FI
FISERV INC (FI)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 delivered resilient top-line and margin expansion: revenue $5.25B (+7% YoY), organic growth +13%, adjusted EPS $2.51 (+15% YoY), and adjusted operating margin 42.9% (+180 bps YoY) .
- 2025 guide implies sustained double‑digit growth and operating leverage: organic revenue +10–12%, adjusted EPS $10.10–$10.30 (+15–17%), and at least 125 bps adjusted operating margin expansion; FCF ~$5.5B .
- Merchant outperformed (Q4 organic +23%) on Clover strength (FY24 revenue $2.7B, +29%) with value‑added solutions penetration at 22% and a 25% 2025 goal; Commerce Hub scaled to ~250 clients with 10x daily transactions vs. Q1 .
- Embedded finance momentum (DoorDash ramp) and an ADP partnership expand the SMB suite; management expects H2‑weighted 2025 growth as new wins roll on and Argentina tailwinds fade .
- Estimates context: Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable at query time (SPGI daily request limit), so “vs. consensus” comparisons are not shown (see Estimates Context section).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Merchant Solutions organic growth +23% in Q4 (27% FY), with Q4 adjusted operating margin up 150 bps and FY margin +290 bps to 37.0% on mix, VAS, and hardware attach .
- Clover scale and monetization: FY24 revenue $2.7B (+29%), Q4 annualized payment volume growth ~14% with rising VAS penetration to 22%; management targets 25% VAS in 2025 and $3.5B Clover revenue .
- Company‑wide operating leverage: Q4 adjusted operating margin 42.9% (+180 bps YoY) and Financial Solutions margin 51.7% (+330 bps YoY) on disciplined execution .
- Quote: “our fourth year in a row of double‑digit organic revenue growth and 39th consecutive year of double‑digit adjusted earnings per share growth” — Frank Bisignano .
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What Went Wrong
- Issuer/Financial Solutions softness in Q4 tied to timing of plastic and statements volumes, with re‑acceleration expected as Target (late March) and Verizon (September) onboard in 2025 .
- Reported organic growth included transitory Argentina effects; ex‑Argentina, organic revenue growth was ~11% (Q4 and FY), and 2025 assumes no such contribution, making 1H comps tougher .
- GAAP EPS burdened by non‑cash items: $595M equity‑method impairment (primarily Wells Fargo Merchant Services JV) and $147M pension plan settlement charge; adjusted EPS excludes these .
- 2025 “below the line” drag: higher interest expense from refinancing and growth in merchant cash advances .
Financial Results
Headline metrics by quarter
YoY comparison (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
Segment breakdown (Q4)
Selected KPIs and cash generation
Non‑GAAP adjustments — context: Adjusted EPS excludes significant items including amortization of acquisition‑related intangibles ($1.423B in 2024), $595M equity‑method impairment, and $147M pension settlement; see reconciliation in 8‑K .
Guidance Changes
Notes: Company had medium‑term margin expansion target (≥100 bps per year) from prior communications; the ≥125 bps FY25 outlook is above that .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategy and performance: “our fourth year in a row of double‑digit organic revenue growth and 39th consecutive year of double‑digit adjusted earnings per share growth” — Frank Bisignano, CEO .
- SMB suite and distribution: “CashFlow Central will grow even more compelling as part of our full small business suite… The full SMB suite will be integrated this quarter with XD… available directly on Clover late this year” .
- Embedded finance: “our first large scale win… with DoorDash to offer its delivery contractors full banking services… already onboarded a significant number of accounts and cards” .
- 2025 outlook dynamics: “organically +10% to +12%… at least 125 bps of adjusted operating margin expansion… free cash flow about $5.5B… growth weighted to the second half” — CFO .
- Capital returns: “repurchased 6 million shares for $1.3B in Q4; $5.5B for the full year” .
Q&A Highlights
- Clover durability and drivers: Management emphasized continued expansion via new geographies (Brazil, Mexico, Australia), ADP partnership distribution, and increasing software/VAS and hardware attach — “we’re all gas and no brake on this” .
- Embedded finance and Payfare: Program management capability (in‑house + partners) is strategic for DoorDash and future embedded clients; Payfare adds capabilities pending close .
- January trends: Early 1Q trends in line with Q4; consumer remains resilient; FX and Argentina effects expected to normalize in 2025 .
- Issuer timing: Issuer softness in Q4 attributed to plastic/statements timing; Target go‑live late March; Verizon in September; Desjardins in 2026 .
- CashFlow Central ramp: Revenue contribution starts in 2H25; management sees “meaningful” by 2026 given FI adoption trajectory .
Estimates Context
- Consensus from S&P Global was unavailable at query time due to an SPGI daily request limit being exceeded. As a result, we cannot provide vs‑consensus comparisons for Q4 2024 revenue/EPS or for forward periods at this time. If desired, we can refresh and add an estimates table once access resumes.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality print with operating leverage: Adjusted EPS +15% on +13% organic growth; adjusted operating margin +180 bps to 42.9% shows execution and mix benefits .
- Merchant engine remains the growth fulcrum: Q4 Merchant organic +23%; Clover scale ($2.7B FY) and rising VAS/hardware attach underpin 2025 Merchant organic +12–15% guide .
- 2025 set‑up: H1 growth comps tougher (Argentina normalization, onetime items), but H2 weighted recovery as Target/Verizon/geo‑expansion and new product rollouts kick in; operating leverage intact (≥125 bps AOM expansion) .
- Expanding TAM via embedded finance and SMB suite: DoorDash ramp and Payfare (pending close) broaden offering; ADP partnership integrates payroll with Clover/XD to deepen FI and SMB penetration .
- Cash returns supported by cash generation: FY24 FCF $5.233B; FY25 FCF ~ $5.5B; continued buybacks expected with spend ahead of FCF .
- Non‑GAAP adjustments matter: GAAP EPS reflects $595M equity‑method impairment and $147M pension settlement; adj EPS strips these plus sizeable intangible amortization, aligning better with underlying trends .
- Near‑term narrative catalysts: visible H2 ramps (Target/Verizon), VAS penetration moving toward 25%, and Merchant mix/margins; watch H1 cadence and “below the line” interest headwind .