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Hyzon Motors Inc. (HYZN)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • HYZN reported Q3 2024 revenue of $0.13M, net loss of $41.3M, and EPS of $(7.74); operating expenses were driven by SG&A of $29.7M including an $11.1M non-cash impairment .
  • Commercial execution advanced materially: SOP for the single-stack 200kW fuel cell system and Class 8 200kW FCET, ISO 9001 certification, and North America’s first refuse FCET order (12 trucks) with GreenWaste following successful trials; hydrogen pricing availability improved to ~$10–$12/kg for 2025 .
  • Trials exceeded expectations: 10 completed (5 Class 8, 5 refuse), near-100% uptime; fuel efficiency advantage vs diesel of 25%–50% (Class 8) and 230%–300% (refuse), demonstrating routes many BEV trucks could not complete .
  • Liquidity: cash and short-term investments of $30.4M at 9/30; ATM raised ~$5M post-quarter; average monthly net cash burn decreased to $8.2M in Q3 and is targeted to ~$6.5M by year-end. Stock responded positively to the GreenWaste order announcement, creating an opportunity to use equity fundraising tools tactically .
  • Estimate comparisons: S&P Global consensus estimates were unavailable for HYZN; note that formal beat/miss vs Wall Street cannot be assessed this quarter (S&P Global data unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Secured first-ever North American refuse FCET order (12 trucks) with GreenWaste following a two-week trial; deliveries expected as early as Q4 2025, validating product-market fit in a hard-to-decarbonize application .
  • Achieved SOP for single-stack 200kW fuel cell system (Bolingbrook facility, integrated MEA through system) and SOP for Class 8 200kW FCET; obtained ISO 9001 certification, reinforcing quality and readiness for scaled commercialization .
  • Trials beat expectations: “performance has been exceptional and far beyond both our expectations and the customers’” with Class 8 trucks completing up to 500-mile days and showing up to 50% better fuel efficiency vs diesel; refuse trucks showing up to 3x better fuel efficiency than diesel and >1,300 bin lifts/day achieved on a single fill .

What Went Wrong

  • Financials remain subscale: Q3 revenue $0.13M (primarily operating lease recognition), net loss $(41.3)M, operating loss $(37.4)M; SG&A elevated due to $11.1M non-cash impairment and higher legal fees .
  • Continued capital needs: company executed a small equity raise and ATM; management highlighted focus on raising capital and potential strategic investment, with forward-looking risk disclosures referencing going-concern and bankruptcy protection risks in filings .
  • Hydrogen pricing and availability have been a headwind historically (quotes >$40/kg six months ago), though conditions have improved recently to ~$10–$12/kg for 2025 dispatch supply .

Financial Results

Income Statement and EPS across periods (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Revenue ($USD Thousands)$0 $295 $9,983 $313 $134
Cost of Revenue ($USD Thousands)$3,286 $9,122 $7,816 $18,415 $301
R&D ($USD Thousands)$10,857 $10,935 $10,829 $9,817 $8,074
SG&A ($USD Thousands)$21,044 $20,165 $21,528 $25,516 $29,677
Restructuring ($USD Thousands)$4,885 $2,880 $501 $2,663 $1,604
Gain on Lease Termination ($USD Thousands)$(2,096)
Loss from Operations ($USD Thousands)$(40,072) $(42,807) $(30,691) $(56,098) $(37,426)
Net Loss Attributable to Hyzon ($USD Thousands)$(44,054) $(49,492) $(34,225) $(50,790) $(41,319)
Basic & Diluted EPS (recast for 1-for-50 split)$(8.99) $(10.10) $(6.98) $(10.29) $(7.74)

Liquidity and Cash Burn

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024Q3 2024
Cash & ST Investments ($USD Thousands)$137,807 $112,280 $82,640 $55,138 $30,428
Quarterly Net Cash Burn ($USD Thousands)$(34,608) $(25,527) $(29,640) $(27,502) $(24,710)
Avg Monthly Net Cash Burn ($USD Thousands)$11,536 $8,509 $9,880 $9,167 $8,237

Notes: ATM raised ~$5M post-quarter; 9/30/24 cash $30.4M; target average monthly net cash burn ~$6.5M by year-end .

Operational KPIs (Q3 2024 highlights)

KPIQ3 2024
Trials completed (Jul–Nov)10 (5 Class 8; 5 refuse)
Trials scheduled through Feb 2025>30 fleets (avg ~4,200 trucks/fleet; 10 fleets >5,000 trucks)
UptimeNear 100% in customer operations
Class 8 FCET fuel efficiency vs diesel+25% to +50%
Refuse FCET fuel efficiency vs diesel+230% to +300%
Refuse FCET bin lifts/day achieved>1,300 on single fill; projected >1,500
Hill climbsUp to 27% grade (refuse); 3,000-ft climbs at 6%–8% grades (Class 8)
FCS SOP capacity700 systems/year (3 shifts)
Hydrogen price quotes (2025 dispense)~$10–$12/kg (vs >$40/kg ~6 months ago)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Avg monthly net cash burnFY 2024 YE~$6.5M target by YE (Q2 commentary) On track to ~$6.5M by YE (Q3 reiteration) Maintained
Fuel cell system SOPH2 2024SOP expected H2 2024 SOP achieved Oct 8, 2024 Achieved
Class 8 200kW FCET SOPH2 2024SOP expected H2 2024 SOP achieved Sept 16, 2024 Achieved
Trials pipeline scaleThrough Jan 202525 trials planned Expanded to >30 fleets through Feb 2025 Raised
GreenWaste refuse FCET deliveriesInitial trancheNot previously guidedBegin as early as Q4 2025 New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2024 (Prior-2)Q2 2024 (Prior-1)Q3 2024 (Current)Trend
Commercial traction (orders)Revenue recognized $10.0M from prior deliveries; preparing trials; PFG expansion plan contingent on 200kW trials Launched Class 8 trials; refuse trials to start; 25 trials planned First refuse FCET order (12) with GreenWaste; majority of completed trials in negotiations Improving; first commercial order secured
Technology SOPAdvancing 200kW FCS C-sample; increased single-cell throughput 21 C-sample FCS built in 1H; SOP expected H2 SOP achieved for 200kW FCS and Class 8 FCET; ISO 9001 certification Achieved milestones
Trial performanceEarly data showing Class 8 completing diesel-equivalent days; ~6 mpg eq vs diesel ~4 mpg Program launched; BEV trucks failing certain routes Near-100% uptime; 25%–50% (Class 8) and 230%–300% (refuse) fuel-efficiency advantages; >1,300 bin lifts/day Strong execution
Hydrogen supply/pricingSupportive US programs (Clean Ports, HVIP, 45W) Continued gov’t tailwinds; exploring grants Pricing improved materially to ~$10–$12/kg for 2025; availability improving Improving economics
Strategic/capitalWorking on SOP capacity; exploring funding; shelf effectiveness led to capital raise Registered direct offering ($4.5M gross); retained advisor for strategic options ATM in place; ~$5M raised post-Q3; pursuing strategic partnerships alongside order pipeline Tools in place; focus on commercialization

Management Commentary

  • “We achieved these goals and more during the quarter, and have importantly transitioned to the next phase of growth, commercialization, and with it another significant inflection point.” — Parker Meeks, CEO .
  • “Our refuse collection vehicle has shown fuel efficiency that is 2.3x to 3x better than diesel… fleets can absorb a $10 to $12 per kilogram price of fuel… and still be at the same operating cost as diesel.” — Parker Meeks .
  • “Our average monthly recurring net cash burn… target of approximately $6.5 million by year-end… our average monthly net cash burn in the first quarter of 2023 was $15.4 million.” — Stephen Weiland, CFO .
  • “We are now seeing fuel pricing quotations for 2025 dispense supply that is, in some cases, as low as $10 per kilogram dispense…” — Parker Meeks .
  • “We now put in place the tools… an at-the-market program… having raised approximately $5 million in proceeds.” — Stephen Weiland .

Q&A Highlights

  • Performance exceeded expectations: Class 8 trials included up to 500-mile days with 20-minute refuels and up to 50% better fuel efficiency vs diesel; refuse trials achieved >1,300 bin lifts/day and up to 300% better fuel efficiency vs diesel, enabling diesel-like operating cost at hydrogen $10–$15/kg .
  • Order conversion timeline: Two remaining 2024 milestones (new large fleet agreement and advancing to second order tranches) are “in negotiations”; Parker highlighted optimism given trial performance and subsidy environment .
  • Revenue potential per 100 trucks: Prior 110kW truck at ~$500,000 headline price implies ~$50M per 100-truck sale; 200kW truck expected to be higher but “not dramatically so”; deposits may be pursued though uncommon in U.S. truck markets .
  • Strategic partners and financing: Stronger position with fuel providers and OEM ecosystem given first order and trials; customer negotiations not including financing contingencies; tactical use of ATM/equity when stock/liquidity move on news .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for HYZN were unavailable this quarter; therefore, formal beat/miss vs Wall Street consensus cannot be assessed (S&P Global data unavailable).
  • Given negligible revenue and operating-stage investments, we expect Street models (where available) to focus on commercialization milestones, liquidity runway, and order conversion pace rather than near-term P&L.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Commercial validation accelerated: First refuse FCET order, SOPs for core tech and vehicle platform, and ISO certification collectively de-risk execution toward scaled commercialization; narrative shift from R&D to deployment .
  • Trials as leading indicator: Near-100% uptime and clear fuel-efficiency advantages versus diesel/BEV underpin potential for multi-year agreements; watch for conversions from >30 fleet trials into backlog in Q4/Q1’25 .
  • Hydrogen economics improving: 2025 pricing indications of ~$10–$12/kg suggest operating cost parity potential in refuse now and a path for Class 8; a key catalyst for customer commitments .
  • Liquidity management: Cash $30.4M at quarter end; ATM raised ~$5M; net cash burn trending toward ~$6.5M monthly by YE; equity optionality tied to commercialization news flow .
  • Risk profile: Continued operating losses and capital needs; forward-looking filings highlight going-concern risks; strategic partner engagement and order pipeline are critical mitigating factors to watch .
  • 2025 milestones: Refuse truck SOP and early deliveries to GreenWaste as soon as Q4 2025; durability/cost optimization updates for next-gen 200kW system planned in 2025 .
  • Trading implications: Stock is likely sensitive to announcements on order conversions, hydrogen supply/pricing agreements for fleets, and strategic capital/partner developments; near-term catalysts include additional multi-year agreements and trial conversion updates .

Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases and Prior Quarter Summaries

  • Q2 2024: Launched Class 8 trials; planned 25 trials; average monthly net cash burn $9.2M; strategic realignment to North America; capital raise and advisor engagement .
  • Q1 2024: Recognized $9.983M revenue; unveiled first U.S. refuse FCET with New Way; progressed 200kW FCS C-sample development and manufacturing efficiency .

View original Q3 press release and 8-K materials for full financial statements and milestones .