HS
HENRY SCHEIN INC (HSIC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 revenue was $3.24B (+3.3% as-reported; +1.9% internal) with non-GAAP EPS of $1.10 and GAAP EPS of $0.70; revenue beat Street ($3.22B*) while EPS missed ($1.19*) and Adjusted EBITDA of $256M lagged consensus ($271M*) .
- Guidance maintained: 2025 non-GAAP EPS $4.80–$4.94, total sales growth +2–4%, and mid-single-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth; earnings weighted to H2 .
- What drove results: Medical Distribution +6.1% and Technology +7.4% offset U.S. margin pressure (lower glove pricing, time-limited promotions) and softer U.S. dental equipment tied to tariff uncertainty in May (orders normalized by quarter-end) .
- Strategic catalysts: BOLD+1 execution (high-growth/high-margin mix), KKR Capstone-led programs (gross margin uplift, efficiencies, AI-enabled process improvements) expected to show benefits starting in 2026 .
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Medical Distribution grew 6.1% (6.0% cc) on higher patient traffic, Home Solutions strength, and acquisitions; technology revenue rose 7.4% (6.6% cc) with strong cloud practice management and RCM products .
- Specialty Products increased 4.2% (3.3% cc) led by implants/biomaterials and endodontic consumables; management: “We achieved over 45% of our non-GAAP operating income from high growth, high margin businesses” .
- Execution on digital and SaaS: “Practice Management software growth was in the mid double digits… we now have over 10,000 customers subscribed to the Dentrix Ascend and Dentally systems” . Also Forms launch to streamline intake, evidencing product velocity .
What Went Wrong
- U.S. margins compressed vs prior year from lower glove pricing and targeted promotions; CFO flagged GAAP operating margin down 42 bps YoY and non-GAAP down 79 bps for Q2 .
- U.S. dental equipment slowed beginning in May amid tariff uncertainty (order intake returned to normal by quarter-end), dampening segment momentum .
- Orthodontics remained soft; business being reorganized for future profitable growth .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics by Quarter (oldest → newest)
Operating Margins
Segment Breakdown – Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024
Selected sub-breakdowns:
- U.S. Distribution & VAS: $1,860 (+2.2%)
- International Distribution & VAS: $871 (+4.5%)
- Global Medical: $1,016 (+6.1%)
- Global Dental: $1,715 (+1.1%)
KPIs
Non-GAAP Adjustments – Q2 2025
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We had good sales growth in our Global Distribution Group… lower margins in the U.S. versus the prior year primarily resulting from lower glove pricing as well as time-limited targeted sales initiatives… Our Specialty Products and Technology Groups continued to deliver strong results” .
- “Partnering with KKR Capstone, we have engaged two leading global management consulting firms to support our efforts to enhance distribution gross margins… and increase efficiencies… projects… start producing results towards the beginning of 2026” .
- “Practice Management software growth was in the mid double digits… we now have over 10,000 customers subscribed to the Dentrix Ascend and Dentally systems” .
- “We are maintaining our full year guidance, which continues to reflect earnings weighted to the second half of the year” .
Q&A Highlights
- Back-half cadence: EPS expected to grow in Q3 with Q4 possibly exceeding Q3; backlog and Specialty/Tech momentum underpin H2 weighting .
- Margin drivers: About one-third of gross margin pressure YoY tied to gloves; promotions were time-limited; management expects sequential stabilization .
- Targeted sales initiatives: Focused program to win back customers post-cyber; promotions ended; July sales momentum encouraging .
- DSOs and de novo builds: Funding stable; new office designs double-digit YoY growth in most months; digital investment remains strong .
- Tariff pass-through mechanics: Mix-shift to owned brands/alternative sourcing; selective price actions where needed; customers generally accepting tariff-related increases .
Estimates Context
Note: Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Interpretation: Q2 revenue beat, while EPS and EBITDA missed; Q1 EPS beat with revenue/EBITDA below consensus; Q4 was mixed (EPS near in-line, revenue/EBITDA below).
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mixed print: revenue strength offset by margin compression; mgmt reaffirmed FY guide and H2 weighting, which should anchor estimates and sentiment near-term .
- Watch margin trajectory: glove pricing pressure stabilizing and promotions ended; look for gross margin sequential stabilization in H2 and early benefits from restructuring savings (> $100M run-rate by YE25) .
- Specialty/Tech momentum: implants/biomaterials and cloud/RCM growth support non-GAAP operating income mix shift toward higher-margin businesses (already 45% this quarter) .
- Equipment outlook: temporary tariff-driven pause in May but backlog normalized by quarter-end; H2 improvement expected as uncertainty eases .
- Execution catalysts: KKR Capstone programs (pricing/owned brands, SG&A, AI-enabled efficiencies) should be monitored for 2026 uplift; near-term slides/investor updates likely in Q3 .
- Capital returns: ASR completed; remaining $432M authorization provides flexibility while share issuance to KKR balances repurchases .
- Near-term trading lens: narrative hinges on H2 delivery versus maintained guide; watch July/August sales trends, margins, Medical/Home Solutions growth, and any tariff-related updates .