FIRST HAWAIIAN, INC. (FHB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered clean upside on EPS and margins: diluted EPS was $0.59 vs $0.58 in Q2 and $0.48 in Q3 2024, with NIM up 8 bps to 3.19% and efficiency ratio improving to 55.3% .
- Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was $0.522* EPS and $218.3M* revenue; FHB printed $0.59 EPS and $221.9M* revenue, a clear beat on both; noninterest income also rose to $57.1M .
- Deposits surged $498M QoQ (public operating accounts) while loans declined $223M on dealer floor plan reductions and corporate line paydowns; management expects loan balances to end 2025 roughly flat to YE 2024 and deposits to be flat in Q4 with mix shift .
- Guidance nudged higher for NIM (a few bps above September’s 3.16%), fee run-rate lifted to ~$54M, and full-year expenses now expected below the prior $506M outlook—setting up margin momentum into Q4 despite assumed 25 bp cuts in both Oct and Dec .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin and earnings quality: NIM rose to 3.19% (+8 bps QoQ) as asset yields and non-recurring loan fees helped; diluted EPS improved to $0.59 and efficiency ratio fell to 55.3% .
- Fee strength and cleaner expense trajectory: noninterest income increased to $57.1M, and management raised normalized fee run-rate guidance to ~$54M while flagging full-year expenses should be below $506M .
- Deposits and capital: total deposits climbed $498M QoQ with public operating inflows; CET1/Total capital rose to 13.24%/14.49%, and buybacks continued ($24M in Q3, $74M YTD under $100M authorization) .
Management quote: “We continue to expect positive NIM momentum in the fourth quarter…margin will advance a few basis points from the September NIM” .
Management quote: “We had been messaging more in the $51 to $52 [fee] range…now…moving that up to $54 as our expected run rate” .
What Went Wrong
- Loan balances contracted $223M, driven by $146M dealer floor headwinds and ~$130M corporate line paydowns; non-accruals and NPAs ticked up modestly QoQ .
- Provision held at $4.5M and net charge-offs annualized increased to 12 bps; classified assets rose by ~$30M due to a single long-time borrower migration to substandard (management not concerned) .
- Retail deposits dipped seasonally ($43M), and Q4 outlook includes expected outflows in public deposits even as mix shifts toward retail/commercial .
Financial Results
Note: Asterisked values are from S&P Global (consensus dataset). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment/Lending Mix
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO economic overview: “We had another strong quarter as net income increased compared to the second quarter…The effective tax rate in the third quarter returned to a more normalized 23.2%” .
- Balance sheet and capital: “We repaid the $250 million FHLB advance that matured in September…repurchased about 965,000 shares at a total cost of $24 million…$26 million remaining authorization” .
- Margin outlook: “Run-rate NIM for September was 3.16%, and we continue to expect positive NIM momentum in the fourth quarter…advance a few basis points from the September NIM” .
- Fee/expense outlook: “Non-interest income benefited…we continue to expect the normalized run rate…about $54 million per quarter…we now expect full-year expenses will come in below…$506 million” .
- Credit view: “Credit risk remains low, stable…Classified assets increased $30.1 million due primarily to a single borrower…annualized year-to-date net charge-off rate was 11 bps” .
Q&A Highlights
- Deposit betas on the way down: management targets roughly 90% beta for the next cut, then stepping down (e.g., ~88%, ~85%), maintaining ability to lower deposit costs as Fed cuts .
- NIM tailwinds: ~$1B fixed-rate loan cash flows over 12 months repricing ~125 bps higher; investment portfolio runoff $500–$600M reinvested at 225–250 bps spreads—supporting NIM through early 2026, contingent on loan growth .
- Loan pipeline and growth: dealer floor plan declines tied to franchise sales and one-off corporate paydowns; expect strong Q4 originations and YE 2025 loans ~flat to YE 2024 .
- M&A stance: open to Western U.S. opportunities only; no change in posture .
- Tariffs: uncertainty around manufacturers passing through costs; slower demand could benefit floor plan balances (inventory stays longer) .
Estimates Context
Notes: Asterisked values are from S&P Global consensus and actuals. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: EPS outperformance alongside margin expansion and higher fee run-rate suggests upward pressure on near-term EPS estimates, while full-year expense outlook below $506M reduces opex risk .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin momentum and fee run-rate uplift should support sequential EPS into Q4 even with two 25 bp cuts embedded in guidance .
- Deposit inflows and strong noninterest-bearing mix (33%) underpin asset yields and rate sensitivity, but expect public deposit normalization in Q4; watch mix shift execution .
- Loan headwinds in Q3 were idiosyncratic (dealer franchise sales, corporate paydowns); management points to robust Q4 pipeline and YE 2025 loans flat vs YE 2024 .
- Expense discipline now implies FY 2025 below $506M; combined with NIM tailwinds, operating leverage is improving into year-end .
- Credit remains benign despite modestly higher NPAs; single-borrower classification drove classified asset increase, with no loss concern signaled .
- Capital return continues: $24M buyback in Q3; $74M YTD under $100M authorization alongside stable dividend ($0.26) .
- Watch auto tariffs and rate trajectory; slower demand could benefit floor plan balances, while deeper/faster cuts could compress spreads—loan growth remains key to sustaining NIM .
Sources:
- Q3 2025 8-K press release and tables **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:0]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:3]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:4]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:1]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:5]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:18]** **[36377_0001104659-25-102000_fhb-20251024xex99d1.htm:19]**
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript **[0000036377_2202693_1]** **[0000036377_2202693_2]** **[0000036377_2202693_3]** **[0000036377_2202693_4]** **[0000036377_2202693_5]** **[0000036377_2202693_6]** **[0000036377_2202693_7]** **[0000036377_2202693_8]** **[0000036377_2202693_9]**
- Q2 2025 8-K press release and tables **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:0]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:3]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:4]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:5]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:17]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:18]** **[36377_0001558370-25-009584_fhb-20250725xex99d1.htm:19]**
- Q1 2025 8-K press release and tables **[36377_0001558370-25-005188_fhb-20250423xex99d1.htm:0]** **[36377_0001558370-25-005188_fhb-20250423xex99d1.htm:3]** **[36377_0001558370-25-005188_fhb-20250423xex99d1.htm:4]** **[36377_0001558370-25-005188_fhb-20250423xex99d1.htm:5]** **[36377_0001558370-25-005188_fhb-20250423xex99d1.htm:1]**
- Pre-earnings press release (timing/logistics) **[36377_de28b2258f674e61a72cabfa792672ea_0]**
- S&P Global consensus and actuals via GetEstimates (asterisked values). Values retrieved from S&P Global.