GL
Genpact LTD (G)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 beat on both revenue and EPS: net revenues $1.215B (+7.4% as-reported; +8.3% cc) and adjusted EPS $0.84 (+16% YoY); gross margin expanded to 35.3% and AOI margin to 17.3% . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$6.5M (~0.5%) and EPS beat by ~$0.05 (~6%) in Q1 2025 (see Estimates Context)*.
- Data-Tech-AI (DTAI) momentum continued: revenue $582M (+11.1% YoY) to 48% of mix; Digital Operations (DO) $633M (+4.2% YoY) to 52% .
- Full‑year 2025 guide lowered on deal timing/slower cycle times in tariff/supply-chain exposed end markets: FY revenue to $4.862–$5.005B (prior $5.029–$5.125B) and adjusted EPS to $3.41–$3.52 (prior $3.52–$3.59); margin outlook unchanged (GM ~36%, AOI 17.3%) .
- Management flagged several very large, multi‑year DO‑weighted deals slipping from late Q1/early Q2; no cancellations or pricing pressure, and pipeline at record highs; Q2 guide: revenue $1.210–$1.233B, adjusted EPS $0.84–$0.86 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- DTAI growth and mix: $582M (+11.1% YoY), now 48% of revenue, outpacing DO and helping adjusted EPS grow 2x revenue (+16% vs +7.4%) .
- Margin discipline: gross margin +30 bps YoY to 35.3%; AOI margin +120 bps YoY to 17.3% .
- Partner ecosystem and AI traction: “Partner‑related revenue is off to a very strong start in 2025, up 80% YoY… reaching 10% of total revenues in Q1”; “more than 215 GenAI solutions in production… GenAI revenues nearly doubling from Q4” .
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What Went Wrong
- Guide cut on macro/trade uncertainty: FY25 revenue growth cut to ~2–5% (from ~5.5–7.5%) and adj. EPS to $3.41–$3.52 (from $3.52–$3.59) as several very large DO‑weighted deals in manufacturing/CPG/high‑tech hardware were delayed .
- DO growth exposure to timing: management noted early‑year delays disproportionately impact in‑year DO revenue; caution also added to DTAI despite continued strength .
- Revenue visibility tightening: increased prudence around shorter‑cycle/discretionary deals and broader uncertainty in tariff‑affected end markets .
Financial Results
Consolidated results by quarter
Segment revenue and mix
Select KPIs
Estimates vs actual (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Relevant Q1‑period press releases underpinning themes: “AI Gigafactory” (Jan 28, 2025) ; “Service‑as‑Agentic‑Solutions” (Feb 5, 2025) .
Management Commentary
- “We entered 2025 with strong momentum… Revenue in the first quarter grew 8% year‑over‑year… Adjusted EPS grew 16%.” — BK Kalra, President & CEO .
- “We signed 2 large deals in Q1 with more than 90% of associated revenue accounted for as annuitized Data‑Tech‑AI revenue… A few additional very large deals … were pushed out … due to supply chain and tariff‑related uncertainty.” — BK Kalra .
- “We delivered 16% adjusted EPS growth… sixth consecutive quarter with adjusted EPS increasing at a faster pace than revenue… Sole‑source deals ~54% of bookings; 18 new logos.” — CFO Mike Weiner .
- “Just to be clear, we are not seeing any deal cancellations… or pricing pressure… The delay has impacted future quarter revenue timing with the impact more visible in digital operations.” — CFO Mike Weiner .
Q&A Highlights
- Large deal delays: Several very large (>$50M), 5–7 year DO‑weighted deals in manufacturing/CPG/high‑tech hardware were delayed by macro/trade uncertainty; no cancellations; many sole‑sourced .
- Pricing/margin dynamics: No pricing pressure on delayed deals; absence of new low‑margin ramps near‑term supports gross margin; Q1 outperformance carries forward .
- FY25 phasing: To hit mid‑point +3.5% FY growth, $84M delivered in Q1, $45M targeted in Q2, implying ~$37M growth needed in 2H — viewed as conservative .
- AI productivity in large deals: Holistic solutions (Lean/ML/GenAI/Agentic) target 30–45% productivity over 5–7 years; revenue models share productivity gains but expand scope/volumes .
- DTAI outlook: Record pipeline; prudence applied to shorter‑cycle discretionary pieces, while large transformational DTAI deals performed well in Q1 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025: Revenue $1,214.9M vs S&P Global consensus $1,208.4M; Primary EPS $0.84 vs consensus $0.7938 — both beats*.
- Implication: Consensus models likely to trim FY25 revenue/EPS after the guide cut despite Q1 beats; margin resilience (GM/AOI unchanged) could cushion EPS revisions, but DO growth trajectories may be reset lower near term .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Quality beat but cautious reset: Strong Q1 execution (EPS/margins) offset by macro‑driven deal timing leading to lower FY revenue/EPS guides; margins held intact .
- Mix tailwind from DTAI: Faster DTAI growth (48% mix) supports margins and EPS > revenue growth cadence; continued AI deployment (215+ solutions) underpins medium‑term thesis .
- Pipeline and conversion: Record pipeline and rising sole‑source mix (54%) suggest delayed megadeals are more timing than demand; monitor closure cadence into 2H .
- DO sensitivity to early‑year timing: DO bears greater in‑year revenue impact from early‑year delays; near‑term growth likely below prior plan, but margin profile benefits from fewer low‑margin ramps .
- 2Q setup: Guide implies modest sequential step‑down in growth vs Q1 but continued EPS growth; key catalyst is large‑deal signings and any mid‑year macro relief .
- Watch Investor Day (June) for medium‑term targets and AI monetization updates, including partner channel scale and agentic solution roadmap .
Sources: Q1 2025 8‑K/press release (financials, guidance, reconciliations) ; Q1 2025 earnings call (strategy, pipeline, Q&A) ; Q4 2024 and Q3 2024 8‑Ks (trend) ; Q1‑period AI press releases .