GD
Galaxy Digital Inc. (GLXY)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Returned to profitability: Net income $30.7M ($0.08 diluted EPS) on Adjusted Gross Profit $299M and Adjusted EBITDA $211M, driven by balance sheet gains and resilient Digital Assets operations .
- Digital Assets outperformed a softer market: Global Markets adjusted gross profit rose 28% QoQ to $55.4M; loan book averaged $1.11B; staking faced lower on-chain rewards, especially on Solana, pressuring segment profit .
- Structural catalysts: CoreWeave committed to the full 800MW at Helios; campus expanded to >1,500 acres with potential capacity to 3.5GW; Phase I delivery targeted for 1H26; anticipated combined DC average annual revenue now “$1B+” with ~90% EBITDA margins .
- Post-quarter positives: Closed a $1.4B Phase I project financing (80% loan-to-cost); July was the best month ever for Digital Assets; executed a >80,000 BTC sell order (~$9B notional), underscoring franchise strength .
- Against S&P Global consensus, Q2 EPS ($0.08) missed $0.131*, and revenue lagged $11.69B*; mix and GAAP gross-ups plus a $125M non-cash derivative MTM weighed on comparability and EPS .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Digital Assets momentum: Global Markets adjusted gross profit +28% QoQ to $55.4M despite ~30% industry spot volume decline; average loan book hit $1.11B; Bitstamp advisory revenue recognized .
- Balance sheet tailwind: Treasury & Corporate swung to $228M adjusted gross profit and $198M adjusted EBITDA on mark-to-market gains .
- Data centers de-risking: CoreWeave took the full 800MW; Helios expansion to 3.5GW potential capacity; construction milestones on schedule (demolition complete; key electrical/mechanical/backup systems underway) .
- Management tone: “July was by all accounts, best month we’ve had at Galaxy… All our businesses are starting to fire on full cylinders” — CEO Mike Novogratz .
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What Went Wrong
- EPS miss vs Street: Diluted EPS $0.08 vs $0.131 consensus*, with a $125M negative MTM on exchangeable-notes derivative pressuring GAAP results; this charge should not recur post-reorg .
- Staking revenue headwinds: AM & Infrastructure Solutions adjusted gross profit fell to $16.0M (-26% QoQ) due to lower industry on-chain activity, notably Solana .
- GAAP optics: Grossed-up GAAP revenues and transaction expenses (Rev+Gains $9.06B vs Transaction Expenses $8.63B) complicate headline comparisons and mask underlying operating progress .
Financial Results
Note: GAAP revenue is grossed-up due to US GAAP presentation of certain digital asset flows; Adjusted metrics better reflect operating performance .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “July was by all accounts, best month we’ve had at Galaxy. All our businesses are starting to fire on full cylinders.” — Mike Novogratz, CEO .
- “We generated $299,000,000 in adjusted gross profit… Firmwide adjusted EBITDA came in at $211,000,000.” — Tony Paquette, CFO .
- “Our average loan book balance exceeded $1,000,000,000 for the first time… we ended the quarter with roughly $1,400,000,000 in total loans outstanding.” — CFO .
- “CoreWeave… has now committed to the full 800 megawatts… We remain confident in our ability to hit key delivery and construction milestones… Phase I in 2026.” — Chris Ferraro, President & CIO .
- “We completed the sale of over 80,000 Bitcoin on behalf of a client representing one of the largest notional Bitcoin transactions in history.” — CFO ; corroborated by press release .
Q&A Highlights
- Non-USD stablecoins: CEO sees USD dominance near-term but meaningful long-term potential for euro and others as payments and FX go on-chain .
- Data center financing cost: Phase I expected sub-10% stream rate; including fees/breakage implies 10–11% yield; larger/cheaper capital over time as track record builds .
- Hyperscaler pipeline: CoreWeave’s full 800MW commitment validates demand; broader hyperscaler conversations active, with focus on power availability through 2028–29 .
- Solana/on-chain activity: Q2 reflected comedown from meme coin spikes; ecosystems working to drive durable volumes tied to payments and consumer apps .
- Treasury companies: Multi-year, perpetual-style mandates aim to deliver fees, staking, lending, and integrated solutions beyond ETFs .
Estimates Context
- EPS: $0.08 actual vs $0.131 consensus mean* → Miss of $0.051; impacted by a $125M non-cash negative MTM on notes derivative in Q2, which will not recur post-reorg .
- Revenue (GAAP grossed): $9.06B (company) vs $11.69B consensus mean* → Below; note GAAP gross-up and mixed company presentation (Revenues vs Revenues & Gains) complicate comparability .
- Street models likely raise DC contribution outlook (Phase I financing closed post-Q2; $1B+ combined average annual revenue guide for 526MW) and adjust staking run-rate lower given weaker on-chain activity .
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Operating recovery with cleaner trajectory: Adjusted EBITDA swung to +$211M from -$290M QoQ; Digital Assets outperformed a down market, and balance sheet gains provided leverage .
- Structural growth optionality: Full 800MW commitment at Helios, potential 3.5GW campus, and $1.4B financing de-risk execution; Phase I to revenue in 1H26 with ~90% EBITDA margins .
- Multi-engine revenue model: Trading/lending strength, advisory monetization (Bitstamp), asset management distribution (Fireblocks), and treasury companies create diversified, recurring flows .
- Near-term estimate dynamics: Expect EPS normalization as derivative MTM falls away post-reorg; Street likely to fine-tune GAAP revenue models given gross-ups and focus on adjusted metrics .
- Staking watch-items: On-chain activity (esp. Solana) is key to re-accelerating validator rewards; distribution integrations should support medium-term growth .
- Trading implications: July momentum, mega-BTC execution capability, and loan book scale are positive for near-term revenue capture if crypto volatility/liquidity stays favorable .
- Medium-term thesis: AI infrastructure plus institutional crypto convergence (tokenization, stablecoins) position Galaxy as a beneficiary of both cycles; disciplined capital and pipeline diversification remain focus areas .
Appendix: Additional Data Points
- Q2 highlights: Net income $30.7M; diluted EPS $0.08; Total equity $2.62B; cash and stablecoins $1.18B .
- GAAP optics: Revenues & Gains $9.06B; Transaction Expenses $8.63B .
- Balance sheet exposures: Net digital asset exposure $1.27B (BTC $748M; ETH $196M; other $330M); venture/fund investments $718M .
- July performance flagged as record month in Digital Assets; subsequent large BTC execution and Phase I financing provide positive Q3 setup .