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GoodRx Holdings, Inc. (GDRX)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 revenue was $196.0M and Adjusted EBITDA was $66.3M (33.8% margin), modestly up year over year; EPS (Primary/normalized) was $0.08. Revenue beat consensus by ~$1.5M and EPS beat by ~$0.045; sequential revenue declined vs Q2 due to deal timing, but margins held firm . Results vs S&P Global consensus marked with asterisks; values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Mix shift continued: pharma manufacturer solutions revenue rose 54% YoY to $43.4M, while prescription transactions revenue fell 9% and subscriptions declined 3% YoY, largely from Rite Aid closures and lower integrated savings program volumes .
- FY25 guidance reaffirmed: revenue “increase from 2024” and Adjusted EBITDA $265–$275M; management raised pharma manufacturer solutions outlook to ~35% YoY growth for 2025 and flagged Q4 revenue expected to decline sequentially due to Q3 pull-forward of deals .
- Strategic catalysts: deeper manufacturer partnerships (e.g., Novo Nordisk GLP‑1 cash pricing; Amgen Repatha), pharmacy counter RxSmartSaver rollout at Kroger, and active engagement on TrumpRx API integration—all expected to support manufacturer solutions growth and counter PTR headwinds into 2026 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Manufacturer Solutions strength: 54% YoY growth (to $43.4M) on expanded brand relationships and cash pricing programs; FY25 outlook raised to ~35% growth. “We delivered strong results...reinforcing our position as the go-to partner” .
- Margin discipline and capital returns: Adjusted EBITDA of $66.3M (+2% YoY) with margin 33.8% (+50 bps YoY); repurchased 13.4M shares for $61.6M during Q3 .
- Counter solutions and brand momentum: RxSmartSaver launched at Kroger across ~2,200 pharmacies; brand campaign (“Savings Wrangler”) driving search and awareness .
What Went Wrong
- PTR and subscriptions declined: Prescription transactions revenue down 9% and subscription revenue down 3% YoY; MACs fell to 5.4M (from 6.5M YoY), due to Rite Aid store closures and reduced PBM integrated savings volumes .
- Sequential revenue expected down in Q4: Several manufacturer deals closed earlier than planned in Q3; management now expects Q4 to decline sequentially vs Q3, which could weigh on near-term growth optics .
- Ongoing headwinds: Continued retail reimbursement model changes raising consumer prices; 2025 cash market contraction and ISP partner multi-network approach; leadership acknowledged need to recapture volume and reassess MACs as a primary KPI .
Financial Results
Summary vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Notes:
- EPS metrics reflect Adjusted/Primary EPS as presented and reconciled in exhibits .
Segment Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Management also quantified ~$35–$40M revenue headwind in FY25 from Rite Aid bankruptcy and ISP volume reduction when lowering revenue expectations in Q2 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We expanded our manufacturer partnerships, launched innovative pharmacy counter solutions, and strengthened our brand as the most trusted name in prescription access and affordability” — Wendy Barnes (CEO) .
- “Manufacturer solutions…up approximately 35% year-over-year [YTD]; fourth quarter revenue to decline sequentially due to timing of certain manufacturer deals that closed earlier than anticipated” — Chris McGinnis (CFO) .
- “We will be a partner in participating in TrumpRx…integrate from an API perspective…TrumpRx is really functioning as just a repository of pricing” — Wendy Barnes (CEO) .
- “As cash has contracted as a market, we’ve increased market share…we believe we’ll return to growth in our platform” — Chris McGinnis (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- PTR stabilization and macro: 2025 cash market contraction from retail reimbursement changes; 2026 expected tailwinds from rising out-of-pocket costs and uninsured rates; GoodRx aims to “own” more of the pharmacy counter to capture more prescriptions .
- Manufacturer solutions competitive edge: #1 digital prescription marketplace; demonstrated ROI with new Rx/refills and prescriber engagement; >200 brand affordability programs, ~80 cash prices .
- PBM model evolution: Support for point-of-sale discounts (e.g., Cigna announcement) viewed as aligning with GoodRx’s mission; not immediate, but constructive longer-term .
- TrumpRx operationalization: API-level integration; GoodRx positioned as conduit for pricing/fulfillment; launch timing aimed at early January (uncertain) .
- ISP partner approach: Multi-network; GoodRx assumes status quo, not baking in upside .
- Marketing spend effectiveness: Emphasis on brand investment; unaided awareness/search up; positioning to capture share as market expands in 2026 .
Estimates Context
Results versus S&P Global Wall Street consensus:
- Q3: Revenue beat (
$1.5M) and EPS beat ($0.045). Q2: Revenue miss (~$2.64M) but EPS beat. Q1: Revenue and EPS beats. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift to higher-margin manufacturer solutions is accelerating; FY25 manufacturer solutions growth now ~35% YoY, supporting margins even as PTR headwinds persist .
- Near-term cadence: Expect Q4 sequential revenue decline due to Q3 pull-forward; watch for 2026 pivot as macro tailwinds (higher OOP, uninsured) and policy initiatives (TrumpRx, PBM POS discounts) materialize .
- Execution focus: Pharmacy counter RxSmartSaver, e-commerce flows, and HCP-targeted capabilities should deepen the funnel and improve conversion/retention, aiding PTR stabilization and recapture from Rite Aid closures .
- Capital allocation: Ongoing buybacks (Q3: $61.6M) and strong cash ($273.5M) provide flexibility to invest in growth while supporting per-share metrics; ~$81.4M buyback capacity remains .
- KPI evolution: Management is reassessing MACs as a primary KPI; monitor alternative engagement/transaction metrics more aligned with profitability and manufacturer solutions scaling .
- Watch risks: Retail reimbursement/price dynamics, ISP program volumes, and potential timing variability in manufacturer deals can create quarterly lumpiness; management’s cadence commentary is key .
- Trading lens: Despite Q4 sequential dip, consistent EPS beats and margin discipline, plus raised manufacturer solutions outlook, are positives; stock likely sensitive to updates on TrumpRx integration, GLP‑1 cash pricing traction, and PTR recapture trends .
Additional Data and Disclosures
- Share repurchases: Q3 2025 13.4M shares ($61.6M); remaining authorization $81.4M .
- Cash and debt: Cash & equivalents $273.5M; total debt $496.3M as of 9/30/25 .
- Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3): Legal settlement expenses $5.5M; restructuring-related $5.5M; stock-based comp $18.1M; reconciliations provided in exhibits .
- Retail rollout: RxSmartSaver at Kroger pharmacies nationwide; instant access to copay cards and ~80 cash prices at the counter .
Footnote: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.