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GC

GREENE COUNTY BANCORP INC (GCBC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 net income was $8.05M and diluted EPS $0.47, up 37.4% YoY; net interest margin expanded to 2.32% and spread to 2.12% on asset repricing and lower deposit rates .
  • Total assets crossed $3.00B, net loans reached $1.60B, and deposits rose to $2.65B; borrowings fell to $94.0M, improving funding mix .
  • Noninterest income benefited from a $610k Employee Retention Tax Credit and higher swap fees, partially offset by a $665k AFS securities loss .
  • Credit quality strengthened: NPLs declined to $2.9M (0.18% of net loans), ACL/loans at 1.31%; provision on loans increased to $1.08M reflecting loan growth and modest CECL outlook changes .
  • No formal financial guidance was issued; dividend held at $0.09 per share for the quarter (annual rate $0.36), with the MHC waiving receipt of the dividend .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion: Net interest margin rose to 2.32% (up 42 bps YoY, 28 bps QoQ) and spread to 2.12% (up 46 bps YoY), driven by repricing of loans/securities and strategic deposit rate reductions aligned with Fed cuts .
  • Balance sheet growth: Assets surpassed $3.0B, net loans increased $118.0M YTD (primarily CRE), and deposits rose $265.5M since June 30, 2024, supporting organic growth .
  • Management tone: “Exceeded $3.0 billion in consolidated assets... proud to report solid quarterly income... an increase of 37.4%” – Donald Gibson, President & CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest income quality: Benefit from nonrecurring ERTC ($610k) was offset by a $665k loss on sales of AFS securities, diluting the quality of fee/noninterest revenue .
  • Higher provisioning: Provision for credit losses on loans increased to $1.08M (vs. $290k YoY) and $2.20M YTD, reflecting loan growth and modest deterioration in economic forecasts in CECL .
  • Expense intensity: Noninterest expense rose 8.8% YoY to $10.0M for the quarter, with higher salaries/benefits and service/data processing costs tied to growth initiatives .

Financial Results

Quarterly Snapshot and Trajectory

MetricQ1 2025 (Sep 30, 2024)Q2 2025 (Dec 31, 2024)Q3 2025 (Mar 31, 2025)
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)$16.87 (NII $13.14 + Noninterest $3.74) $17.94 (NII $14.07 + Noninterest $3.88) $20.07 (NII $16.21 + Noninterest $3.86)
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)$13.14 $14.07 $16.21
Noninterest Income ($USD Millions)$3.74 $3.88 $3.86
Net Income ($USD Millions)$6.26 $7.49 $8.05
Diluted EPS ($)$0.37 $0.44 $0.47
Net Interest Margin (%)2.03% 2.04% 2.32%
Net Interest Rate Spread (%)1.76% 1.80% 2.12%
Efficiency Ratio (%)56.60% 52.31% 50.04%

Year-over-Year Comparison (Q3 2025 vs. Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2024 (Mar 31, 2024)Q3 2025 (Mar 31, 2025)Change
Net Revenue ($USD Millions)$15.71 (NII $12.30 + Noninterest $3.41) $20.07 (NII $16.21 + Noninterest $3.86) +$4.36M
Net Income ($USD Millions)$5.86 $8.05 +$2.19M
Diluted EPS ($)$0.34 $0.47 +$0.13
Net Interest Margin (%)1.90% 2.32% +42 bps
Net Interest Rate Spread (%)1.66% 2.12% +46 bps
Efficiency Ratio (%)58.79% 50.04% -875 bps

KPIs and Balance Sheet Metrics

KPIQ3 2025
Total Assets ($USD Billions)$3.01B
Net Loans ($USD Billions)$1.60B
Deposits ($USD Billions)$2.65B
Borrowings ($USD Millions)$94.0M (ST $42.0 + LT $2.2 + Sub Notes $49.8)
NPLs ($USD Millions)$2.9M; 0.18% of net loans
ACL/Loans (%)1.31%
ROAA (%)1.12%
ROAE (%)14.41%
Pre-Provision Net Income ($USD Millions)$9.14M (quarter, non-GAAP)
ERTC recognized ($USD Thousands)$610

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Dividend per share ($)Q3 2025$0.09 $0.09; annual rate $0.36; MHC waiving receipt Maintained
Financial Guidance (Revenue, EPS, Margins, OpEx)FY/Q4 onwardNone disclosed None disclosed N/A

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2025 conference call was scheduled, but a transcript was not available in filings or our catalog at time of review .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Deposit pricing vs Fed movesQ1: Repriced assets faster than deposits; higher NIM QoQ Continued strategic reduction in deposit rates aligned with Fed cuts Improving NIM
Credit quality/classified loansQ2: Classified loans up due to one CRE downgrade; NPL 0.26% Classified loans down to $44.8M; NPL 0.18%; nonperforming assets 0.10% Improving
Noninterest income driversQ1: BOLI restructure boosted income Q2: Higher swap fees and BOLI Q3: $610k ERTC and swap fees; offset by $665k AFS loss
Loan growth mixQ1: Loans roughly flat QoQ Q2: +$51M YTD; CRE leading Q3: +$118M YTD; +$111.9M CRE
Liquidity/fundingQ1: Borrowings down vs Jun 30 Q2: Borrowings up to $250.9M Q3: Borrowings down to $94.0M as deposits grew

Management Commentary

  • Donald Gibson, President & CEO: “We reached a new milestone exceeding $3.0 billion in consolidated assets... proud to report solid quarterly income... $8.1 million, an increase of 37.4% when compared to... March 31, 2024” .
  • Strategy: Focused on higher-yielding loans and securities and lowering deposit rates to align with Fed cuts, driving spread/margin expansion .
  • Non-GAAP framing: Emphasized pre-provision net income and taxable-equivalent NIM as supplemental measures to assess performance .

Q&A Highlights

  • A Q3 2025 call was scheduled (Apr 22, 2025 at 12:30 PM ET), but no transcript is available in our corpus or SEC document catalog; therefore, Q&A highlights and any guidance clarifications from the call cannot be verified at this time .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; we did not receive consensus values or counts via S&P Global for this quarter (EPS and revenue) [Values retrieved from S&P Global].
  • MarketBeat displayed “Consensus EPS: N/A” and reported actual net revenue ~$20.07M, consistent with press release-derived net revenue (NII + noninterest) .
MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 2025 Actual
EPS ($)N/A*$0.47
Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*~$20.07 (NII+Noninterest)

*Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin trajectory improving: NIM rose to 2.32% and spread to 2.12% on asset repricing and deposit rate reductions; efficiency ratio improved to 50.04% .
  • Funding mix strengthening: Deposits up to $2.65B while borrowings fell to $94.0M; NOW and CDs grew, noninterest-bearing and savings/money market declined modestly .
  • Loan growth concentrated in CRE: $111.9M CRE growth YTD; net loans up to $1.60B, supporting net interest income expansion .
  • Credit metrics resilient: NPLs down to $2.9M (0.18% of net loans); ACL/loans at 1.31% with provision reflecting growth and CECL outlook .
  • Noninterest income has one-time elements: $610k ERTC and higher swap fees boosted fees; $665k AFS loss tempers sustainability of noninterest income .
  • Dividend stable: Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.09 (annual $0.36), with the MHC waiving receipt—supportive capital allocation while growth continues .
  • Absent formal guidance or consensus estimates, investor focus should remain on continued margin expansion, deposit mix, and credit quality trends disclosed in company materials .