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HAVERTY FURNITURE COMPANIES INC (HVT) Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered $184.4M revenue, $0.49 diluted EPS, and 61.9% gross margin; sales fell 12.5% YoY and comps declined 13.7%, but revenue improved sequentially vs. Q3 and margins remained strong despite a smaller LIFO tailwind .
  • 2025 outlook calls for gross margin of 60.0%–60.5% and fixed/discretionary SG&A of $291–$293M, with variable SG&A at 19.0%–19.3% and a 26.5% tax rate; capex planned at ~$27.1M .
  • Strategic growth continued: five net new stores in 2024 and a return to Houston; management is finalizing leases for a third Houston store in late 2025 and targets 6–8 stores in that market longer-term .
  • Near-term catalysts: sequential traffic and written-sales improvement exiting Q4, stable 2025 margin guidance, and continued store expansion; key overhangs include macro/housing softness and tariff risks (China in effect; Canada/Mexico possible), which management expects to mitigate without changing margin guidance .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Gross margins held up: 61.9% in Q4; excluding LIFO, margins rose ~40 bps YoY (LIFO +$0.9M in Q4’24 vs. +$2.8M in Q4’23) .
    • Sequential demand indicators improved: written sales trended better through the quarter (Oct low-teens decline → nearly flat in Dec) and traffic turned positive YoY in Q4; average ticket rose ~4% to just under $3,400; design business ~32% of sales with designer average ticket >$7,200 .
    • Growth/investment continues: five net new stores in 2024, return to Houston (two stores open, third lease in process), and site tech upgrades (Adobe) that lifted organic traffic double digits on the homepage .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Demand remained soft: revenue down 12.5% YoY and comps -13.7% in Q4; EPS declined to $0.49 from $0.90 YoY .
    • SG&A deleverage on lower volumes: SG&A 57.4% of sales vs. 54.4% last year, even as absolute SG&A fell $8.9M (lower selling, delivery, and admin, partially offset by higher occupancy) .
    • Macro/tariff headwinds persist: higher mortgage rates continue to pressure big-ticket demand; tariff exposure (China; potential Canada/Mexico) is a watch item, though management expects to mitigate via vendor negotiations, pricing, and assortment without altering margin guidance .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L (USD Millions, except per-share; periods ordered oldest → newest)

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$178.6 $175.9 $184.4
Gross Profit ($M)$108.0 $105.9 $114.2
Gross Margin %60.4% 60.2% 61.9%
SG&A ($M)$103.1 $100.9 $105.8
SG&A % of Sales57.7% 57.4% 57.4%
Pre-tax Income ($M)$6.5 $6.9 $9.6
Pre-tax Margin %3.6% 3.9% 5.2%
Net Income ($M)$4.4 $4.9 $8.2
Net Margin %2.5% 2.8% 4.4%
Diluted EPS ($)$0.27 $0.29 $0.49

YoY and vs. Estimates (Q4 2024)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024YoYS&P Global ConsensusVs. Consensus
Revenue ($M)$210.7 $184.4 -12.5% n/a (unavailable)n/a
Diluted EPS ($)$0.90 $0.49 n/a (unavailable)n/a
Gross Margin %62.4% 61.9% -50 bps n/a (unavailable)n/a

KPIs and Operating Indicators

KPIQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Comp-store sales change-13.6% -20.5% -13.7%
Total written sales change-15.2% -15.3% -6.7%
Design business share34.5% of written (YTD) ~34% of sales (quarter) ~32% of sales (quarter)
Average ticket$3,332 (YTD) $3,365 (YTD) ~“just under $3,400” (quarter)
Cash, cash & restricted ($M)$116.1 $127.4 $126.3
LIFO impact on GP (Q4)+$0.9M vs. +$2.8M in Q4’23

Note: Havertys does not report segment financials; no segment table is applicable.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Gross Profit Margin %FY202560.0%–60.5% New (set for 2025)
SG&A Fixed/Discretionary ($M)FY2025$291–$293 New
SG&A Variable (% of sales)FY202519.0%–19.3% New
Effective Tax RateFY202528.0% (FY2024 guide) 26.5% Lower vs. FY2024
Capital Expenditures ($M)FY2025~$33.0 (FY2024 plan) ~$27.1 Lower vs. FY2024
Store OpeningsFY20255 net/year plan reiterated Goal of 5; third Houston store late ’25 Maintained/expanded in Houston

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Demand/TrafficQ3: Traffic improving but still cautious; hurricanes impacted operations; Labor Day mid-teens decline; average ticket ~+$3% Traffic turned positive YoY in Q4; written improved through quarter (Dec nearly flat); avg ticket ~+$4% Improving sequentially, still macro-sensitive
Gross Margin/LIFOQ2/Q3 guides: FY24 GM 60.0–60.5%; Q3 LIFO benefit immaterial vs. prior year Q4 GM 61.9%; LIFO +$0.9M vs. +$2.8M in Q4’23; ex-LIFO +40 bps YoY; 2025 GM 60.0–60.5% Stable; managed despite less LIFO
SG&A/Cost ControlQ2/Q3: SG&A down in dollars, deleverage on lower sales Q4 SG&A -$8.9M YoY; deleverage to 57.4% vs. 54.4% Controls ongoing; deleverage risk persists on volume
Store Growth (Houston)Q3: 2024 plan for 5 net new; Houston priority; second Baybrook opened Jan’25 Two Houston stores open; leases for third in late ’25; target 6–8 in market; five net new stores in 2024 Accelerating presence in a priority market
Marketing/TechQ3: A/B testing, AR features; new media partner; traffic lift Adobe site upgrade drove double-digit organic lift on homepage; broader rollout planned Digital funnel improving
Supply ChainQ3: Managed through port strike; inventories down; healthy turns Avoided potential Jan port disruption; inventory to rise 5–10% to support bestsellers and growth Proactive inventory stance
Tariffs/MacroQ3: High rates, election uncertainty; hurricane disruptions China tariffs active; Canada/Mexico likely; plan to mitigate via vendor/pricing/assortment without changing margin guide; mortgage rates still a headwind Tariff watch; cautious macro/ housing backdrop

Management Commentary

  • “Gross margins did remain strong for the company, coming in at 61.9% for the quarter and 60.7% for the year.”
  • “Traffic improve[d] over the quarter… average ticket rose… to just under $3,400. Our design business continued to improve… approximately 32% of our business… designer average ticket grew to over $7,200.”
  • “We will… increase inventories on our bestsellers… expect inventories to rise approximately 5% to 10% over the next few quarters.”
  • “We are dealing with tariff issues with China, Canada, and Mexico… We will… adjust retail pricing or look to reassort… [and] do not expect this to impact our current margin guidance.”
  • “We achieved our goal of opening five net new stores in 2024, with a notable return to the Houston, TX market… we now have two stores.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Monthly cadence: Delivered sales down low-teens each month; written sales improved sequentially (Oct low-teens decline, Nov mid-single-digit decline, Dec nearly flat), driving better exit rates .
  • No intra-quarter guide: Management declined to comment on Q1 performance (including Presidents’ Day) .
  • Regional trends: Florida through Georgia and central US were stronger; west/east a bit weaker .
  • Tariffs and margins: Plan is to mitigate tariff impacts via vendor actions and pricing; comfortable maintaining flat margin guidance while prioritizing volume growth .
  • SG&A outlook: Fixed/discretionary up ~4–5% YoY in 2025, driven about half by inflation and ~$4M by occupancy (new stores), plus higher marketing; maintain variable SG&A at 19.0%–19.3% .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limits, so we cannot assess beat/miss versus Street. We anchored all comparisons to company-reported actuals in the press release and call .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential stabilization: Written sales and traffic improved through Q4 with December nearly flat on written; sets a better starting point for 2025 despite macro softness .
  • Margin durability: 2025 gross margin guide (60.0%–60.5%) and Q4 ex-LIFO improvement show pricing/mix discipline; management plans to offset tariff headwinds without changing guidance .
  • Operating leverage optionality: SG&A is tightly managed, but deleverage persists on lower sales; upside if volumes rebound with housing/traffic recovery .
  • Growth vector in Houston: Multi-year plan to 6–8 stores in a large, underpenetrated market; two open with a third lease targeted for late 2025 .
  • Inventory posture: Intentional 5–10% build in bestsellers to support service levels and store growth; watch working capital and turns .
  • Balance sheet strength: ~$126M in cash/restricted, no debt, $80M credit availability provide flexibility for growth capex and shareholder returns .
  • Macro watch items: Mortgage rates and potential Canada/Mexico tariffs remain the principal external risks; management messaging is cautious on 2025 demand but constructive on self-help and mix .

Appendix: Additional Data

  • Cash flow and returns (FY2024): Operating cash flow $58.9M; capex $32.1M; FCF $26.8M; dividends $20.5M; repurchases $5.0M; no debt .
  • Non-GAAP: FY2024 EBITDA $41.7M vs. $85.8M in FY2023 (company reconciliation) .
  • Prior quarters (for trend): Q2 revenue $178.6M, EPS $0.27, GM 60.4%; Q3 revenue $175.9M, EPS $0.29, GM 60.2% .

Sources: Havertys Q4 2024 8-K/press release (Feb 24, 2025) , Q4 2024 earnings call (Feb 25, 2025) , Q3 2024 8-K/press release and call (Oct 30–31, 2024) , Q2 2024 8-K/press release (July 31, 2024) .

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