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FIRST BUSINESS FINANCIAL SERVICES, INC. (FBIZ)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: Operating revenue rose to $41.2M, NIM expanded to 3.77%, PTPP reached a record $17.7M, and diluted EPS was $1.71; excluding a $0.28 combined tax/SBA reserve benefit, EPS was $1.43, up 15% QoQ and 24% YoY .
  • Core drivers: Near-10% YoY loan growth (to $3.11B), 13% QoQ fee income expansion led by SBA gains and higher deposit service charges, plus lower funding costs supported margins and efficiency improvement to 56.94% .
  • Guidance cadence: Management reiterated a stable NIM target of 3.60–3.65%, ~10% loan and revenue growth ambitions for 2025, positive operating leverage, and a 2025 tax rate of 16–18% after a one-time state tax valuation allowance release in Q4 .
  • Capital/returns: Tangible book rose 23% annualized QoQ; CET1 was 9.10%; dividend lifted 16% in Feb. 2025 to $0.29 (17% payout), signaling confidence, with opportunistic buybacks considered after funding growth and dividends .
  • Potential stock catalysts: Dividend hike, sustained NIM resilience versus peers, accelerating C&I growth mix in 2025, and fee income diversification (SBA, Private Wealth) offsetting rate-pressure risks; watch NPAs uptick (0.74% of assets) largely tied to a single C&I credit and small-ticket EF normalization .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record top-line and profitability: Operating revenue hit $41.2M (+8% QoQ), NIM rose to 3.77% (adjusted NIM 3.48%), with record PTPP ($17.7M) and the best efficiency ratio since 2013; CEO: “Our operating model… produced strong loan growth… strong revenue growth as well as positive operating leverage” .
  • Fee income strength and diversification: Non-interest income grew 13% QoQ to $8.0M, led by SBA loan sale gains (+104% QoQ to $0.94M), higher deposit service charges, and steady Private Wealth fees (43% of non-interest income) .
  • Margin management and funding discipline: Rate paid on interest-bearing core deposits fell 45 bps QoQ to 3.65%, total funding cost fell 26 bps to 3.18%; management reiterated match-funding keeps NIM stable at 3.60–3.65% through cycles .

What Went Wrong

  • Asset quality normalization: NPAs rose to $28.4M (0.74% of assets) from 0.52%, driven by a single C&I loan in wholesale equipment and small-ticket EF; provision increased to $2.7M; net charge-offs were $0.94M (0.12% of avg loans annualized) .
  • C&I balances declined QoQ: C&I fell $22.6M (7.7% annualized) on ABL/AR financing payoffs, though management expects C&I to lead growth in 2025 .
  • One-time noise in opex mix: Data processing rose $0.6M QoQ from a credit card vendor change; overall operating expense rose 3.6% QoQ, partly offset by an SBA recourse reserve benefit .

Financial Results

Income statement and profitability vs prior periods

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Operating Revenue ($M)$36.634 $38.071 $41.153
Net Interest Income ($M)$29.540 $31.007 $33.148
Adjusted Non-Interest Income ($M)$7.094 $7.064 $8.005
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$2.573 $2.087 $2.701
Diluted EPS ($)$1.15 $1.24 $1.71
Diluted EPS ex Tax/SBA Benefit ($)$1.43
Net Interest Margin (%)3.69% 3.64% 3.77%
Adjusted NIM (%)3.50% 3.51% 3.48%
Efficiency Ratio (%)58.34% 59.50% 56.94%
ROA (annualized, %)1.11% 1.13% 1.52%
ROTCE (annualized, %)14.64% 14.40% 19.21%
Net Charge-offs ($M)$0.610 $1.528 $0.942
Pre-tax, Pre-provision (PTPP) ($M)$15.260 $15.441 $17.719

Note: EPS in Q4 2024 reflects a $0.21 EPS tax benefit and $0.07 EPS SBA recourse reserve benefit .

Balance sheet and credit quality

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Loans & Leases (period-end, $M)$2,850.3 $3,050.1 $3,113.1
Core Deposits (period-end, $M)$2,339.1 $2,382.7 $2,396.4
Wholesale Funding (period-end, $M)$457.7 $881.7 $976.1
Non-performing Assets ($M)$20.8 $19.4 $28.4
NPA / Assets (%)0.59% 0.52% 0.74%
ACL / Loans (%)1.16% 1.16% 1.20%
Tangible Book Value/Share ($)$31.94 $34.74 $36.74
CET1 Ratio (%)8.38% 8.76% 9.10%

Loan mix (period-end)

Category ($M)Q4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
CRE – Owner Occupied256.5 259.5 273.4
CRE – Non-Owner Occupied773.5 768.2 845.3
Construction193.1 266.8 221.1
Multi-family450.5 495.0 530.9
1–4 Family26.3 39.9 46.5
Total CRE1,699.9 1,829.4 1,917.1
Commercial & Industrial1,105.8 1,174.3 1,151.7
Consumer & Other44.3 46.6 45.0
Total Gross Loans & Leases2,850.0 3,050.3 3,113.9

KPIs and fee drivers

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Private Wealth AUM/AUA ($B)$3.122 $3.398 $3.419
Private Wealth Fees ($M)$2.933 $3.264 $3.426
SBA Loan Sale Gains ($M)$0.284 $0.460 $0.938
Swap Fees ($M)$0.438 $0.460 $0.588
Service Charges on Deposits ($M)$0.848 $0.920 $0.960
Fee Income Ratio (% of revenue)19.36% 18.55% 19.45%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest MarginOngoing3.60%–3.65% target (Q2/Q3) Maintain 3.60%–3.65%; focus on stability Maintained
Loan Growth2025~10% long-term target Expect ~10%; C&I to lead mix in 2025 Maintained/clarified mix
Revenue Growth2025Long-term double-digit aspiration Target ~10% revenue growth in 2025 Clarified for 2025
Fee Income Run-rate2025N/A~$8M/quarter starting point; ~10% YoY growth aim New disclosure
Effective Tax Rate202516%–18% for 2024 16%–18% for 2025 (after one-time Q4 benefit) Maintained for next year
Expenses2025Positive operating leverage target Use Q4 comp as base; ~3.5% merit; positive Op leverage implied mid-to-high single-digit expense growth Detailed framework
DividendQ1 2025$0.25 (Oct. 2024) $0.29 (+16%); 17% payout on Q4 EPS Raised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prior-2)Q3 2024 (Prior-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
NIM & Match FundingNIM 3.65% (top of range); reiterated 3.60–3.65% target; funding strategy key NIM 3.64% within target NIM 3.77% (adj 3.48%); emphasize stable 3.60–3.65% target Stable to improving
Fee DiversificationRecord PW fees; SBA pipeline building; swaps down; SBIC up Fee income softer on lower SBIC; swaps $0.46M Fee income +13% QoQ; SBA gains +104%; PW 43% of fees; SBIC variable, expected to pick up in 2025 Improving
Deposits & WholesaleGreater use of wholesale to match-fund; hedging Wholesale up to $881.7M; shift from FHLB Wholesale $976.1M; hedge portion; plan 70–80% core / 20–30% wholesale mix Higher wholesale proportion
Asset QualityNPAs 0.53%; halted transport EF; normalization NPAs 0.52% stable NPAs 0.74% on one C&I; small-ticket EF past dues; run-rates reserved; ABL still expected full repayment Slight deterioration but contained
TaxesETR 15.5%; 2024 guide 16–18% ETR 18.3% One-time state DTA release; Q4 ETR 5.8%; 2025 guide 16–18% One-time benefit; normalize
Loan Growth MixCRE and C&I both grew CRE +$54M; C&I +$12.6M CRE +$87.8M; C&I -$22.6M (ABL payoffs); expect C&I to lead 2025 Shift toward C&I ahead

Management Commentary

  • “Our operating model… produced strong loan growth, a strong and consistent net interest margin and thus strong revenue growth as well as positive operating leverage” — Corey Chambas, CEO .
  • “Excluding the tax and recourse benefits in the quarter, our earnings per share amounted to $1.43… We remain confident… to achieve 10% balance sheet and top line revenue growth in 2025” — Corey Chambas .
  • “We continue to view [NIM] 3.60%–3.65% as an appropriate range looking ahead” — Dave Seiler, President & COO .
  • “We reversed about half of the [state] DTA valuation allowance… amount[ing] to about $0.21 of EPS for the quarter” — Brian Spielmann, CFO .
  • “With CET1 above 9%… we will balance asset growth with the potential use of our share buyback program” — Brian Spielmann .

Q&A Highlights

  • Loan growth mix: C&I expected to lead growth in 2025; Q4 C&I decline tied to ABL payoffs (volatility) .
  • Funding mix: Long-term balance with 70–80% in-market core deposits and 20–30% wholesale to support match-funding philosophy .
  • Margin outlook: Core/adjusted NIM stability prioritized; fees-in-lieu average ~15 bps contribution through cycles .
  • Expense framework: Use Q4 compensation as baseline; merit ~3.5%; target positive operating leverage (expenses growing below revenue) .
  • Credit details: NPA increase largely a single C&I exposure in wholesale equipment; remaining increase from small-ticket EF; reserves calibrated to expected run-rates .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue, but the data provider returned a request-limit error; as a result, Wall Street consensus comparisons are unavailable for this recap. We therefore cannot quantify beat/miss versus consensus for EPS or revenue this quarter [functions.GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core earnings quality improved: Adjusted NIM held at 3.48% with fee growth and lower deposit/funding costs; record PTPP and a multi-year low efficiency ratio de-risk the earnings trajectory into 2025 .
  • Fee diversification is working: SBA gain-on-sale, Private Wealth fees, and deposit service charges drove 13% QoQ fee growth; fee engines provide ballast if core spread pressure returns .
  • Watch asset quality but context matters: NPAs rose to 0.74% largely due to a single identified C&I credit and small-ticket EF normalization; reserves and guidance indicate contained risk, but monitoring is warranted .
  • 2025 setup: Management targets ~10% loan and revenue growth with stable NIM (3.60–3.65%), positive operating leverage, and a normalized 16–18% tax rate, implying durable mid-teens ROTCE potential absent shocks .
  • Balance sheet strategy remains a differentiator: Match-funding with disciplined wholesale usage and hedging supports NIM stability across rate scenarios; long-term funding mix anchored by core growth initiatives .
  • Capital returns signaling: 16% dividend increase (17% payout) alongside CET1 9.10% suggests confidence while preserving flexibility for organic growth and opportunistic buybacks .
  • Trading implications: Near term, dividend hike and record profitability are positives; key risk overhangs are NPA normalization and small-ticket EF charge-offs, mitigated by reserves and diversified revenue momentum .

Additional Context and Cross-Checks

  • Cross-reference: Q4 EPS includes $0.21 state tax DTA benefit and $0.07 SBA recourse reserve release; adjusted EPS $1.43 aligns between press release and call commentary .
  • Non-GAAP: Company consistently reports adjusted NIM, operating revenue/expense, and PTPP with reconciliations provided; these highlight core performance excluding volatile items like fees-in-lieu and discrete recourse/tax items .
  • Prior quarters trend: Q2 and Q3 established the NIM stability and deposit growth footing; Q4 built on that with higher fees-in-lieu and better fee contribution while keeping adjusted NIM essentially flat QoQ .

Press releases and transcript used: Q4 2024 earnings press release (Jan 30, 2025) ; Q4 2024 earnings call (Jan 31, 2025) ; Q3 2024 press release (Oct 24, 2024) for trends ; Q2 2024 press release (Jul 25, 2024) for trends ; Dividend increase PR (Feb 3, 2025) .