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    Edison International (EIX)

    Business Description

    No business description found.

    Q3 2024 Summary

    Initial Price$72.40July 1, 2024
    Final Price$87.73October 1, 2024
    Price Change$15.33
    % Change+21.17%

    What went well

    • Load growth is materializing sooner than expected, and Edison International is well-positioned to capitalize on this by reprioritizing capital expenditures and has avenues to obtain more capital support beyond the General Rate Case decision if needed.
    • Upcoming Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) and Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) projects will contribute to capital expenditure plans over the next four years, indicating additional growth opportunities beyond 2028.
    • Confidence in the strength of the regulatory environment in California, with expectations of constructive regulatory outcomes that support the financial health of utilities and provide certainty to investors, despite occasional setbacks.

    Q&A Summary

    1. Offsetting ROE Changes in 2025
      Q: How will you offset the ROE changes in 2025?
      A: We are managing the impact of the ROE decrease by examining financing costs and reinvestment rates. We've found cost benefits across the board, including operational variances. We also have flexibility to adjust the timing and amount of our investments, such as pulling forward O&M costs into 2024 to benefit customers and create headroom in 2025.

    2. Reducing Equity-Like Instruments
      Q: Can you reduce equity or hybrid securities due to improved metrics?
      A: With the improved balance sheet from the TKM settlement and memo account recovery, we might not need the $100 million per year of equity planned. We will also consider addressing the hybrids, like preferreds and junior subordinated notes, but those come into play in 2026 and beyond. This could be accretive to our plan.

    3. Load Growth and CapEx Plans
      Q: How are you addressing load growth materializing sooner than expected?
      A: We prepared our GRC forecast when we were already seeing accelerated load growth. We have the ability to reprioritize capital to meet pressing needs. If more capital support is needed beyond the GRC decision, we have avenues like the SP410 mechanism or other rate case processes to pursue additional funding.

    4. GRC Decision Timing and Impact
      Q: When do you expect the GRC decision, and what's its impact?
      A: We anticipate the GRC decision in the first half of next year. All parties have met deadlines, and we're waiting on the ALJ's proposed decision. While procedural settlements are behind us, we've resolved several items to streamline the remaining issues. The decision will provide clarity on our capital plans and rate trajectory.

    5. Wildfire Proceedings and Recovery
      Q: How might Woolsey wildfire recovery differ from TKM's 60%?
      A: Each wildfire case is specific. TKM involved two ignition points with different circumstances. Woolsey is different—a single ignition point linked to our infrastructure, but we believe SCE was fully prudent. Thus, outcomes may differ, and we can't assume the same recovery percentage as TKM.

    6. Potential Mid-Cycle Cost of Capital Changes
      Q: Can you assure investors against mid-cycle cost of capital changes?
      A: We were disappointed with the recent decision but view it in the context of California's overall regulatory framework, which has strengthened over the past half-decade. While disagreements occur, the CPUC remains committed to maintaining utilities' financial health. We'll continue to advocate for the California premium in future proceedings.

    7. Impact of Electricity Prices on Growth Plans
      Q: Could higher electricity prices affect your growth plans?
      A: The endpoint remains the same due to California's firm commitment to net zero by 2045. While fluctuations in energy prices might affect adoption rates in the short term, we believe electrification is the most affordable and reliable path forward. Our growth plans account for these dynamics.

    8. Role of Gas in California's Future
      Q: How long will natural gas generation be part of California's energy mix?
      A: California will need clean firm generation, including resources like next-generation geothermal or gas with carbon capture. Many of these technologies aren't yet mature, so existing natural gas generation serves as an insurance policy. By 2045, we expect only 4% to 5% of electricity will come from gas resources, running significantly less than today.

    9. Nuclear Decommissioning Trust Estimate
      Q: What drove the change in the nuclear decommissioning trust estimate?
      A: We update decommissioning costs every three years as part of our regulatory process. Changes like the expected timeline for federal removal of spent fuel impact the estimate, now at $2.3 billion net to Edison. The trust fund is well-funded, and this change doesn't affect our financing plan.

    10. Transmission CapEx Inclusion in Plan
      Q: When will the $2B FERC transmission CapEx be included in your plan?
      A: We typically roll projects into our plan when we have clearer details. The FERC transmission projects, awarded in CAISO's 2022-2023 plan, mostly come online post-2028, so spending occurs beyond our current planning horizon. We'll update our plan once timing and spend are better defined.

    Revenue by Segment - in Millions of USDQ2 2014
    Edison International3,016
    Southern California Edison3,014
    Total Revenue-

    Executive Team

    NamePositionStart DateShort Bio
    Pedro J. PizarroPresident and CEO of EIX2016Pedro J. Pizarro has been serving as the President and CEO of Edison International since 2016. He holds a B.S. from Harvard and a Ph.D. from Caltech. He has over 24 years of experience in the energy industry .
    Maria RigattiEVP and CFO of EIXN/AMaria Rigatti serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Edison International. Specific details regarding her start date are not provided.
    Adam S. UmanoffEVP, General Counsel, and Corporate SecretaryJanuary 2024Adam S. Umanoff serves as the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary at Edison International. He became the Corporate Secretary in January 2024 while continuing his role as EVP and General Counsel .
    Steven D. PowellPresident and CEO of SCEDecember 1, 2021Steven D. Powell is the President and CEO of Southern California Edison, a subsidiary of Edison International. He assumed the role on December 1, 2021, after serving as an EVP at SCE .
    J. Andrew MurphyPresident and CEO of Edison EnergyJuly 10, 2023J. Andrew Murphy became the President and CEO of Edison Energy on July 10, 2023, and served as EIX Senior Vice President through July 7, 2023 .

    Questions to Ask Management

    1. With the uncertainties surrounding the timing of the 2025 General Rate Case decision, how confident are you in receiving a final decision in the first half of next year, and what are the potential implications for your capital plan and earnings growth if there are delays?

    2. Considering the upcoming cost of capital proceedings amid rising interest rates, how do you plan to secure favorable cost of capital determinations, and what impact could this have on your 5% to 7% earnings growth projections through 2028?

    3. Given the significant capital investments required for your upcoming ERP and AMI projects totaling over $2 billion, what challenges do you anticipate in obtaining regulatory approval, and how might delays affect your capital expenditure plans and earnings trajectory?

    4. With over $2 billion in FERC transmission projects that have long lead times extending beyond 2028, how are you managing potential regulatory and construction delays, and what effects could these delays have on meeting electrification demands and your future earnings?

    5. In light of the recent increase in the nuclear decommissioning trust estimate to $2.3 billion, are there any potential risks to your future cash flows or unforeseen liabilities, and how do you plan to address these to maintain your financial stability?

    Past Guidance

    Q3 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q3 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024 and FY 2025
    • Guidance:
      1. 2024 Core EPS Guidance: Narrowed to $4.80 to $5.00 .
      2. 2025 Core EPS Guidance: Provided in the range of $5.50 to $5.90 .
      3. EPS Growth Forecast: Expected to grow earnings by 5% to 7% through 2028 .
      4. Impact of TKM Settlement: Expected to add about $0.44 to the 2025 core EPS and provide an ongoing annual benefit of $0.14 beyond 2025 .

    Q2 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q2 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Core EPS Guidance for 2024: Reaffirmed in the range of $4.75 to $5.05 .
      2. EPS CAGR: Aiming for a 5% to 7% EPS compound annual growth rate (CAGR) through 2028 .
      3. Equity Needs: $400 million in total from 2025 through 2028 .
      4. System Average Rate: $0.267 per kilowatt hour, with projected increases aligned with inflation .
      5. Load Growth: 2% to 3% annual sales growth, with an inflection point above 3% beginning in 2028 .
      6. Capital and Rate Base Forecasts: Consistent with previous disclosures .

    Q1 2024 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q1 2024
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. Core EPS Guidance for 2024: Affirmed range of $4.75 to $5.05 .
      2. Long-term EPS Growth Targets: 5% to 7% for 2021-2025 and 2025-2028 .
      3. Equity Needs: About $100 million of equity per year through 2028 .
      4. Capital Investment: More than $6 billion over the next five years in wildfire mitigation .
      5. Rate Base Growth: Projected range of 6% to 8% .

    Q4 2023 Earnings Call

    • Issued Period: Q4 2023
    • Guided Period: FY 2024
    • Guidance:
      1. 2024 EPS Guidance: Introduced range of $4.75 to $5.05 .
      2. Long-term EPS Growth Target: 5% to 7% for 2021-2025 and 2025-2028 .
      3. 2025 Core EPS Growth: Rate base projected to increase by 11% to 14% in 2025 .
      4. Dividend: Raised by 5.8%, marking the 20th consecutive annual increase .
      5. Capital Investment Plan: $38 billion to $43 billion from 2023 through 2028 .
      6. Wildfire Mitigation: 90% of distribution lines in high fire risk areas to be hardened by end of 2025 .