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Edwards Lifesciences Corp (EW)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 sales were $1.386B (+9% YoY), with Transcatheter Mitral & Tricuspid Therapies (TMTT) up 88% to $105M; adjusted EPS was $0.59 and GAAP EPS $0.58, with results characterized as “better than expected” by management .
- TAVR sales reached $1.04B (+6% YoY; +5% cc), while Surgical rose to $244M (+6% YoY); strength was broad-based across U.S. and Europe, with Japan slower but improving sequentially .
- 2025 guidance reaffirmed: 8–10% constant currency sales growth, adjusted EPS $2.40–$2.50; product group ranges: TAVR $4.1–$4.4B, TMTT $500–$530M, Surgical $970M–$1.05B; Q1 2025 guidance $1.35–$1.43B sales, adjusted EPS $0.58–$0.64 .
- Catalysts: mid‑year asymptomatic TAVR U.S. indication approval, CMS NCD for EVOQUE (expected by end of Q1), and continued European rollout of SAPIEN 3 Ultra RESILIA; management positions these as multi‑year growth drivers .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- TMTT momentum: Q4 TMTT sales surged to $105M (+88% YoY), with strong adoption of PASCAL and EVOQUE; management expects $500–$530M TMTT sales in FY25, underscoring category creation and portfolio differentiation .
- Practice‑changing evidence: TRISCEND II showed EVOQUE superiority over medical therapy at one year, with 95.3% achieving ≤ mild TR; principal investigators highlight QoL benefits and favorable mortality/hospitalization trends .
- Broad‑based sales strength: Q4 sales grew 9% to $1.386B, with U.S. +9.2% and Europe +13.6% (10.7% cc), supported by SAPIEN 3 Ultra RESILIA adoption; adjusted operating margin of 25.6% in line with plan .
What Went Wrong
- Margin compression: Gross margin fell to 78.9% (79.0% adjusted) vs 80.2% prior-year; SG&A rose to 35.5% of sales and R&D to 19.6%, reflecting TMTT field expansion, post‑Critical Care transition costs, and acquisitions .
- Capacity and regional pressure: Management cited ongoing hospital capacity constraints and “a few instances of regional pressure,” notably slower-than-expected growth in Japan despite sequential improvement .
- Near‑term growth cadence: Q1 2025 total company and TAVR YoY growth expected below the low end of full-year ranges, with one fewer selling day and typical January funnel reset noted by management; FX headwind of ~$130M projected for FY25 .
Financial Results
Consolidated P&L vs prior quarters
Product Group Sales (QTD)
Regional Sales (QTD)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We exited the year in a strong position with three important growth drivers: TAVR, Mitral and Tricuspid, and two emerging opportunities in Structural Heart Failure and Aortic Regurgitation” — Bernard Zovighian, CEO .
- “Our plan is to grow total company sales 10% annually on average... while strengthening profit margins to drive long-term value for shareholders” — CEO, outlining medium-term ambitions .
- “Adjusted operating profit margin in Q4 of 25.6% was in line with our expectation... 2025 operating margins continue to be 27% to 28% with annual expansion thereafter” — Scott Ullem, CFO .
- “We see [EARLY TAVR] as a multiyear catalyst... indication is a big thing; longer term, it’s guideline changes and policy updates” — Larry Wood, Global Group President TAVR & Surgical .
- “We see both PASCAL and EVOQUE as two key growth drivers... both U.S. and Europe will be large growth drivers for TMTT in 2025” — Daveen Chopra, Head of TMTT .
Q&A Highlights
- TMTT scale-up drivers: EVOQUE and PASCAL adoption trajectories expected to continue growing, with training expanding monthly; centers building procedural efficiency over time .
- Near-term cadence: Q1 YoY growth for total company and TAVR guided below full-year ranges due to one fewer selling day and typical January slowdown; growth expected to be higher in subsequent quarters .
- NCD and NTAP for EVOQUE: NTAP active since Oct 1; positive NCD expected by end of Q1; management sees NCD as enabling broader access without altering rollout plans materially .
- Regional color: Japan identified as a growth opportunity despite Q4 underperformance; management intends to strengthen capabilities and accelerate innovation for the region .
- Operating expense mix: FY25 op margin improvement (~200 bps vs Q4) expected to be ~100 bps each from R&D and SG&A as a % of sales, with spend levels held roughly flat vs Q4 .
Estimates Context
- Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable due to access limits at the time of analysis; as a result, formal “vs consensus” beats/misses cannot be quantified here. Management characterized Q4 sales/EPS as “better than expected,” and actuals were above company’s Q4 EPS guidance range and near the top of the sales range . Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable at this time.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift toward TMTT is accelerating; EVOQUE/PASCAL adoption and pending M3 EU approval are building a second leg of growth beyond TAVR, with FY25 TMTT guided to $500–$530M .
- Asymptomatic TAVR approval (mid‑2025) and subsequent guideline/policy changes are multi‑year catalysts; expect back‑half weighted benefits rather than immediate step‑change .
- Near-term cadence softer in Q1 (one fewer selling day, capacity reset), but trajectory improves later in 2025; traders should focus on sequential momentum and hospital capacity signals .
- Margin path credible: adjusted op margin guided to 27–28% in FY25 with expansion thereafter; watch SG&A/R&D ratio normalization and FX headwind management (~$130M) .
- Regional breadth intact: U.S. and Europe lead; Japan remains a medium-term opportunity as capabilities and adoption improve .
- Evidence base is strengthening: TRISCEND II one-year superiority and QoL benefits provide durable clinical tailwind for EVOQUE; expect policy coverage (NCD) to extend access .
- Balance sheet supports optionality (≈$3B cash; $1.4B repurchase authorization); capital deployment can underpin EPS growth ahead of revenue as margins expand .