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HUBBELL INC (HUBB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered an EPS beat with adjusted diluted EPS of $5.17 versus S&P Global consensus of ~$4.98, while revenue of $1.50B came in modestly below consensus of ~$1.53B; operating margin held at 22.0% with adjusted margin of 23.9%. Bold: EPS beat, revenue slight miss . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Guidance raised: FY25 diluted EPS to $16.55–$16.75 (from $16.25–$16.75) and adjusted EPS to $18.10–$18.30 (from $17.65–$18.15); adjusted tax rate lowered to 20.5–21.0% (from 22.0–22.5%), offsetting lower sales growth now 3–4% (from 4–6%) .
  • Utility Solutions showed mixed performance: Grid Infrastructure +9% organic growth and broad T&D strength; Grid Automation -18% with normalization expected in Q4; Electrical Solutions +8% organic growth led by data centers and light industrial, with 140 bps adjusted margin expansion .
  • Order book acceleration in September–October within T&D and distribution post-destocking supports stronger Q4 organic growth and margin expansion across segments; management flagged a lower year-over-year tax rate as a Q3 tailwind and expects tax rate normalization in 2026 .
  • Strategic catalysts: completed acquisition of DMC Power (high-margin substation connector technology) financed via $600M term loan; expected to be neutral in Q4 and accretive by ~$0.20 to adjusted EPS in 2026; dividend increased 8% to $5.68 annual rate ($1.42/qtr) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Electrical Solutions delivered 10% sales growth and adjusted operating margin of 20.8% (+140 bps YoY), driven by data center and light industrial demand; management highlighted “compete collectively” initiatives and salesforce realignment as margin drivers .
  • Utility T&D markets remained robust with Grid Infrastructure achieving ~9% net sales growth; order acceleration in Sep/Oct across transmission, substation, and distribution supports Q4 strength. Quote: “order book…accelerated over the past two months…good sign for 4Q and beyond” .
  • Price and productivity actions offset cost inflation, sustaining positive price-cost in Q3; tax rate fell to 17.5% (from 21.0% YoY) due to international restructuring, lifting EPS. Quote: “pricing and productivity…more than offsetting these costs…lower tax rate…helped us drive the rate down” .

What Went Wrong

  • Grid Automation sales declined 18% (AMI/meters weakness), creating a 3–4 pt drag to overall growth; margin pressure from decrementals and restructuring spend persisted though normalization expected in Q4 .
  • Company lowered FY25 sales growth outlook to 3–4% (from 4–6%), reflecting steadier-than-anticipated Grid Infrastructure inflection and tariff-related price-volume dynamics, even as EPS guidance rose via tax rate .
  • Cost inflation (raw materials, tariffs) accelerated from H1; operational investments and restructuring increased in Q3, weighing segment margins despite price-cost offsets .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$1.3652 $1.4843 $1.5024
Diluted EPS ($)$3.15 $4.56 $4.77
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$3.50 $4.93 $5.17
Operating Margin (%)17.5% 22.7% 22.0%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)19.3% 24.4% 23.9%
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$11.4 $220.7 $253.8
Estimates vs Actual (Q3 2025)ConsensusActual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.533*$1.5024
Primary EPS ($)$4.976*$5.17
# of Estimates (EPS / Revenue)13* / 10*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment (Q3 2025)Net Sales ($USD Millions)YoYOperating Margin (GAAP)Adjusted Operating Margin
Utility Solutions$943.8 +1% 23.2% 25.7%
Electrical Solutions$558.6 +10% 19.9% 20.8%
KPIsQ3 2025
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$284.3
Effective Tax Rate (%)17.5%
Net Debt to Total Capital (%)21% (Net Debt $1,215.6; Total Capital $5,677.6 as of 9/30/25)

Notes:

  • Utility Solutions detail: Grid Infrastructure +~9%; Grid Automation -~18% in Q3 .
  • Adjusted EBITDA Q3: $380.0M (+5% YoY) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Diluted EPSFY 2025$16.25–$16.75 $16.55–$16.75 Raised (low end)
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$17.65–$18.15 $18.10–$18.30 Raised (range, midpoint +$0.30 per mgmt)
Total Sales GrowthFY 20254–6% 3–4% Lowered
Adjusted Tax RateFY 202522.0–22.5% 20.5–21.0% Lowered
FCF ConversionFY 2025~90% on adjusted net income ~90% on adjusted net income Maintained
Restructuring & Related InvestmentFY 2025~$20M ~$20M Maintained
DividendFY 2025$5.28 annual ($1.32/qtr) $5.68 annual ($1.42/qtr) Raised
DMC Power EPS AccretionFY 2026N/A~+$0.20 adjusted EPS New (acquisition)

Additional context: Adoption of FIFO inventory accounting in Q2 reduced COGS by $29M ($0.42/diluted share) in Q2 and $20M in 1H; management bridged ~$0.30 H1 benefit within guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Tariffs & Pricing$135M 2025 inflation/tariff exposure; price actions and $0.50 sensitivity introduced ~2 pts price realized in Q2; ~3 pts full-year; FIFO improves matching; neutralize tariff headwinds Price/productivity exceeded cost inflation; incremental price in Q4 Improving price-cost, execution holding
Data Center InitiativesStrong growth (connectors, PCX) Continued strength; behind-the-meter content detail; vertical selling improvements Strong Q3 performance; capacity additions; visibility to continued strength Strengthening
Grid Automation (AMI/meters)Down ~15%; sequential flattening, MRO base Down ~13%; headwinds fading, expect YoY flat in Q4 Down 18% in Q3; normalization and return to growth expected in Q4 Bottoming; improvement expected
Utility Distribution DestockingEmerging from normalization; orders strong Destocking concluded; return to growth Orders accelerated in Sep/Oct; broad T&D strength Improved throughput
Tax RateGuide 22–22.5% Maintained 22–22.5% Lowered to 20.5–21.0% (Q3 ETR 17.5%); normalize in 2026 Lower in 2025; normalizing 2026
M&A / DMC PowerPipeline active Announced acquisition pipeline; small bolt-ons; capital allocation Closed DMC; substation connectors; neutral Q4, +$0.20 EPS in 2026 Strategic portfolio added
AI/Tech for EfficiencyNot highlighted“Areas of AI” to gain efficiencies; long-term investment No new specificsEarly, exploratory
Supply ChainNot highlightedFIFO transition; better cost-revenue match “Supply chain normalization dynamics behind us” Normalizing

Management Commentary

  • “Hubbell delivered double digit adjusted earnings per diluted share growth in the third quarter, driven by strong organic growth in Electrical Solutions and Grid Infrastructure…as well as a lower year-over-year tax rate” – Gerben Bakker .
  • “Order book…accelerated over the past two months in September and October, really releasing some pent-up spending…good sign for 4Q and beyond” – Bill Sperry .
  • “We are raising our full-year 2025 outlook…lower full-year tax rate drives higher adjusted earnings per share” – Gerben Bakker .
  • On DMC Power: “highly complementary…unique technical solution in high-growth substation markets…anticipate ~$0.20 of adjusted EPS accretion in 2026” – Gerben Bakker .
  • “Pricing and productivity actions have been successful in more than offsetting these costs” – Gerben Bakker .

Q&A Highlights

  • Utility trajectory: Exit rate supports strong 2026 setup, but management remains prudent; Q4 benefits from easier comps and order snapback, particularly in T&D .
  • Tax rate: 2025 lowered by project-driven restructuring; expected to normalize in 2026 .
  • Pricing stickiness: Broad acceptance across channel and end markets; small share of total system cost and strong specification positions support stick-rate .
  • Data center content: Significant behind-the-meter exposure (connectors, grounding, PCX); in-front-of-the-meter investment also a demand driver via utilities .
  • DMC margins: High-margin substation solution; strong synergy with Hubbell connectors and salesforce scale .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 2025 EPS beat: Actual adjusted diluted EPS $5.17 vs S&P Global consensus ~$4.98; beat likely driven by lower tax rate and positive price-cost/productivity . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Q3 2025 revenue miss: Actual $1.5024B vs S&P Global consensus ~$1.533B; slight miss given Grid Automation weakness and steadier Grid Infrastructure inflection timing . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Implications: Consensus EPS for FY25 likely to drift higher on tax rate and margin performance; revenue estimates may adjust modestly lower given updated 3–4% FY25 sales growth outlook .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q3 quality beat: EPS outperformed consensus on margin discipline and tax rate; revenue modestly below, with clear Q4 visibility from orders and pricing actions—tilts near-term risk/reward favorably into the print cycle .
  • Segment mix is improving: Electrical Solutions growth and margin expansion, plus broad T&D strength, offset Grid Automation; Q4 comparisons set for normalization in GA (AMI/meters) .
  • Guidance reset is constructive: Lower sales growth offset by margin/tax benefits; raised FY25 EPS guidance narrows range and improves confidence, with 90% FCF conversion intact .
  • Structural tailwinds: Grid hardening, load growth, and data center interconnections underpin multi-year T&D demand; Hubbell’s specified positions and portfolio breadth support sustained outgrowth .
  • Strategic M&A: DMC Power adds high-margin substation connectors, neutral near-term, accretive in 2026; strengthens Hubbell’s substation automation and connector franchises .
  • Pricing execution: Positive price-cost continues despite tariffs; expect incremental price in Q4; FIFO change improved cost-revenue timing alignment .
  • Watch 2026 setup: Management cautious near-term but exit rates and demand signals suggest a constructive backdrop; tax rate normalizes and GA headwinds fade—potential for EPS compounding .