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    HOULIHAN LOKEY (HLI)

    HLI Q1 2026: 21% Growth in Corporate Finance as Deal Momentum Builds

    Reported on Jul 30, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$191.39Last close (Jul 30, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$190.08Open (Jul 31, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-1.31(-0.68%)
    • Improving Market Momentum: Executives noted that deal activity is “getting better” quarter by quarter with expectations for a post‐Labor Day pickup—highlighting a positive sentiment shift in the sponsor and M&A markets.
    • Resilient, Diversified Business Model: The Q&A highlighted strength across multiple lines, including Corporate Finance and Financial Restructuring, demonstrating that the firm’s diversified revenue sources continue to perform well even in volatile conditions.
    • Robust Talent Acquisition: The company’s active MD and senior talent hiring, as discussed in Q&A, supports future growth and further scalability of its business platform.
    • Market Volatility and Cautious Outlook: Executives repeatedly emphasized a cautious tone by noting they are “cautiously optimistic” and measured in their language amid a dynamic, volatile macro environment. This uncertainty raises the risk of slower deal flow and potential future headwinds.
    • Deceleration in Corporate Finance Growth: While Corporate Finance remains strong with 21% revenue growth this quarter, it represents a deceleration from the exceptional 44% growth seen in the previous year's quarter, suggesting potential challenges in sustaining momentum over time.
    • Reliance on Seasonal Sponsor Activity Recovery: Management highlighted muted sponsor activity and expressed expectations for a post‐Labor Day pickup. This reliance on seasonal recovery introduces risk if the anticipated rebound in sponsor activity fails to materialize.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue Growth

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Corporate Finance revenues are expected to continue growing, with a positive outlook for FY 2026, despite some muted activity from the financial sponsor community. The company expressed cautious optimism that momentum would continue through FY 2026.

    no prior guidance

    Financial Restructuring

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Elevated restructuring revenues are anticipated throughout FY 2026, supported by persistently higher interest rates, macro uncertainty, and overleveraged companies.

    no prior guidance

    Financial and Valuation Advisory

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Continued year-over-year growth is expected throughout the remainder of FY 2026.

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Compensation Expense Ratio

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    The company expects to maintain a long-term target of 61.5% for the adjusted compensation expense ratio for the balance of FY 2026.

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Non-Compensation Expenses

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    Growth of non-compensation expenses for FY 2026 is expected to be in the high single digits range year-on-year.

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted Effective Tax Rate

    FY 2026

    no prior guidance

    The full-year adjusted effective tax rate for FY 2026 is expected to be between 25-26%.

    no prior guidance

    1. Corporate Backlog
      Q: How is deal pipeline holding up?
      A: Management noted consistent momentum in Corporate Finance with resilient client engagement while purposely not commenting in detail on backlog, reflecting steady execution amid uncertainty.

    2. Deal Activity
      Q: How are deal volume and quality?
      A: They reported robust performance with 21% revenue growth and healthy deal flow on an expanded base, despite a minor deceleration compared to an extraordinary prior quarter.

    3. Sponsor Activity
      Q: When will sponsor activity rebound?
      A: The team expects an uptick post-Labor Day, noting seasonal patterns and positive dialogues that signal a gradual recovery in sponsor markets.

    4. Non-Comp Guidance
      Q: Is non-comp expense growth as projected?
      A: Management confirmed expectations of high single-digit growth driven by headcount expansion, with guidance unchanged despite current elevated first-quarter expenses.

    5. Restructuring Trends
      Q: How is restructuring evolving?
      A: They indicated a robust restructuring environment with balanced in-court and out-of-court activity, underscoring strong liability management performance.

    6. Acquisition Pipeline
      Q: Are acquisitions getting harder to close?
      A: Management maintained confidence in a robust acquisition environment, suggesting that tougher conditions haven’t dampened their ability to close deals.

    7. Senior Hiring
      Q: Why are MD hires accelerating?
      A: The uptick in senior hires reflects opportunistic growth rather than a strategic shift away from junior recruitment, maintaining a balanced approach.

    8. Market Caution
      Q: Why remain cautious amidst highs?
      A: Despite buoyant market signals, they stress being measured given inherent volatility and uncertainty, ensuring prudence in their outlook.

    9. Secondaries Growth
      Q: What about secondaries business trends?
      A: Management is enthusiastic about secondaries growth within Capital Solutions, signaling potential for significant scaling in this integrated platform.

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