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EURONET WORLDWIDE, INC. (EEFT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered record adjusted EPS of $2.08, up 10% YoY, with consolidated revenue of $1.047B and adjusted EBITDA of $165.8M; management stated adjusted EPS exceeded consensus ($2.02–$2.06) despite FX headwinds of ~$0.03–$0.04 in the quarter .
- Segment strength was broad-based: EFT posted double‑digit growth across all metrics; Money Transfer grew revenue 9% with 33% growth in direct‑to‑consumer digital transactions; epay revenue rose 8% with double‑digit transaction growth .
- 2025 guidance raised: adjusted EPS growth targeted at 12–16% vs. prior 10–15%; Q1 will include a one‑time $0.20–$0.25/share tax charge related to convert repurchase, pushing FY tax rate to the upper‑20s, fully reflected in guidance .
- Balance sheet and liquidity improved: revolver expanded to $1.90B in December; year‑end availability ~$1.335B, debt reduced QoQ via repayment; $50M buybacks in Q4 and ~$65M free cash flow generated in the quarter .
- Near‑term catalysts include fee increases and new direct access fees across markets, ATM-as-a-Service wins (Baltics), and Dandelion partnerships (e.g., Al Hilal Bank, Ant International), supporting durable double‑digit growth into 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We delivered record adjusted EPS of $2.08…as well as double‑digit growth in operating income and adjusted EBITDA” (Michael J. Brown, CEO) .
- EFT: “Operating income grew 35% and adjusted EBITDA grew 19%…driven by extension of the travel season, merchant services, new markets, and fee increases” (CFO commentary) .
- Money Transfer: “Results…were not short of exceptional…digital transactions grew 33% and digital payout grew 31%, representing 54% of total volumes,” with new partners including Al Hilal Bank and Ant International (CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.98 from $1.43 YoY due to FX losses and higher interest/taxes; management noted FX reduced adjusted EPS by ~$0.03–$0.04 in Q4 .
- Intra‑U.S. Money Transfer declined 14%, partially offsetting strength in U.S‑outbound (+14%) and international‑originated (+11%) transactions .
- Q1 2025 will be “front‑loaded” by a $0.20–$0.25/share state tax tied to convertible repurchase, pushing the full‑year effective tax rate to the upper‑20s (guidance includes this) .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance by quarter
Margins versus prior periods and estimates
Note: Margins below are computed from reported figures.
Estimates comparison (Q4 2024):
- Adjusted EPS actual: $2.08; consensus: $2.02–$2.06 per management commentary . S&P Global consensus data was unavailable due to API limit; values could not be independently retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Q4 2024)
KPIs and Balance Sheet (Q4 2024)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered above the high end of the adjusted earnings per share guidance…operating income of over $500M with a 16% growth rate year‑over‑year” (CEO) .
- “Our adjusted EPS…exceeded consensus…$2.02 to $2.06” (CFO) .
- “We expect another strong year in 2025 with a 12% to 16% earnings growth” (CEO) .
- “EFT…expansion of fees…introduction of domestic and international access fees…add several more markets in 2025” (CEO) .
- “Dandelion…largest real‑time cross‑border payments network…unlocking opportunities in a $15T industry” (CEO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Confidence behind 2025 EPS growth: momentum across all segments (merchant services +300% profits over 3 years; digital growing >30%; ATM‑as‑a‑Service mandates) .
- Money Transfer margins/geos: new geographies often have higher margins due to limited competition; Euronet leverages a single platform and scalable operations to sustain profitability .
- Q1 EPS modeling: adding $0.20–$0.25 tax to underlying estimate aligns with management’s math; guidance already includes this impact .
- Dandelion ramp: HSBC volumes hit records each month; onboarding of CBA (Australia) expected to spur competitive adoption .
- Interchange/DAF increases: multiple countries opened to increases and direct access fees through 2024; tone shifting pro‑cash access, benefiting ATM economics .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus data was unavailable due to API limits, so we could not independently retrieve Q4 2024 estimates via S&P Global.
- Management stated adjusted EPS of $2.08 beat consensus ($2.02–$2.06); no revenue consensus provided in company materials .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad‑based strength and durable growth: all three segments delivered double‑digit operating improvements, supporting a raised 2025 adjusted EPS growth range of 12–16% .
- Structural tailwinds: fee/access‑fee increases and regulatory support for cash are extending ATM unit economics while digital money transfer and cross‑border rails (Dandelion) accelerate .
- Near‑term modeling: incorporate Q1’s $0.20–$0.25/share tax and a FY effective tax rate in the upper‑20s; underlying operating momentum remains intact per management .
- Liquidity optionality: enlarged $1.90B revolver and strong cash provide flexibility around the March convert put and ongoing buybacks; expect proactive capital decisions .
- Digital mix: 54% digital payout in Money Transfer and >30% digital transaction growth underscore mix shift and margin accretion over time .
- Merchant acquiring and ATM‑as‑a‑Service: continued expansion (e.g., Baltics ATM outsourcing) positions EFT for sustained margin and profit growth .
- Watch catalysts: additional markets enabling direct access fees, new Dandelion bank launches, and seasonal travel patterns that can shift EFT revenue between Q3/Q4 .