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Foghorn Therapeutics Inc. (FHTX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 was a transition quarter: collaboration revenue decelerated sequentially as the company pivoted away from FHD-286 AML and leaned into the Lilly-partnered SMARCA2 program (FHD-909), while year-end cash of $243.7M supports runway into 2027 .
  • FHD-909 continued enrolling in Phase 1 for SMARCA4‑mutated cancers (primary: NSCLC); the first patient was dosed in October and trial design will be presented at AACR 2025 .
  • Management discontinued independent development of FHD-286 (AML combo with decitabine) after responses did not meet the internal threshold, reallocating capital to FHD-909 and preclinical degrader programs (CBP, EP300, ARID1B) .
  • S&P Global consensus was unavailable via our data connection; third‑party coverage indicates a slight EPS miss (reported ~$(0.30) vs $(0.29) consensus) and revenue below expectations, framing modest estimate risk near term .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • FHD-909 progressed: “FHD-909 is the first SMARCA2 selective inhibitor to enter the clinic… Dosing the first patient marks an important milestone for the program and our collaboration with Lilly.” – CEO Adrian Gottschalk .
    • ARID1B milestone: “Selective degradation of ARID1B achieved… program update expected in 2025,” strengthening the degrader pipeline narrative .
    • Balance sheet durability: $243.7M in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities at 12/31/24; runway into 2027, preserving strategic flexibility without near‑term financing needs .
  • What Went Wrong

    • FHD-286 AML: although objective responses were observed, efficacy did not meet the internal threshold; Foghorn discontinued independent development, reducing nearer-term clinical optionality in AML .
    • Q4 collaboration revenue fell sequentially as revenue recognition stepped down; Q4 implied collaboration revenue was ~$2.86M vs $7.81M in Q3 .
    • Modest estimate underperformance: external coverage cites a ~$(0.30) EPS vs $(0.29) consensus and revenue below Street, likely reflecting timing/scale of collaboration revenue recognition .

Financial Results

Note: Foghorn reports collaboration revenue (no product sales). Q4 figures are derived from FY 2024 results minus 9M 2024 results.

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024 (derived)
Collaboration Revenue ($USD Millions)$6.89 $7.81 $2.86 (FY $22.60 − 9M $19.75)
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$23.80 $24.69 $20.51 (FY $94.53 − 9M $74.02)
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$7.33 $6.97 $6.35 (FY $28.36 − 9M $22.01)
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$33.52 $31.66 $26.86 (FY $125.29 − 9M $98.42)
Loss from Operations ($USD Millions)$(26.63) $(23.85) $(24.01) (FY $(102.68) − 9M $(78.68))
Other Income, net ($USD Millions)$3.65 $4.73 $4.50 (FY $16.06 − 9M $11.56)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(22.98) $(19.12) $(19.50) (FY $(86.62) − 9M $(67.12))
Net Loss per Share ($)$(0.45) $(0.31) ~$(0.30) (FY $(1.58) − 9M $(1.28)) ; also cited by press

Additional balance sheet KPI:

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)$285.18 $267.40 $243.75

Full-year context (FY 2024 vs FY 2023):

MetricFY 2023FY 2024
Collaboration Revenue ($USD Millions)$34.16 $22.60
R&D Expense ($USD Millions)$109.69 $94.53
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$32.37 $28.36
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(98.43) $(86.62)
Ending Cash + Securities ($USD Millions)$234.06 $243.75

Notes: The company does not report gross/operating margins typical of product revenue businesses; collaboration accounting and lack of COGS make margin metrics less meaningful at this stage.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash RunwayMulti‑year“Runway into 2027” (Q2 and Q3 updates) “Runway into 2027” reaffirmed at year‑end 2024 Maintained
FHD-909 (SMARCA2)2024–2025First patient to be dosed 2H24 First patient dosed Oct 2024; enrollment ongoing; Phase 1a/b design to be presented at AACR 2025 Raised (execution milestone achieved)
FHD-286 (AML)2024–2025Topline Phase 1 combo data by YE 2024 Discontinued independent development; exploring partnerships/ISTs Lowered (discontinued)
ARID1B Degrader2025Converting selective binders into degraders “Selective degradation of ARID1B achieved; program update in 2025” Raised (milestone achieved)

No formal quantitative guidance on revenue, OpEx, margins, OI&E or tax rate was provided in the Q4 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was available in our document set; we searched transcript repositories but did not retrieve a transcript. Thematic evolution is synthesized from company press releases and filings.

TopicQ2 2024 (prior)Q3 2024 (prior)Q4 2024 (current)Trend
FHD-909 (SMARCA2)IND cleared; first dosing planned 2H24 First patient dosed Oct 2024 Enrollment ongoing; Phase 1a/b design to be presented at AACR 2025 Positive execution
FHD-286 (AML)Topline combo data expected YE’24 Same expectation reiterated Independent development discontinued; seeking partners/ISTs Negative pivot
Degrader Platform (CBP/EP300)IND‑enabling (CBP) by YE’24; robust preclinical activity Continued data presentations -Additional AACR 2025 data planned; EP300 hematologic data to be presented -Progressing
ARID1B DegraderConverting binders to degraders Continued preclinical work Selective degradation achieved; 2025 update planned Positive milestone
Cash/RunwayRunway into 2027 Runway into 2027 Runway into 2027 (YE cash $243.7M) Maintained

Management Commentary

  • “In 2024, we continued our strong execution across our pipeline, which has set us up for an exciting 2025… Our balance sheet remains strong” – Adrian Gottschalk, President & CEO .
  • “FHD-909 is the first SMARCA2 selective inhibitor to enter the clinic. Dosing the first patient marks an important milestone for the program and our collaboration with Lilly.” – Adrian Gottschalk .
  • “While clinical responses were observed for FHD-286, we will prioritize investment into our proprietary pipeline… and our Lilly collaboration, including the clinical development of FHD-909.” – Adrian Gottschalk .

Q&A Highlights

  • No public Q4 2024 call transcript was found in our sources; we searched transcript repositories and the company’s IR site without success. Based on press materials, management clarified: (i) independent discontinuation of FHD-286 AML due to not meeting internal efficacy threshold , (ii) continued enrollment and near‑term visibility for FHD-909 (trial design at AACR 2025) , and (iii) cash runway into 2027 .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus data was unavailable via our connection at this time. Values were not retrieved due to a request limit; therefore, we do not present S&P Global consensus figures.
  • Third‑party coverage indicates a modest EPS miss: reported ~$(0.30) vs $(0.29) consensus (Zacks) and revenue below estimates, implying slight negative estimate revisions risk near term .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The thesis pivots more squarely to the Lilly‑partnered FHD-909 SMARCA2 program; the first‑in‑class profile and NSCLC SMARCA4‑mutant focus are central to the 2025 narrative (AACR design, enrollment progress) .
  • FHD-286 setback reduces near‑term optionality in AML but sharpens capital allocation to the degrader platform and SMARCA2 inhibitor, potentially improving R&D efficiency .
  • Cash of $243.7M and runway into 2027 provide a long operational horizon through multiple preclinical/clinical catalysts without immediate financing pressure .
  • Sequential decline in Q4 collaboration revenue reflects timing of revenue recognition; investors should expect variability as Lilly collaboration accounting progresses .
  • Watch AACR 2025 outputs (FHD-909 combination preclinical data; CBP/EP300 updates) for incremental validation of the degrader platform and combo strategy -.
  • Near‑term stock drivers: clarity on FHD-909 dose escalation trajectory, 2025 program updates (ARID1B milestone), and any partnering progress for FHD-286 .

Source Documents Read

  • 8-K Item 2.02 (Q4 2024 press release with FY financials)
  • Q3 2024 press release (prior quarter) -
  • Q2 2024 press release (two quarters prior) -
  • Q4 2024 additional press releases: First patient dosed with FHD-909 (Oct 10, 2024) ; FHD-286 clinical update (Dec 16, 2024)
  • 10-Q Q3 2024 for detailed quarterly figures -
  • Third‑party coverage on estimates/print: Yahoo/Nasdaq
  • Company IR posting of Mar 6, 2025 year‑end press release