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    Encompass Health Corp (EHC)

    Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Apr 14, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$84.68Last close (Aug 6, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$85.79Open (Aug 7, 2024)
    Price Change
    $1.11(+1.31%)
    • Sustained Same-Store Discharge Growth: The company’s discharge volumes have grown consistently with 8 consecutive quarters of same-store growth over 4%, supporting an expected growth CAGR of 6%-8%.
    • Raised Profitability Guidance: Revised EBITDA guidance has increased by approximately $27.5–$28 million at midpoint due to strong volume performance despite offsetting headwinds, reflecting robust operating momentum.
    • Stable Capacity Expansion Economics: The cost to build new de novo facilities remains stable at around $1.2 million per bed, which supports attractive returns and facilitates further expansion into new geographies.
    • Elevated bad debt expense volatility: Increased TPE (medical necessity) audits—particularly from Palmetto—have driven up bad debt reserves, which adds uncertainty to margins and could depress profitability if these reserves continue to accumulate or fail to reverse as expected.
    • Operational risks from Oracle Fusion implementation: The significant ERP conversion to Oracle Fusion, scheduled to go live late in 2025, introduces risks of cost overruns and potential disruption during integration, which may negatively impact operational efficiency.
    • Rising labor cost pressures: Discussions highlighted that wage inflation (SWB per FTE) is trending higher (from 3.5% in H1 to an expected 4-5% rate for the full year) along with ongoing reliance on contract labor, which may erode operating margins if cost increases persist.
    1. Guidance Update
      Q: Guidance up by how much?
      A: Management raised EBITDA guidance midpoint by about $27.5–$28 million with a net headwind of $5 million, driven by strong volume performance and balancing tailwinds and headwinds.

    2. Guidance Components
      Q: Key back-half headwinds outlined?
      A: They cited impending headwinds from the Piedmont infusion and expected Oracle Fusion costs, while noting bad debt trends should normalize, consistent with historical patterns.

    3. Discharge Growth
      Q: What discharge growth is expected?
      A: Although they avoid quarterly specifics, management anticipates a discharge growth CAGR of 6%–8% over time, reflecting continued same-store growth above 4%.

    4. Facility Costs
      Q: How have new facility costs evolved?
      A: New de novo facilities continue to cost roughly $1.2 million per bed, with expansion projects at about $700,000 per bed due to improved supply chain efficiencies.

    5. Bad Debt
      Q: How is bad debt performing?
      A: Bad debt increased due to TPE audits by Palmetto, but management expects a reversal as claims are processed favorably in the coming period.

    6. Labor Outlook
      Q: What is the labor inflation outlook?
      A: They anticipate labor inflation to stabilize around 3.5%, supported by efforts in recruitment and retention of key clinical staff.

    7. MA Contracting
      Q: How are Medicare Advantage contracts trending?
      A: Discussions with Medicare Advantage plans remain constructive despite persistent pre-authorization challenges, with no significant shifts reported.

    8. Referral Trends
      Q: Are referral patterns stable now?
      A: Post-acute referral patterns have largely settled since COVID, with IRFs increasingly favored over nursing homes due to better patient outcomes.

    9. Buybacks
      Q: Will share buybacks increase?
      A: Robust free cash flow has enabled more share repurchases, complementing dividend increases as part of a balanced shareholder return approach.

    10. Audit Reserves
      Q: What happens with audit reserves?
      A: Reserves are established when claims are selected—mainly by Palmetto—and are quickly reversed upon favorable claim resolution and cash receipt.

    11. Startup Costs
      Q: How are startup cost trends?
      A: Q2 preopening ramp-up costs were $6.9M, with a full-year forecast of $15–$18M, reflecting ongoing investments including Oracle Fusion conversion initiatives.

    12. Medicare Mix
      Q: How is the Medicare Advantage mix shifting?
      A: The Medicare Advantage mix has seen a slight increase of about 0.5 percentage point, consistent with broader market dynamics and strong performance in medically complex cases.

    13. Occupancy
      Q: Why did occupancy decline sequentially?
      A: Occupancy dipped as nearly 194 new beds were added later in Q2, temporarily affecting utilization during the ramp-up phase.

    14. Provider Revenue
      Q: What about provider tax revenue exposure?
      A: Exposure to provider tax revenue remains volatile and unpredictable due to state fiscal cycles, making it challenging to incorporate into guidance consistently.

    15. Labor Costs
      Q: How have labor cost trends been?
      A: While labor-related costs such as SWB per FTE have seen moderate increases, they have remained manageable amid sustained volume and strong same-store performance.

    16. Geography Expansion
      Q: Any plans for new state entries?
      A: Management is pursuing expansion into new geographies, having recently entered Rhode Island and planning new entries in markets like Connecticut next year.

    17. Margin Guidance
      Q: Is core margin leverage improved?
      A: When asked about margin leverage improvements, management requested the question be repeated—offering no definitive response on this matter.