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EH

ExlService Holdings, Inc. (EXLS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • EXL delivered a solid Q4: revenue $481.4M (+16.3% Y/Y; +2.0% Q/Q reported) and adjusted diluted EPS $0.44 (+26.1% Y/Y); GAAP diluted EPS was $0.31 (+28.4% Y/Y) .
  • Operating leverage and mix supported margin expansion: Q4 GAAP operating margin 14.8% (13.1% in Q4’23), adjusted operating margin 18.8% (17.8% in Q4’23) .
  • FY25 outlook introduced: revenue $2.025–$2.060B (+10–12% reported; +11–13% cc), adjusted EPS $1.83–$1.89 (+11–14% Y/Y); mgmt expects ETR 22–23%, net interest ~$(1)M, FX gain ~+$1M, capex $50–55M .
  • Structural/catalyst update: new operating model and financial reporting segments from Q1’25 to accelerate data & AI execution; mgmt disclosed data & AI was 53% of revenue in 2024, underpinning deal size and stickiness .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based growth and mix: Q4 revenue rose 16.3% Y/Y to $481.4M, with Analytics +14% Y/Y to $207.7M and Insurance +16.6% Y/Y to $162.0M; consolidated gross margin improved to 38.1% (36.7% in Q4’23) .
  • AI-led execution and client wins: 17 new clients in Q4 (9 analytics; 8 digital ops/solutions); launched agentic AI platform EXLerate.AI; mgmt emphasized data & AI made up 53% of 2024 revenue, enabling integrated deals and higher ROI for clients .
  • Margin discipline: Adjusted operating margin rose 100 bps Y/Y to 18.8% in Q4 (20 bps FY lift to 19.4%); SG&A down 70 bps Y/Y as % of revenue, partially offset by AI investments .
    • Quote: “Our adjusted operating margin for the quarter was 18.8%, up 100 basis points year-over-year, driven by improved gross margin and SG&A operating leverage” .

What Went Wrong

  • Adjusted operating margin ticked down sequentially (19.9% in Q3 to 18.8% in Q4) as EXL leaned into AI R&D and solution development; mgmt expects annual gross margin expansion but quarterly choppiness in 2025 .
  • Healthcare segment gross margin softened Y/Y (31.7% vs 36.9% in Q4’23), despite revenue growth; Emerging Business gross margin also slightly below prior year (40.7% vs 41.0%) .
  • Estimates context unavailable: S&P Global consensus for Q4 and FY25 was not retrievable at run time, limiting explicit beat/miss determination (Street comparison not shown due to data unavailability).

Financial Results

Consolidated P&L Summary

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$414.1 $472.1 $481.4
Gross Margin (%)36.7% 37.8% 38.1%
Operating Margin (GAAP, %)13.1% 14.7% 14.8%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)17.8% 19.9% 18.8%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.24 $0.33 $0.31
Adjusted Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP)$0.35 $0.44 $0.44

Notes: Q4’24 revenue +16.3% Y/Y and +2.0% Q/Q reported; +2.4% Q/Q constant currency . Non-GAAP definitions and reconciliations provided by EXL .

Segment Revenue and Gross Margin

SegmentQ4 2023 Rev ($M)Q3 2024 Rev ($M)Q4 2024 Rev ($M)Q4 2023 GM (%)Q3 2024 GM (%)Q4 2024 GM (%)
Insurance139.1 157.6 162.0 36.2% 36.3% 36.9%
Healthcare26.0 30.5 31.6 36.9% 33.6% 31.7%
Emerging Business67.0 80.0 80.1 41.0% 40.2% 40.7%
Analytics182.0 204.0 207.7 35.4% 38.5% 39.0%
Total414.1 472.1 481.4 36.7% 37.8% 38.1%

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow (FY 2024 unless noted)

KPIValue
Data & AI revenue mix53% of revenue (FY24)
New client wins17 in Q4; 69 in FY24
Cash incl. short/long-term investments; revolver debt; net cash~$350M cash & investments; $288M revolver; net cash ~$62M (12/31/24)
Cash flow from operations$269M (FY24)
Capital expenditures$46M (FY24)
Share repurchases$196.5M for 6.3M shares at avg $31.30 (FY24)
Effective tax rate~22.3% (FY24)

Non-GAAP reconciliation detail provided by EXL (adjusted operating income, EBITDA, adjusted EPS) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025N/A (initial)$2.025B–$2.060B (+10–12% reported; +11–13% cc) Initial
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025N/A (initial)$1.83–$1.89 (+11–14% Y/Y) Initial
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A22–23% Initial
Net Interest ExpenseFY 2025N/A≈$1M expense Initial
FX Gain (net)FY 2025N/A≈+$1M gain; ≈$10M revenue headwind Initial
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025N/A$50–$55M Initial

No segment-specific or OpEx/SG&A line guidance disclosed. FY24 guidance history (for context): Raised in Q2 and Q3; ultimately delivered $1.838B revenue and $1.65 adj EPS for FY24 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prev Q-2)Q3 2024 (Prev Q-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
AI/Tech initiativesStrategic collaboration with NVIDIA; ITI Data acquisition announced Launched Insurance LLM with NVIDIA; Databricks partnership expansion Launched agentic platform EXLerate.AI; 100+ accelerators; 2 proprietary LLMs for health/finance; 53% of rev from data & AI Accelerating scope and monetization
Operating model/segmentsNew operating model with four market units; reporting segments change in Q1’25 Structural shift to enable scale
Demand/macroDouble-digit growth; raised FY24 rev guidance Double-digit growth; raised FY24 outlook again Strong demand into 1Q; pipeline healthy; IT spend shifting to AI Sustained demand, AI-led budgets
MarginsQ2 adj op margin 19.8% Q3 adj op margin 19.9% Q4 adj op margin 18.8%; mgmt targets annual gross margin expansion in 2025 with quarterly choppiness Investing in AI; aim to lift GM annually
M&A contributionITI Data neutral to adj EPS; $7–$9M H2’24 revenue ~+$9M FY24 contribution from ITI Integration contributing modestly

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and competitive positioning: “Data and AI are at the core of our business and accounted for 53% of our revenue in 2024… facilitating more complex engagements… leading to more integrated deals” .
  • Operating model rationale: “Be much closer to our customers… develop and deploy new capabilities at a much faster pace” with limited leadership disruption; deeper cross-sell and integrated deals expected .
  • AI deployment examples: Healthcare GenAI platform delivering ~$10M operational savings; insurance LLM for claims adjudication; U.K. utility agentic AI improving customer ops efficiency by 45%; CPG agentic AI reducing manual effort by 75% .
  • Margin outlook: “You’ll see in 2025… progression of us increasing our gross margins on an annual basis… [with] 10 to 20 basis point increase in overall AOPM for the year” .

Notable quotes

  • “We are proud of our industry-leading financial performance… leading indicators remain positive, setting us up for a solid start to 2025.”
  • “The development of IP is going to be critical… IT spend is shifting over to AI… we want to participate in that broader TAM.”
  • “AI agents need to be embedded into the workflow… stitched to client data estates… in a hybrid environment. That’s our sweet spot.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Demand and pipeline: Mgmt cited strong 4Q demand, continued into 1Q; AI budgets shifting from IT to workflow-embedded AI, supporting pipeline quality .
  • Operating model changes: Goal is proximity to clients and faster capability deployment; minimal leadership disruption; more detail to be provided at May 6 Investor Day .
  • IP and infrastructure readiness: EXL focusing on IP/accelerators, code modernization (Code Harbor), and data estate readiness, enabling faster AI adoption vs peers .
  • Margins: Expect annual gross margin expansion in 2025 with ongoing AI/R&D investments; AOPM targeted to increase 10–20 bps for the year .
  • M&A/ITI Data: FY24 contribution ~+$9M; organic growth 12.1% vs total 12.7% .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global/Capital IQ consensus for Q4 2024 and FY 2025 was not available at run time due to system request limits, so explicit beat/miss vs Street cannot be determined in this report. If needed, we can refresh and append a Street vs Actual table once S&P Global data is accessible.
  • Management provided FY25 guidance (revenue $2.025–$2.060B; adj EPS $1.83–$1.89), implying continued double-digit growth on a reported basis .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q4 showed durable, broad-based growth with improving mix and consolidated margin progress; Analytics and Insurance remain key engines; adjusted EPS held Q/Q at $0.44 despite stepped-up AI investments .
  • Structural catalyst: New operating model and segment reporting in Q1’25 should clarify data & AI monetization and support larger, integrated deals across buying centers (COO, CIO, CDO) .
  • AI flywheel gaining traction: Proprietary LLMs, 100+ accelerators, and EXLerate.AI platform enable faster deployments and higher adoption by embedding AI into client workflows; showcased tangible client ROI .
  • Margin playbook: Mgmt targets annual gross margin expansion in 2025 while investing in AI and go-to-market—watch quarterly volatility but expect annual improvement and slight AOPM lift .
  • Healthy balance sheet and cash generation provide flexibility to fund AI investments and buybacks (FY24 CFO $269M; $196.5M repurchases) .
  • Near-term trading lens: Narrative likely centers on AI monetization, operating model transition, and FY25 guidance credibility; Investor Day (May 6) could be a stock catalyst as EXL details segment reporting and data & AI disclosures .
  • Medium-term thesis: Increasing AI penetration (53% of revenue) and integrated deals expand TAM and stickiness; execution on gross margin expansion is a key proof point for sustained EPS compounding .