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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock CORP (GLDD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered a material beat versus consensus, with revenue $242.9M and diluted EPS $0.49, driven by high asset utilization and strong execution on capital and coastal protection projects; Adjusted EBITDA was $60.1M with a 24.7% margin .
- Backlog stood at ~$1.01B (including $44.9M Offshore Energy) with an additional ~$265.3M in low bids/options, providing visibility into 2026; mix skewed 95% to higher-margin capital/coastal protection work .
- Liquidity enhanced via upsized revolver to $330M (from $300M) post-quarter; $50M share repurchase program authorized in March with 1.2M shares bought for $10.4M through April 30, 2025—signaling confidence in outlook .
- Management flagged Q2 as the likely low point for revenue/margins due to four dry docks, but still expects full-year 2025 results to exceed 2024, with ~60% of backlog converting to revenue in FY25 .
- Near-term stock catalysts: continued backlog conversion and LNG awards (Woodside Louisiana LNG notice-to-proceed; ongoing Port Arthur/Rio Grande projects), plus buyback deployment; watch offshore wind (Empire Wind I temporary pause) and Q2 dry dock headwinds for volatility cues .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Exceptional operational execution with all active dredges working; revenue $242.9M, net income $33.4M, Adjusted EBITDA $60.1M; CEO: “strong project performance and high utilization” .
- Margin expansion: gross margin rose to 28.6% (from 22.9% YoY) on improved utilization and project mix; EBITDA margin reached 24.7% .
- Backlog quality and LNG momentum: backlog ~$1.01B with 95% capital/coastal; post-quarter Woodside Louisiana LNG received NTP, adding to visibility alongside Port Arthur and Rio Grande LNG projects; CFO: “our team is killing it on both projects” .
What Went Wrong
- Offshore wind uncertainty: BOEM issued a temporary pause on Equinor’s Empire Wind I; management highlighted contract termination protections and international diversification for Acadia to mitigate risk .
- Dry dock headwinds: 2025 is a heavier regulatory dry dock year; Q2 revenue and margins expected to be the lowest of the year; dry docks typically ~60 days and $3–6M each plus lost revenue .
- G&A higher due to incentive compensation aligned with stronger results, modestly offsetting operating leverage; Q1 operating income up to $49.9M from $31.5M despite higher G&A .
Financial Results
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Great Lakes had an great first quarter, with strong project performance and high utilization… backlog stood at approximately $1 billion… 95% of our backlog [is] capital and coastal protection projects” .
- CFO: “Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin of $60.1 million and 24.7%, respectively… Q2 should be the lowest on revenue and on margins, and then it will look a lot more normalized in the second half of the year” .
- CEO on LNG: “Notice to proceed for dredging work on the Woodside Louisiana LNG project… included in our second quarter 2025 backlog… Dredging is expected to commence early 2026” .
- CFO on liquidity: “Upsizing our revolver by $30 million to $330 million, further enhancing our liquidity, which now stands above $300 million” .
- CEO on diversification: “We proactively expanded… Acadia to include oil and gas pipeline and power and telecommunications cable protection, as well as international offshore wind” .
Q&A Highlights
- Empire Wind I pause: Management emphasized termination protections; worst-case cancellation would trigger fees; actively exploring alternative work for Acadia internationally if needed .
- Bid market and awards: Q2/Q3 expected to see coastal protection projects bid out despite continuing resolution; maintenance market strong; LNG options for Woodside to be added in Q2 backlog .
- Dry dock impact: Q2 margins and revenue to trough; typical dry dock ~60 days and $3–6M cost plus opportunity cost from pulling vessels off jobs .
- Tariff exposure: Minimal impact due to U.S. sourcing; most newbuild equipment already procured domestically .
- Backlog burn and margins: ~60% of backlog to burn in 2025; despite dry docks, revenue and margins expected to be strong vs 2024 .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results beat Wall Street consensus materially: revenue $242.9M vs $206.7M*, EPS $0.49 vs $0.2625*—driven by mix of capital/coastal protection and strong project execution .
- Street may need to lift full-year estimates given management’s outlook (FY25 to exceed 2024 and ~60% backlog conversion), while factoring in Q2 dry dock trough .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat and margin expansion underscore execution and backlog quality; capital/coastal mix supports sustained profitability .
- Expect Q2 softness from dry docks; setup for second-half normalization—tactically, volatility around Q2 print may offer entry/add opportunities .
- LNG is a key driver: Woodside NTP and ongoing Port Arthur/Rio Grande projects add multi-quarter revenue visibility at attractive margins .
- Offshore wind headline risk persists (Empire Wind I pause), but contract protections and international subsea infrastructure markets reduce downside for Acadia utilization .
- Balance sheet/liquidity improved (revolver upsized; >$300M liquidity), enabling continued fleet modernization and opportunistic buybacks; $10.4M repurchased to date .
- Policy backdrop supportive (WRDA 2024; sustained Corps funding under CR), underpinning a robust coastal protection and maintenance pipeline into 2026 .
- Near-term catalysts: conversion of low bids/options, LNG awards, buyback activity pace; monitor Q2 margins and any updates on offshore wind project timelines .