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HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP INC (HAIN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2024 was mixed: net sales fell 3.7% year over year to $0.438B, but adjusted EBITDA rose 17.5% to $43.8M and adjusted gross margin expanded 90 bps to 22.3% .
  • Management cut FY2024 guidance: organic net sales now -3% to -4% (from +≈1%), adjusted EBITDA $150–$155M (from $155–$160M), free cash flow reaffirmed at $40–$45M; drivers were infant formula supply shortfalls, Snacks execution, and slower Personal Care stabilization .
  • Cash generation and de‑leveraging were bright spots: operating cash flow $42.3M, free cash flow $30.2M, net debt $728.0M, net secured leverage 3.9x; management expects a modest leverage tick-up in Q4, returning to “high‑3s” by FY2025 .
  • Near‑term stock catalysts: evidence of infant formula recovery, Terra distribution expansion, and sustained margin/cash flow execution; management emphasized “85% of our business delivered 3% growth year‑to‑date” and confidence in “Hain Reimagined” despite top‑line softness .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margin and EBITDA improved: adjusted gross margin 22.3% (+90 bps YoY) and adjusted EBITDA $43.8M (+17.5% YoY), driven by productivity, pricing, and reduced SG&A .
  • Cash flow and leverage: operating cash flow $42.3M (vs $29.0M prior year), free cash flow $30.2M (vs $21.6M), net secured leverage down to 3.9x and net debt reduced since FY start .
  • Improved supply and execution: in‑stock rates >94%, up 130 bps vs Q2 and 400 bps vs peers; management: “we remain confident in our ability to reach the full potential of our Hain Reimagined strategy” .

What Went Wrong

  • Top‑line decline and NA weakness: consolidated net sales -3.7% YoY; North America -6.5% on Personal Care (-480 bps drag) and infant formula (-70 bps), partially offset by Beverages .
  • Infant formula supply shortfalls: Perrigo shutdowns impacted Earth’s Best; management relegated formula to “stabilize” bucket and pushed recovery into 2H 2024 .
  • Guidance cut: FY2024 organic net sales, EBITDA lowered; execution in Snacks distribution expansion “short of expectations,” and Personal Care stabilization taking longer than planned .

Financial Results

Consolidated performance (sequential comparison)

MetricQ1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$0.425 $0.454 $0.438
Diluted EPS (GAAP, $)-$0.12 -$0.15 -$0.54
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP, $)-$0.04 $0.12 $0.13
Gross Margin % (GAAP)19.7% 22.5% 22.1%
Adjusted Gross Margin %20.5% 23.5% 22.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %5.7% 10.4% 10.0%
Net Loss Margin % (GAAP)-2.4% -3.0% -11.0%

Year-over-year snapshot

MetricQ3 2023Q3 2024
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$0.455 $0.438
Diluted EPS (GAAP, $)-$1.29 -$0.54
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP, $)$0.08 $0.13
Gross Margin % (GAAP)21.4% 22.1%
Adjusted Gross Margin %21.4% 22.3%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %8.2% 10.0%

Segment breakdown (Q3 2024)

SegmentNet Sales ($M)YoY %Adjusted Gross Margin %Adjusted EBITDA ($M)Adjusted EBITDA Margin %
North America$268.1 -6.5% 22.2% $27.9 10.4%
International$170.3 +1.0% 22.4% $24.5 14.4%

Category KPIs (Q3 2024)

CategoryNet Sales ($M)YoY GrowthFX Impact
Snacks$111.2 -0.4% +0.3%
Baby & Kids$64.3 -4.0% +1.7%
Beverages$68.4 +6.7% +0.7%
Meal Prep$165.7 -2.1% +2.2%
Personal Care$28.8 -33.5% +0.1%

Cash and leverage (Q3 2024)

MetricQ3 2024
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$42.3
Free Cash Flow ($M)$30.2
Net Debt ($M)$728.0
Net Secured Leverage (x)3.9x

Non-GAAP adjustments were significant (e.g., $49.4M intangibles & long‑lived impairments; productivity/transformation costs; litigation; plant closure and consolidation costs), underpinning adjusted margins and EPS improvements versus GAAP .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Organic Net SalesFY 2024≈+1% YoY (revised in Q2) -3% to -4% YoY Lowered
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2024$155–$160 $150–$155 Lowered
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2024$40–$45 $40–$45 Maintained
Gross Margin Expansion (bps)FY 2024+50–100 bps (Q2 commentary) Up to +50 bps (Q3 commentary) Lowered

Management cited: infant formula supplier did not deliver commitments; Snacks distribution expansion execution short of expectations; Personal Care stabilization requiring deeper SKU/footprint actions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Previous Mentions)Q1 2024 (Previous Mentions)Q3 2024 (Current Period)Trend
Supply chain reliabilitySequential improvement; productivity offsets inflation; international margin gains Building end‑to‑end capabilities; working capital improvements In‑stock >94% (+130 bps vs Q2; +400 bps vs peers) Improving
Infant formulaExpected 2H recovery; drag in Q2 Industry supply constraints; recovery planned for 2H Supplier shutdowns; recovery “beginning in 2H 2024”; moved to stabilize bucket Stabilization delayed
Snacks executionChannel expansion (10k C‑stores), Flavor Burst launch Innovation pipeline; omnichannel support Garden Veggie strong; Terra distribution rebuilding; execution “short of expectations” Mixed
Personal CarePull‑forward focus actions; top‑line drag expected Stabilization work; e‑commerce growth 62% SKU reduction; consolidate to one plant; ~11pt margin improvement targeted Restructuring
Beverages (nondairy, tea)International nondairy growth; Celestial share gains Tea & nondairy momentum; brand campaigns Beverages +6.7% YoY; Celestial Seasonings growth continues Improving
Working capitalDPO/DIO improvement; leverage down to 4.2x Payables and inventory optimization initiated DPO 46 (from 37), DIO 77 (from 82); leverage 3.9x Improving
FX/macroFX tailwind reduced; revised guidance European private label resilience; NA behavior normalizing FX contributed +1.3 pts to organic net sales; macro still mixed Mixed

Management Commentary

  • “85% of our business delivered 3% growth year‑to‑date, and we are aggressively working to accelerate growth in the balance of our portfolio… We remain confident in our ability to reach the full potential of our Hain Reimagined strategy.” — Wendy Davidson, CEO .
  • “Fiscal third quarter results were below our expectations and we are revising our guidance… infant formula did not recover as expected… Snacks execution did not meet our standards… Personal Care stabilization is taking longer than expected.” — Lee Boyce, CFO .
  • “For the third quarter, Hain in‑stock rates were over 94%, increasing 130 basis points from quarter 2 and 400 basis points better than our peer set.” — Wendy Davidson .
  • “We generated third quarter cash from operating activities of $42 million… CapEx was $12 million… net leverage ratio of 3.9x… expect net leverage to tick up modestly in the fourth quarter and the first quarter of fiscal year ’25 before ending fiscal ’25 in the high 3s.” — Lee Boyce .

Q&A Highlights

  • Snacks distribution and private label sensitivity: Garden Veggie velocity strong; Terra rebuilding distribution; category less private‑label penetrated (<15%); pricing positioned as “affordable premium” .
  • Infant formula classification and outlook: moved to stabilized due to assured supply and shelf re‑earn; recovery inventory on hand covers FY outlook; broader recovery expected in 2H 2024 .
  • Personal Care strategy: aggressive SKU cuts (62%), consolidation to single facility and fewer co‑mans (‑60%); targeted ~11pt margin improvement by 2H FY2025 .
  • Margin cadence: implied Q4 margin step‑down reflects volume deleverage, mix (formula), and lapping a prior year international one‑time benefit; productivity savings remain on track .
  • Channel expansion: >10,000 new C‑store placements; foodservice wins; away‑from‑home growth margin‑accretive .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of query, so we cannot assess beats/misses relative to Street estimates. As a result, estimate comparison columns below are labeled N/A.
  • Given the guidance cut (organic net sales, EBITDA), Street models likely need to reduce FY2024 revenue and EBITDA assumptions and temper gross margin expansion expectations (from 50–100 bps to “up to 50 bps”) .
MetricQ3 2024 ActualQ3 2024 Consensusvs Consensus
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$0.438 N/AN/A
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.13 N/AN/A
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$43.8 N/AN/A

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin and cash discipline are working: adjusted gross margin +90 bps YoY; adjusted EBITDA +17.5%; FCF strong; deleveraging ongoing .
  • Top‑line headwinds persist in North America (Personal Care, infant formula), necessitating a more conservative FY2024 outlook and Street model resets .
  • Execution watch‑items: infant formula recovery (supplier performance), Terra distribution expansion, and Personal Care stabilization; these will drive sentiment and multiple .
  • International remains a ballast: modest net sales growth (+1%), stronger adjusted margins and EBITDA, aided by FX and productivity; Beverages solid .
  • Channel expansion and innovation are tangible levers: Flavor Burst ramp, C‑store and foodservice penetration; sustained support should bolster Snacks trajectory into FY2025 .
  • Near‑term trading setup: watch Q4 margin cadence (mix, lapping one‑time), cash conversion/working capital progress, and updates on FY2025 leverage path to “high‑3s” .
  • Medium‑term thesis: if Hain Reimagined continues to deliver fuel (productivity, working capital) and the “stabilize” bucket normalizes, the portfolio can pivot back to growth with improved mix/returns; monitor non‑GAAP adjustments’ trajectory for cleaner GAAP/adjusted convergence .