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First Watch Restaurant Group - Q1 2024

May 7, 2024

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. first quarter earnings conference call occurring today, May seventh, 2024, at 8:00 A.M. Eastern Time. Please note that all participants are currently in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, the conference call will be open for analyst questions, and instructions on how to ask a question will be given at that time. This call will be archived and available for replay at investors.firstwatch.com under the News and Invest, Events section. I would now like to turn the conference over to Steven Marotta, Vice President of Investor Relations at First Watch, to begin. Go ahead, sir.

Steve Marotta (VP of Investor Relations)

Hello, everyone. I am joined by First Watch's Chief Executive Officer and President, Chris Tomasso, and Chief Financial Officer, Mel Hope. This morning, First Watch issued its earnings release for the first quarter fiscal year 2024 on GlobeNewswire and filed its quarterly report on Form 10-Q with the SEC. These documents can be found at investors.firstwatch.com. Let me first cover a few housekeeping matters before introducing Chris. This conference call will include forward-looking statements that are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from these statements. Such statements include, without limitation, statements concerning the condition of the company's industry and its operations, performance and financial condition, outlook, growth plans and strategies, and future expenses.

Any such statements should be considered in conjunction with cautionary statements in the company's earnings release and the risk factor disclosure in the company's filings with the SEC, including our annual report on Form 10-K. First Watch assumes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, or otherwise, except as may be required by law. Lastly, management's remarks today will include references to various non-GAAP measures, including restaurant-level operating profit, restaurant-level operating profit margin, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted EBITDA margin. Investors should review the reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP results contained in the company's earnings release filed this morning. During today's call, references to same-restaurant sales and traffic growth compares the 13-week periods ended March 31, 2024, and April 2, 2023, in order to compare like-for-like periods.

Otherwise, any reference to percentage growth when discussing first quarter performance is a comparison to the first quarter of 2023, unless otherwise indicated. With that, I will turn the call over to Chris.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Good morning! Thanks to the hard work of our entire team, I'm pleased to report that First Watch delivered another solid quarter. We generated $289.6 million in system-wide sales, $242.4 million in total revenues, and $28.6 million in adjusted EBITDA, driven by our comp restaurant performance, strong results by our non-comp restaurants, new unit growth, solid operations execution that drove improved profitability and contributions from our strategic franchisee acquisitions completed over the past year. We opened nine new restaurants in eight states during the quarter, and on April fifteenth, completed the acquisition of 21 franchise-owned restaurants and associated development rights in the Raleigh, North Carolina, market.

I'm especially proud that we delivered positive same-restaurant sales, continued to grow share, and drove strong operating results, despite well-documented headwinds and a particularly difficult start to the year, namely harsh weather in January. Encouragingly, our trends improved sequentially throughout the quarter, although they were a bit choppy as we were up against the strongest quarterly sales and traffic comparison of the year, as well as spring break and Easter weekend timing shifts. Despite the volatility in the quarter, our team produced strong operating results across multiple key performance indicators. Labor management efficiencies, once again, were driven by process improvements and the continual refinement of recently deployed labor and analytics tools that allow our operators a more real-time view into their business. With more robust information and enhanced visibility, our leaders are better equipped to manage their business.

This improved efficiency contributed to both our top and bottom line, with KPIs once again improving and remaining very strong. In the quarter, we saw the highest customer experience scores we've recorded to date, another sequential improvement in employee turnover, the fastest food ticket times we've recorded to date, and continued market share gains, with our same-restaurant traffic exceeding the Black Box Casual Dining segment by more than 100 basis points. These accomplishments were achieved during a quarter that typically includes some of the busiest months of the year for us. Our first quarter results give us confidence that we are focused on the right things and delivering the best possible experience for both our employees and our customers. Turning to the consumer, it's evident that after several quarters of macro pressure, there appears to be clear signs of a slowdown.

The reality is that consumers are being more cautious and more discerning, resulting in fewer dining out occasions across the industry. This trend began last summer as several large factors converged. Inflation pressures peaked, the gap between food at home and food away from home widened, and student loan payments resumed. Macroeconomic environments are transitory, but proven business models endure. Our operating model allows us to remain nimble so that we can flex labor as business dictates, introduce elevated appeal and higher value items on our LTOs, and lean into and out of G&A projects as the environment evolves. However, we draw a hard line at reacting hastily to short-term dynamics with potentially brand-damaging tactics such as discounting or matching the promotional activity, which has begun to spike across the industry. In our view, broad discounting is a short-term fix with potentially negative long-term implications.

Instead, we will continue to focus on profitable growth over the long term. We've noted discussion about the challenging consumer environment facing restaurants in the state of Florida, validated by Placer.ai reporting that restaurant visits actually contracted over the last several quarters throughout the state. We believe that the traffic benefit the state enjoyed in the several years following the initial outbreak of COVID is now normalizing. At First Watch, I'm proud of our clear leadership in our home state, where our aggressive expansion strategy is critical to our long-term growth. With 30% of our system in Florida, we are perhaps more attuned to the current environment here than most, and our bullish outlook hasn't changed.

Our development in Florida has seen us grow to 123 restaurants in the state, a 48% increase over the past 5 years, and over that period, we've gained significant market share while keeping competitive intrusion at bay by adhering to our disciplined site selection criteria as we have grown. The bottom line is we're serving a lot more customers in Florida than we ever have, and it will continue to be a material component of our growth strategy. No matter the market dynamics we're operating in, we continue to be focused on our long-term opportunity. It's something we've done throughout our 40-year history. As it relates to long-term strategic initiatives, we continue to focus on in-restaurant tech enablement, with the ultimate goal of elevating both our customer and our employee experiences.

In most instances, these enhancements are tucked behind the scenes, which is by design, and our primary focus remains on delivering memorable hospitality and removing bottlenecks. The launch of systems such as KDS, Pay at the Table, and Waitlist Management all serve a particular role in enhancing the First Watch experience. Now, there's a greater opportunity for those systems to begin communicating with one another, with the purpose of digitizing the end-to-end customer experience. Doing so creates a broader platform to measure our performance more accurately in a variety of ways, paving the road for further improvements. For instance, prior to the launch of KDS, we had little insight into our food ticket times. We completed the installation over a year ago, and with comparative information now available in real time, we are seeing tangible improvement.

We'll continue to analyze that data to refine and evolve the system in an effort to optimize its benefits. Along with improved customer interaction, there is also a benefit in the acquisition of customer data and insights into their behavior. As we stated in the past, upwards of 50% of our weekend traffic originates on our waitlist. We're excited to see that our latest installation, Pay at the Table, is experiencing 35% adoption during peak periods as well. The data generated from these two tech enhancements alone are offering rich insight into visit and ordering behavior. We're beginning to pilot processes where these systems are joined in real time and customer identification can be connected to the POS, where check information resides.

The result is a more enriched view of our customer and the growing opportunity to target them with relevant communication through an enhanced marketing tech stack. We believe this creates a more focused approach to creating and serving more demand versus resorting to broader, inefficient, and brand-diluting actions. We are in the very early stages of these initiatives, and we'll have more to share in the coming quarters. I'm as excited about the future of First Watch as I have ever been. We are the market leader in Daytime Dining with unmatched scale, proven portability, and a high ceiling, with a total addressable market more than three times our current size. In the aggregate, our recent NRO vintages are all performing at or above their underwriting targets.

In closing, while we feel the headwinds affecting us and many others, we're confident that we are simply far better equipped to withstand them than our competitive set. With that, I'll turn it over to Mel.

Mel Hope (CFO)

Thanks, and good morning. Overall, as Chris mentioned, we're proud to have delivered strong first quarter operating results. Total revenues were $242.4 million, an increase of 14.7%. Our total revenue growth in the first quarter was driven primarily by our new restaurant openings and the 24 franchise restaurants we acquired over the past year. First quarter same restaurant sales grew 0.5% on negative traffic of 4.5% compared to last year's strong positive traffic of 5.1%. Our food and beverage costs were 21.8% of sales in the first quarter, compared to 22.4% in the same period last year. Costs as a percent of sales benefited from carried pricing of 4.4%, positive mix, and were partially offset by commodity inflation of 2.9%.

Labor and other related expenses were 33.3% of sales in the first quarter, an increase from 33% in the first quarter of 2023. We're fully staffed to support longer-term growth, with an average of three managers per restaurant, compared with 2.9 managers in the same period one year ago. Hourly labor efficiency improved in the first quarter, and we're pleased to call out that our employee turnover again declined. Restaurant-level operating profit was $49.9 million for the first quarter, reflecting a margin of 20.8%. The 40 basis point decline versus last year was due to an increase in the average number of managers per restaurant, deleveraging of fixed expenses, partially offset by favorable food and beverage costs as a % of sales.

General and administrative expenses were $27.7 million, approximately $5 million higher than in the prior year, primarily due to additional headcount. Adjusted EBITDA was $28.6 million, an increase versus the $27.4 million reported last year. Given the headwinds to the same-restaurant sales and traffic during the period, we're pleased to report this year-over-year increase in Adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 11.8% versus the 13% margin we realized in the first quarter of 2023. The difference was primarily attributable to the decline in restaurant-level operating profit margin and higher general and administrative expenses. We opened 9 system-wide restaurants during the quarter, of which 7 are company-owned and 2 are franchise-owned, and we closed 2, including 1 company-owned and 1 franchise restaurant, resulting in 531 system-wide restaurants at the end of the quarter.

In an effort to help you model our performance, acquisitions favorably impacted first quarter revenue by $12 million and Adjusted EBITDA by about $2 million. For further details on the first quarter, please review our supplemental materials deck on our investor relations website beneath the webcast link. To provide some color on how we're planning the balance of the year, while our same-restaurant traffic trend improved each month during the first quarter, it remains negative mid-single digit quarter to date, a trend we expect to continue for the remainder of the second quarter. At the same time, based primarily on easing comparisons, we're expecting same-restaurant traffic in the second half of 2024 to be relatively flat. Now I'd like to update our full year outlook for 2024.

We're adjusting our total revenue growth to a range of 17%-19% from 18%-20% previously, excluding the impact of the 53rd week last year. Of the 17%-19% range, approximately 7% of the growth is expected to be contributed from the 23 restaurants we acquired in 2023 and the 22 restaurants we've acquired in 2024. We're adjusting same-restaurant sales growth to a range of flat to +2%, with a low single-digit decline in same-restaurant traffic from a range of 1%-3%, with flat to negative same-restaurant traffic previously. Our same-restaurant sales growth guidance includes a 2% price action implemented in the last week of January, which implies carried pricing of around 3.5% in the second quarter and just under 3% for the year.

We continue to expect a total of 51-57 net new system-wide restaurants, updated to reflect 44-48 company-owned restaurants, 9-11 franchise-owned restaurants, and the two aforementioned system-wide closures. Our 2024 development pipeline remains heavily weighted in the second half of the year, Q4 in particular, similar to our cadence in 2023. Our expectation of commodity inflation for the year remains unchanged at 2%-4%, as does our expected restaurant-level labor cost inflation in the range of 5%-7%. Also unchanged is our adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $106 million-$112 million, with the impact of acquisitions expected to contribute about $12 million. The overall adjusted EBITDA range implies growth of 12%-18% over 2023 after adjusting for the 53rd week.

We expect a blended tax rate in the range of 27%-29%. Finally, we continue to plan capital expenditures of $125 million-$135 million, not including the capital invested in franchise acquisitions. Even though traffic has been challenging this year, our restaurant teams are operating at a high level. Our new restaurant development is on pace for double-digit % unit growth, and all departments are engaged in the successful execution of our franchise acquisition strategy. I commend all our teams for their commitment and excellence. Operator, if we could please open the line for the questions?

Operator (participant)

Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate that your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. We ask that you limit your questions to one and a follow-up so that others may have an opportunity to ask questions. You may reenter the queue by pressing star one. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Sara Senatore with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.

Katherine Griffin (Analyst)

Hi, thanks for the question. This is Katherine Griffin on for Sara. First question, wanted to ask about the same-restaurant sales growth guidance. Could you just clarify why lower the guidance, you know, by a point at the midpoint? What exactly are you seeing that's different from what you had expected previously?

Mel Hope (CFO)

It's really just the performance in the first quarter. We started out of the box a little slower than we had seen when we were guiding for the full year originally.

Katherine Griffin (Analyst)

... Okay, thank you. So is it, I guess, just to clarify, though, so is it more on traffic then, came in lower than expected?

Mel Hope (CFO)

Traffic, traffic has been lower, and, and we're bouncing back from it, slower.

Katherine Griffin (Analyst)

Okay, thank you. And then just on, you know, EBITDA, came in certainly better than we had expected, possibly, you know, better than, internal expectations. So, we're wondering if there's any consideration of reinvesting some of that, margin into value and how that might look at First Watch, given the brand's everyday value approach?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Yeah, I think the second part of your question is the answer to your question, which is we're focused on the everyday value piece. And as I said in my prepared remarks, we're, you know, we're not a discounting brand. We haven't been for our 40-year history, and we've been through all kinds of economic environments and have stayed true to who we are and what we are, and that's our plan for right now. We really wanna focus on profitable growth, and focusing on the guest experience.

Katherine Griffin (Analyst)

Great. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Anisha Datt (Analyst)

Hi, this is Anisha Datt on for Jeff Bernstein. I wanted to ask about restaurant margins. Are you comfortable over time in the 19%-20% range? And is there any potential upside in 2024 with a strong start to the year and seemingly an easing of commodities and labor versus the prior year?

Mel Hope (CFO)

Yeah, I think over the years, we've been pretty consistent about the communicating that we're comfortable in that 19%-20% range, and that, you know, generally, that margin fluctuates in in short-term periods, but it also helps us guide how we price. So, so if we stay within that range, we feel pretty comfortable with that.

Anisha Datt (Analyst)

Got it. Thank you.

Mel Hope (CFO)

Yep.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Andy Barish with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Andy Barish (Analyst)

Hey, guys, just a couple clarifications. Can you give us dine-in traffic in the quarter, and then maybe just some color on how the, you know, the Easter shift impacted 1Q and the start to 2Q?

Mel Hope (CFO)

So I heard dine-in traffic, and what was the other? Andy, I do... If you could just say again what the second half was.

Andy Barish (Analyst)

Well, the impact of the Easter shift in, you know, 1Q and to the start of the 2Q.

Mel Hope (CFO)

Yeah, I'm not sure I know the answer offhand to the second part of the question. On the first part, dine-in traffic overall was down roughly this, you know, similar to the rest of the overall number. I think it's down, like, 4%, something like that.

Andy Barish (Analyst)

Okay. And yeah, Chris, on your opening comments, I mean, there was, I think, some subtle commentary around the seasonals and the LTOs. I mean, are you thinking about, you know, any kind of shifting? I know those are planned pretty far out, but you know, it's been an area where you guys have gotten check growth from, you know, premium items. Is there a way to balance that maybe with you know, some more items that are intended to drive traffic potentially?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Yeah, as you know, our seasonal menus have been a strength of ours, and they continue to be. And one of the greatest benefits of it, frankly, is the information that we have and the database of items that we've done. So, my subtle comment really had to do with was more around our flexibility. So for example, and maybe de-risking it a little bit, Andy, and putting in, bringing back, I should say, some of our guest favorites, which is exactly what you're talking about with you know, driving traffic. So for example, we pivoted and brought back Shrimp and Grits, which is a big customer favorite, and it also happens to be a high-margin item for us.

You know, ironically, the items that we brought back may not have a top-line impact from a PPA standpoint, but the higher appeal, de-risking, trying something new during these times, and then also the higher margin elements of them, you know, is really what led us to do that. So we look at it as kind of a win-win-win in a situation like this. It's something that the customers love. You know, they're high-margin items for us, and it reduces the risk of you know anything not performing as it did in test once we go nationally.

Andy Barish (Analyst)

Awesome. Thank you for the color.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

You're welcome.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Jon Tower with Citi. Please proceed with your question.

Jon Tower (Analyst)

Great. Thanks for taking the question. Just curious, maybe you could start off, obviously, you touched on the fact that Florida has been a soft spot for the overall industry. Just curious if maybe you can call out the discrepancy between that part of your business and the rest of the country. Was there a real wide gap between, you know, the state and the rest of the country?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Yeah, there was a difference between Florida and the rest of the state. I think, you know, you're—we're not the only one you're hearing that from. You know, what we like to do is when we're giving questions about things like that, we, you know, that's why we bring it forth here. So, we're not quantifying the specific impact of Florida on our overall traffic and sales, but, you know, wanted to provide a little bit of color. You know, Florida was up huge, first quarter last year, so that was an exceptional comp for us. And, you know, that's the impact that we're seeing in the top line now.

Jon Tower (Analyst)

... Okay. Just going back to the guidance for the year, I think, Mel, you'd mentioned the idea that you were anticipating if kind of trends hold, that you'll see flattish traffic by the back half of the year. One, is that a correct assumption? And then two, you know, what gives you confidence that this is going to kind of hold as is? What are you seeing in your own, you know, dining behaviors and consumers to suggest that this trend is going to remain rather than weaken going forward?

Mel Hope (CFO)

Yeah, I think our focus is on the first of all, we're rolling over some softer comps in the back half of the year, so I still remain confident that our original expectation that things would begin to flatten out with that softer comp is pretty reliable. Plus, you know, we have a good program plan for the year in terms of our offerings and performance. So it's you know, part of this is depending on 40 years of experience of recovering short-term with the company's typical history of long-term growth.

Jon Tower (Analyst)

Got it. And then just lastly, I believe you had mentioned earlier in the call, Chris, something about flexing, not just LTOs and labor with demand, but also some G&A projects. And later on in the conversation, you talked about some doing some stuff on the marketing side, very early stages. Can you elaborate a little bit on perhaps what projects you're going after right now?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Yeah. So when I talked about the flexibility, you know, we're—what we're doing, I believe, is a thoughtful balance of, you know, near-term solutions and long-term brand implication type initiatives. And from a long-term perspective, it really is starting to leverage the data that we've been collecting now for a while, with some of the new platforms and tools that we've done. So it's not any different than what I've talked about before, Jon. It's just that we're really starting to get, you know, voluminous data that we're tying together to get more insights into consumer behavior in our restaurants. Everything from operational KPIs to seat to eat times, to actual visit times. The Pay at the Table is a big part of that for us, and we've been really pleased with how that's gone.

So, it's really just starting to dig in and leverage all that data.

Jon Tower (Analyst)

Got it. Thanks for taking the questions.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

You're welcome.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Brian Vaccaro with Raymond James. Please proceed with your question.

Brian Vaccaro (Analyst)

Hi. Thanks, and good morning. Just given the current environment, you know, you noted where the consumer is obviously seeking value. I, I thought maybe you could elaborate on how First Watch's value proposition stacks up to peers and sort of positions you for the current environment. I, I think you've taken around 20% pricing cumulative during the pandemic. Is that about right? Maybe you could type that up for us, and maybe just speak to or provide any metrics, sort of on how your average menu prices compare to your direct peers in most markets. Just any color there would be great.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Yeah, we have quite a bit of pricing power. You're right on how much we've taken since the pandemic. It's been about 3.5% a year. But when we look at our per person average versus our competitive set, we are, believe it or not, actually at the low end of that. And while we realize that we have pricing power, we're sticking to our philosophy of pricing to cover inflation. So, I think if you look at that 3.5% a year and look at it comparatively, you'll see that we've been quite conservative, and we'll continue to be that way. Our focus as always, even in times like this, you know, incredible relative value, really wanna focus on traffic.

I think, you know, our numbers here and how we're beating the industry versus Black Box, you know, kind of attest to that, and we think that's the right approach for us. It's what we've done for years, and we're gonna continue to do that.

Brian Vaccaro (Analyst)

All right. Thank you for that. And one follow-up. Just on the operational improvements that you're seeing, you mentioned ticket times. Could you provide any more color or quantification on the year and year improvement you're seeing there? And on labor, it looks like, you know, the cost per week as we look at it, you know, it was, it was about flat year on year, despite wage inflation. Obviously, traffic was lower, but is there any way to parse out sort of the level of efficiencies being generated by some of the new tools you've deployed in recent quarters? Thank you.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Sure. I'll speak to the ticket times. I'm not sure I or Mel have the answer for your labor piece. But on ticket times, we're seeing what we consider to be significant improvements. Keep in mind, we're just at the point now where we're comping over the installation and the full rollout. And as I always caution, you know, just because it was rolled out, doesn't mean it was optimized at that point. So even with that, as we continue to optimize the KDS system to, you know, based on the information that we get, I mean, we're seeing, you know, early on, 10%-20% improvements in ticket times.

Brian Vaccaro (Analyst)

One-

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Excuse me, which is, you know, most impactful during the peak sales hours, obviously.

Mel Hope (CFO)

And Brian, in terms of labor, really a couple of things are going on. One is that our operators are doing a very, very good job of managing that and managing the crews. But I think one of the things that's really they've really been successful with, that I maybe gets underappreciated, is that our turnover has gone way down. And so when... And that's been deliberate, it's been part of their process. But,

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

... That helps us lower overall costs. They become more efficient when you have, you know, when you have tenured employees, and that low turnover is also part of lowering just overtime charges. So we've been delighted to see the improvements that the operators and our People Services folks have made in terms of the crews and their interest in, you know, creating careers at the company, because it's really paid off a great deal and much lower turnover. Over the course of the last several years, it's been taken down to a great degree. It's been fun to watch.

Brian Vaccaro (Analyst)

All right. That's helpful color. I'll pass it along. Thank you.

Operator (participant)

As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Gregory Francfort with Guggenheim Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Gregory Francfort (Analyst)

Hey, hey, thanks, guys. I had a couple questions. The first is, it looks like you may have had stronger mix from the fourth quarter to the first quarter. I'm curious, one, is that right? And are... what's maybe driving that?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

So, I think that goes back to our LTOs and, you know, we don't—as you know, we don't consider mix in our plan, but we have experienced it in the past. And I think our decision to select, you know, high appeal items that are proven and that the consumer looks for from us, I think helped with that mix in Q1.

Gregory Francfort (Analyst)

Got it, and then, maybe just to level set expectations, the commentary on the traffic throughout the year is helpful, but do you expect comps in Q2 to be better or worse than comps in the first quarter?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Better.

Gregory Francfort (Analyst)

Okay. And then just, just maybe on, I think some of the commentary around the tech platforms and how long that's been in the system now, you're getting better insights on the customer across a few different platforms. Can you maybe give some examples of what is that giving you changes you can make from an operational perspective? Is that helping you change out the menu? I'm just curious kind of what the learnings are and what that's kind of tangibly giving you feedback on. Thanks.

Matt Eisenacher (CMO)

Hey, Greg, it's Matt Eisenacher. I'll chime in on that one. Similar to what you've seen from us in KDS and, you know, back of house and ticket times, it's a similar long-term perspective there. You know, the data informs us to make better decisions overall. It enables better insight into efficiency in the front of house. So just as Chris and Mel talked about, ticket times, we have that same opportunity over the long term to get more efficient in the front of house. And then, of course, if you look even further out, it's already telling us more about our customers and visit frequency, and then that'll allow us to segment and talk to our customers in a more targeted and more efficient way.

You know, again, it's a long-term perspective. One, you know, is really at the forefront of how we looked at to drive demand.

Gregory Francfort (Analyst)

Cool. Thank you, guys. Appreciate it.

Matt Eisenacher (CMO)

Thanks, Greg.

Operator (participant)

Our next question comes from Chris O'Cull, Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Chris O'Cull (Analyst)

Yeah. Thanks, guys. I had a follow-up question to that last one, Mel. Can you expand on your comments about comps expected to be better in the second quarter than in the first quarter? Because I believe you said you expect traffic to be down mid-single digits and pricing to be up 3.5% in the second quarter. I want to confirm that, because I think that's less pricing in the second than in the first with similar traffic performance. So I'm just curious, is mix expected to be the sequential improvement in the second that you're looking for?

Mel Hope (CFO)

I think we again, when we project, we don't, we don't project mix in terms of our projections very much. So really it's, you know, while we're still choppy on the traffic side, we, you know, we feel optimistic about it gradually improving.

Chris O'Cull (Analyst)

Okay. That's fair. And then, Chris, I know the company hasn't used paid advertising in a big way in the past, but have you considered making more meaningful investments in that medium and, you know, just to address the recent traffic weakness, especially in Florida?

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Well, you know, paid media, specifically, our focus has been on digital and social. So we do spend in channels, just not what I would call, you know, traditional media of television, radio, perhaps. But we have spent and invested into those channels more for us. We think they're a better fit for our brand. Again, we're not gonna have a discounting platform, but it is a way for us to increase awareness. And as Matt talked about, you know, understanding customer visitation helps us be more targeted, especially with digital when you think about timing of messages, the messaging itself.

So, Matt and his team have done a good job of segmenting better and, you know, I think that's been helpful for us, and we'll continue to do that.

Chris O'Cull (Analyst)

Yeah, I was thinking more traditional, like billboards and radio, and that's not something that you guys are considering.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

You know what, Chris? We don't really have the scale to be media efficient, even despite some of these markets where we're pretty well penetrated. When you start getting into traditional media, it's very difficult to get media efficient, as you know.

Chris O'Cull (Analyst)

Okay, fair enough. Thanks, guys.

Operator (participant)

There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the floor back over to Chris Tomasso for closing comments.

Chris Tomasso (CEO and President)

Thank you. I wanna once again thank our teams for their dedication and commitment to making days brighter for our customers and each other. Our success and growth opportunities are due in large part to their efforts, which in turn creates growth opportunities for them as we march toward 2,200 restaurants. Thank you all for your time today.

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.