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Guidewire Software, Inc. (GWRE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong start to FY25: Q1 revenue rose 27% YoY to $262.9M and GAAP EPS reached $0.11 (non-GAAP $0.43), with subscription and support revenue up 33% YoY; ARR ended at $874M, at the high end of guidance .
  • Broad-based execution and Tier‑1 momentum: nine Q1 cloud deals including five Tier‑1s; Zurich signed a global framework agreement, accelerating multi-entity cloud adoption .
  • Profitability/margin upside: subscription & support gross margin reached 70% and overall gross margin 63% on platform efficiency and mix; services margin hit 20% on high utilization .
  • Guidance raised: FY25 total revenue increased to $1.155–$1.167B and non‑GAAP operating income to $164–$176M; Q2 revenue guided to $282–$288M with non‑GAAP op income $39–$45M; operating cash flow unchanged at $220–$250M .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: beat vs company Q1 guidance on revenue and profitability, visible Tier‑1 wins (Zurich framework), and FY25 guidance raise; S&S margin at 70% underscores cloud scale benefits .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Tier‑1/International momentum: 9 cloud deals (5 Tier‑1s), including Zurich’s global framework plus adoptions at Zurich entities (commercial suite and ClaimCenter Australia); additional Tier‑1 wins in Europe and ANZ .
  • Margin expansion: subscription & support gross margin reached 70% (vs 65% a year ago) on platform efficiency; services margin improved to 20% on utilization and lower subcontracting .
  • Cloud maturity and AI narrative: CEO highlighted easier updates, stronger referenceability, and generative AI plans to enhance developer productivity and underwriting/claims, resonating with customers; Gartner MQ named InsuranceSuite a clear leader .

Selected quotes:

  • “Cloud demand remained strong with 9 deals in Q1… five were with Tier 1 insurers… [Zurich] global framework agreement…” .
  • “Subscription and support gross margin was 70%… ahead of expectations due to… platform efficiency.” .
  • “We shared our vision to infuse generative AI in our platform… feedback was incredibly positive.” .

What Went Wrong

  • Cash outflows seasonality: Q1 operating cash flow was -$62.3M and free cash flow -$67.4M, impacted by annual bonus and commissions timing (seasonally weakest cash quarter) .
  • Services mix still below ideal steady-state: management does not expect services margins to sustain 20% through the year; utilization expected to tick down from Q1 strength .
  • ARR nuance and churn: one large deal signed in Q1 starts ARR in Q2; churn was “a little bit higher” in Q1 than expected for the rest of the year .

Financial Results

Headline metrics vs prior quarters (chronological order)

MetricQ3 FY2024Q4 FY2024Q1 FY2025
Total Revenue ($M)$240.7 $291.5 $262.9
GAAP EPS$(0.07) $0.20 $0.11
Non-GAAP EPS (Diluted)$0.26 $0.62 $0.43
ARR ($M, period-end)$828 $864 (revalued at FY-end FX) $874

Revenue mix

Revenue ($M)Q3 FY2024Q4 FY2024Q1 FY2025
Subscription & Support$138.0 $151.8 $169.7
License$56.2 $88.9 $37.4
Services$46.5 $50.8 $55.8
Total Revenue$240.7 $291.5 $262.9

Profitability and margins (Q1 FY2025 focus; non-GAAP where noted)

KPIQ1 FY2025
Overall Gross Margin (%)63%
S&S Gross Margin (%)70%
Services Gross Margin (%)20%
GAAP Operating Income (Loss) ($M)$(4.7)
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($M)$34.7
GAAP Net Income ($M)$9.1
Non-GAAP Net Income ($M)$36.8
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(62.3)
Free Cash Flow ($M)$(67.4)

YoY comps (Q1 FY2025 vs Q1 FY2024): total revenue +27%; S&S +33%; license +10%; services +22%; GAAP net income swung to $9.1M from $(27.1)M; non‑GAAP net income to $36.8M from $(0.3)M .

Non-GAAP adjustments include stock-based comp, amortization of intangibles, amortization of debt issuance costs, changes in fair value of strategic investments, retirement of debt, and tax effects .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Ending ARR ($M)FY2025$995–$1,005 $995–$1,005 Maintained
Total Revenue ($M)FY2025$1,135–$1,149 $1,155–$1,167 Raised
GAAP Operating Income ($M)FY2025$(4)–$10 $0–$12 Raised
Non‑GAAP Operating Income ($M)FY2025$157–$171 $164–$176 Raised
Operating Cash Flow ($M)FY2025$220–$250 $220–$250 Maintained
Total Revenue ($M)Q2 FY2025N/A$282–$288 New
Non‑GAAP Operating Income ($M)Q2 FY2025N/A$39–$45 New

Additional color from call: FY25 S&S gross margin raised to ~69% (from ~68% prior), services ~12%, overall ~65% .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 FY2024, Q4 FY2024)Current Period (Q1 FY2025)Trend
Tier‑1 cloud momentumQ3: strong Tier‑1 deal volume; APAC migration acceleration 9 cloud deals; 5 Tier‑1; Zurich global framework; EU/APAC Tier‑1 wins Improving
ARR trajectoryQ3 ARR $828M; FY24 ARR $864M revalued ARR $874M; one large deal ARR starts in Q2; slightly higher Q1 churn than rest of year Stable to improving
Margins & efficiencyFY24 model durability; cash from ops 20% of rev in FY24 S&S GM 70%; services GM 20%; reallocation of engineers to COGS will temper GM later Improving with mix; moderating later
AI/technologyContinuous innovation; product releases maturing platform (Q3) GenAI plans across platform, underwriting/claims; high customer engagement on AI Increasing focus
Partner ecosystemSI leadership critical; ecosystem momentum (prior) 33 SIs at Connections; new integrations (Hi Marley, Box) Strengthening
Regional trendsQ3: APAC acceleration Europe and ANZ Tier‑1 deal wins; Japan engagement rising Strengthening
Services executionQ3 services rev -6% YoY Q1 services margin 20% on utilization; not expected to persist at 20% Near-term strong, normalizing

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “We continue to see strong demand… particularly at the high end of the market… maturity of our cloud platform… and partner ecosystem… driving our company right now.”
  • Zurich framework: “A mechanism… to create a more fluid conversation with each… entity… it could only speed up our sales momentum with Zurich.”
  • AI vision: “We shared our vision to infuse generative AI… improve developer productivity and accelerate underwriting and claims processes… feedback… incredibly positive.”
  • Margin drivers: “S&S gross margin was 70%… ahead of expectations due to higher‑than‑expected revenue and continued progress on platform efficiency… services gross margin was 20%… strong utilization and lower subcontractor costs.”
  • Cloud migration pacing: “We are going to get 100% of our customer base to our cloud… it’s going to take a long time, but we’re going to do it.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Zurich GFA impact: Framework simplifies and accelerates multi-entity deals; two Zurich entities closed alongside the framework .
  • S&S margin step-up explanation: Expected increase in platform usage through the year and reclassification of certain engineers from R&D to COGS (~1pt FY impact) imply margins won’t stay at 70% every quarter .
  • Services durability: Q1 utilization strong; partners still lead most programs; margins expected to normalize below 20% later in the year .
  • ARR timing and churn: One deal signed Q1 starts ARR in Q2; Q1 churn slightly higher than expected for rest of year .
  • AI pricing: Too early to specify; AI will be embedded across solutions with nuanced packaging/pricing .
  • Workers’ comp opportunity: 122 customers; potential for product and analytics enhancements and network effects across carriers .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data request limits. As a proxy, we compared actuals to company guidance:
    • Q1 revenue $262.9M vs prior guide $251–$257M (beat) .
    • Q1 non‑GAAP operating income $34.7M vs prior guide $18–$24M (beat) .
    • ARR $874M vs prior guide $869–$874M (at high end) .
  • Where estimates are needed for trading models, we recommend refreshing consensus once S&P Global access is restored.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Cloud transition flywheel turning at the high end: visible Tier‑1 wins and the Zurich framework should compress sales cycles and increase multi-entity opportunity density .
  • Profitability inflection intact: 70% S&S GM and raised FY25 revenue/non‑GAAP OI guidance suggest durable operating leverage as cloud scale builds .
  • Near-term model watchpoints: Q2 implied S&S GM moderation due to usage ramp and cost reclassifications; services margins expected to normalize below Q1’s 20% .
  • ARR cadence steady with timing nuances: strong bookings backdrop, but some ARR start dates lag signings and Q1 churn slightly elevated vs rest-of-year plan .
  • AI narrative as a demand catalyst: customer engagement is broad-based; Guidewire’s platform integration focus positions it to monetize through solution-level packaging .
  • Cash seasonality understood: Q1 cash outflow is typical; FY25 operating cash flow guide maintained at $220–$250M .
  • Setup: Continued Tier‑1 execution, margin discipline, and an expanding partner ecosystem remain the core drivers into Q2, with guidance implying sequential revenue growth .

Appendix: Additional Data

Q1 FY2025 GAAP P&L line items (selected)

  • Subscription & support revenue: $169.742M; License: $37.370M; Services: $55.789M .
  • Total cost of revenue: $104.509M; R&D: $68.880M; S&M: $51.478M; G&A: $42.754M .
  • GAAP net income: $9.139M; diluted shares: 85.961M; GAAP diluted EPS: $0.11 .
  • Free cash flow: $(67.381)M .
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and investments: $1,480.4M; established $300M revolver on Dec 2, 2024 .
  • Credit agreement effective Dec 2, 2024 ($300M revolver; various terms) .

Company guidance bridge (Q1 FY25 actual vs prior Q1 guide)

MetricPrior Q1 FY25 GuidanceActual Q1 FY25
ARR ($M)$869–$874 $874
Total Revenue ($M)$251–$257 $262.9
GAAP Operating Income (Loss) ($M)$(18)–$(12) $(4.7)
Non‑GAAP Operating Income ($M)$18–$24 $34.7