fuboTV - Q2 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Fubo Q2 2023 earnings conference call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, again, press star one. Thank you. I will now hand today's call over to Alison Sternberg. Please go ahead.

Alison Sternberg (SVP of Investor Relations)

Thank you for joining us to discuss Fubo's second quarter 2023. With me today is David Gandler, Co-founder and CEO of Fubo, and John Janedis, CFO of Fubo. Full details of our results and additional management commentary are available in our earnings release and letter to shareholders, which can be found on the investor relations section of our website at ir.fubo.tv. Before we begin, let me quickly review the format of today's presentation. David is going to start with some brief remarks on the quarter and full year and Fubo's strategy, and John will cover the financials and guidance. We will turn the call over to the analysts for Q&A.

I would like to remind everyone that the following discussion may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities law, including, but not limited to, statements regarding our financial condition, anticipated financial performance, business strategy and plans, and expectations regarding profitability. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements include those discussed in our filings with the SEC. Except as otherwise noted, the results and guidance we are presenting today are on a continuing operations basis, excluding the historical results of our former gaming segment, which are accounted for as discontinued operations. During the call, we may also refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are also available in our Q2 2023 earnings shareholder letter, which is available on our website at ir.fubo.tv. With that, I will turn the call over to David.

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Thank you, Alison, good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today to discuss Fubo's second quarter 2023 results. In the second quarter, Fubo exceeded targets for revenue and subscribers in North America, delivering $305 million in total revenue, up 41% year-over-year, and 1,167,000 paid subscribers, up 23% year-over-year. We are very confident our momentum will continue in the back half of the year, therefore, we have raised our previously stated full year guidance in North America. Turning to our ad sales business, Fubo posted North America ad revenue of $22.8 million in the second quarter. That's up 5% year-over-year, despite a challenging ad market in the first half of 2023.

We are very encouraged as green shoots in July indicate an advertising rebound and a sizable ad recovery for the back half of the year. We meaningfully reduced net loss by $41 million year-over-year and ended the quarter with $300 million in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. We are confident that this provides us with sufficient liquidity to fund our operating plan as we target positive free cash flow in 2025. While there appears to be improvement in the ad market, the media and streaming industry is as tumultuous as ever. Even with recent consolidation among streaming plus services, which we have long predicted, content fragmentation continues to be a major consumer problem, and frustrated consumers are forced to subscribe to multiple and expensive streaming services.

Fubo is benefiting from the industry upheaval as consumers seek a single app to watch all of the content they love. Fubo has maintained stability, continuing to show operating leverage while building value for shareholders. The primacy of sports, and particularly the primacy of local sports, is more apparent than ever. Fubo's aggregated content offering, led by our leading local sports package, remains sought after by consumers. Given our focus on live sports, we expect that Fubo will remain largely insulated from the Hollywood union strikes. This summer marks a year since we held our first Investor Day, during which we laid out our 2025 positive free cash flow goal.

Our five-pronged approach to executing our long-term plan included: driving increased leverage of our content acquisition costs, increasing the efficiency of our subscriber acquisition efforts, furthering our investments in our advertising, ad technology, and ad infrastructure, enacting our ARPU expansion tactics designed to strengthen unit economics, and maintaining our rigor around enterprise-wide cost discipline. I am pleased to report that we are making significant progress towards achieving positive free cash flow as we meaningfully advance on each of these five initiatives. First, we continue to drive increased leverage of our content acquisition costs. As a reminder, our subscriber-related expenses significantly impact these costs and have the greatest ability to influence our operating leverage. We have made marked progress in optimizing these costs.

This is reflected in our 1,193 basis point reduction in SRE to 87% of revenue in the second quarter, compared to 99% in the prior year period. We also continuously examine and adjust our channel plans and add-on offerings to optimize consumer value while driving healthy contribution margins. Second, we continue to increase the efficiency of our subscriber acquisition efforts. For the first time ever, we landed below our target range of 1-1.5x first month's average revenue per user, or ARPU. Total sales and marketing as a percentage of revenue, declined in the second quarter from roughly 13% to roughly 11% year-over-year. Third, we believe our investments in our ad team, technology, and infrastructure have enabled our ad sales business to remain healthy despite pressure on the market.

We have successfully implemented initiatives to accelerate our direct sales business, offsetting expensive third-party programmatic costs, while also optimizing our programmatic supply chain routes. As a result, we expect to increase ad ARPU on a year-over-year basis through the back half of 2023 and beyond. Fubo is the home for local sports. The ad inventory provided by our leading local sports coverage offers brands targeted reach, both nationally and regionally. Our targeting capabilities also strongly position Fubo to leverage the upcoming political season, which is expected to top $11 billion in total ad spend across the industry in 2024. Fourth, we continue to enact tactics designed to expand ARPU. Our progress here was demonstrated in the second quarter by a 13% year-over-year ARPU expansion to $81.62 for our North American streaming business. This is an all-time record.

Finally, we continue to focus on maintaining rigor around our enterprise-wide cost discipline. Collectively, these initiatives helped Fubo achieve a 1,380 basis point year-over-year improvement in gross margin to 7% during the second quarter, making this the fifth consecutive quarter of gross margin expansion. In closing, we are very encouraged by our strong second quarter results and our progress towards our long-term plan. We continue to believe Fubo is well-positioned to benefit from expected streaming and advertising trends. Fubo's sports-first offering continues to meaningfully appeal to consumers, and we are confident that our momentum will continue as we approach our 2025 positive cash flow goal. I will now turn the call over to John Janedis, CFO, to discuss our financial results in greater detail. John?

John Janedis (CFO)

Thank you, David. Good morning, everyone. The second quarter furthered the momentum we experienced over the past few quarters, including healthy top line and subscriber growth, resulting in meaningful improvements across many of our KPIs and providing us with added confidence in our ability to achieve profitability. Total revenue for the quarter increased 41% to $312.7 million, driven by 41% revenue growth across North America and 40% revenue growth from rest of world. This represents 3% upside against the midpoint of our Q2 revenue guidance. We ended the second quarter with 1.167 million subscribers in North America, representing 23% growth year-over-year, and over 394,000 subscribers in rest of world, representing 14% growth year-over-year.

On the monetization front, ARPU in North America reached $81.62, an all-time high, while rest of world ARPU was $6.91. Expansion in subscribers and ARPU allowed us to exceed the midpoint of our Q2 guidance. Turning to advertising, despite the continued challenges many advertising businesses are facing, I am pleased with our ability to deliver $22.8 million in advertising revenue across North America, a 5% increase versus the prior year period. Since the closing of the second quarter, we have seen a significant uptick in advertising revenue, with July posting strong sequential improvement from the second quarter. Though only a third of the way through the third quarter, it bodes well for the second half of the year and reflects the positive impact of the strategic work we are doing to improve our performance in this area.

Importantly, we made material progress on the operational side of the business, lowering expenses and bringing added effectiveness and efficiency across a greater share of the business. These efforts resulted in a 1,380 basis point improvement in gross margin to 7%. The top-line growth and improvements across the income statement led to a $40.8 million year-over-year reduction in net loss to a loss of $54.2 million, resulting in a net loss margin improvement to negative 17.3%, favorably comparing to a negative 42.8% net loss margin in the prior year period, demonstrating that we are making meaningful progress towards our goal of becoming profitable. This led to a second quarter 2023 per share loss of $0.19, a significant improvement compared to a loss of $0.51 in the second quarter of 2022.

Second quarter Adjusted EBITDA loss also improved to a loss of $30.5 million, compared to a loss of $70.1 million in the second quarter of 2022, while Adjusted EBITDA margin was -9.8%, a significant improvement from -31.6% in the prior year period. This resulted in an Adjusted EPS loss of $0.12, an improvement compared to an Adjusted EPS loss of $0.39 in Q2 2022. As it relates to our balance sheet, we are confident that we continue to have the necessary liquidity to invest in the business and support our path to profitability, ending the quarter with $299.7 million of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash. Our ongoing efforts to identify efficiencies and maximize leverage across the business resulted in a $9 million improvement in free cash flow.

Further, as David mentioned, these results demonstrate the noteworthy progress we have made across our operating expenses, all of which have come down as a percentage of revenue, and in some cases, on a dollar basis as well, as we remain disciplined in our investments and deployment of cash. As we continue to grow subscribers and optimize our pricing, we expect to see continued leverage on the SRE line, which decreased from 99% to 87% of revenue in Q2 2023 versus the prior year period. Regarding our outlook, we are guiding to North America third quarter 2023 subscribers of 1.33 million-1.35 million, representing 9% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. We expect revenue of $272.5 million-$277.5 million, representing 25% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

Before moving on to full year guidance, I want to point out that our Q3 guidance reflects the typical seasonality in which the subscriber growth is highly back-end loaded, resulting in a meaningful increase in subscribers, but a smaller increase in revenue, which is largely recognized in the following quarter. For the full year 2023, we are once again raising our guidance for North America, now expect full year 2023 subscribers of 1.565 million-1.585 million, representing 9% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and a full year 2023 revenue of $1.26 billion-$1.28 billion, representing 29% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

This fiscal year, 2023 revenue guidance implies $648 million of revenue at the midpoint in the second half of the year, more than $10 million higher than as implied by our prior guidance. For rest of world, our Q3 2023 guidance now projects 382,500-387,500 subscribers, representing 7% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, and revenue increases to $7.2 million-$8.2 million, representing 34% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Our full year 2023 rest of world guidance now projects 380,000-400,000 subscribers, representing a 7% year-over-year decline at the midpoint, and revenue of $29.4 million-$33.4 million, representing 29% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

Note that our fiscal 2022 subscriber count was positively impacted by the 2022 World Cup. In summary, our Q2 results provide further evidence that the operational and go-to-market initiatives we have enacted over the past few quarters are gaining momentum and transforming our business. These actions are driving improving trends, and we are confident Fubo has the foundation necessary to further grow and improve across every facet of our business, and position us to deliver enhanced value to shareholders. I would now like to open the call to questions. Operator?

Operator (participant)

Thank you. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. If you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, press star one again. Your first question is from the line of Laura Martin with Needham.

Laura Martin (Managing Director and Senior Internet and Media Analyst)

Good morning, you guys. What excellent numbers these are. As I think forward towards the NFL this season, If the strikes continue into the fourth quarter, shouldn't we expect to see record signups for the NFL, since sports will be sort of the only new content on air by the December quarter?

John Janedis (CFO)

Laura, hi, this is David. Thanks for joining. Well, you know, expectations are always high at Fubo. We're obviously monitoring the strikes very closely and, you know, putting together our plan should things continue the way they are. As always, we're looking forward to the fall sports calendar with the beginning of seasons for the NFL, college football, many of the soccer leagues, and much, much more. We're, we're super excited. We also get into the sort of towards the end of the baseball season as well. Hopefully, there'll be some, some strong games and an excellent narrative for consumers to stay engaged with our, our complete lineup. Laura, this is John.

I would add on the, on the advertising side, I had some recent conversations with our, with our team, and I would tell you that we are getting incremental incoming calls, to place advertising against both the NFL and other sporting events for the back half of the year.

Laura Martin (Managing Director and Senior Internet and Media Analyst)

Right, because there's gonna be no new content. Great. These gross margins are outstanding. A 7% gross margin, I think that might be the highest since you guys went public. My question to you is, is this being driven by structurally, or are you benefiting from sort of the drama going on at the RSN? Maybe your margins are high short term, but eventually, you start-- you need to start paying for all that RSN stuff, and the disruption will get sorted out in theory. Could you talk about the sustainability of the outstanding gross margins you just reported?

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, sure. Hey, Laura, I'll start with that one. You are correct. From a gross margin perspective, it, it's by far the, the, the biggest number we've had since we've been public. Frankly, going back probably forever since the company was, was formed. I would tell you, I, I wouldn't necessarily overplay, if you will, the impact from the RSNs. I would say it's really a, a company-wide culture in terms of focusing on, on cost growth. I'd say that the RSNs help, I'd say a little bit. I'd say on a going-forward basis, that will not be the an incremental or, or, or a larger driver, if you will, of margin going forward. I would just say it's part of the overall company focus.

Operator (participant)

Your next question is from the line of Darren Aftahi with ROTH MKM.

Darren Aftahi (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

Hey, guys. Good morning. Nice progress here. Two, if I may. Your comments about advertising, not necessarily about 2Q, but the, the July commentary. I think, David, you said about green shoots and kind of confident- and confidence in the second half of the year. Is that something that's sort of Fubo specific and progress you're making on direct? Or do you think that's more of an industry wide phenomenon?

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, Darren, thank you for the question. I think that the industry, basically between June and July, has hit a trough. I think at Fubo, we were dealing with something that is, I would say, more specific. As you know, about six months ago, we set out to change the way we were doing things, and direct has become a greater part of the overall mix, between programmatic, direct response and, you know, direct sales. We're, we're starting to see the benefits of that.

You know, we saw a little bit of that at the end of June, what was really nice to see that it was sustained well into July with some really robust numbers, which gives us confidence that the third quarter and potentially the fourth quarter, again, with local sports, with the NBA and the NHL starting up, I think will allow us to continue to drive CPMs. Again, just given the fact that we're sports first. We feel pretty good about it so far. You know, the team is performing quite well. The last area I think that we've been focused on, which I don't believe we focused on last year, many companies haven't focused on it, is really the supply chain routes.

As you know, the vig that some of these ad tech partners take is, is quite significant. So we've gone back to start reviewing our deals. Just given the high quality inventory that we provide, we feel we should be getting much better terms than, than what we have been getting. So we're doing I would say, a little bit of everything to get those numbers up. Again, you know, we haven't seen, you know, this level of improvement since maybe 2020. We're excited about that. Of course, we're, we're cautiously optimistic, and, you know, our views are based off of what we're able to see today. Obviously, if, if market conditions deteriorate quickly, that, that would change it.

As of now, you know, we feel pretty good about third quarter ad revenue.

John Janedis (CFO)

Yeah, Darren, maybe I could add a couple of things in there for you, with more granularity. On the direct front, what I could tell you is that on a year-over-year basis for July, we're seeing pretty dramatic growth, and we saw very dramatic growth. I would tell you on top of that, for August, the money on the books, call it four days in for the month, is already larger than what we did for the month of July. We feel good on that front. Secondly, I would say the visibility that we have has improved. Call it 3Q visibility starting today versus the visibility in May is better.

Then I would say, just more broadly, you know this, but I want to put a bit of an exclamation point on it because, you know, we, we have the dual-pronged tailwind of secular growth within CTV and then also subscriber growth. I would just add that the, the upheaval in linear TV has given us access to talent that we maybe would not have had, just a year or two ago.

Darren Aftahi (Managing Director and Senior Research Analyst)

There's one more. The synthes- synthesization of costs you've kind of made over the last, call it, year. Like, where are we with that? Are we closer to the ninth inning? Are we still kind of in early innings? I guess, said another way, like, how much more cost can you kind of strip out of the business, or do you feel like most of that work has kind of been done? Thanks.

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, I, I would say that I, I think we have a significant amount of, of cost savings to go. You know, from an inning, I'd say kind of early-ish to, to maybe mid, but somewhere in that range. I would tell you that. I'd say on a weekly basis, we go out to the teams, and they, they come back and actually add to the existing cost savings. I feel very, very good that we have significant to go from here over the next couple of years, at least.

Operator (participant)

Your next question is from the line of Nicholas Zangler with Stephens.

Nicholas Zangler (Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah. Hey, guys. Obviously strong subscriber number for, for 2Q, despite the, the price hikes on the plan and the incremental RSN fee. Maybe if you could just talk about, you know, the upside that you had the quarter relative to your expectations set in that guide. Just curious, you know, if the, if the stronger result was due to new customer growth or just maybe less churn that you might have expected in that initial guide and thought.

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, look, I, I think, Nick, as you, as you know, we've raised prices in the beginning of this year materially. We were somewhat conservative, I think, at the beginning of the year. What we have demonstrated is the true pricing power of our brand and our product. You know, I think that, you know, we are well positioned, you know, in terms of being able to bring in new customers. At the same time, I think we've done a really solid job reactivating customers back to the platform despite the price up. I would say it's a combination of that. Also, you know, just thinking about the sports viewership and news, again, just wanting to briefly mention the strikes.

You know, we've seen a pretty significant bump year-over-year in sports viewership, as well as news viewership, up by about 14%. That might be headline related, of course. But, you know, I think those two, coupled with our work with our current database of customers, I think has really been the key driver to maintain a pretty, I would say, strong retention rate.

Nicholas Zangler (Equity Research Analyst)

Obviously, on that point, if you're seeing, you know, higher news viewership and obviously sport's always strong, that would potentially suggest that, you know, political ad spend would, would, would be favorable for you guys, or at least the opportunity is there. Just any, any thoughts on whether you've actually seen political ad spend start to flow through? I know it's early, but the talk is that political ad spend campaigns can start far earlier. Curious if, if you're seeing any flow-through yet on the advertising front from political and, and then just thoughts on the back half of 2023 for political. Obviously, you know, most of that flows in through 2024, but again, expectations are that, that maybe we could see some earlier recognition.

Again, just overall thoughts on political and what you're seeing so far? Thanks.

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, Nick. Hey, maybe I'll start with that. I, I would say, just to, to bring it back for a second, as a reminder, last year we did call it somewhere in the, in the $4 million-$5 million range in terms of politicals for the year. I can tell you at this point, it, it's been a significant focus for the team starting, I'd say, call it in April or May. I'd say over the past couple of weeks, there's been incremental interest, if you will, on the political advertising side. I think maybe there's some small money on the books, but I would tell you that the team is, is very, very optimistic in terms of, of where we can go with that. The sales team, I'd say, is focused much earlier this season versus the prior season. Yeah.

Nick, just to add a couple comments there why I'm super excited about political, because this is a real opportunity for Fubo to drive rate on that side, and we've been sort of, you know, doing the rounds. Think about it, elections are won and lost by a couple thousand votes. There's no way you can overlook a platform like ours with elections decided with such slim margins. We're, you know, well prepared for political and the teams have this on focus. The goal will obviously to be, to take advantage of some of these really tight races.

Let's not forget, given our local programming capabilities, you know, we think we're gonna have a pretty strong opportunity within our local sports coverage to be able to really drive political business.

Operator (participant)

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question is from the line of Jim Goss with Barrington Research.

Speaker 7

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. This is Pat on for Jim. I just wanted to ask about on subscriber acquisition costs, which you said was kind of below your target range. I was just wondering what some of the drivers of that were, and if, like, the kind of a softer ad market might make that, you know, a little less sustainable as the market improves.

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, I think. Look, I, I think historically, if you look back, we've always been hyper-focused on efficiency, just given our budgets versus budgets of other players, whether they're traditional or virtual. I think what you're really seeing is continued efficiencies on the digital advertising front. Of course, you know, some of the CPMs and other tactics that we typically deploy have, sorry, I got cut off there. You know, typically, just again, focused on efficiency, and so we typically move dollars in and out of inefficient areas on a regular basis, frankly, almost in real time. We're super excited about that.

Just to kinda give you a sense of how important that number is, I mean, if you think about other companies that, or similar companies that have, you know, recently reported, you know, we've seen sales and marketing lines anywhere from, at some of the most efficient companies, at 13%, and 25%, you know, with companies like Roku. Coming in, you know, in terms of subscriber growth, subscriber revenue with such an efficient marketing spend is a real pleasure for us, and we'll continue to focus on that. Which is part of our focus for the back half of the year.

Nicholas Zangler (Equity Research Analyst)

Yeah, Pat, I, I would add a couple things to that as well. I think one is that there, there's certainly, I'd say, increased recognition in terms of the Fubo brand, which has helped. Then I'd say secondly, I would just want you to remember that in terms of, of TV, which arguably is where the, the pressure is in terms of CPMs downward, that that's a very small portion of our overall ad budget.

Speaker 7

Okay. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. I will now hand today's call back over to Alison Sternberg.

Alison Sternberg (SVP of Investor Relations)

Thank you. David, we have a, I'm gonna combine it into one question, but we have some questions from investors via our Say Technologies platform. Again, there are two questions, but they're sort of similar thematically, so I'll, I'll combine them into one. The first is: What makes Fubo different from the rest of the streaming services? Pulling out 10,000 feet, what differentiates the offering? As somewhat of an extension of that, what are some of the things that will be implemented in the future in order to maintain that competitive advantage relative to other streaming platforms?

David Gandler (Co-Founder and CEO)

Yeah, as always, we've been focused in three areas. One is, I think we differentiate on brand. We always have. We are known to be the sports brand. That is evident still today. As you look at opening day or any other start of any sports season, you'll see organic downloads, you know, really grow significantly. The second piece is content. You know, we continue to differentiate on the sports side. Most recently, we have become the home for local sports. We have relationships now with a multitude of teams, including our recent announcement with our partnership with Sky. We're continuing to build on those locally, and, you know, that creates a lot of goodwill with customers. Then third is really a focus on, on, on product.

As everyone knows, we've been historically focused on being first to market with key sports features. You know, today, we've already launched a couple new capabilities that, that are in beta, and we're continuing to test, all of which are related to our video AI, you know, capabilities, our proprietary technology stack that we've continued to develop. You know, we've tested a new AI feature with the NBA Finals, which allow viewers to relive the most exciting moments, allowing us to really index in real time, a lot of these capabilities. You'll start to see more and more on the advanced DVR front, and all of our work with our video AI.

Once we have launched our unified platform, which I think we'll start to roll that out this month, very conservatively, we'll be able to open up more resources to really focus on driving, you know, greater feature sets for our enthusiastic sports audience.

Alison Sternberg (SVP of Investor Relations)

Excellent. Thank you, David. Back to you, operator.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. This does conclude today's call. You may now disconnect your line.