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    Genpact Ltd (G)

    G Q1 2025: Hits 50% of Growth Target, Guides Solid Q2

    Reported on May 8, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$49.55Last close (May 7, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$41.96Open (May 8, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-7.59(-15.32%)
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue (Net revenues)

    +7.4% (in Q1 2025: $1,214,926K vs. Q1 2024: $1,131,237K)

    Increased revenues in Q1 2025 were driven by stronger sales or service demand relative to Q1 2024, building on previously solid revenue figures. This improvement reflects a continued momentum from earlier periods and successful execution in customer engagements.

    Net Income

    +11.9% (Q1 2025: $130,853K vs. Q1 2024: $116,947K)

    Higher net income in Q1 2025 indicates improved profitability, likely due to enhanced operational performance compared to Q1 2024. This improvement builds on the prior period’s margins, suggesting effective cost management amid rising revenues.

    Basic Earnings per Share

    +15% (Q1 2025: $0.75 vs. Q1 2024: $0.65)

    EPS growth results from the net income increase together with the potential effect of share count changes. The elevated EPS in Q1 2025, relative to Q1 2024, reflects the company’s ability to convert higher earnings into better per-share figures, continuing a positive trend from the previous period.

    Income from Operations

    +14.8% (Q1 2025: $183,702K vs. Q1 2024: $159,986K)

    Operational income improvement stems from higher net revenues and better gross profit formation. Even though cost of revenue and operating expenses rose, the increase in gross profit and mitigation in some expenses (like amortization reductions) allowed operating income to rise, enhancing overall efficiency compared to Q1 2024.

    Operating Cash Flow

    Turnaround from -$25,561K to +$40,436K

    A significant turnaround in operating cash flow—moving from negative in Q1 2024 to strongly positive in Q1 2025—suggests enhanced working capital management, improved cash collections, and possibly better timing of expenditures, building on operational improvements seen in prior periods.

    Stock-based Compensation Expense

    +118% (Q1 2025: $20,036K vs. Q1 2024: $9,181K)

    The doubling of stock-based compensation expense in Q1 2025 relative to Q1 2024 may be driven by increases in awarded stock options, modifications in vesting schedules, or adjustments based on higher stock prices. This expense spike contrasts sharply with the earlier lower expense levels, representing a notable shift in non-cash costs.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Net Revenue

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $5.09B to $5.125B; Growth: 5.5%–7.7% (midpoint 6.5%)

    no prior guidance

    Revenue Growth – Data, Tech and AI

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Approximately 6.2% (midpoint)

    no prior guidance

    Revenue Growth – Digital Operations

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Approximately 6.8% (midpoint)

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Diluted EPS

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Expected range: $3.52 to $3.59; Growth: 9% YoY (midpoint)

    no prior guidance

    Gross Margin

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Expected to expand to 36% (up 50 basis points YoY)

    no prior guidance

    Operating Cash Flow

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Approximately $590 million

    no prior guidance

    Quarterly Dividend

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Increased by 11% to $0.17 per quarter (annual: $0.68)

    no prior guidance

    Share Repurchase Authorization

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Increased by $500 million

    no prior guidance

    Net Revenue

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.202B to $1.213B; Growth: 6.2%–7.2% (midpoint 6.7%)

    no prior guidance

    Revenue Growth – Data-Tech-AI

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    Approximately 9.8%

    no prior guidance

    Revenue Growth – Digital Operations

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    Approximately 4.1%

    no prior guidance

    Gross Margin

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    35%

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Operating Income Margin

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    16.5%

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Diluted EPS

    Q1 2025

    no prior guidance

    Expected range: $0.79 to $0.80; Growth: 9% YoY (midpoint)

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Generative AI Initiatives

    Previously discussed in Q2 with 80 solutions , Q3 with 130 solutions and a 60% increase , and Q4 noting 145 solutions in production and strong market expansion

    Q1 2025 saw over 215 GenAI solutions in production with a 50% quarter-over-quarter increase and near doubling of GenAI revenues

    Strong bullish momentum with consistently rising deployments and market expansion, signaling increased client adoption.

    Data-Tech-AI Segment Performance and Future Outlook

    Q2 reported modest growth (4% YoY) ; Q3 noted 9% YoY growth and 47% contribution to total revenue ; Q4 delivered 12% YoY growth with strong contribution and strategic wins

    Q1 2025 reported Data-Tech-AI accounting for 48% of total revenue, record pipeline growth (up 80% YoY) and new product initiatives, though cautious outlook persists due to macro uncertainty

    Consistent performance with solid revenue contributions, but a cautious forward view due to external uncertainties.

    Financial Guidance Revisions and Revenue Growth Forecast

    Q2 raised revenue guidance to 4–5% growth with improved EPS and stable margins ; Q3 further raised guidance to 6% growth with margin improvements and increased operating cash flow ; Q4 projected 6.5% growth with positive margin and EPS outlook

    Q1 2025 guidance was widened and revenue expectations lowered for digital operations and Data-Tech-AI amid delayed large deals and macro concerns, while reaffirming margin targets

    A shift toward caution despite strong past performance—with adjustments reflecting macroeconomic uncertainties and timing delays.

    Innovation and Execution Agility Strategy

    Q4 2024 highlighted the Gigafactory, AI Value Studio, and Agentic Solutions as key innovation platforms leveraging prebuilt models and partnerships ; Q3 2024 focused on agentic solutions and AI-driven platforms (e.g. Scout agents) but did not mention Gigafactory or AI Value Studio ; Q2 2024 referenced overall innovation via proprietary solutions and the 3+1 Framework

    Q1 2025 renewed emphasis on innovation through a live Gigafactory across multiple industries, launch of the first Agentic solution for accounts payable, and indirect mention of AI Value Studio within its broader AI strategy

    Sustained emphasis on accelerating AI innovations with a broader rollout and deeper integration into client solutions, enhancing overall execution agility.

    Investment in Talent Acquisition and Upskilling in AI and Technology

    Q2 2024 featured robust investments with over 100,000 employees upskilling, creation of AI-driven internal coaching (AI Guru), and leadership certification targets ; Q4 2024 stressed hiring for technical talent and internal development programs

    Not mentioned in Q1 2025 earnings call

    A temporary omission in Q1 2025, suggesting the topic may have been integrated into broader strategy communications rather than highlighted separately.

    Shift to Long-Term and Outcome-Based Deals

    Q2 2024 reported outcome-based deals accounting for around 20% of revenue and strong non-FTE GenAI engagements ; Q3 2024 saw outcome-based deals at 20% of revenue, up from 17% previously, with a focus on GenAI to drive these models ; Q4 2024 detailed outcome-based deals representing 21% of quarterly revenue and a strategic shift favoring long-duration contracts

    Q1 2025 emphasized multiyear deals (5–7 years), with outcome-based models contributing 22% of first-quarter revenue and an increase in sole-source deals to 54% (up from 35% previously)

    Continued and increasing focus on long-term, outcome-based deals that deliver sustained productivity gains, reinforcing a strategic shift to higher-margin, performance-driven contracts.

    Bookings Definition Changes Impacting Growth Metrics

    Q4 2024 noted a change from a capped 5-year view to an uncapped definition to capture full deal duration, making longer deals fully visible

    Not mentioned in Q1 2025 earnings call

    The one-time definitional change appears fully integrated in current reporting with no recurring discussion in Q1 2025.

    Partnership Revenue and Sole-Source Deals

    Q2 2024 acknowledged challenges with relatively low partnership revenue and steady sole-source deal percentages (~45% in Q2, with Q3 slightly declining from 45% to 42%) ; Q3 2024 noted a modest decline in sole-source deal percentage and ongoing efforts to boost partner contributions ; Q4 2024 reported strong 50% YoY growth in partnership revenue and 42% sole-source deals without significant issues

    Q1 2025 reported a very strong start in partner revenue with 80% YoY growth and a notable increase in sole-source deals to 54%, indicating a marked improvement over prior periods

    Significant improvement in partnership revenue and a strong resurgence in sole-source deals, indicating enhanced client trust and deeper engagement.

    Client Engagement Trends and Cautious Demand Outlook

    Q2 2024 detailed stable but cautious client sentiment with unchanged discretionary spending and no expected improvement in the buying environment ; Q3 and Q4 2024 focused more on broader client relationships and follow-on engagements without explicitly discussing a cautious demand outlook

    Q1 2025 showcased robust client engagement with a record deal pipeline and high-profile large deals, yet also noted delays in some deals and a softening macro environment, creating a mixed outlook

    While client engagement remains strong, there is an emerging cautious tone due to macroeconomic uncertainties and delayed decisions, balancing growth opportunities with conservative market expectations.

    1. Digital Revenue
      Q: Delayed deals impact revenue timing?
      A: Management explained that large deals (over $50M) have been delayed, which primarily affects digital operations’ revenue timing. They expect these deals to eventually close, but the delay has forced a more conservative view for near-term guidance.

    2. Margin Outlook
      Q: What drives improved margin outlook?
      A: They noted that strong first-quarter performance and the delay of lower‐margin large deals will support a step-up in gross margins in the second half, reflecting disciplined cost management and operating leverage.

    3. Q2 Guidance
      Q: Any Q2 headwinds from ramped deals?
      A: Management stated they feel confident about Q2, having already delivered about 50% of the annual growth target in Q1 and guided for solid revenue expansion in Q2 despite uncertainties.

    4. Deal Cancellation Risk
      Q: Could these delayed deals be canceled?
      A: They are confident that none of the delayed large deals will be canceled; discussions remain active and the pipeline is now 80% higher year-over-year.

    5. AI Productivity
      Q: What AI savings are included in deals?
      A: In multi-year deals, they promise holistic solutions that drive efficiency improvements of roughly 30% to 45% over a 5- to 7-year period.

    6. Industry Focus
      Q: Are manufacturing risks concentrated in segments?
      A: They mentioned a diversified client base across industries, including manufacturing, CPG, and retail, with some uncertainties due to global trade but no significant overconcentration risk.