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Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Returned to profitability: Net income $30.7M ($0.08 diluted EPS) on Adjusted Gross Profit $299M and Adjusted EBITDA $211M, driven by balance sheet gains and resilient Digital Assets operations .
  • Digital Assets outperformed a softer market: Global Markets adjusted gross profit rose 28% QoQ to $55.4M; loan book averaged $1.11B; staking faced lower on-chain rewards, especially on Solana, pressuring segment profit .
  • Structural catalysts: CoreWeave committed to the full 800MW at Helios; campus expanded to >1,500 acres with potential capacity to 3.5GW; Phase I delivery targeted for 1H26; anticipated combined DC average annual revenue now “$1B+” with ~90% EBITDA margins .
  • Post-quarter positives: Closed a $1.4B Phase I project financing (80% loan-to-cost); July was the best month ever for Digital Assets; executed a >80,000 BTC sell order (~$9B notional), underscoring franchise strength .
  • Against S&P Global consensus, Q2 EPS ($0.08) missed $0.131*, and revenue lagged $11.69B*; mix and GAAP gross-ups plus a $125M non-cash derivative MTM weighed on comparability and EPS .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Digital Assets momentum: Global Markets adjusted gross profit +28% QoQ to $55.4M despite ~30% industry spot volume decline; average loan book hit $1.11B; Bitstamp advisory revenue recognized .
    • Balance sheet tailwind: Treasury & Corporate swung to $228M adjusted gross profit and $198M adjusted EBITDA on mark-to-market gains .
    • Data centers de-risking: CoreWeave took the full 800MW; Helios expansion to 3.5GW potential capacity; construction milestones on schedule (demolition complete; key electrical/mechanical/backup systems underway) .
    • Management tone: “July was by all accounts, best month we’ve had at Galaxy… All our businesses are starting to fire on full cylinders” — CEO Mike Novogratz .
  • What Went Wrong

    • EPS miss vs Street: Diluted EPS $0.08 vs $0.131 consensus*, with a $125M negative MTM on exchangeable-notes derivative pressuring GAAP results; this charge should not recur post-reorg .
    • Staking revenue headwinds: AM & Infrastructure Solutions adjusted gross profit fell to $16.0M (-26% QoQ) due to lower industry on-chain activity, notably Solana .
    • GAAP optics: Grossed-up GAAP revenues and transaction expenses (Rev+Gains $9.06B vs Transaction Expenses $8.63B) complicate headline comparisons and mask underlying operating progress .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q2 2025 Consensus
Revenues & gains from operations ($USD Billions)$8.865 $12.856 $9.057 $11.687*
GAAP Revenues ($USD Billions)$8.883 $12.976 $8.662
Net Income ($USD Millions)-$125.6 -$295.4 $30.7
Diluted EPS ($)-$0.37 $0.08 $0.131*
Adjusted Gross Profit ($USD Millions)-$27.1 -$203.6 $299.2
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)-$94.8 -$289.5 $211.2

Note: GAAP revenue is grossed-up due to US GAAP presentation of certain digital asset flows; Adjusted metrics better reflect operating performance .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown

Segment MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Digital Assets Adjusted Gross Profit ($M)$64.7 $71.4
Digital Assets Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$13.0 $13.0
Data Centers Revenue ($M)
Data Centers Adjusted EBITDA ($M)-$1.2
Treasury & Corp Adjusted Gross Profit ($M)-$268.3 $228.0
Treasury & Corp Adjusted EBITDA ($M)-$301.4 $198.3
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA ($M)-$289.5 $211.2

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
Global Markets Adjusted Gross Profit ($M)$43.2 $55.4
Loan Book Size (Average, $M)$874 $1,107
Total Trading Counterparties (count)1,381 1,445
Assets on Platform ($M)$7,020 $8,921
ETFs ($M)$2,598 $3,327
Alternatives ($M)$2,079 $2,444
Assets Under Stake ($M)$2,343 $3,150

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Phase I delivery (Helios)133 MW1H 2026 1H 2026 Maintained
Phase II delivery260 MWBegin 1H 2027 2027 Maintained
Phase III start133 MW2028 New specificity
Anticipated average annual revenue (Phases I–III, 526 MW)15-year average~$900M (Phase I ~$300M + Phase II ~$600M) $1B+ Raised
EBITDA margin (DC)Contract term~90% ~90% Maintained
Data Centers revenue recognition beginsCompany-wide DC1H 2026 New reminder
Phase I project financingPhase I“Closing in weeks” Closed $1.4B facility post-Q2 (80% LTC) Achieved

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
AI/Data centers strategyAnnounced CoreWeave Phase I (133MW) with ~90% EBITDA margins; ERCOT approvals path Phase II (260MW) added; 15-yr revenue Phase I ~$4.5B; Phase II ~$9B CoreWeave committed to full 800MW; Helios potential 3.5GW; Phase I construction milestones progressing Scaling, execution progress
FinancingPlan for project finance ~80/20, 10–11% construction yield; refinance post-stabilization Phase I financing “imminent” Closed $1.4B Phase I facility post-Q2 (80% LTC) De-risked capital stack
Stablecoins/AllUnityExpect BaFin approval mid-2025 Infrastructure positioning; GK8 stack for tokenization AllUnity EUR stablecoin launched; GK8 provides tech; euro market opportunity Product launch, distribution
TokenizationExpect slow-then-fast adoption; infra build-out Building wallet/tokenization infra (GK8); exploring roles across issuance/trading Continued focus; regulatory progress as catalyst Building capabilities
Trading/LendingTrading strength; swap-dealer registration; lending book growth Avg loan book ~$870M; disciplined underwriting Avg loan book $1.11B; outperformed market despite 30% spot volume drop Growth and share gains
Staking/on-chainStaking scale-up; integrations Custodian integrations (e.g., Zodia) Lower on-chain activity, especially Solana, pressured rewards; Fireblocks integration expands access Mixed: distribution up, rewards down
Treasury companiesStrong pipeline; multi-year relationships 20+ partners; >$1.5B assets on platform; >$2B notional traded Structural growth
Regulatory/macroPro-crypto U.S. stance; volatility warning Uplisting to Nasdaq; market structure bills underway Management optimistic on AI+crypto, macro tailwinds for BTC Supportive backdrop

Management Commentary

  • “July was by all accounts, best month we’ve had at Galaxy. All our businesses are starting to fire on full cylinders.” — Mike Novogratz, CEO .
  • “We generated $299,000,000 in adjusted gross profit… Firmwide adjusted EBITDA came in at $211,000,000.” — Tony Paquette, CFO .
  • “Our average loan book balance exceeded $1,000,000,000 for the first time… we ended the quarter with roughly $1,400,000,000 in total loans outstanding.” — CFO .
  • “CoreWeave… has now committed to the full 800 megawatts… We remain confident in our ability to hit key delivery and construction milestones… Phase I in 2026.” — Chris Ferraro, President & CIO .
  • “We completed the sale of over 80,000 Bitcoin on behalf of a client representing one of the largest notional Bitcoin transactions in history.” — CFO ; corroborated by press release .

Q&A Highlights

  • Non-USD stablecoins: CEO sees USD dominance near-term but meaningful long-term potential for euro and others as payments and FX go on-chain .
  • Data center financing cost: Phase I expected sub-10% stream rate; including fees/breakage implies 10–11% yield; larger/cheaper capital over time as track record builds .
  • Hyperscaler pipeline: CoreWeave’s full 800MW commitment validates demand; broader hyperscaler conversations active, with focus on power availability through 2028–29 .
  • Solana/on-chain activity: Q2 reflected comedown from meme coin spikes; ecosystems working to drive durable volumes tied to payments and consumer apps .
  • Treasury companies: Multi-year, perpetual-style mandates aim to deliver fees, staking, lending, and integrated solutions beyond ETFs .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: $0.08 actual vs $0.131 consensus mean* → Miss of $0.051; impacted by a $125M non-cash negative MTM on notes derivative in Q2, which will not recur post-reorg .
  • Revenue (GAAP grossed): $9.06B (company) vs $11.69B consensus mean* → Below; note GAAP gross-up and mixed company presentation (Revenues vs Revenues & Gains) complicate comparability .
  • Street models likely raise DC contribution outlook (Phase I financing closed post-Q2; $1B+ combined average annual revenue guide for 526MW) and adjust staking run-rate lower given weaker on-chain activity .

Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating recovery with cleaner trajectory: Adjusted EBITDA swung to +$211M from -$290M QoQ; Digital Assets outperformed a down market, and balance sheet gains provided leverage .
  • Structural growth optionality: Full 800MW commitment at Helios, potential 3.5GW campus, and $1.4B financing de-risk execution; Phase I to revenue in 1H26 with ~90% EBITDA margins .
  • Multi-engine revenue model: Trading/lending strength, advisory monetization (Bitstamp), asset management distribution (Fireblocks), and treasury companies create diversified, recurring flows .
  • Near-term estimate dynamics: Expect EPS normalization as derivative MTM falls away post-reorg; Street likely to fine-tune GAAP revenue models given gross-ups and focus on adjusted metrics .
  • Staking watch-items: On-chain activity (esp. Solana) is key to re-accelerating validator rewards; distribution integrations should support medium-term growth .
  • Trading implications: July momentum, mega-BTC execution capability, and loan book scale are positive for near-term revenue capture if crypto volatility/liquidity stays favorable .
  • Medium-term thesis: AI infrastructure plus institutional crypto convergence (tokenization, stablecoins) position Galaxy as a beneficiary of both cycles; disciplined capital and pipeline diversification remain focus areas .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Q2 highlights: Net income $30.7M; diluted EPS $0.08; Total equity $2.62B; cash and stablecoins $1.18B .
  • GAAP optics: Revenues & Gains $9.06B; Transaction Expenses $8.63B .
  • Balance sheet exposures: Net digital asset exposure $1.27B (BTC $748M; ETH $196M; other $330M); venture/fund investments $718M .
  • July performance flagged as record month in Digital Assets; subsequent large BTC execution and Phase I financing provide positive Q3 setup .