the near to medium term to keep up with our rapid growth. Let's now shift to G and A. G and A increased by $11,800,000 in the second quarter versus the prior year quarter, driven primarily by our planned investments in technological initiatives, including investments in e commerce and our point of sale system and the teams that support them.

Please note that these investments are partially offset by fees that we received from our franchisees, which are reported as franchise revenues. Additionally, G and A increased due to higher advertising expenses at our company owned stores, which increased as a result of our positive sales growth and continued investments in other strategic areas. Moving down the income statement. Interest expense decreased slightly in the second quarter, and our weighted average borrowing rate remained at 4.6%. Our reported effective tax rate was 25.7% for the quarter.

As previously communicated, we adopted the new accounting standard in the first quarter, which requires us to record the excess tax benefit on equity based compensation as a reduction to our income tax provision on the profit and loss statement. As a result of this new standard, there is a 10,400,000 decrease in our second quarter provision for income taxes, which resulted in an 11.8 percentage point decrease in our effective tax rate. Again, the economics have not changed just the way we are required to present it. We expect that we will continue to see volatility in our reported effective tax rate. When you add it all up, our second quarter net income was up $16,500,000 or 33.5% over the prior year quarter.

Our second quarter diluted EPS was $1.32 versus $0.98 last year, which was a 34.7% increase. Here is how the $0.34 increase breaks down. Our lower effective tax rate positively impacted us by $0.20 including the $0.21 impact from the adoption of the new equity based compensation accounting standard. Lower diluted share count, primarily as a result of share repurchases, benefited us by $02 Foreign currency exchange rates negatively impacted royalty revenues by $02 And most importantly, our improved operating results benefited us by $0.14 Now turning to our use of cash. During the second quarter, we returned $22,000,000 to our shareholders in the form of a $0.46 per share quarterly dividend.

As we previously announced, we have been in the process of recapitalizing our company, increasing our leverage to match our growing business, which has been our consistent pattern for many years. The recapitalization transaction closed yesterday, July 24, with a receipt of $1,900,000,000 in gross proceeds. We're happy to report that the deal was very well received by the lending community, and the interest rates we'll be paying on this new debt are a good reflection of the investment community's confidence in our business and our brand. Now on to some details about this deal. The transaction, which again has taken advantage of the whole business securitization structure, included issuing $1,600,000,000 of new fixed rate notes and $300,000,000 of new floating rate notes, which was made up of the following tranches: a $1,000,000,000 fixed rate tranche at a 4.118% coupon rate with an anticipated repayment date of ten years a 600,000,000 fixed rate tranche at a 3.082% coupon rate with an anticipated repayment date of five years And finally, a $300,000,000 floating rate tranche priced at three months LIBOR plus 1.25%, also with an anticipated repayment date of five years.

On a blended rate basis, the new twenty seventeen notes currently carry pretax interest rate of approximately 3.5%. When added together with the interest rates from the twenty fifteen notes still outstanding, our weighted average borrowing rate has decreased from 4.6 pre deal to 3.8% post deal. We are extremely pleased to have driven down our cost of debt so substantially. Standard and Poor's rated our debt BBB plus which is the top rating in the restaurant industry for whole business securitization. We are proud of our long term investment grade credit profile and our strong history of performance in this space.

Our debt to EBITDA leverage ratio using Q2 trailing twelve months EBITDA is now approximately 5.9x, up from approximately 4.1x before this deal and near the top of our previously stated 3x to 6x range. The twenty seventeen notes have scheduled principal payments of 1% of the principal each year, which equates to approximately $19,000,000 per year over the next five years. The outstanding twenty fifteen notes will also begin re amortizing in Q4 with scheduled principal payments of $3,300,000 in 2017 and $13,000,000 in 2018. Our 2015 and 2017 notes will cease principal amortization payments when our leverage ratio falls below 5x. With these scheduled principal payments on both our 2015 and '17 notes and our momentum in the business, we currently expect our leverage ratios to fall over the medium term consistent with prior experience.

We also entered into a new $175,000,000 variable funding notes facility, essentially a revolving line of credit, at LIBOR plus 1.8%. This pricing is a significant improvement over our expiring $125,000,000 facility. The new facility is currently undrawn. However, approximately $44,000,000 of letters of credit have been issued in support of our insurance programs and certain leased properties consistent with our past practice. Use of funds from this recapitalization include: $910,000,000 to prepay and retire the remaining balance of our existing twenty twelve notes, which carried an interest rate of 5.2%.

We feel great about swapping out this debt for lower cost new debt. We will also pay fees and expenses related to the deal of approximately $18,000,000 and prefund approximately $5,000,000 for a portion of the principal and interest on the twenty seventeen notes. As with our previous recapitalization, we plan to use the remaining proceeds for general corporate purposes, which may include share repurchases and or a special dividend subject to approval by our Board of Directors. We expect to announce plans for the remaining excess proceeds over the next couple of weeks. This recapitalization and these uses of cash will have a significant impact on our financial statements, and you can expect to see some changes and some noise in the back half of this year.

We currently estimate that approximately $17,000,000 in debt issuance costs for the deal will be reported on the balance sheet and amortized over the weighted average life of the new deal. When you add it all up, the new deferred financing cost amortization schedule, the expected principal payments and the newer debt at lower rates, we expect as reported Q3 interest expense to be approximately $33,000,000 on a pretax basis. This includes approximately $6,000,000 in deal related charges and other interest charges, which will be adjusted out as items affecting comparability. For the full year 2017, as reported interest expense is currently expected to be between $122,000,000 and $123,000,000 on a pretax basis. And again, approximately 6,000,000 will be adjusted out as an item affecting comparability.

It is important to note that these current estimates of interest expense may change due to borrowings under our VFN and changes in LIBOR that would affect our new variable rate, among other factors. Separately, from a noninterest expense perspective, there will also be approximately $1,000,000 of noncapitalized deal cost, which will be expensed in the third quarter and also adjusted out as an item affecting comparability. All in all, our strong momentum continued, and we are very pleased with our results this quarter, including our recapitalization. And with that, I will turn it over to Patrick.

Speaker 3

Thanks, Jeff, and good morning, everyone. As I reflect on the second quarter, two main thoughts come to mind: first, how proud I am of our domestic franchisees and operators as it was yet another phenomenal performance by our U. S. Business. Brand momentum, execution and relentless focus on getting better each day continue to drive what we do.

And I wake up each day proud to lead and be a part of a company and store level culture that refuses to level off or become complacent. And second, while we continue to view ourselves as a brand in progress, while our international business continues to thrive as a store growth engine with most markets and master franchisee organizations executing at high levels within our over 85 markets worldwide, our sales performance has softened below what we've come to expect from the best international model in QSR. With this proven foundation, a diverse portfolio of geographies and issues easily categorized as correctable, I am confident we can get top line performance of this business to the levels we are used to. We've gone with football parallels in the past, so I'll stick with what works and share yet another one. I'm pleased we continue to execute the fundamentals without the need for trick plays.

On offense, we continue to innovate, keeping our focus on long term success and making investments that reflect that long term focus. On defense, we continue to aggressively protect our growing share and competitive position in pursuit of being number one. And all in all, I'm pleased we continue to win. But with that said, we remain mindful of our need to always execute the basics better. And with plenty of game film to break down and learn from, that's exactly what we intend to do.

Our U. S. Results and ability to sustain and lap outstanding performance continues to amaze me. Our twenty fifth consecutive quarter of positive same store sales growth can be attributed to our franchisees and operators just plain getting it done. We have never been more aligned as a domestic system, and our sound, simple strategy and sturdy fundamentals continue to position us for success.

We opened 39 net new stores in the second quarter as our domestic store growth continues to track in the right direction. Our internal team and franchisees are showing impressive alignment on the importance of smart strategic growth. And this area of our business, one that has certainly demonstrated opportunity in the past, is moving in a very strong direction, and I continue to be pleased with the progress. I'm also happy to announce plans to open our seventeenth domestic supply chain center in the Northeast sometime in mid-twenty eighteen. This new center will strengthen our roster of bill manufacturing and food distribution centers in The U.

S. And relieve some of the good problem to have capacity issues we have encountered due to the tremendously high volumes flowing through our supply chain operations. Lastly, while it won't impact results until the third quarter, we recently launched a new product we're very excited about. Our new bread twists are handmade and make for a terrific side item with three flavors to choose from: Parmesan, garlic and cinnamon. This is not only a great addition to the $5.99 mix and match menu platform, but a great example of us constantly looking at how and where we can improve.

Our talented chefs saw an opportunity to make our French fries better. And like everything else we do, we tested and made sure our customers agreed. We're pleased with the results so far, particularly for a product not yet on television, and look forward to feedback from customers continuing to give them a try. Wrapping up, our domestic business is getting it done, to say the least. I couldn't be more pleased and proud of the many that are making it happen.

I briefly touched on our international business earlier in my remarks and reiterate that our ninety fourth consecutive quarter of positive same store sales weren't exactly the type of results we've all come to expect within this high performing business segment. The model is proven, and we continue to see terrific performance from many markets, particularly within The Americas, highlighted by another great quarter in Canada. The slowdown in same store sales this quarter was driven primarily by our Europe region, where the issues in a few select markets are known and fixable. As an example, our dialogue with one of those markets, Domino's Pizza Group out of The U. K, which released its first half results this morning, is constant and productive.

As we do in all of our international markets, we're sharing best practices, key learnings and benchmarks around meaningful customer value and order count growth and working together to improve top line results in The U. K. In addition to the other markets that were soft during Q2. I am highly confident we will do so and would add, while same store sales were not as strong, unit level return on investment remains extremely healthy, and we continued to drive significant store growth in The U. K.

And across our entire international business in both developed and emerging markets at a tremendous pace. We opened a net 178 stores during the quarter and, in addition, continued to grow our technology position abroad, surpassing 70% of international stores on Domino's Pulse during the quarter and over 1,100 stores now on our global online ordering platform. And on that thought, technology continued to be at the forefront during the second quarter for the business as a whole as our Domino's Tractor campaign highlighted a core Domino's digital ordering fan favorite. With our strong unmatched lineup of anywhere ordering platforms, we now look to the future of digital, with near endless opportunities in store and within the delivery experience itself to examine and consider as well as applying data learnings to further enrich an online ordering experience that continually sets the pace for our competitors and peers. In closing, I'm extremely pleased with yet another phenomenal quarter from our domestic business and congratulate our franchisees, operators and domestic leadership for refusing to rest on past success.

Instead, they're pushing forward with more energy and vigor than ever. Our work in progress brand and team continue forward with the same approach that got us here: addressing areas that can get better, listening to the customer before listening to ourselves and establishing global alignment that is stronger than any other within the industry. For three for three and our focus on those elements, we'll continue to win. Thanks, and we'll now open it up for questions.

Speaker 0

Your first question comes from the line of Karen Holthouse of Goldman Sachs. Looking

Speaker 4

Looking at The UK where you saw some weakness in the quarter, could you maybe help us understand, were there macro factors or competitive factors that were at play there? And when you think about the playbook to regain momentum in the business, What are you most focused on? And how quickly do you think some of those things could start to have an impact?

Speaker 3

Yes. Thanks, Karen. I think if you look at The U. K, I mean, clearly, consumer confidence has been a little bit weaker. But at the end of the day, we've got to execute in any environment, and the team over there is very, very focused on it.

I think with consumers where they are, we've got to make sure that we're getting our value offer right, that we're getting our advertising right. And I think there are I know that there are things in the works to make sure that we're addressing those things in The U. K. And that they're going to do it in the relatively near term. So look, there's a terrific team there.

It's an overwhelmingly subfranchise market, and there are great subfranchisees there. They know how to execute. We know how to execute there. And I'm confident that they're going to get this on track. But certainly, there's been a little bit of a shift in the environment there, and we've got to make sure that we're listening to customers and getting it right.

Speaker 4

And a quick housekeeping on reporting on the reporting of comps. I know that Domino's Pizza UK makes a differentiation between reported comps excluding where they've split stores and then what that would look like without excluding that. Which convention do you follow when you're pulling the results up to yours?

Speaker 3

These are not excluded splits.

Speaker 0

Okay. Thank you. Your next question comes from

Speaker 4

the line of Gregory Francfort

Speaker 0

of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Hey, maybe just one quick one. Can you talk about the just the comp flow through on the company margins and particularly insurance costs? How much

Speaker 3

of that is specific to the second quarter and versus sort of

Speaker 5

an ongoing step up in the insurance cost line?

Speaker 2

Greg, it's Jeff. Yes, in Q2 versus Q2 last year, we had a 1.8 percentage point headwind from insurance costs. That's primarily a year over year increase in the actuarial update for workers' compensation and auto liability program that we run for our 400 corporate stores. It's an area where we continue to invest behind in safety teams and want to make sure we continue to get that culture right. Quite frankly, the results aren't what we want them to be.

We're going to continue to focus on it very aggressively, and we hope that we can post better results on that line item in the future.

Speaker 5

Got it. And then maybe one more. Just on the thoughts on the supply chain changes that are coming, is that going

Speaker 3

to show up

Speaker 5

where you have one or two new centers you have to add to really fix the issues? Or is this going to be a real rethink of the just the overall supply chain setup and kind of rethinking the entire plans as they stand today?

Speaker 3

Yes. We've got new leadership from, I guess, eighteen months ago in our supply chain now. And Troy has built kind of a fairly new team at the top there, and they've done a full rethink of where we are. I think at the end of the day, the model is going to remain very much the same that we have executed in terms of our own centers and how we're doing it. But as we look at our footprint of centers, more centers that are delivering fewer miles, I think, is going to drive greater efficiency for us.

So the team has gone through some terrific kind of analysis around how are we going to optimize costs. And their options could have included growing the size and capacity of the existing centers. I think while there will be some of that in a few centers, you are going to see us open some more centers over the next few years. We talked about the first one in the Northeast that we've now got a lease signed, and they've turned the building over to us. And we're starting to swing the hammers there, and that is basically a year process to get that open.

There will be others down the road. But what you're going to see is us kind of expanding the footprint in the number of centers, which ultimately drives transportation efficiencies in those centers. Your

Speaker 0

next question comes from the line of Peter Salla from BTIG.

Speaker 6

Great. Thank you. I wanted to come back to the domestic system wide comp. And I think you guys said primarily driven by transactions and the loyalty program has significant impact. Any more color you could provide what's driving the comp in terms of loyalty program?

Speaker 2

Yes, Peter, you know what? It

Speaker 3

is honestly the same story we've been saying for a while. So our goal is to be nice and boring and consistent on this. The answer is it is a number of factors. So it is loyalty. It is almost all orders and only a little bit of ticket in the second quarter.

You've got some from kind of just digital and what we're doing and getting more effective on digital media. Loyalty is clearly a big one. A little bit of a boost from television, both GRPs, and I think the effectiveness of our advertising. And you've got a little bit of market growth out there as well. Not a lot, but the category is up, I think, one point or two.

And so add to that operational execution and our franchisees and our Team USA stores investing and giving customers better service in the face of some pressure on wage rates, which is ultimately giving our customers a better experience, we'll take that trade off. So it's a combination of really a lot of things. Our model and analytics give us pretty good read on kind of exactly how that's contributing. And honestly, it is a fairly long list of a number of things that are doing it.

Speaker 6

Great. And then just on the international business, I know there's been some softening, and it seems like you're, at least for the time being, maybe below that long term guidance of 3% to 6% on comps. What is your confidence on getting back to that 3% to 6% longer term on comp?

Speaker 3

Yes. I mean our confidence on our long term guidance remains high.

Speaker 6

Excellent. Thank you very much.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of John Glass from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Speaker 7

Thanks very much. If I could also go to international, you talked about a handful of markets, citing The U. K. In particular. And it made it sound like there were some operational things that may have gone wrong.

But how maybe if that's the case, could

Speaker 5

you just elaborate on what

Speaker 7

it is? Is it delivery times or something else? And how confident are you it's not competitive pressure? In particular, U. K.

Is a very advanced market from a food delivery and non food non pizza food delivery market. Is that impacting the business in your view? Or any of the other markets as you look at? Is there any commonalities from a competitive standpoint that make you think something is changing on that front?

Speaker 3

Yes, John. So first, I don't think it really is kind of operational executional issue. Those can always get better, and there are always opportunities there. I think it's more around making sure we're getting value right, that we're getting the offering right. I think that is more of the issue.

Frankly, those are the things that we can control. If you look in

Speaker 2

The U. K.

Speaker 3

At kind of the other delivery options, I think our perception to date, and it's frankly the same in The U. S, you've got a growing number of players in that space. We simply are not seeing that affecting our business at this point. The one thing that I would say in The U. K.

That's interesting, we don't know that it's had any material effect. But you do see increasing amounts of advertising from the Deliveroo's and Just Eats and some of the other players in that market. So if you look at share of voice on a broad basis and include kind of all of the delivery options, there are more advertising there. But to date, from a direct competitive pressure and our people choosing to swap out occasions with other food for pizza, we just aren't seeing that. And we clearly are not seeing that in The U.

S. And I think the only thing that we're looking at that's just interesting is share of voice within food delivery more broadly in The U. K.

Speaker 7

And then just on The U. S. Business, there have been some talk, and I'm not sure if it comes from The U. Franchisees, about raising your fee to the franchisees for the technology fee. Can you remind us where the technology fee or the transaction fee is right now?

And if there are plans to look at that again, you've got some rising costs in that area, what you might think of raising it to?

Speaker 3

Yes. So the fee is $0.21 We do have the ability to increase that fee. But what I would say is if that fee is increased and we have increased it in the past, it was increased from 17% to 21%, I think, about three years ago. Is that correct? Two, three years ago.

Yes, three years ago. And that's to fund more investments into the technical into technology. So from kind of your perspective, if that fee changes, understand that, that is going to be coming with increased investments as well. So for the time being, it is $0.21 But if there were an increase, it's going to be about making more investments into technology.

Speaker 7

But just from a financial standpoint, it is recorded in your comps or not?

Speaker 3

Joe, this is Josh Miller.

Speaker 2

It's not in the for The U. S. Business, but it is in franchise revenues on the income statement.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Matt DiFrisco from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open.

Speaker 3

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my call. This is Jake on for Matt. I was just wondering if you could provide any detail on to the digital sales growth or what percent of total sales did digital make up in this last quarter? Yes.

It's still in the same range we've been in, so kind of 60% plus. And I guess what I would say is our pattern has been very, very consistent on this. That's in the fall into the winter is when we see that tend to ramp up seasonally, and then it tends to go flat kind of in the spring through the summer. And that has been consistent for five, six, seven, eight years now. So we're kind of right in that 60% range as we have been.

And ramps tend to happen kind of a little bit later in the year and in early into the following year.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Matt McGinley of Evercore.

Speaker 5

My first question is on the capital return. And I appreciate you're not you probably can't comment about what the Board will do in the next few weeks. But historically, mostly use repurchase a return capital. But there are two times in the past where you did do special dividends. I guess hindsight is in 2020, it would probably have been a better idea to do share repurchases looking where the stock is at today relative to a special dividend.

But I guess historically, like what led you to do the share repurchase rather the dividends in the past? And does multiple over time factor in the decision to do buybacks?

Speaker 3

Math, the answer remains the same as it's always been, which is we go through the analysis at the time and look at what we think is going to help generate the best returns for our shareholders. We are completely agnostic as to what we're going to do. And as you mentioned, we've done pretty much everything since we've been a public company. We have paid special dividends. We've commenced a regular dividend.

We've done share buybacks. And there was even a point about a decade ago during the crisis that we were buying in debt when we could do it at $0.05 $0.00 $60 $0.70 on the dollar. So we come to each of these decisions separately, look at the set of facts that we have in front of us and make our decision based on that. And our Board will be making that decision shortly, as Jeff said.

Speaker 5

Great. On the CapEx as it relates to the supply chain, can you give us a sense of what these new DCs would cost in terms of the cash for CapEx? I mean you've been talking for a while about how to you need to invest in the supply chain to expand capacity in existing DCs and then build new ones. Is this something that's like tens of millions of dollars? Or could this be a significantly bigger number over time?

Speaker 2

Yes, Matt, it's Jeff. So when we think about building a new supply chain center, you can think about anywhere between order of magnitude $10,000,000 and $20,000,000 depending on if we pick up the tenant improvements or the landlord does. And again, that's just an economic decision that we'll make on each of the centers separately based on those facts. But a big new building, I think, somewhere between 160,000 square feet, full capacity between 10,000,000 and $20,000,000 We certainly believe that we have more than one of these to build, as Patrick has talked about, over the medium term. So we've got the first site identified.

We've got the lease. We're starting to swing hammers. We feel pretty confident that there will be another one to follow pretty quickly. And again, these are great capital problems to have. If we're needing to put money into the capacity of supply chain, that is the best capital dollars that I can spend.

So expect it to be material, expect it to be material over time. And again, as for the timing of each individual center, when we get closer, we'll announce that.

Speaker 5

Okay, great. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Bernstein of Barclays. Your line is open.

Speaker 8

Great. Thank you very much. Two questions. Just one following up on the delivery topic. I'm just wondering how you would go about monitoring success of other restaurants that are launching or testing delivery in The U.

S. I mean, as you mentioned, there doesn't appear to be an impact to the comp. But whether you see it in your delivery, labor costs or the cost of drivers, it just seems like kind of ties to your comment in The U. K. About how you're seeing greater delivery advertising.

I would think you're going to see that in The U. S. In coming quarters. I'm just wondering how you read your competitors' success thus far and perhaps how you protect yourself in The U. S.

With your learnings from The U. K.

Speaker 3

Yes. I think the answer is because of our geographic coverage in The U. S, we know where delivery services are well developed and where they're not. And so we can look at New York and Los Angeles and Chicago and big markets where those services in San Francisco, big markets where those services may be more penetrated, whereas you get into smaller markets and they're not available at all in smaller towns. And then can break those markets apart and see whether or not there is kind of differentiation in results.

And we're just not seeing it. It just does not show any way we cut the numbers. It does not show up in our results today as pressuring our comps. And you can argue that at some point, it actually will grow the delivery business in general. But what I would add to that, as said before but would reiterate, a lot of these delivery services are finding out very quickly that delivery is a lot harder than they thought it was going to be.

And some of them are already gone, and there are others who are still kind of understanding what the economics look like around this. And for it to work, it's got to work for the driver. It's got to work for the restaurant. It's got to work for the company providing that service, and it's got to work for the customer. There's got to be value creation for all four of those parties to have a successful delivery business.

And I think that there is still a lot of learning going on in this space around how difficult it is to make all of that work. Fortunately, we have fifty seven years of learning around how to make delivery efficient on food. And our advantages there seem to be holding up very, very well.

Speaker 8

Got it. And then just the other question was on G and A, I guess, versus you don't give quarterly guidance, but versus this quarter, it was higher than we had expected. I know your prior guidance, I think, was for $340,000,000 to $3.45 in terms of millions of dollars in investments in tech and supply chain marketing. But just wondering whether we should read into the spend this quarter. And maybe with the outside fundamental strength, it is compelling to increase your investments.

And therefore, you'd be happy to go above that $340,000,000 to $345,000,000 or maybe what the greatest area of opportunity would be if you were to exceed that target?

Speaker 2

Yes. This is Jeff. The first thing I'd tell you is that we're not updating our guidance right now on G and A as we sit here today. A long way to go for the rest of the year. Certainly, if we did outperform, particularly given our internal plan, we have the opportunity to go higher on G and A, and we would announce update the guidance at that particular time when we felt comfortable.

As far as what we're going to invest in and when we're going to invest in it and to what amount, I think Patrick has said it very clearly before. When we see really good ideas, whether it's in technology, marketing, analytics, supply chain, we're going to put the money, whether it gets classified as G and A or something else in the P and L, we're just going to chase those good ROI projects. And so again, no update to guidance right now, but our mindset around what we invest in and when we invest in it has not changed.

Speaker 8

Understood. Thank you.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Will Swaba from Stephens. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Thanks guys. I had a question on average ticket. I know you don't break this up specifically, but I was wondering if you could speak to it more broadly on what you're seeing from either a check growth or contraction standpoint versus what you've seen in the past. And secondarily, if you're seeing any impact on Domino's from what seemed to be an increasingly price point oriented peer group within QSR and pizza in particular.

Speaker 3

Yes. So our growth in the second quarter was overwhelmingly orders. Ticket was up just a little bit. And we don't see the competitive situation to be really any materially any different than it has been in the past.

Speaker 5

Got you. And a quick follow-up, if I could, on the cost of goods commentary. Jeff, you said that the insurance, you did view that as more onetime or that should just continue to get a little bit better in future quarters?

Speaker 2

Yes. So we really hesitate to call anything onetime because we

Speaker 5

have to get it

Speaker 2

right regardless of what the line item is. We view insurance costs, both to our supply chain and our Team USA businesses, as largely something that we can invest behind and hopefully have a positive impact on. We certainly did not see that in Q2 in the Corporate Store business as we updated our independent actuarial models. And as a result, we had to take that hit in Q2. But what I can tell you is, again, we think it's something that we are investing behind.

We're not seeing the results that we want yet. Certainly, the more you deliver, the more activity you have, the more opportunity you have for auto accidents or workers' compensation claims, things like that. But we just have to do better in this area. We're investing behind it. And so we hope that over time, volume adjusted, we can hopefully outperform a little bit.

Understood. Thanks, guys.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Sarah Senatore from Bernstein. Your line is open.

Speaker 9

Hi. Thank you very much. Just a few follow-up questions on some of the topics that have already been touched on. One is to go back to the international markets, think some of what we've actually seen there may be more intense competition from direct pizza competitors. So I wanted to see if you saw any risk of that in The U.

S, for example, as maybe some of your large competitors announce initiatives to improve their own businesses? And I guess a related note, one of the sort of sustained competitive advantages I think you have is the technology in The U. S. Is that less the case in international markets where you have such a lead on things like digital ordering or loyalty? And then I have one more follow-up.

Speaker 3

Okay. So there are a few in there. So first, international markets in general are actually less competitive in pizza than our domestic market on average. There are certainly exceptions to that, but the category is growing faster outside of The U. S.

Than inside The U. S. The competitive set is generally less restricted. And 95% of the people in the world live outside of The U. S.

And the pizza category is probably a little over double the size internationally what it is in The U. S. So clearly, far less developed, less competition, more opportunity to grow. What I would say, though, is are we looking at kind of competitive pressures domestically? And is there any change there?

Really, the answer is no. There has been no material change on that front. The broad story remains the same that it has been domestically, which is larger players taking share from smaller players. And certainly, we've been doing better than the rest of the large players over the course of the last few years. But I still believe that the longer term story is the competitive advantage that scale brings to the larger players versus the smaller players.

In terms of technology internationally and where we stand, our penetration of digital orders internationally is a little bit lower on average than it is domestically. I would say that the sophistication of our markets around how technology is getting used today ranges from markets doing a terrific job on this to there are still markets that don't have digital ordering today, smaller ones. And we've now got our offering with our global online ordering and are bringing markets on to that. But I think that there remains still, on average, a little more opportunity in international to do some of the things we've been doing domestically. And so when you look at our international performance and areas where we think we can improve, one of them is in the digital space.

And it's part of what gives us confidence about longer term growth in the international business is there are still things in the toolkit that have not been applied in all of our international markets that we know work, and it just takes some time to roll those all out.

Speaker 9

Okay. Although I thought The U. K. Was somewhat ahead, it sounds like there's maybe some opportunity there or where you were seeing softness. But my follow-up was U.

Speaker 3

Is very developed on digital, and their digital penetration is very high in The U. K. So they've done a good job there overall. There are always opportunities. And there are things that in our conversations with them that we share with them.

But frankly, they share with us, too. And they rolled out digital ordering in The U. K. Nationally before we did in The U. S.

So learnings can go both directions.

Speaker 9

Okay. That's very helpful. And then just quickly on The U. S. Just trying to understand how your customers think about making a delivery order to Domino's.

And I know we've sort of belabored this point, but with some of the very large QSRs getting into delivery, you know, it seems that maybe they could compete on convenience, speed of service or price point, the things that that, you know, you you're so good at. You know, do do you think do your customers decide they want Domino's and then, you know, they figure out how to access your product? Or did they say I want delivery and then they figure out what's available? I mean, do do you have any sort of research that tells you how how customers make that decision so we can think about what competition looks like?

Speaker 3

Yes. So they actually decide they want delivered pizza, and then they decide the brand on average. And that's part of where we've been making gains is we make it so easy for somebody who says they want to get pizza delivered, to make us the choice, and we've got everything set up in the pizza profile and make it possible for them to order from anywhere and with any technology they're interacting with. I mean, that's part of what's driving the growth that we've had. There are certainly a lot of people who are experimenting with delivery now.

And with only a couple of exceptions, Panera has been starting to add their own drivers. Most of them are using third party delivery services. And what I would reiterate is it's got to work for the driver, the restaurant, the customer and the people providing that delivery service. And getting all of that right, getting that balanced is a challenge. And I think there are a lot of folks who are kind of understanding how much that's a challenge.

But look, we are watching it very carefully. We understand this marketplace very well. We are looking at all of these different players and understanding where people may be doing things well and where they're not doing it well. And we will take good ideas anywhere we can find them. But fifty seven years of doing delivery ourselves has given us an awful lot of know how, and it retain remains a real competitive advantage.

And I would reiterate, we have seen in the more developed markets from kind of other options on delivery zero effect on our sales.

Speaker 9

Very clear. Thank you so much.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Jon Tower from Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Speaker 5

Good morning. Just a quick question or a couple of questions. One on The U. S. First.

Just trying to dig a little bit more into the comp itself. And I'm curious to get your thoughts on whether or not you believe it requires more promotional activity, whether it be lowering the price of the product or more deals during the week or adding more loyalty points per transaction in order to drive these share gains that you're seeing in the market? And then kind of on that same thought, we're now in year two, I think, of seeing store level margins, at least in the corporate side, contract. So I was curious to hear your thoughts on pricing potentially later this year.

Speaker 3

Absolutely no change is the short answer. Our price point, two medium, two tops for $5.99 has been the same for, what, eight, nine years now. And our loyalty program has been very consistent with how we launched it. We did one week promotion around that earlier. But otherwise, everything has remained very, very consistent from a pricing standpoint, both in terms of what we're doing and in terms of kind of the competitive set.

We're just not seeing a lot of change out there.

Speaker 5

Okay. And then just on the Golo platform in the international markets, I think you had mentioned 1,100 stores earlier in the transcript. But I was curious to hear your thoughts on what the impediments to growth are getting faster adoption in these markets globally.

Speaker 3

Yes. It's part of the investments that we've been making that you're seeing in G and A is we've been adding to the team who can support and onboard international markets. And one of the priorities to date has been getting some of these smaller markets and medium sized markets on our platform that weren't offering digital. And those are, frankly, less efficient. If you're onboarding an island in The Caribbean that has two stores but has a different tax structure, you still have to do some customization around that.

And we've been investing in our ability to roll out in more and more countries, adding stores and making sure that everybody around the world is able to access the brand digitally. And so that's part of what the ramp up has in terms of G and A investment along with a lot of other things in technology, adding new capabilities and new platforms and all of that. But that's been part of the investment is adding to the team who's able to support it internationally.

Speaker 0

Your next question comes from the line of Alton Stump of Longbow Research.

Speaker 1

I guess just two things. First off, I think I heard you mention, Jeff, earlier in the Q that in total insurance costs were 180 basis point headwind to margin. Is that right?

Speaker 5

Did I hear that right?

Speaker 2

Yes, you heard that right. It's the details are on Page 15 of the 10 Q if you want the specifics.

Speaker 1

Okay. And then just as far as the margin question, obviously, as you mentioned, company owned margins were down or store level margins were down almost 400 basis points. How much of that, if you're able to splice it out, will continue or could continue in coming quarters or the back half year and or beyond? Or is there any other kind of sort of onetime short term items that were in there here in 2Q?

Speaker 2

Yes. I mean if you look at the year over year changes, the biggest thing we had Q2 versus Q2 is the insurance, which I've already talked about. We think that remains an opportunity area for us, not only for the financial ramifications, but more importantly, we just owe it to our employees to continue this culture of safety that we have and get better results. On labor, we were up 70 basis points year over year. That really was all in more of labor rate at our stores that we run.

Again, only 400 stores, but we're in pockets that include New York and Arizona, which both had minimum wage increases. And so as minimum wage rate increases that are on the books or new ones are enacted could be a percentage of labor headwind for us. And then you go up and down, food hasn't been that big of a deal for us this year. It's been pretty benign. I think when you add it all up you move away from the percentages, I think it's important to note that despite all these headwinds, we have made more money at the margin line in Team USA year to date than we did through six months last year.

So driving those transaction counts, being consistent with the pricing and promotion that Patrick spoke about, I think, at least gives you a chance to be competitive when it comes to bottom line dollars here. And that has certainly been our focus as we try to battle some of

Speaker 3

these headwinds. And I'm going to add one thing on that, which is first clarify. So on labor rate, so our team actually leveraged labor hours. So the increase in labor is more than all in wage rate versus hours. So they were still getting some efficiency in the hours used.

And it's not just minimum wage. There is pressure out there on wages in general as the labor market continues to strengthen, and that's a really high class problem. When strength in the labor market is putting pressure on rates, that's the way you want to see it working. And we are always going to be conservative about reacting to that with pricing to our customers. So it is far easier to make a short term move on pricing and protect a little bit of margin.

We don't think that's the right answer. We pay what we need to pay to keep our stores staffed and give our customers great service. When there is pressure on those wage rates, we're going to be cautious about passing that through because we want to make sure that we're getting that right. And so when you're seeing some of this movement, you may see a little bit of a lag in the short term. It may have some effect on margins, and then we kind of fine pricing where we can, but we want to be conservative around that.

And I would add, our franchisees are prospering right now. They're doing very, very well, but I would applaud their discipline around this as well. They want to make sure that they're taking care of the customers. They're putting that first. And then where we take some price, it's done conservatively and cautiously to make sure that we're not going to chase off customers.

Speaker 5

Great. Understand. Thank you, Patrick and Jeff.

Speaker 0

Our last question comes from the line of Jon Ivankoe from JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Speaker 2

Hi, thank you. The comments made, Patrick, earlier of your share of voice of, I guess, delivery competition broadly increasing in The U. K. Certainly, we understand that from a customer perspective. But is that market you're seeing any particular demand of staffing around delivery drivers, not just cost, which I think can be understood, but the ability to execute the brand that you want during your peak hours?

And is that competition materially changing as delivery increases overall in the market?

Speaker 3

Yes. I mean look, PPG is a public company. So I think getting into the specifics, we will always let them kind of talk about the real specifics there. But I guess what I would say is we're confident in their ability to manage through that. And in terms of the share of voice, the pizza category in 2016 had exactly half of the share of voice on delivered foods.

So if you look at Domino's and Pizza Hut and Papa John's in The U. K. In 2016, collectively, we spent exactly the same amount on advertising that Deliveroo did and Just Eats and some of the others, and that's a change. So I'll let them kind of answer around the specifics on pressure on hiring drivers. There are certainly some, but I think it's very manageable.

But the advertising one is interesting. We don't know that it's having an effect, but it's certainly something that we're watching.

Speaker 2

Thank you so much.

Speaker 0

And this concludes the Q and A portion of today's call. I now turn the call back over to the presenters for their closing remarks.

Speaker 3

Thank you all for your interest in Jane on the call, and we look forward to discussing our third quarter results with you on October 12.

Speaker 0

And this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

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