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Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered solid top-line growth and outstanding profitability: revenue $1.54B (+13.8% YoY), GAAP operating margin 29.5%, and record non-GAAP operating margin 34.2% .
  • EPS beat vs consensus: non-GAAP EPS $0.58 vs $0.53 estimate; revenue essentially in line at $1.54B vs $1.54B estimate; total gross margin rose to 81.9% on normalization of inventory-related charges and cost efficiencies (approx. +380 bps YoY) .
  • Guidance: Q2 2025 revenue $1.59–$1.65B; FY 2025 revenue $6.65–$6.85B; Fortinet raised the midpoint of FY operating margin guidance due to Q1 outperformance despite FX headwinds (FY non-GAAP op margin 31.5–33.5%, up from 31.0–33.0%) .
  • Strategic momentum: Unified SASE ARR $1.15B (+25.7% YoY) and Security Operations ARR $434.5M (+30.3% YoY); billings +13.5% YoY to $1.60B; current RPO $3.38B (+15.4% YoY) .
  • Catalyst narrative: H2 firewall upgrade cycle, product launches (FortiGate 700G series), and expanding SASE adoption could drive estimate revisions and multiple expansion; management remains cautious on macro and FX, but sees limited tariff impact near term .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin strength: “Total gross margin increased 380 basis points to 81.9%… product gross margin of 67.7% increased 1,200 bps as inventory-related charges normalize” .
  • SASE and SecOps scaling: Unified SASE ARR up 26%; Security Operations ARR up 30%; combined ARR reached ~$1.58B; billings growth in Unified SASE +18% and SecOps +29% .
  • Deal momentum and enterprise strength: “Large enterprise was our top-performing customer segment… growth ~30%; number of deals >$1M up 30%, including three 8-figure deals” .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential service revenue softness: Q1 service revenue of $1.081B down vs Q4’s $1.086B; management cited fewer days in Q1 vs Q4 and time needed to grow acquired entities’ revenue streams; some churn on acquired customers .
  • FX headwinds: management embedded ~120 bps operating margin headwind in Q2 and ~90 bps for FY from USD weakening more than anticipated .
  • Conservative guidance despite pipeline strength: Sales expectations and macro/geopolitical uncertainty drove cautious top-line ranges despite strong close rates and channel activity; no evidence of pull-forwards ahead of tariffs .

Financial Results

Headline P&L and Margins (Quarterly)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.508 $1.660 $1.540
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.70 $0.68 $0.56
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.63 $0.74 $0.58
GAAP Operating Margin (%)31.2% 34.6% 29.5%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)36.1% 39.2% 34.2%
Total Gross Margin (%)81.9%

Revenue Mix, Billings, and ARR

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Product Revenue ($USD Millions)$473.9 $574.0 $459.1
Service Revenue ($USD Millions)$1,034.2 $1,086.1 $1,080.6
Billings ($USD Billions)$1.582 $2.003 $1.597
Unified SASE ARR ($USD Billions)$1.12 $1.15
Security Operations ARR ($USD Millions)$422.4 $434.5
Remaining Performance Obligations ($USD Billions)$6.42 $6.49
Current RPO to be recognized in 12 months ($USD Billions)$3.38

Margin detail (Q1 2025 only)

MetricQ1 2025
Product Gross Margin (%)67.7%
Service Gross Margin (%)87.8%
Cash Flow from Operations ($USD Millions)$863.3
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$782.8

Consensus vs Actual (Q1 2025)

MetricConsensus EstimateActual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.541*$1.540
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$0.532*$0.58

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Context: EBITDA consensus $507M* vs actual $483M*; total gross margin and non-GAAP op margin exceeded guidance high-end on inventory charge normalization and cost efficiencies . Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Billions)Q2 2025$1.590–$1.650 New
Billings ($USD Billions)Q2 2025$1.685–$1.765 New
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)Q2 202580.0–81.0 New
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)Q2 202531.5–32.5 New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q2 2025$0.58–$0.60; non-GAAP tax rate 18%; diluted shares 773–777M New
Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025$6.650–$6.850 $6.650–$6.850 Maintained
Service Revenue ($USD Billions)FY 2025$4.575–$4.725 $4.575–$4.725 Maintained
Billings ($USD Billions)FY 2025$7.200–$7.400 $7.200–$7.400 Maintained
Non-GAAP Gross Margin (%)FY 202579.0–81.0 79.0–81.0 Maintained
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)FY 202531.0–33.0 31.5–33.5 Raised midpoint
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$2.41–$2.47 $2.43–$2.49 Raised midpoint
Non-GAAP Effective Tax Rate (%)FY/Q2 202518% 18% Maintained

Management noted FX headwinds (~120 bps in Q2; ~90 bps FY) embedded in margin outlook; cautious top-line ranges given macro/geopolitical uncertainty; still confident in H2 firewall upgrade cycle .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
SASE strategy & scaleStrong SASE/ARR growth; raised 2024 revenue and margin guidance; leadership in single OS SASE Unified SASE ARR $1.15B (+25.7% YoY); billings +18%; penetration among large enterprises rose to 11% (+~10% QoQ) Accelerating adoption
Secure Networking & FortiGate upgradesProduct returned to growth; record margins; expect firewall cycle FortiGate hardware revenue up mid-teens; upgrade cycle expected to gain momentum H2 2025 Upcycle building
AI initiativesOngoing AI-driven innovation highlighted FortiAI Assist/Protect/Secure AI; 500+ AI patents; AI integrated across products Expanding AI footprint
Macro/tariffsHeightened geopolitical risks cited Limited near-term tariff impact; no pull-forward; cautious guide; FX headwinds to margins Manageable near term
Regional trendsNotable emerging markets momentum EMEA best geography; international emerging mid-teens growth; government/FS >20% Broad-based strength
CNAPP/LaceworkAcquisition completed; bargain purchase Market disruption (Wiz-Google) creates opportunity; need to refine sales motion Early-stage integration
R&D/PlatformContinued investment; record operating margins New FortiGate 700G with ASICs, FortiOS enhancements (post-quantum readiness, AI risk) Product cadence intact
Regulatory/legalRisk factors reiterated Standard forward-looking statements; no material changes Stable disclosures

Management Commentary

  • Ken Xie (CEO): “We… record first quarter non-GAAP operating margin of 34%… billings grew 14%… investing in Unified SASE and Security Operations while strengthening leadership in Secure Networking” .
  • Keith Jensen (CFO): “Product gross margin… increased 1,200 basis points as inventory-related charges normalize… added ~400 bps to total gross margin” .
  • Christiane Ohlgart (incoming CFO): “We are maintaining our full-year billings and revenue guidance ranges to account for potential top line risks… we expect the firewall upgrade cycle to gain momentum in the second half of 2025” .
  • Product: FortiGate 700G “delivers up to 7x higher firewall throughput… and 7x lower power consumption than competitor offerings” with FortiAI-Protect and post-quantum cryptography readiness .

Q&A Highlights

  • Service revenue dynamics: Sequential dip driven by fewer calendar days in Q1 vs Q4 and time needed to ramp acquired entities; current RPO strong and FortiGate growth supports future services .
  • Tariffs and channel: Minimal near-term tariff impact; no evidence of deal pull-forward; any tariff effects would appear first in cash flow rather than P&L .
  • Demand and guidance: Sales teams are cautious amid headline risk despite good close rates and channel feedback; management chose prudent guidance ranges .
  • Large transactions: SD-WAN deployments and fabric expansion are key drivers; three 8-figure deals closed; pipeline included these deals and closed as expected .
  • Refresh cycle and mix: SMB buying more units; enterprise strategies vary (consolidation vs like-for-like); new models (e.g., 700G) timed to upgrades .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: EPS beat ($0.58 vs $0.53*), revenue essentially in line ($1.540B vs $1.541B*) .
  • Margins surprised positively vs guidance high-end; management raised FY operating margin midpoint despite FX headwinds, suggesting estimates may need to adjust higher on margins while revenue remains within cautious ranges .
    Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Fortinet delivered an EPS beat and margin surprise, with total gross margin at ~82% and non-GAAP operating margin 34.2%, aided by normalization of inventory charges and operating efficiencies .
  • SASE and SecOps are scaling rapidly (ARR +26–30%), supporting durable growth diversification beyond firewalls; watch penetration growth and ARR trajectory for re-rating potential .
  • Guidance is prudently set amid macro/FX; FY operating margin midpoint raised, implying upward bias to profitability assumptions even as revenue ranges hold .
  • Near-term tariff risk appears limited; no pull-forward behavior detected; FX is the larger variable impacting margins in Q2/FY .
  • H2 firewall upgrade cycle remains the key catalyst; enterprise FortiGate growth and new 700G series could accelerate product and service revenue in 2H, supporting billings and RPO conversion .
  • Monitoring points: service revenue re-acceleration (calendar effect removed), FX trajectory, large-deal linearity, CNAPP/Lacework sales motion maturation, and continued SASE penetration in large enterprises .
  • Trading: Short-term, the margin beat and cautious-but-intact FY ranges support a constructive stance; medium-term thesis hinges on H2 upgrade cycle and platform wins driving sustained ARR and billings growth.