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EQUITY BANCSHARES INC (EQBK)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered margin expansion and solid earnings: diluted EPS $0.85, net interest margin 4.27% (4.08% core), aided by $2.3M nonaccrual reversals and day-count dynamics; non-interest income benefited from a $1.7M BOLI death benefit .
- Versus Wall Street: EPS modestly beat consensus ($0.85 vs $0.83*) and revenue beat ($58.1M* vs $56.7M*), driven by lower deposit costs and one-time items; provision rose with loan growth and macro uncertainty (tariffs) .
- Guidance: Management raised Q2 NIM guidance to 4.05–4.10% from Q1’s 3.95–4.05%, and maintained full-year ranges pending the NBC Oklahoma merger close and integration .
- Strategic catalyst: Announced definitive agreement to merge with NBC Oklahoma (≈$909M assets), expanding Oklahoma footprint; expected EPS accretion (~$0.18 back-half 2025; ~$0.50 in 2026, per management) and sub-3-year TBVPS earn-back .
- Balance sheet growth continues: loans +$131M QoQ (15.2% annualized), TCE/TA 10.13%, TBVPS +$1.00 QoQ; deposit mix shifting with seasonal municipal flows; loan-to-deposit ratio 82.4% .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin and earnings resilience: NIM rose to 4.27% (core 4.08%) as funding costs fell 8 bps vs 4 bps decline in asset yields; nonaccrual reversals added ~19–20 bps .
“We achieved strong earnings, margin expansion and built up our reserves to strengthen our balance sheet for whatever comes next.” – CEO Brad Elliott . - Strong loan production and growth: loans +$130.8M QoQ; organic originations $197M (+64% QoQ), plus $57M of guaranteed loans purchased; yields on originations held at 7.41% despite rate cuts .
- Capital and book value improvement: TCE/TA 10.13%; TBVPS $31.07 (+3.3% QoQ); CET1 14.70% at HoldCo; asset quality improved with NPAs down to 0.51% of assets and nonaccruals down to $24.2M .
What Went Wrong
- Higher provision for credit losses: provision $2.7M vs $0.1M in Q4, reflecting loan growth and added macro uncertainty (trade policy/tariffs) .
- Seasonal deposit outflows (ex-brokered): core deposits -$109.4M due to municipal/commercial seasonality; total deposits held at $4.4B with brokered balances, indicating reliance on wholesale funding mix near-term .
- OpEx uptick: non-interest expense rose to $39.1M (from $37.8M), driven by payroll timing and higher incentive accruals; efficiency ratio elevated vs Q3’s unusually low level .
Financial Results
Guidance Changes
Note: Management stated full-year estimates were retained and would be updated post-NBC integration .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We started the year with a strong balance sheet, motivated bankers and a solid capital stack to execute our dual strategy of organic growth and strategic M&A.” – CEO Brad Elliott .
- “Cost of funds declined 8 bps while coupon yields fell 4 bps; nonaccrual benefits added ~19 bps to NIM.” – CFO Chris Navratil .
- “Organic originations totaled $197M, up 64% QoQ, with 7.41% yields despite a downward rate environment.” – Bank CEO Rick Sems .
- “We added reserve for economic uncertainty related to tariffs, though we’re not seeing slowdown in our markets.” – CEO Brad Elliott .
- “Year 2 accretion from NBC is about $0.50; we’ll quantify back-half 2025 later.” – CFO Chris Navratil .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs/macro: Customers often have contractual pass-throughs; bank added reserve proactively; no current slowdown observed .
- Margin outlook: Core NIM ~4.08% in Q1; management expects to maintain in Q2; defend margin with lagged repricing; modest upside possible with rational cuts .
- Loan purchases: $57M guaranteed loan purchase was a one-time opportunity; not a recurring strategy .
- Deposit strategy: More rational competition emerging; mirror Fed moves; selective exceptions to protect relationships .
- NBC accretion: Expected ~$0.18 EPS in back-half 2025 and ~$0.50 in 2026; details to follow .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: “Revenue” for banks may differ by provider definitions; company-reported components were NII $50.3M and total non-interest income $10.3M in Q1 .
Why the beat:
- Lower funding costs vs asset yields (-8 bps vs -4 bps) and ~$2.3M nonaccrual reversals lifted NIM and NII .
- $1.7M BOLI death benefit boosted non-interest income; core fees were seasonally soft .
- Provision increased on loan growth and macro uncertainty but remained manageable; asset quality metrics improved .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- NIM durability: With Q2 NIM guided to 4.05–4.10%, EQBK appears positioned to defend margins despite further rate cuts; core NIM ~4.08% provides baseline .
- Growth engine is reaccelerating: Strong C&I-led loan growth and early traction in treasury/fee lines should support NII and diversify revenues through 2025 .
- Credit normalizing but contained: ACL/loans at 1.26% with improving NPAs/nonaccrual balances; classification uptick tied to known credits; reserve build prudent for macro risks .
- Capital optionality: TCE/TA 10.13% and CET1 14.70% enable organic growth and strategic M&A; dividends maintained at $0.15 .
- NBC Oklahoma merger is a near-term catalyst: footprint expansion and expected accretion (back-half 2025/2026) plus cross-sell via Q2 treasury platform .
- Watch seasonality and funding mix: Municipal deposit seasonality and brokered balances influenced total deposits; expect inflows later in the year; funding optimization remains a lever .
- Near-term trading: One-time items aided Q1; core run-rate suggests modest upside if rate path remains rational; estimate revisions likely to reflect raised Q2 NIM, higher loan growth, and NBC accretion later in 2025 .