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FLOWSERVE CORP (FLS)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong start to 2025: revenue $1.14B (+5%), adjusted EPS $0.72 (+24%), adjusted operating margin 12.8% (+190 bps), and record aftermarket bookings (~$689M); book-to-bill ~1.07x, backlog $2.9B .
  • Revenue and “Primary EPS” topped S&P Global consensus; Q1 revenue $1.145B vs $1.110B est., Primary EPS $0.62 vs $0.60 est.; adjusted EPS of $0.72 drove the beat on execution and mix benefits in Pumps (FPD) and 80/20 actions in both segments (values with asterisks from S&P Global)* .
  • 2025 outlook reaffirmed: total sales growth +5% to +7%, adjusted EPS $3.10–$3.30, net interest ~$70M, tax ~21%, capex $80–$90M; framework embeds tariff impacts and mitigating actions .
  • Potential stock drivers: sustained nuclear/power momentum (3rd consecutive quarter >$100M nuclear awards), record aftermarket, ongoing margin expansion, and tariff mitigation/pricing offset; watch for 2H tariff mix pressure (more in valves/FCD) and backlog repricing cadence .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Aftermarket strength and 3D strategy: record aftermarket bookings (~$690M), 3D bookings 31% of awards, nuclear >$100M for a third straight quarter, power bookings +45% YoY .
    • Margin expansion and execution: adjusted gross margin 33.5% (+180 bps) and adjusted operating margin 12.8% (+190 bps) on favorable mix, productivity, and early 80/20 benefits; FPD adjusted operating margin 17.7% (+280 bps) .
    • Pricing and backlog agility: executed annual price increase in Jan and targeted tariff-related increases in Mar; using change orders to reprice affected projects in backlog; visibility to full mitigation of $90–$100M gross tariff impact over 2025 .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Cash flow headwinds in Q1: cash from operations was a $49.9M use, driven by timing of receivables, incentive payouts, and working capital; management expects improvement through the year .
    • FCD margin pressure: FCD reported segment operating margin 8.6% (vs 10.8% LY), with tariff exposure relatively higher in valves; adjusted FCD operating margin 12.2% (+110 bps YoY) but management flagged more 2H tariff pressure in valves vs pumps .
    • Tariff uncertainty and mix: management cited a dynamic macro/tariff environment with potential for 2H demand effects and mix headwinds; expects Q2 to be similar/slightly better than Q1 with 2H weighted earnings .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,087.5 $1,180.3 $1,144.5
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.56 $0.59 $0.56
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.58 $0.70 $0.72
Gross Margin (%)31.2% 31.5% 32.3%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)31.7% 32.8% 33.5%
Operating Margin (%)10.4% 10.6% 11.5%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)10.9% 12.6% 12.8%
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$62.3 $197.3 $(49.9)

Segment performance (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024):

SegmentQ1 2024Q1 2025
FPD Bookings ($M)$703.5 $852.9
FPD Sales ($M)$769.4 $783.1
FPD Gross Margin (%)32.2% 34.3%
FPD Segment Op Margin (%)14.4% 17.4%
FPD Adjusted Op Margin (%)14.9% 17.7%
FCD Bookings ($M)$341.1 $376.0
FCD Sales ($M)$320.5 $364.1
FCD Gross Margin (%)28.9% 27.5%
FCD Segment Op Margin (%)10.8% 8.6%
FCD Adjusted Op Margin (%)11.1% 12.2%
FPD Backlog ($M)$2,018.7
FCD Backlog ($M)$889.4

KPI trends:

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Bookings ($M)~$1,200 $1,175.3 $1,226.4
Aftermarket Bookings ($M)~$615 $618.1 ~$688.6
Book-to-Bill (x)~1.06x ~1.00x ~1.07x
Nuclear Awards ($)>$100M >$110M >$100M
Backlog ($B)~2.8 2.7896 2.9029

Estimate comparison (S&P Global consensus):

MetricS&P ConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD Millions) – Q1 2025$1,110.2*$1,144.5
Primary EPS – Q1 2025$0.60*$0.62* (Primary EPS); Adjusted EPS $0.72

Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Notes on non-GAAP: Q1 adjustments included realignment, MOGAS acquisition/integration, purchase accounting amortization, discrete items (pension-related share comp/settlement), and below-the-line FX ($11.4M; ~$0.07 EPS), bridging GAAP $0.56 to adjusted $0.72 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (2/18/2025)Current Guidance (4/29/2025)Change
Organic Sales GrowthFY 2025+3% to +5% +3% to +5% Maintained
Impact from AcquisitionsFY 2025~+300 bps ~+300 bps Maintained
FX Translation ImpactFY 2025~(-100) bps ~(-100) to 0 bps Maintained/Range widened
Total Sales GrowthFY 2025+5% to +7% +5% to +7% Maintained
Adjusted EPSFY 2025$3.10–$3.30 $3.10–$3.30 Maintained
Net Interest ExpenseFY 2025~$70M ~$70M Maintained
Adjusted Tax RateFY 2025~21% ~21% Maintained
Capital ExpendituresFY 2025$80–$90M $80–$90M Maintained

Management reiterated that guidance assumes current tariff rates with mitigation actions, steady flow control demand, and 2H-weighted earnings .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’24 and Q4’24)Current Period (Q1’25)Trend
Aftermarket captureTwo consecutive quarters >$600M; focus on speed and installed base capture Record ~$690M; sustained weekly run-rate strength Improving
Nuclear/powerPower funnel +20% YoY; nuclear >$100M; data center-driven power demand Power bookings +45% YoY; nuclear >$100M third consecutive quarter Improving
80/20 (CORE)Launch across units; target 100–200 bps by 2027 Margin uplift in Q1; SKU reduction, price discipline; ≥50 bps FY gross margin benefit expected Improving
TariffsPlaybook in place; confident in managing scenarios Gross impact $90–$100M; price, sourcing, and manufacturing shifts to mitigate; 2H timing mismatch, more in valves At risk near term; mitigations active
Pricing powerDiscipline improving; commercial excellence planned Annual increase (Jan) plus targeted increases (Mar); stickiness expected; change orders on backlog Improving
Working capital/cashStrong Q4 cash; target 85%+ conversion Q1 use of cash driven by timing; expect improvement and ~90%+ FY conversion Seasonal dip; improving path
FCD vs FPD marginsFPD at/above LT range; FCD improving but mixed FPD adjusted OI margin 17.7%; FCD adjusted OI margin 12.2% but higher tariff exposure Mixed; FPD stronger
Regional/project funnelME oil & gas strong; Europe chemicals soft Funnel elevated in energy, chemical, power; limited deferrals; chemicals still soft Stable
Decarbonization3D bookings record; CCS/LNG activity CCS contract activity (e.g., ADNOC seals) and ongoing decarb pipeline Stable/Positive

Management Commentary

  • “Bookings grew 18%…Revenue increased 5% and adjusted gross margins expanded 180 bps…Adjusted EPS was $0.72…We remain confident…[but] the current tariff environment introduces a new dynamic” — CEO Scott Rowe .
  • “Based on tariff rates known today, we estimate the annualized gross impact…between $90 million and $100 million…we have a number of levers…pricing actions…sourcing shifts…optimize the location of our work” .
  • “Adjusted operating margin of 12.8%…driven by higher sales volume…robust FPD margins on favorable mix and accelerating 80/20 benefits” — CFO Amy Schwetz .
  • “We repurchased $21 million…in Q1 and an additional $32 million in April…average cost $45 per share” .
  • “We are reaffirming our earnings guidance…organic growth of 3% to 5% and adjusted EPS of $3.10 to $3.30” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs and pricing: Management moved early with targeted price increases and expects to reprice backlog via change orders; believes pricing could offset roughly half of gross tariff impact, with supply chain/manufacturing shifts covering the rest; timing mismatch more in Q3–Q4, skewed to FCD .
  • Aftermarket durability: Weekly run-rate remains elevated; $690M Q1 aftermarket included a one-time $50M nuclear order, but management remains confident the ~$600M cadence is sustainable .
  • Segment cadence: Q2 expected similar/slightly better than Q1; 2H earnings weighted; mix headwinds in Q2 and more tariff pressure in 2H, especially valves .
  • MOGAS integration: Slight bookings softness in projects but strong aftermarket at high margins; synergy ramp a 1H/2H story; accretive to earnings in Q1 and expected to accelerate through 2025 .
  • Project funnel visibility: Elevated in power/energy/chemical; most near-term projects at/after FID, limiting cancellation risk; nuclear pipeline particularly long-dated with multi-quarter visibility .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025: Revenue beat ($1,144.5M vs $1,110.2M est.) and Primary EPS beat ($0.62 vs $0.60 est.). Adjusted EPS reported at $0.72, reflecting non-GAAP add-backs including below-the-line FX (~$0.07) (S&P consensus values with asterisks)*.
  • Q2 2025 setup: Management guided Q2 similar/slightly better than Q1 with 2H weighting; mix and tariff timing temper incremental margins vs Q1 .
    Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sustained order momentum (book-to-bill >1.0) with record aftermarket and resilient run-rate business underpin visibility, while nuclear/power exposure provides structural tailwinds .
  • Margin expansion is broad-based and process-driven (Flowserve Business System, 80/20), with FPD already at LT targets and FCD improving despite higher tariff exposure; watch FCD 2H margin cadence .
  • Tariff risk is real but mitigatable: pricing, sourcing, and footprint provide offset levers; some 2H mismatch likely, especially in valves .
  • Cash conversion should improve after Q1 seasonal/timing headwinds; management targets ~90%+ FY cash flow to adjusted net earnings .
  • 2025 guidance reaffirmed with potential FX tailwind if USD remains weaker; management tone confident but vigilant on macro/tariffs .
  • Tactical: Positive setup near term on execution/margins and aftermarket resiliency; monitor 2H tariff/mix impact and FCD margin progress as the key swing factors .

Footnote: Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.