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GM

General Motors Co (GM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 results: revenue $47.12B, EPS-diluted-adjusted $2.53, EBIT-adjusted $3.04B; FY25 guidance unchanged (EBIT-adjusted $10.0–$12.5B, EPS-diluted-adjusted $8.25–$10.00, adjusted auto FCF $7.5–$10.0B) .
  • Results vs consensus: revenue beat by $0.84B and EPS beat by $0.05; significant headwinds from tariffs ($1.1B net impact in Q2) and higher warranty costs (~$300M YoY) were partially offset by stable retail pricing and mix; fleet pricing moderated .
  • Segment: GMNA EBIT-adjusted $2.42B (6.1% margin) on strong SUVs and crossovers; China turned to positive equity income ($71M); GM Financial EBT-adjusted $704M; Cruise operations now included in GMNA .
  • Capital allocation: $2B ASR completed (43M shares retired) and open market buybacks resumed in early July; quarterly dividend maintained at $0.15/share .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • China delivered second consecutive quarter of YoY sales growth and positive equity income; GM was “the only foreign OEM to gain share” in China, aided by competitive NEV launches .
  • Crossover and EV momentum: Chevrolet Equinox (ICE and EV) gained nearly six points of U.S. retail share YoY; Chevrolet is now the #2 U.S. EV brand; Cadillac became #5 EV brand, with >75% conquest rates for Lyriq .
  • Software and services scale: Super Cruise offered on 23 models; >$4B of deferred revenue booked for Super Cruise/OnStar; 2025 Super Cruise revenue projected >$200M, doubling in 2026 .

What Went Wrong

  • Tariffs compressed profitability: net tariff impact was ~$1.1B in Q2; management expects higher net tariff costs in Q3 and gross FY impact of $4–$5B with ~30% mitigation targeted .
  • Warranty pressures: ~$300M YoY increase tied to L87 engine and early EV software issues; EV inventory adjustments and fleet pricing moderation further weighed on margins and cash flow .
  • GMNA margin down to 6.1% from 8.8% in Q1 and 10.9% in prior-year Q2, primarily due to tariffs and warranty costs; adjusted auto FCF fell ~47% YoY in Q2 .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$47.70 $44.02 $47.12
Net Income attributable to stockholders ($USD Billions)$(2.96) $2.78 $1.90
EPS - Diluted (GAAP) ($)$(1.64) $3.35 $1.91
EPS - Diluted Adjusted ($)$1.92 $2.78 $2.53
EBIT-Adjusted ($USD Billions)$2.51 $3.49 $3.04
Net Income Margin (%)(6.2)% 6.3% 4.0%
EBIT-Adjusted Margin (%)5.3% 7.9% 6.4%
Automotive Operating Cash Flow ($USD Billions)$4.77 $2.40 $4.65
Adjusted Automotive Free Cash Flow ($USD Billions)$1.82 $0.81 $2.83
Q2 2025 vs. S&P Global ConsensusConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$46.28*$47.12
EPS - Diluted Adjusted ($)$2.48*$2.53

Values retrieved from S&P Global*. GM reported beats on revenue (~$0.84B) and EPS ($0.05), despite tariff and warranty headwinds .

Segment Breakdown

Segment MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
GMNA EBIT-Adjusted ($USD Billions)$2.27 $3.29 $2.42
GMNA EBIT-Adjusted Margin (%)5.8% 8.8% 6.1%
GMI EBIT-Adjusted ($USD Millions)$221 $30 $204
China Equity Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(4,060) $45 $71
GM Financial EBT-Adjusted ($USD Millions)$719 $685 $704
Cruise EBIT-Adjusted ($USD Millions)$(418) $(273) n/a (included in GMNA)

KPIs

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Wholesale Vehicle Sales – GMNA (000s)876 827 849
Wholesale Vehicle Sales – GMI (000s)163 85 125
Wholesale Vehicle Sales – Total (000s)1,039 912 974
U.S. Market Share (%)17.5% 17.2% 17.4%
Fleet Sales as % of Total (%)16.9% 16.5% 17.8%
North America Two-Shift Utilization (%)103.5% 109.5% 117.6%
U.S. Dealer Inventory (units)526,000

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
EBIT-Adjusted ($USD Billions)FY 2025$10.0–$12.5 $10.0–$12.5 Maintained
EPS-Diluted-Adjusted ($)FY 2025$8.25–$10.00 $8.25–$10.00 Maintained
Adjusted Auto FCF ($USD Billions)FY 2025$7.5–$10.0 $7.5–$10.0 Maintained
Capex ($USD Billions)FY 2025$10–$11 $10–$11 Maintained
GM Financial EBT-Adjusted ($USD Billions)FY 2025$2.5–$3.0 On track for $2.5–$3.0 Maintained
Dividend per share ($)Quarterly$0.15 $0.15 (payable Sept. 18, 2025) Maintained

Note: GM indicated FY25 guidance unchanged; Q2 call reiterated GM Financial range and stable pricing assumptions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24 and Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Tariffs/MacroFY25 guide lowered at Q1 to reflect $4–$5B gross tariffs; targeting ~30% mitigation via pricing, cost, footprint ~$1.1B net Q2 impact; Q3 expected higher; ~30% FY mitigation on track; SAR ~16M assumed Headwind intensifying near-term; mitigation progressing
Pricing DisciplineQ1 pricing +$900M YoY; incentives below industry; fleet comps tough Retail pricing stable; fleet pricing moderated; FY NA pricing +0.5–1% Stable retail; fleet pressure persists
EV Strategy/ProfitabilityModerated EV production; near breakeven variable profit; focus on cost, chemistry, aero LMR/LFP battery roadmap; standardization; EV inventory adjustments; warranty downtrend expected H2 Execution pivot to profitability
AI/TechnologyNVIDIA collaboration; SDV progress; expand Super Cruise Hires to lead AI; >$4B deferred software; Super Cruise scaling Accelerating deployment
Regional Trends (China)Restructuring and equity income recovery Positive equity income; share gains continue Improving
Supply Chain/FootprintSupplier fire mitigated; buy-where-we-build principle U.S. module/capacity shifts; $4B U.S. assembly investments (2M+ U.S. units target) Building resilience

Management Commentary

  • “EBIT adjusted was $3 billion… decline was primarily driven by a net tariff impact of approximately $1.1 billion… offset by lower fixed costs, improved mix… higher warranty-related charges” — CFO Paul Jacobson .
  • “Chevrolet is now the number two EV brand… Cadillac became the number five EV brand overall” — CEO Mary Barra on EV momentum .
  • “By the end of the year, our customers will have access to more than 65,000 public fast-charging bays… 100,000 by the end of 2027” — Charging buildout .
  • “LMR chemistry… unique balance of energy density, charging capability, and cost efficiency… potential savings… greater than using LFP” — Battery cost roadmap .
  • “We resumed open market repurchases in early July” — Capital returns and flexibility .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariff cadence and mitigation: Q3 net tariff expense likely higher than Q2; gross FY impact $4–$5B with ~30% mitigation via manufacturing adjustments, cost initiatives, and pricing .
  • EV profitability path: Focus on chemistry (LMR/LFP), lighter/aero architectures, component standardization; disciplined production aligned to demand; aim for profitability across models .
  • Pricing dynamics: Retail pricing stable; fleet pricing moderated amid competition; strategy continues to emphasize discipline and product strength over incentives .
  • Korea operations & trade: Contribution-margin positive; decisions contingent on tariff agreements; U.S. capacity provides optionality .
  • Buybacks: $4.3B authorization remaining at Q2 end; open market repurchases restarted; free cash flow seasonally higher in H2 .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $46.28B* vs actual $47.12B; EPS-diluted-adjusted $2.48* vs actual $2.53; both beats despite tariff and warranty headwinds .
  • Forward consensus (context): Q3 2025 EPS $2.32*, revenue $45.33B*; Q4 2025 EPS $2.18*, revenue $45.67B*; management signals Q3 tariffs higher than Q2 and typical seasonality in NA volumes .

Values retrieved from S&P Global*.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q2 beat on revenue and EPS despite ~$1.1B tariff headwind; fundamentals (product strength, stable retail pricing) remain intact .
  • Near-term margin pressure (tariffs, warranty) likely persists into Q3; FY guide maintained with ~30% mitigation targeted and stable pricing assumptions .
  • Strategy pivot is clear: EV profitability focus via chemistry/aero/standardization; disciplined production to avoid discounting; software/services scale provides revenue visibility .
  • China is a bright spot with positive equity income and share gains; GMI EBIT improving; U.S. capacity investments add tariff resilience and ICE/EV mix flexibility .
  • Capital return remains active: dividend maintained; buybacks resumed; balance sheet flexibility supports execution amid policy shifts .
  • Trading lens: Watch Q3 tariff expense and fleet pricing trajectory; monitor warranty stabilization and EV mix; any trade relief or faster mitigation could be upside catalysts .