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EB

EQUITY BANCSHARES INC (EQBK)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 results were resilient: GAAP diluted EPS $0.86, core diluted EPS $0.94, net income $15.3M, and NIM 4.17%; credit costs remained modest despite a non-accrual migration in a single QSR relationship .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, EPS beat (Actual* $0.93 vs Est* $0.89) while revenue missed (Actual* $58.37M vs Est* $60.46M); note S&P “actual” EPS is normalized and differs from GAAP EPS reported by management [GetEstimates*].
  • Strategic catalysts: NBC Oklahoma closed July 2 (adds ~$0.70B loans and ~$0.80B deposits) with system conversion targeted for late August; management expects margin/earnings accretion and NIE savings in 2H25 .
  • Balance sheet and capital strengthened: TCE ratio 10.63% (+50 bps q/q), TBV/share $32.17 (+$1.10 q/q); book equity up $18.3M in Q2, aided by AOCI improvement .
  • Credit quality broadly stable apart from the QSR migration: NPA 0.85% of assets, ACL/loans 1.26%; net charge-offs annualized 0.06% in Q2 and 0.04% YTD .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin and core earnings momentum: NIM held at 4.17% (up ~10 bps vs core margin in Q1) with core NII growth of $1.8M driven by loan mix/yields and lower interest-bearing liability costs .
  • NBC integration as earnings lever: portfolio cash redeployment and expected NIE savings in 4Q; management reiterated margin accretion from NBC assets/liabilities, with conversion in late August .
  • Capital and book value accretion: TBV/share rose to $32.17 and TCE/TA to 10.63%, supported by earnings and improved AOCI; repurchased 7,500 shares at $36.46 while maintaining the $0.15 dividend .

Quote: “As we enter the second half of the year, we continue to be well positioned to drive growth both organically and via strategic M&A.” — Brad Elliott .

What Went Wrong

  • QSR non-accrual migration: Non-accrual loans rose to $42.6M (+$18.3M q/q), largely one QSR relationship; total classified assets increased to $71.0M (11.4% of regulatory capital) .
  • Revenue vs consensus miss: S&P Global revenue actual* $58.37M vs est* $60.46M; non-interest income normalized lower vs Q1 due to prior BOLI benefit [GetEstimates*] .
  • End-of-period loan balances declined $30.9M on higher payoffs/line utilization decreases, though production was strong ($197M) and the pipeline grew 33% to $481M (75% probability) .

Financial Results

Quarterly Financials (document-based actuals)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$49.473 $50.292 $49.802
Non-Interest Income ($USD Millions)$8.816 $10.330 $8.589
Total Non-Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$37.806 $39.050 $40.001
Net Income ($USD Millions)$16.986 $15.041 $15.264
Diluted EPS ($USD)$1.04 $0.85 $0.86
Net Interest Margin %4.17% 4.27% 4.17%

Actual vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
EPS Actual ($USD)*$1.03*$0.84*$0.93*
EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)*$0.92*$0.83*$0.89*
Revenue Actual ($USD Millions)*$58.05*$58.05*$58.37*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)*$56.12*$56.68*$60.46*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment/Balance Composition — Loans Held-for-Investment by Type

Loan Type ($USD Billions)Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Commercial Real Estate$1.83 $1.86 $1.85
Commercial & Industrial$0.66 $0.76 $0.75
Residential Real Estate$0.57 $0.56 $0.57
Agricultural Real Estate$0.27 $0.26 $0.23
Agricultural$0.09 $0.09 $0.09
Consumer$0.09 $0.09 $0.11
Total LHFI$3.50 $3.63 $3.60

KPIs and Asset Quality

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Non-Performing Assets / Total Assets %0.65% 0.51% 0.85%
Non-Accrual Loans ($USD Millions)$27.1 $24.2 $42.6
ACL / Loans %1.24% 1.26% 1.26%
TCE / Tangible Assets %9.95% 10.13% 10.63%
Tangible Book Value per Share ($)$30.07 $31.07 $32.17
Total Deposits ($USD Billions)$4.37 $4.41 $4.23

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Provision for Credit Losses (annualized bps on average loans)2H 2025N/A12 bps outlook Initiated
Core Margin/NIM2H 2025Core margin trending to ~4.08% in Q1 commentary Maintain ~4.17% with lagged repricing benefits Maintained/Improved
Non-Interest ExpenseQ4 2025N/AStep-down predominantly from NBC savings Lowered
NBC Integration TimelineQ3 2025Close early Q3; conversion back-half Q3 Closed July 2; conversion late August Accelerated
DividendQ2 2025$0.15 in Q1 $0.15 declared in Q2 Maintained
Funding/Securities2H 2025N/ANBC bond portfolio sold pre-close; redeploy cash to loans/securities as needed Strategic redeployment

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
M&A/IntegrationAnnounced NBC (Q1) with expected close early Q3; capital raised in Q4 to fund growth NBC closed July 2; conversion late August; ongoing disciplined M&A pipeline Strengthening
Margin DynamicsCore margin expansion in Q4/Q1; Q1 core 4.08% (ex. one-time) Maintain ~4.17%; accretion from NBC portfolio and lagged repricing Stable to improving
Credit/QSRNPA down in Q1; no major issues noted in Q4 Non-accrual migration in single QSR; multi-path resolution expected over several quarters Deterioration (idiosyncratic)
Loan Growth/PipelineQ1: +$130.8M; Q4: -$100.1M end-of-period Production $197M; pipeline $481M (+33% q/q); expect growth with fewer payoffs Improving
Deposit Costs/CompetitionQ4/Q1: deposit beta declines achieved; costs down Most cost reductions realized; competition may limit further declines Stabilizing
Securities/Bond PortfolioQ4: repositioning; Q1 steady NBC portfolio sold pre-close; cash to be redeployed opportunistically Redeploying
Regional/Aerospace ExposureDe-risked; no aircraft lending emphasis (historical) Wichita exposure immaterial (<$5M suppliers) and jobs demand robust De-risked

Management Commentary

  • “We achieved strong earnings, core margin expansion, and successfully closed our merger with NBC Bank on July 2nd.” — Brad Elliott (CEO) .
  • “Net income of $15.3 million or $0.86 per diluted share… Adjusting for M&A and debt extinguishment, $16.6 million or $0.94 per diluted share.” — Chris Navratil (CFO) .
  • “Margin… improved 10 bps… driven by remixing of balance sheets… loans comprised 76% of average earning assets… and reduction in cost of interest-bearing liabilities.” — Chris Navratil (CFO) .
  • “Production totaled $197 million… pipeline is $481 million, up $119 million or 33% from quarter one.” — Rick Sems (Bank CEO) .
  • “Non-accrual loans closed the quarter at $42.6 million… increase almost entirely driven by [the] QSR relationship… path to exit underperforming locations over next several quarters.” — Kristof Slupkowski (CCO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • NBC bond portfolio: Sold pre-close, arrives as cash for redeployment to securities/loans, minimal securities retained for pledging; no immediate actions required .
  • QSR non-accrual path: Exit eight underperforming stores or sell package; expect stabilization over “at least three quarters”; accrual status could resume later next year if cash flows improve .
  • Margin outlook: Core NIM expected to maintain around 4.17% with continued lagged repricing across loans/deposits; some runway into 2026 .
  • Deposit betas: Majority of declines realized; future declines limited by competitive behavior; incremental benefit via growing commercial/DDAs .
  • M&A target size: Focus on $250M–$1.5B institutions within footprint; robust dialogue driven by ownership/management timing versus regulation .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Q2 2025 Primary EPS Actual* $0.93 vs Consensus* $0.89 — bold beat; note management GAAP EPS $0.86 and core $0.94; S&P “actual” appears normalized, explaining the gap to GAAP [GetEstimates*] .
  • Revenue: Q2 2025 Actual* $58.37M vs Consensus* $60.46M — bold miss; management drivers included lower non-interest income vs Q1 due to prior-period BOLI benefit [GetEstimates*] .
  • Trajectory: Prior quarters show small EPS beats and revenue close to consensus; estimate revisions likely to reflect margin maintenance, NBC accretion, and elevated non-accruals (idiosyncratic credit) [GetEstimates*] .

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core operating momentum intact: stable NIM at 4.17% and strong loan production/pipeline should support 2H25 earnings even as deposit cost relief plateaus .
  • Idiosyncratic credit event (QSR) is manageable: non-accrual migration raised NPA metrics but charge-offs remain low; multiple resolution paths outlined with a multi-quarter timeline .
  • NBC is a near-term accretive lever: immediate cash redeployment and cost synergies expected, with conversion late August; management reiterated NIE savings and margin benefits .
  • Capital provides flexibility: TCE/TA 10.63% and rising TBV/share underpin capacity for organic/M&A growth while supporting dividends/repurchases .
  • Estimate framing: Expect Street to modestly lift EPS trajectory for 2H25 on margin maintenance/NBC accretion but temper revenue assumptions given competitive deposit environment and non-interest income normalization [GetEstimates*] .
  • Watchlist items: pace of QSR resolution, deposit competition pressure, NBC integration execution, and securities/cash redeployment choices post-close .
  • Tactical setup: EPS beat vs consensus with stable margin and M&A catalyst is a constructive near-term narrative; monitor credit headlines and August conversion for incremental catalysts [GetEstimates*] .

Additional Q2 2025 Sources Reviewed

  • Earnings press release with full financial tables and KPIs .
  • Earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) .
  • NBC merger completion press release (integration timeline, footprint expansion) .
  • KBRA ratings press release (context on credit, profitability, capital) .

Prior Quarter References (for trend analysis)

  • Q1 2025 earnings press release (NIM 4.27% with non-recurring; loan growth +$130.8M; NBC announced) .
  • Q4 2024 earnings press release (capital raise; margin expansion; NPA dynamics) .