Edison International - Q1 2024

Executive Summary

• Q1 2024: GAAP loss per share of $0.03 as wildfire-related charges drove an after-tax non-core net charge of $333M; Core EPS was $1.13, up 4c YoY, on higher authorized CPUC revenues and ROE, partly offset by higher interest expense.
• Management affirmed 2024 Core EPS guidance of $4.75–$5.05 and reiterated 5–7% Core EPS CAGR targets for 2021–2025 and 2025–2028; Basic EPS guidance was lowered to $3.59–$3.89 solely to incorporate Q1 non-core items to date.
• Wildfire update: best-estimate losses increased $490M (net $463M pre-tax; $333M after-tax) on Woolsey mediation developments and higher-than-expected settlement outcomes; SCE intends to seek full recovery in TKM/Woolsey proceedings; Woolsey filing targeted for Q3 2024.
• Strategic backdrop remains constructive: CPUC cost-of-capital mechanism lifts CPUC ROE to 10.75% for 2024–2025; CEMA PD would authorize $191M revenue over 12 months if adopted; S&P affirmed ratings/stable outlook and lowered downgrade FFO/debt threshold to 14%.
• Likely stock catalysts: CPUC vote on 2022 CEMA PD, progress in TKM evidentiary schedule and Woolsey filing, and GRC 2025 proceedings; any visibility on wildfire cost recovery/financing (e.g., securitization) could reduce interest expense and support multiple expansion.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

• What Went Well

  • Core EPS grew to $1.13 (+$0.04 YoY) on higher CPUC revenue (Track 4) and higher authorized ROE; management affirmed 2024 Core EPS and long-term growth targets.
  • Regulatory momentum: favorable 2022 CEMA proposed decision ($191M revenue over 12 months; $312M capex fully approved if adopted) and ALJ PD to deny petition to suspend cost-of-capital mechanism.
  • Wildfire risk profile: SCE estimates 85–88% reduction in probability of catastrophic loss versus pre-2018, driven predominantly by physical grid hardening (covered conductor/undergrounding), with >5,700 overhead miles hardened and >7,300 miles undergrounded as of Q1.
  • Quote: “We are pleased with our start to the year and are confident in affirming our 2024 core EPS guidance range… We also remain confident in delivering on our long-term EPS growth targets.” — CEO Pedro Pizarro.

• What Went Wrong

  • Wildfire charges: Q1 review increased best-estimate losses by $490M (net after-tax $333M) due to Woolsey mediation dynamics and higher settlement values; litigation environment remains unfavorable, increasing expected costs.
  • Margin/expense pressure: Operating income fell to $245M (from $620M) as O&M rose to $1,317M (from $1,084M) and wildfire-related claims rose to $615M (from $96M); interest expense increased to $444M (from $361M).
  • Analyst concerns: potential for further revisions before Woolsey application and interest burden from wildfire-claims debt; management reiterated quarterly re-testing of estimates and targeted Q3 Woolsey filing.

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Edison International First Quarter 2024 financial teleconference. My name is Missy, and I'll be your operator today. When we get to the question and answer session, if you have a question, press star one on your phone. Today's call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Sam Ramraj, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Ramraj, you may begin your conference.

Sam Ramraj (VP of Investor Relations)

Thank you, Missy, and welcome everyone. Our speakers today are President and Chief Executive Officer, Pedro Pizarro, and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Maria Rigatti. Also on the call are other members of the management team. Materials supporting today's call are available at www.edisoninvestor.com. These include a Form 10-Q, prepared remarks from Pedro and Maria, and the teleconference presentation. Tomorrow, we will distribute our regular business update presentation. During this call, we'll make forward-looking statements about the outlook for Edison International and its subsidiaries. Actual results could differ materially from current expectations. Important factors that could cause different results are set forth in our SEC filings. Please read these carefully. The presentation includes certain outlook assumptions, as well as reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP measure. During the question and answer session, please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up.

I will now turn the call over to Pedro.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Well, thank you, Sam, and good afternoon, everyone. Edison International's Core EPS for first quarter 2024 was $1.13. We are pleased with our start to the year, and we are confident in affirming our 2024 Core EPS guidance of $4.70-$5.05. We also remain confident in delivering on our long-term EPS growth targets of 5%-7% for 2021-2025, and similarly for 2025-2028. Our conviction remains grounded in the drivers that continue to support our outlook. Starting with SCE's legacy wildfires, the utility continues to advance the process of resolving claims. Based on the latest information available, which Maria will expand on, the best estimate of losses increased by $490 million, or $333 million after tax.

With wildfires now a national issue, litigation outcomes outside of California are impacting the cost to resolve claims everywhere. We remain committed to achieving ultimate certainty by working through the process expeditiously and seeking cost recovery. We are confident about the case SCE has made in TKM and will make for Woolsey. I would like to reiterate that we strongly believe that cost recovery is warranted and in the public interest, and we conservatively have not reflected this significant potential in our financial projections. On the operations front, I want to start by highlighting Edison's leadership of the industry's response to climate change. Recent wildfires across the nation have provided a stark reminder of the changing climate conditions, which underscore the need for further enhancing resiliency and adaptation as we transition to a clean energy future.

SCE is a clear leader in wildfire mitigation and is sharing its expertise with peers across the industry who are now experiencing similar conditions. We have shown that wildfire risk associated with utility infrastructure is manageable. Also, our state has dramatically increased resources for fire suppression, including having the largest civil aerial firefighting fleet in the world. Our regulators understand the importance of financially healthy utilities. AB 1054 put in place constructive prudency standards and the insurance fund. Over the past five years, SCE has invested about $5 billion of wildfire mitigation-related capital and expects to invest more than $6 billion over the next five years. This investment ranks among the highest levels in the utility sector. On page 3, you can see the numbers and the results.

I will point out that SCE has not seen ignitions due to the failure of covered conductor, and the program is well recognized for its effectiveness. Putting this all together into what it means for reducing future risk of losses from wildfires, we estimate the risk is 85%-88% lower than pre-2018. Turning to page five, let me highlight three key points that enhance the significance of this reduction. First, physical mitigation dominates. Unlike heavy reliance on operational measures like power shutoffs or fast curve settings, the primary driver behind this risk reduction is physical mitigation. This is important because it means a much lower burden for customers. Second, SCE's estimate comes from Moody's RMS industry-leading model, widely trusted by insurers. This model considers intricate factors, terrain, vegetation, historical data, and more to predict wildfire probabilities.

Third, to estimate the probabilities of losses in dollar terms, we employ a stochastic model. This model runs 50,000 simulations considering potential ignitions and fire sizes while incorporating SCE's mitigation strategy. This approach contrasts with simpler deterministic methods used by some other companies and regulators that only analyze past events. In summary, our rigorous data-driven approach, validated externally,... paint a clear picture. SCE's risk profile today is dramatically different than in the past as a result of the utility's mitigation efforts. To focus specifically on grid hardening, pages 6 and 7 highlight SCE's significant progress to date. I'm pleased with the progress our team has made, and I look forward to continued progress, making our communities even safer. By the end of 2025, SCE expects to be approaching 90% physical hardening of its distribution lines in high fire risk areas.

With over 7,300 mi already underground and more than 5,700 overhead miles hardened, SCE's total hardened miles surpass those of all other California IOUs combined. We're really proud of these efforts to swiftly enhance grid safety for SCE's customers. Turning to load growth. After years of relatively flat demand, we are seeing 2%-3% annual growth in the coming years, with an inflection point above 3% annual growth beginning in 2028. In SCE service area, we project this growth will be driven by the continued adoption of electric vehicles, increases in industrial electrification, and higher penetration of building electrification. In California, 1/4 of new cars sold in 2023 were zero-emission vehicles, and that trend is continuing into 2024.

As another indication of this acceleration, the state recently reached a milestone of over 100,000 public EV chargers now installed throughout California, and that is on top of over 500,000 at-home chargers. Southern California already has a significant data center presence, so while we also see load growth potential from this sector, we expect transportation electrification to drive a more substantial increase in the region's electricity demand. As our investment levels grow to support economy-wide electrification, affordability remains top of mind. We have demonstrated cost leadership over the years, resulting in the lowest system average rate among the major California IOUs. This discipline of managing our costs is a continuous focus. For example, we previously highlighted that the 2025 GRC application included $41 million of annual O&M savings as an immediate benefit for customers.

Well, building on that, in SCE's rebuttal testimony submitted earlier this month, the utility identified another $35 million of annual O&M savings to further mitigate the revenue increase. 2024 is very much a year of execution across the business, and we are pleased with our start to the year. SCE continues to make significant investments and make the grid safer year after year. We continue to see constructive regulatory decisions. SCE is also making progress toward full resolution of the legacy wildfires. All of this allows us to remain confident in our ability to achieve our near and long-term commitments. I will conclude by re-emphasizing that Edison International offers an excellent investment vehicle to participate in California's clean energy transition. SCE is hardening the grid every day to the benefit of customers and investors, and its wildfire mitigation execution has shown positive results for five wildfire seasons running.

California is at the forefront of electrification, decarbonization, and climate adaptation. As an electric-only, wires-focused utility, SCE is in a strong position to focus on the future, which will be electric-led. Our commitment to clean energy, leadership, and innovation is well recognized in the industry and has only been further elevated as the impacts of climate change become more prominent. Ensuring the grid is reliable, resilient, and ready is paramount to achieving the clean energy transition and the driving theme of our investments and growth. With that, turn it over to Maria for her financial report.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Pedro, and good afternoon, everyone. In my comments today, I will cover first quarter 2024 results, provide an update on regulatory proceedings, and discuss 2024 EPS guidance. I also want to reaffirm our continued confidence in achieving our EPS growth targets. Let me begin with first quarter results. EIX reported core EPS of $1.13. As you can see from the year-over-year quarterly variance analysis shown on page 8, core earnings grew by $0.04, primarily due to higher CPUC revenue authorized in Track 4 of the 2021 GRC and higher authorized rates of return, partially offset by higher interest expense associated with debt for wildfire claims payments. EIX Parent and Other was in line with the same period last year. Turning to SCE's capital and rate base forecasts, shown on pages 9 and 10, these are consistent with last quarter's disclosures.

The bulk of the capital plan will be addressed by SCE's 2025 GRC. The rate case includes investments necessary to meet the critical objectives of reliability, resiliency, and readiness to meet customers' needs today and in the future. This includes gearing up traditional distribution grid investment on activities such as infrastructure replacement and load growth, as well as continued wildfire mitigation. SCE is facing the fastest electricity demand growth in decades. Thus, the capital plan reflects resuming traditional levels of infrastructure replacement necessary for system reliability and making significant investments to support load growth, driven in large part by transportation electrification.... During the first quarter, intervenors submitted their testimony and recommendations in the GRC proceeding. The key points are summarized on page 11. In summary, we are not surprised by Cal Advocates' and TURN's focus areas, and we are confident that we will secure a good outcome for customers.

Altogether, their recommendations would translate to rate-based growth of approximately 6%, which is consistent with our projected 6%-8% rate-based growth range. Further on the regulatory front, SCE is advancing a handful of other key proceedings, including the 2022 CEMA, the TKM cost recovery applications, and the recently filed WMCE application. Earlier this month, SCE received a favorable proposed decision in the 2022 CEMA proceeding. If adopted, it would authorize $191 million of revenue that would be recovered over 12 months and fully approve $312 million of capital expenditures. The PD is scheduled to be voted on at the CPUC's May 30th meeting. It's a big positive to get this decision earlier in the year, and its approval strengthens our 2024 EPS guidance.

Additionally, the ALJ and the cost of capital proceeding recently issued a proposed decision that would deny intervenors' petition for modification that sought to suspend the cost of capital mechanism. This decision is consistent with the intent articulated by the CPUC when the cost of capital mechanism was originally adopted and reinforces our views on the topic and the constructive California regulatory environment. Page 12 provides an update on the resolution of SCE's legacy wildfires, which continues to advance. The change in the estimated losses was primarily driven by information obtained related to the Woolsey Fire Mediation Program. Recall that plaintiffs who had opted into the program were required to submit their demands by a deadline in February. The demands received revealed that more plaintiffs intend to continue to pursue claims, as considerably fewer plaintiffs have dropped their litigation in Woolsey than observed in the TKM process.

Settlement outcomes during the quarter also exceeded previously estimated values. SCE has now resolved 97% of TKM individual plaintiff claims and 86% of Woolsey individual plaintiff claims, and is on track to file the Woolsey cost recovery application in Q3. I will remind you that SCE intends to seek full recovery of all eligible costs, so the increase will be reflected in the cost recovery application. In the TKM proceeding, next steps include intervenor testimony due May 29th and SCE's rebuttal testimony due June 28th. Turning to EPS guidance, page 13 shows our 2024 core EPS guidance and modeling considerations. We are pleased with our start to the year and are confident in affirming the range of $4.75-$5.05. As Pedro mentioned, the estimated losses for the 2017 and 2018 events increased.

As a reminder, SCE funds the cost to resolve claims with debt, which is excluded from its regulatory capital structure. Thus, SCE expects to issue additional debt, which will result in about $0.02 of incremental interest expense in 2024. Regardless, we maintain our confidence in achieving our EPS guidance. SCE's cost recovery applications include the financing costs associated with resolving claims, so this increase will also be reflected in the cost recovery application. On the financing front, I want to underscore that we have limited equity needs as we continue to deploy substantial amounts of capital and extend our dividend track record. As shown on page 14, the parent's 2024 financing plan is nearly complete, and we have already addressed our equity needs via internal programs. Also, we maintain our forecast of about $100 million of equity per year through 2028.

As you can see on the right side of page 15, SCE's strong cash flow generation and the incremental debt to finance accretive growth address nearly all our cash needs through 2028. We have significantly strengthened our balance sheet through efficient financing execution, along with regulatory asset recovery of about $4 billion over the last three years and approximately $2 billion expected through 2025. This ability to track and recover prior spending is yet another constructive feature of our regulations, which balances the ability to execute critical work with strong regulatory oversight. In recognition of our balance sheet strength, we were pleased that last week S&P affirmed our credit ratings and stable outlook. Importantly, they lowered our FFO to debt downgrade threshold to 14% from 15%, noting the key driver of this action is the company's decreasing business risk.

We're proud to see S&P's recognition of our leadership role in mitigating wildfire risk, especially in an environment where climate risks and credit thresholds across the industry are increasing. Lastly, I'll remind you that we've provided modeling sensitivities to help you quantify what cost recovery for the 2017 and 2018 events means for a few key metrics. Each $1 billion of recovery would improve our FFO to debt ratio by about 40-50 basis points and reduce interest expense by $35 million per year. These benefits don't only accrue to our owners. We believe customers will benefit by potentially avoiding as much as $4.9 billion of excess financing costs, a clear win for overall affordability. Let me conclude by saying that our confidence in meeting our financial targets remains strong.

Underpinning this conference in the near term and long term is our focus on execution. Execution to deliver on our earnings targets, execution to advance regulatory proceedings,... and execution of our cost management initiatives, the cornerstone for SCE's cost leadership and lowest system average rate among major IOUs in California. That concludes my remarks, and back to you, Sam.

Sam Ramraj (VP of Investor Relations)

Missy, please open the call for questions. As a reminder, we request you to limit yourself to one question and one follow-up, so everyone in line has the opportunity to ask questions.

Operator (participant)

Thank you, sir. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your phone. One moment for the first question, please. Our first question comes from Nick Campanella with Barclays. Your line is open.

Nick Campanella (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. Hey, so I guess just to start with the charge, it's good that we moved past this kind of mediation program deadline, but you did highlight an unfavorable litigation environment and settlements kind of exceeding previous estimates. Can you just maybe kind of talk about your confidence level that we wouldn't see another kind of revision higher here as we get to the third quarter and knock out that remaining $800 million? Is this the kind of last remaining revision in your mind, or how should we kind of think about as you kind of progress to that third quarter deadline?

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Oh, hey, Nick, I appreciate the question. Look, and I'll just start by pointing you toward disclosures, right? We've said all along that, you know, every quarter we go back in, we, you know, test whether there's a need to change reserves and adjust them so that we are providing our best estimate of the best estimate, right? We really want to make sure we're doing this down the middle of the road by the book per GAAP. And so, you know, we did pass a pretty important milestone, as you said, with, you know, that Woolsey event. And so we now have the benefit of analyzing what came in, and we saw the factors that we commented on of, you know, both the, you know, less drop off in overall claims and higher expectation of awards.

You know, as we continue here, I think like I said in my comments, honestly, Nick, true certainty here will come with moving through this process as quickly as we can, doing it right, and, you know, getting to the finish line. I'm really pleased that, you know, we're certainly a lot closer to the finish line on TKM, as you saw from our having made the filing last year. We are approaching that important milestone with Woolsey, where we'll be ready to do our filing, and we continue to be on track to do that in Q3. Every quarter, we'll continue to test things, and, you know, we kind of by definition, if we're giving you the best estimate we can, it means that it has probably an equal chance of reality being higher or being lower, right?

We'll continue to retest that, you know, every quarter, but again, our focus is on completing the process and getting this fully behind us.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

And maybe, Nick, just one other thing to underscore Pedro's comment about completion driving final certainty. I'll point out two numbers that we've already said today on the call. Individual plaintiffs are the largest component of what's going on here. 97% of the TKM individual plaintiffs have been settled, and 86% of the Woolsey individual plaintiffs have been settled. So that's really what's driving us to also comment that we're on track for a Q3 filing for Woolsey cost recovery.

Nick Campanella (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, thank you for the information there. Then, you know, as I kind of think about the balance sheet impacts, and, you know, I think it's good to see that you're still committed to just only $100 million of, you know, equity a year here. That's not changing. You just got the 14%-15% range, as you kind of talked about on FFO to debt side in your prepared remarks. Just net of this charge, kind of where do you stand in the ranges now? And then what are the kind of the drivers, to kind of put you higher or lower, as we get through the year and into 2025?

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Sure. I think, the latest report that I've seen from S&P actually has, is it just over 14% FFO to debt, so inside our, above their downgrade threshold range. 15%-17% FFO to debt is still our objective. The financing plan that we provided last quarter and that we have again in the materials for this quarter is consistent with moving into that range, over the next several years. We're making good progress on that as we continue to get claims put behind us, but also as we continue to recover those memo accounts. $4 billion over the last three years, $2 billion more through 2025. That plus the growing rate base and the ability to earn on that and depreciation, et cetera, that's really moving us through that.

We've tested a lot of different scenarios, and that's how we came up with $100 million of equity every year through 2028.

Nick Campanella (Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Thanks for taking my questions today.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Oh, thanks, Nick.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Lonegan with Evercore. Your line is open.

Michael Lonegan (Director of Equity Research)

Hi, thanks for taking my question. On the best estimate of losses for Woolsey, you spoke about, you know, a limited number of plaintiffs that have received extensions. Just wondering if you could share more detail about that, the kind of visibility you have into that, because obviously those losses, you know, would probably be harder to estimate.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Yeah. So the process that we went through with the deadline in February, I think, as we noted a couple of times in the past, is, you know, when people put their information in, sometimes they put in 100% what we've asked for, sometimes they put in less than what we've asked for, and sometimes they ask for extensions. In this case, a number of plaintiffs did receive extensions. We know some things about their claims. We've been able to group them, but we will get more information as they get to their claims deadlines, which are, you know, over the next couple of months.

The work that we've done to evaluate them is similar to the work that we've done in prior quarters, where we've taken the experience that we've had across a broad range of claims, and obviously we keep settling more claims, so we have more information, and we've applied that understanding to these other demands. Again, we will get more information about those as we progress through the next quarter.

Michael Lonegan (Director of Equity Research)

... Great. Thank you. And then secondly, from me, you've spoken about filing standalone applications for the $2+ billion of, you know, incremental capital for Next-Gen ERP and the AMI 2.0 programs. Just wondering if you could, if you have a more specific timeline on when you plan to file these applications, when they could be, you know, rolled into your plan, and, and how much incremental equity, you know, we could potentially expect to finance it?

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Sure. We are expecting that the Next-Gen ERP application, late 2024, and that the AMI, the smart meter application, would be in 2025. Across the two of them, $2 billion in capital. As we think about financing for those, additional or incremental capital requirements, we're really gonna, obviously, SCE will always finance in accordance with its authorized capital structure, and we'll see where we are in terms of our credit metrics. As I said, we're growing strongly into our credit metric range.

Michael Lonegan (Director of Equity Research)

Mm-hmm.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

As long as we can, you know, stay in that range, you know, we'll be, you know, minimizing the amount of equity that would otherwise be required for those incremental capital opportunities.

Michael Lonegan (Director of Equity Research)

Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Thanks, Mike.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gregg Orrill with UBS. Your line is open.

Gregg Orrill (Executive Director and Equity Analyst)

Hi, thank you. Just wondering if there's anything to be watching for in terms of trends on transmission CapEx through the CAISO planning process or otherwise that you're thinking about? Thank you.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Yeah, maybe I'll start on that one. And Steve Powell might have thoughts as well. So you've seen that the CAISO has really, over the last few years, fully engaged in the long-term planning process. I think they recognize, along with other parties in the state, that in order to help the state achieve its net zero goals by 2045, there's a lot of work to be done. And our own Countdown to 2045 white paper last fall, you know, had a pretty significant investment need statewide for the wires to make all of this work. So we estimate that the rate of transmission additions will need to be four times what they've been historically. So you've seen that there's been now a couple of plans that the CAISO has cycled through in the last couple of years.

I think Maria mentioned already, or certainly it's in our materials, but you see there's something like $2 billion of capital for something like 17 projects, where SCE is entitled to the right of first refusal as an incumbent to do the work. So we expect that SCE will do that work. In addition, CAISO has a competitive solicitation process for projects that are new, that are not extensions of existing projects. SCE now has one application pending, waiting to hear on in this current process. But you know, Steve, I know that as you engage with CAISO and your team, maybe comment more on what's next in terms of their continued planning process.

Steve Powell (President and CEO)

Yeah. So the CAISO runs its annual transmission planning process each year. And so you can look to each year having that plan come out. In the most recent plan that was released, for the 2023-2024 cycle, most of the projects are up in Northern California, although there was about $90 million of incumbent projects for SCE to build in our territory. So each of those plans will identify additional opportunities for us. We'll evaluate if we are participate in future competitive solicitations on those. In the longer term, the CAISO also does a 20-year outlook, and the last 20-year outlook, which came out a couple of years ago, pointed towards about $30 billion of investment needed in transmission over the next 20 years. The CAISO is in the process of updating that outlook.

They put out some draft information recently, but really, they'll have a final report in June that'll give you the more of the 20-year outlook. But it continues to show a need for more and more resources to fulfill the clean energy targets that is backed by a whole lot of transmission.

Gregg Orrill (Executive Director and Equity Analyst)

Okay, thanks.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Thanks, Gregg.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Hi, Jeremy.

Jeremy Tonet (Research Analyst and Managing Director)

Hi, good afternoon. How are you?

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

I'm well. How are you doing?

Jeremy Tonet (Research Analyst and Managing Director)

Good. Just want to start off with, I guess, a broader question, and just with summer approaching, can you provide an update on fire conditions you're seeing across your territory right now? And I guess, you know, overall expectations into the season, given all the de-risking as has been accomplished over time.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

I'll answer your question quickly, and then I'll follow up with the real message I want you to walk away with. The quick answer is, I think the latest stuff I have seen published suggests that, it's a-- you know, it seems to be an average or maybe even a little bit below average risk season. That's not the real message I want you to walk away with. Like, we know that in the years ahead, with climate change, we're going to see increased, not decreased, climate-driven wildfire risk conditions, right? Our, our Adapting for Tomorrow white paper a couple of years ago pointed to something like a 20% increase in climate-driven wildfire risk to 2050. And so the real headline here is the stuff I talked about in my prepared remarks, right?

The amount of hardening we've done, the 85%-88% risk that we've taken off the table, and that doesn't even include the risk taken off the table by the state having doubled down on its firefighting capabilities. So you know, obviously, it's interesting, and I know, you know, investors ask us from time to time, how does this year look or how does, you know, any given year look? But frankly, I think that is less and less the question, and more and more the question you should be asking is, how are we continuing to do in our hardening, and our other measures? And I think we're doing well there.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

... And TJ, even with all of the risk reduction, we're constantly vigilant. So just to underscore that point.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Absolutely.

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

We're continuing not just to do more and more grid hardening, but also refining our models, looking at new technologies. I think that's some of what you can see when you look at the S&P report as well, is just that ongoing attention that we are paying to every aspect of mitigating the risk.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

And using new technologies at it, right? So it's, it was nice, as you said, Maria, to have S&P recognize that. You know, think about PSPS. You know, it's been an important tool, but now it only accounts for something like 10% of our overall risk reduction. And, you know, we continue to look for ways to refine that and minimize the potential impact to customers. The other thing I'd share is that, and Steve Powell is playing a leading role in this, we're making sure we're sharing our learnings with the rest of the industry, because this is no longer a California problem. It's no longer a western issue, it's a national level issue.

We're proud that through EEI, which, you know, I'm chairing EEI through June of this year, but Steve is co-chairing a CEO task force at EEI that's helping to share best practices across the industry, as well as, you know, have a discussion on whether other states or the federal level, we could find a way to have liability protections, like the things that we were able to achieve in California through AB 1054. So, you know, we take leadership here seriously. It's not just about protecting our customers, but making sure that we're sharing that with the rest of the industry.

Jeremy Tonet (Research Analyst and Managing Director)

Got it. That kind of hits my second question, but maybe just to continue with that, on the national level, do you see movement in D.C., and could we actually get policymakers moving in that direction to develop something that, you know, comprehensive, but nationwide, you know, approach here? Just wondering, you know, given how divisive politics are today, if you think that could actually be in motion at some point?

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Yes, so through EEI, we're really engaged on that, and a number of Capitol Hill visits. And look, you know, you're right, it's kind of hard to get a national budget passed these days, right? So it is a challenging environment on Capitol Hill. On the other hand, this is not a single state issue anymore. It's multiple states. They're red, blue, and everything in between, right? And so I think there's increasing recognition that there is a challenge here that needs a national solution. Still framing that up, and, but I will point to the fact that there's examples for other risks across the economy where there is, you know, a national level solution. Think about managing nuclear operating risk and the Price-Anderson Act as an example.

Steve, I know you've been engaged in a number of these Capitol Hill discussions as well. Anything you'd add?

Steve Powell (President and CEO)

I'd just say right now, we've been really focused on education about how the risk is evolving and the mitigations that the industry is taking to manage the physical risk itself. In terms of the financial risk, I think there's, I know, that different states are approaching it in different ways. We'll look for ways that you can combine what's being done at the state level with potentially complementary efforts at the federal level. Some of the things that, you know, I know, there's interest on the Hill is in things like being able to remove timber, and there's lots of tactical things around permitting and allowing utilities to effectively streamline the process to get their work done in high fire areas.

In terms of more of the financial solution, again, I think there's a lot of work to be done, even just to shape what the ask is. And it'll take some time, but it's most likely to be some combination of state solutions with, you know, attempts at the federal level.

Jeremy Tonet (Research Analyst and Managing Director)

Got it. That's very helpful. Just a quick point of clarification, if I could, with regards to the deadline for the plaintiff extensions there. I think it might have said in the coming months is the deadline. Is there any specific date and time that we should be looking for there?

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Right now, the deadlines are all over the next couple of months, but we'll keep you posted.

Jeremy Tonet (Research Analyst and Managing Director)

Got it. Thank you.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Hey, thanks for the good questions, Jeremy.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ryan Levine with Citi. Your line is open.

Ryan Levine (Equity Analyst)

Hi, everybody. Maybe interested in terms of the cost structure. It looked like your O&M numbers ticked up year-over-year, and your footnotes point to inspection and maintenance costs being higher this quarter. Is there anything to read into that or any color you could share around what's driving some of the escalation on your costs?

Maria Rigatti (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, so a lot of that sometimes has to do with exactly when in each quarter you're booking the cost. So some of it's just timing differences year-over-year. That can be driven by weather, and years where there's worse weather than not, you're going to do less work, and then in another year, you can do more work. So I think our cost structure is not changing per se. In fact, our focus is on how to actually streamline all of those processes and reduce the cost over time. So nothing to read into that.

Ryan Levine (Equity Analyst)

Then in terms of wildfire mitigation plans more broadly, to the extent that this becomes a more national initiative for, for utilities around the country, are there opportunities to streamline maybe the cost of implementation or any iterations that you can anticipate as it becomes more of a, a nationwide phenomenon?

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

So maybe a couple angles on that. One is, and I think you heard us say this earlier, Ryan, our team continues to look, you know, constantly for how do we refine, improve, how do we use new technologies, et cetera. So maybe part of your questions comes from a place of, I'll make it up a little bit, and you tell me if this is the kind of thing you're thinking about. To the extent that you have technologies that end up being deployed on a more mass scale across multiple states, I think in theory, you know, conceptually, that might lead to maybe some streamlining of those costs if you have greater adoption, you know, driving greater scale....

But, you know, I think from an SCE perspective, the team there is very focused on constantly turning the crank, refining our view of the risk, refining the view of the models underlying our description of that risk, and then prioritizing and reprioritizing the capital and O&M, you know, commitments that we make towards further reducing that risk. Steve, anything else?

Steve Powell (President and CEO)

Yeah, Ryan, and maybe if I think about the experience we've been through and the focus we have on both balancing, you know, balancing affordability as we make sure we're mitigating the wildfire risk. You know, it starts for any utility that's going down the path of making the right decisions around the risk mitigations you deploy. So for example, for us, you know, on our grid hardening side, covered conductor is a very cost-effective way for us to address the risk that we face. May look different for different utilities. As you get into things like inspections, it's the things we've done around combining our aerial and our ground inspections, so we're having to go out fewer times to do the inspections.

The tools we use to do that are ones that certainly, if they're able to help us bring the cost down, as more and more people are developing those, those may improve, and we may have more opportunities. There's areas as you begin to go broader around, for example, veg management and how you do those inspections. So the detection, whether it's using LiDAR or satellite, with the whole industry focused on those, those will advance faster and allow us to lower the cost. So we will definitely learn from others, and they'll learn from us as we try to both deploy the most effective wildfire mitigation, but bring the cost of all of them down.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Maybe, Steve, one final thought I would add is, it's not just about what we as the industry are doing, along with technology partners, but it's also about the government's role in this. You know, you might know, I co-chair the Electricity Subsector Coordinating Council, which is the CEO-led group that's really the partnership between the industry and the federal government on matters of physical and cybersecurity and resiliency. So DOE is our sponsoring agency for our sector, and they've been a really good partner in engaging around how do we think about technologies? How do we get access to federal resources? A lot of work to be done in areas like vegetation, where you know, there's more work and more progress to be made in working with, say, the Forest Service or the Bureau of Land Management.

Particularly, DOE has been a great partner in looking at how we bring these sort of benefits and scale to, you know, all states that need it. So we'll continue that partnership, and it makes everybody safer.

Ryan Levine (Equity Analyst)

Thanks for taking my questions.

Pedro Pizarro (President and CEO)

Thanks, Ryan.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. That was our last question. I'll now turn the call back to Mr. Sam Ramraj.

Sam Ramraj (VP of Investor Relations)

Thank you for joining us. This concludes the conference call. Have a good rest of the day. You may now disconnect.