EI
Evercore Inc. (EVR)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 was a record third quarter: net revenues $1.04B GAAP (+41% y/y) and $1.05B adjusted (+42% y/y); adjusted EPS $3.48 (+71% y/y). Operating margin expanded to 20.8% GAAP and 21.8% adjusted, with comp ratio improving to 65.5% GAAP and 65.0% adjusted .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $1.039B vs $0.965B* and adjusted EPS $3.48 vs $3.30*; beats driven by +49% y/y advisory fees, record Europe, record third quarters in PCA and PFG, and best quarter for Evercore ISI since 4Q16 .
- Management expects Q4 seasonality to be “less pronounced” given strong YTD and potential government shutdown timing effects; full‑year comp ratio expected generally in line with current levels; non‑comp expenses to be up y/y in line with 9M trend .
- Strategic catalysts: Oct 1 closing of Robey Warshaw to strengthen Europe; backlog “as high as it’s ever been” with continued activity in October, positioning 4Q25/2026 well .
- Capital return: Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.84; $624M returned YTD via buybacks/dividends; repurchases continued into early Q4 and more than offset RSU dilution .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record revenue and operating leverage: Net revenues $1.04B GAAP/$1.05B adjusted (+41%/+42% y/y) with adjusted operating margin up ~360 bps to 21.8% and comp ratio down ~100 bps y/y to 65.0% .
- Broad-based advisory strength: Advisory fees +49% y/y to $884M (record 3Q), supported by large transactions and record Europe; non‑M&A represented ~45% of revenue in Q3 (50% LTM) with record 3Q in PCA and PFG; Evercore ISI had its best quarter since 4Q16 .
- Strong tone and backlog: “Backlogs continued to increase… as high as they’ve ever been… early stages of an investment banking recovery,” and Robey Warshaw enhances European capabilities (closed Oct 1) .
Selected quotes:
- CEO: “We generated over $1 billion in adjusted net revenues… best third quarter ever… backlogs continued to increase… early stages of an investment banking recovery.”
- CFO: “Adjusted operating margin was 21.8%, up from 18.2%… adjusted EPS of $3.48 (+71% y/y).”
- CEO: “We successfully closed the Robey Warshaw transaction on October 1st… significantly enhances our ability to serve clients across the regions.”
What Went Wrong
- Capital markets softness vs M&A: Underwriting fees -1% y/y to $44M in Q3 and lower deal counts; total underwriting transactions fell to 14 (vs 17) with 13 as bookrunner (vs 15) .
- Elevated expense growth amid investment: Adjusted non-comp expenses +18% y/y to $139M (tech/licenses, travel, occupancy) even as ratio fell to 13.2%; management expects non‑comp to be up y/y for full year .
- Comp ratio still mid-60s; no quick return to low‑60s: Management reiterated gradual progress and indicated “there will not be a quick return” to low‑60s comp ratios given record hiring; full‑year comp ratio seen in line with current levels .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics vs Prior Periods and Prior Year
Notes on non‑GAAP: Adjusted results exclude acquisition/transition costs related to Robey Warshaw ($3.5M in Q3) and other specified items; adjusted EPS/dilution reflect assumed exchange of LP units/RSUs .
Revenue Composition (GAAP)
Segment Results (GAAP)
KPIs
Results vs. S&P Global Consensus
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
No quantitative revenue/EPS guidance provided.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO (prepared remarks): “We generated over $1 billion in adjusted net revenues… second best quarter in our history… backlogs continued to increase… early stages of an investment banking recovery.”
- CEO on Europe: “Our European advisory business delivered its best quarter on record… Robey Warshaw… significantly enhances our ability to serve clients across the regions.”
- CFO: “Adjusted operating margin was 21.8%, up from 18.2%... Adjusted EPS of $3.48 increased 71% y/y.”
- CFO on expenses: “Adjusted non‑comp expenses were $139M (13.2% of net revenue)… expect full‑year non‑comp to be up y/y… investing in technology, occupancy and capacity.”
- Leadership in release: “We achieved record third quarter results… reinforcing the strength of our growing, diversified platform.”
Q&A Highlights
- Comp ratio trajectory: Management emphasized gradual progress rather than a “quick return” to low‑60s comp; expects FY comp ratio similar to Q3 levels; focus remains on long‑term value creation and talent investments .
- Deal environment breadth: Activity broadening from large to mid‑sized deals across sectors; engagement with boards high; backlogs “as high as they’ve ever been” .
- Government shutdown/regulatory: A brief shutdown could slow timing (SEC/DOJ staffing) for ECM/M&A but is not expected to derail deals; regulatory environment seen “more benign” with deals progressing well .
- ECM outlook: Strengthening pipeline into Q4; investor appetite for IPOs rising; potential timing impacts if shutdown persists but expectation that backlog will clear .
- Europe expansion: Record Q3 in Europe with broad sector performance; significant “white space” for coverage as footprint expands beyond UK .
Estimates Context
- Q3 2025 S&P Global consensus vs actuals: Revenue $964.9M* vs $1,038.9M (beat) and adjusted EPS $3.30* vs $3.48 (beat). Number of estimates: EPS (8), revenue (4)*. Surprises driven by +49% y/y advisory fees, record Europe, strong PCA/PFG, and robust ISI performance .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Beat and raise narrative without formal guidance: Clear beat on revenue and adjusted EPS versus S&P Global consensus on broad-based advisory strength and non‑M&A engines; FY comp ratio seen ~current levels supports margin stability .
- Operating leverage emerging: Adjusted operating margin +360 bps y/y to 21.8% amid higher revenues; non‑comp ratio fell to 13.2% despite investment in tech/real estate, suggesting improving scalability .
- Europe as an incremental growth driver: Record European quarter and Robey Warshaw close should support share gains and fee velocity into 2026 .
- Pipeline supports near‑term momentum: Backlog at peak levels; activity remained strong in October; IPO/convertible windows re‑opening offsetting softer y/y underwriting fees .
- Watch the macro/policy tape: A prolonged U.S. government shutdown is a timing risk for ECM/M&A approvals, but management does not foresee permanent impacts if resolved promptly .
- Capital return remains active: $0.84 dividend maintained; $624M returned YTD; buybacks continuing into Q4 and more than fully offseting RSU dilution .
- Medium‑term: Comp ratio likely to improve gradually, not rapidly; continued hiring and platform expansion should sustain share gains as the M&A recovery broadens .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- GAAP net revenues $1,038.9M; adjusted net revenues $1,047.1M; GAAP diluted EPS $3.41; adjusted diluted EPS $3.48 .
- Advisory fees +49% y/y to $883.7M; commissions +15% y/y to $62.8M; AUM $15.35B (+11% y/y) .
- Liquidity: Cash/cash equivalents $851.9M; investments $1.6B; current assets exceed current liabilities by $2.0B; notes payable $588.3M (Sep 30) .
- Dividend: $0.84 payable Dec 12, 2025 (record date Nov 28) .