EC
Eaton Corp plc (ETN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q2 with revenues $7.028B (+11% YoY), diluted EPS $2.51 (+1% YoY) and adjusted EPS $2.95 (+8% YoY); segment margins at 23.9% at the high end of guidance .
- Versus estimates, EPS modestly beat and revenue was above consensus; EBITDA was slightly below consensus. Drivers included 8% organic growth, acquisitions (+2%) and currency (+1%), with strong data center and aerospace momentum; vehicle and eMobility were headwinds .
- FY25 guidance raised on organic growth (8.5–9.5%) and margins (24.1–24.5%); adjusted EPS to $11.97–$12.17. Q3 guidance: EPS $2.58–$2.64, adjusted EPS $3.01–$3.07 .
- Orders/backlog strengthened: EA orders TTM +2% (ex-large lumpiness), EA backlog +17%; Aerospace orders TTM +10%, backlog +16%; total book-to-bill for Electrical + Aerospace at 1.1, supporting trajectory and capacity additions into 2H25 .
- Stock reaction catalysts: continued data center share gains and capacity ramp, guidance improvements, and accretive portfolio moves (Ultra PCS, Resilient Power Systems); dividend declared $1.04 per share for Aug 22, 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Electrical Americas delivered record sales $3.350B (+16% YoY) and operating profit $987M; margin 29.5%. EA orders TTM inflected to +2%, backlog +17% YoY; management affirmed book-to-bill >1 for the year .
- Aerospace posted record sales $1.080B (+13% YoY), operating profit $240M and margin 22.2%; orders TTM +10%, backlog +16%, book-to-bill 1.1 .
- Management emphasized capacity additions and market share gains in North America, particularly in data centers: “we estimate the market to be around the low 30s year over year,” while “the business grew at 50%” and share gains beyond data centers (utilities, OEMs) .
What Went Wrong
- Vehicle segment declined: sales $663M (-8% YoY), margins 17.0% (better sequentially), reflecting North America truck weakness .
- eMobility sales $182M (-4% YoY), operating loss of $10M; organic sales -7% offset partly by FX +3% .
- EA margins face ~100 bps headwind from ramping six facilities; tariffs are being offset dollar-for-dollar but create phasing/timing issues for price recovery, affecting near-term margin cadence .
Financial Results
Headline Results vs Prior Quarters
YoY Snapshot (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
Segment Breakdown (Q2 2025)
KPIs (Q2 2025)
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet (Quarterly)
Guidance Changes
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q2): $0.25 intangible amortization, $0.14 acquisition/divestiture, $0.05 restructuring; adjusted EPS reconciliation disclosed .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We see sustained demand in the acceleration of orders and increase in our backlog…investing for growth in technology, acquisitions and partnerships in fast-growing, high-margin markets” (CEO) .
- “We are ramping up six different facilities in Electrical America…we see about one point of margin headwind in Electrical America today” (CEO and CFO) .
- “Electrical Americas…market share gains in North America…data center business grew at 50% where we estimate the market to be around the low 30s” (CEO) .
- “Fiberbond…we increased the outlook…performing at high level…Fiberbond brings other $1,200,000,000 on top of [organic backlog]” (CEO, CFO) .
- Aerospace: “Operating margin expanded by 70 basis points to 22.2%…orders increased 10%…backlog increase 16% year over year” (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Data center momentum and share gains: management cited outsized growth vs market; modular, capacity adds in 2H support sequential acceleration; long-term agreements underpin visibility .
- Fiberbond integration: stronger-than-anticipated run-rate and ~$1.2B acquisitive backlog contribution on top of organic backlog; blurred lines with EA go-to-market .
- Tariffs and pricing: dollar-for-dollar offsets via cost actions, supply chain and pricing; Q2 timing lag impacts margins and EPS phasing .
- Capacity ramp costs: ~100 bps EA margin headwind while six facilities ramp; normalization expected as plants mature .
- Orders trajectory: EA backlog +17% YoY; electrical sector TTM orders turned positive; book-to-bill >1 .
Estimates Context
Values with asterisks were retrieved from S&P Global. EPS/revenue beats reflect broad-based electrical strength and aerospace growth; modest EBITDA miss consistent with ramp/start-up inefficiencies and tariff timing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Eaton delivered a quality beat on EPS and revenue with record Q2 results; Electrical and Aerospace momentum offset Vehicle/eMobility weakness .
- Guidance improved for FY25 organic growth, margins, and adjusted EPS; Q3 guide supports sequential earnings progression amid capacity ramps .
- Data center remains the primary growth engine with share gains and accelerating pipeline; Fiberbond integration and Siemens Energy alliance deepen content per MW and speed-to-market .
- Near-term margin headwinds (~100 bps EA) from capacity start-up and tariff phasing are transitory; pricing and operational normalization should support margin trajectory in 2H25 .
- Orders/backlog strength (book-to-bill ~1.1) provides visibility; Aerospace backlog and Ultra PCS acquisition position segment for sustained margin and growth improvement .
- Dividend continuity ($1.04 August payment) and balance sheet capacity support ongoing bolt-ons (Resilient Power Systems) and strategic investments .
- Actionable: favor pullbacks tied to transitory margin headwinds; monitor EA capacity ramp execution, tariff pass-through, and data center order cadence for estimate revisions in EPS and margin mix .