GL
GARMIN LTD (GRMN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record Q2 results: revenue $1.81B (+20% YoY), gross margin 58.8%, operating margin 26.0%, GAAP EPS $2.07, pro forma EPS $2.17; raised FY25 guidance to revenue ~$7.1B and pro forma EPS ~$8.00 .
- Significant beat vs consensus: revenue $1.81B vs $1.70B*, pro forma EPS $2.17 vs $1.90*; broad-based strength with double-digit growth in every segment; fitness led at +41% YoY .
- Segment growth guidance raised: Fitness to +25%, Aviation to +7%, Marine to +5%, Auto OEM to +10%; Outdoor maintained at +10% .
- Catalysts: MYLAPS acquisition to integrate race-day timing with Garmin devices ; Autoland certified for Cirrus SR G7+; SmartCharts launched; new Forerunner 570/970 and Venu X1 driving advanced wearables demand .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Fitness outperformance: +41% revenue YoY to $605M, margins 60% gross/33% operating; “advanced wearables” drove strength, including new Forerunner 570/970 and Venu X1 .
- Margin expansion: gross margin 58.8% (from 57.3%), operating margin 26.0% (from 22.7%), operating income +38% YoY to $472M; CEO: “double-digit growth in every segment” .
- Guidance raise despite tariff headwinds: FY25 revenue ~$7.1B, pro forma EPS ~$8.00; CFO noted tariffs impact offset by FX and mitigations; effective tax rate raised to 17.5% .
What Went Wrong
- Free cash flow compression: Q2 FCF $127M vs $218M prior year; management cited inventory build to support demand and mitigate tariffs .
- Auto OEM margin pressure: segment gross margin 17% and operating loss of $10M despite +16% revenue; continued investment ahead of next major program ramp in 2H26 .
- FX and tariffs create mixed effects: FX benefited top-line, but stronger New Taiwan dollar pressured product costs; OpEx as % of sales expected to increase ~30 bps in FY25 .
Financial Results
Consolidated Performance vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus (Quarter)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Net Sales and Profitability
KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered another quarter of outstanding financial results with double-digit growth in every segment… give us confidence to raise our full year guidance.” – Cliff Pemble, CEO .
- “We estimate revenue of approximately $7.1 billion… pro forma EPS of $8.00… impact from tariffs lower than previously estimated; offset by NT$ strength on costs.” – Doug Boessen, CFO .
- On MYLAPS: “Combination of Garmin devices with MYLAPS timing and race management technology will provide a comprehensive experience from training to race day.” – Cliff Pemble ; “Transform the competitive experience” – Brad Trenkle, Co-COO .
Q&A Highlights
- Channel dynamics: Minimal channel fill impact; sell-in vs sell-out tracking shows no stockpiling; retailers constrained by credit limits .
- Expense cadence: OpEx up ~30 bps FY; R&D headcount and SG&A infrastructure; back-half FX impacts; MYLAPS costs; performance comp; co-op advertising .
- Tariffs/FX: Tariff assumptions lowered vs April; wearables currently not tariffed; FX favorable to top-line but NT$ raises costs; mitigations ongoing (pricing case-by-case) .
- Growth algorithm: Potential structural shift with broader opportunities; focus on differentiated products and new categories .
- Subscriptions: Growing in Outdoor (inReach), Fitness (Bounce, Connect+), Aviation content; not yet 10% disclosure threshold .
- Auto OEM: 1M BMW domain controllers shipped; next program on track for 2H26; margin model still high-teens/20% GM medium-term .
Estimates Context
- Revenue beat: $1.815B actual vs $1.705B* consensus; EPS beat: pro forma $2.17 vs $1.90*; broad-based segment outperformance and margin expansion drove beats .
- FY25 guidance ($7.1B revenue, $8.00 EPS) sits modestly below current consensus ($7.212B*, $8.27*), implying potential estimate convergence as company executes raised segment growth plans .
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
FY25 Consensus vs Company Guidance
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Broad-based strength and margin expansion underpin a high-quality beat; fitness advanced wearables momentum appears sustainable into 2H on new launches .
- Guidance raised despite tariff headwinds suggests confidence in pricing power, FX tailwinds, and mitigation levers; watch NT$ and tariff policy for cost pressure .
- Segment guide increases (Fitness, Aviation, Marine, Auto OEM) are catalysts; Outdoor growth normalization expected post fenix anniversary .
- MYLAPS acquisition augments Garmin’s ecosystem with race-day integration—potential for enhanced services engagement and monetization over time .
- Inventory build strategically positions Garmin against tariff volatility and demand strength; near-term FCF impacted but FY FCF target ~$1.2B reiterated qualitatively .
- Auto OEM remains on long-run margin trajectory with program ramp in 2026; watch OEM cadence and cost recoveries .
- Tactical: Positive narrative on advanced wearables, guidance raise, and aviation innovation are likely stock catalysts; monitor FX, tariffs, and back-half OpEx cadence for leverage dynamics .