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IAC Inc. (IAC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered mixed results: consolidated revenue declined 7% year over year to $586.9M and missed consensus, while Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% to $51.4M; diluted EPS swung to $2.57, largely driven by a $307.4M unrealized gain on MGM, masking underlying operating volatility .
- People Inc. (formerly Dotdash Meredith) accelerated digital revenue growth to 9% ($260.4M) and boosted operating income 90% to $34.8M; however, digital margins compressed as management invested in D/Cipher+, the PEOPLE app, and product enhancements, with EBITDA flat year-over-year at $63M .
- Guidance was refined: consolidated FY25 Adjusted EBITDA tightened to $247–$285M; People Inc. EBITDA range to $330–$340M (lowered high end), with Q3 guide for digital revenue growth of 7–9% and EBITDA of $68–$73M .
- Consensus vs. actual: revenue ($586.9M vs. $601.4M*), EPS (−$0.306 vs. −$0.041*), EBITDA ($32.1M vs. $43.9M*)—a broad miss on SPGI definitions; note IAC reports Adjusted EBITDA of $51.4M, not directly comparable to SPGI EBITDA *.
- Catalysts: People Inc. rebrand and off-platform/licensing growth, debt refinancing extending maturities to 2030/2032, continued care.com product relaunch momentum, and MGM’s strong BetMGM trends lifting IAC’s mark-to-market EPS noise .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- People Inc. digital revenue up 9% to $260.4M, accelerating from Q1, with advertising +5%, performance marketing +14% and licensing +23%; operating income rose 90% to $34.8M .
- Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA increased 15% to $51.4M; corporate operating loss improved by $3.7M amid cost control .
- Successful refinancing of $1.47B People Inc. debt extended maturities to 2030/2032, with a 6.5-year weighted average maturity and 7.4% borrowing cost, improving flexibility .
- Quote: “Our appetite to put our cash to work is as strong as ever… Unconstrained, we intend to…unlock shareholder value.” – Barry Diller .
What Went Wrong
- Consolidated revenue declined 7% YoY to $586.9M, missing consensus; Search revenue fell 39% to $61.7M, and Care.com revenue declined 6% to $82.0M .
- People Inc. digital EBITDA held flat ($63.0M) despite 9% revenue growth; margins compressed to ~24% due to increased investments in new products and channels, with management guiding margin rebuild later in the year .
- Free cash flow for 1H25 negative $11.8M, driven by unfavorable working capital and higher capex; operating cash flow fell to −$2.7M for six months .
Financial Results
Consolidated QoQ and YoY Overview
Consensus vs Actual (SPGI definitions; not directly comparable to IAC Adjusted metrics)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment Performance (Q2 2025 vs Q2 2024)
People Inc. Revenue Composition and Digital Metrics (Q2 2025)
Care.com Revenue Split (Q2 2025)
Search Revenue Split (Q2 2025)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Barry Diller on capital allocation: “We may have been quiet on capital allocation this quarter but don’t mistake silence for inertia…Unconstrained, we intend to…unlock shareholder value.”
- CFO on People Inc. margins: “Q2 digital EBITDA was essentially flat…representing a 24% margin…the increased cost…derived heavily from strategic investments…we expect ROI…margins in the 25–28% range in Q3 and back to real margin scale in Q4.”
- CEO (People Inc.) on reducing Google dependency: “We have a term…Google zero…if Google no longer sends us traffic…we’re going to be very healthy…we’ve added incredible off platform audiences…D/Cipher…expands our addressable market by 4–5x.”
- CFO on care.com relaunch: “New Care experience…enhanced messaging and matching…held off on marketing until the product was ready…we have seen core consumer metrics…achieve stability and growth for the first time since 2022.”
Q&A Highlights
- Guidance and margin clarity: Management reiterated People Inc. digital revenue growth of 7–9% for Q3 and expects digital margins to rebuild to 25–28% with EBITDA growth resuming, highlighting ROI from D/Cipher+, PEOPLE app, and MyRecipes .
- People Inc. investment cadence: Elevated spend in new products and channels explained the near-term margin compression; management expects stronger margin scale in Q4 as revenue scales seasonally .
- Care.com trajectory: Relaunch and marketing reboot driving early stabilization in consumer KPIs; focus areas include pricing/packaging and expansion in Senior/Pet care to reignite revenue growth and incremental margins .
(Note: The transcript Q&A section could not be fully retrieved due to a database inconsistency; highlights above reflect guidance clarifications and management responses captured in available portions.)
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 actuals missed SPGI consensus on revenue ($586.9M vs. $601.4M*), EPS (−$0.306 vs. −$0.041*), and EBITDA ($32.1M vs. $43.9M*), signaling weaker-than-expected profitability under SPGI’s definitions despite IAC’s reported Adjusted EBITDA growth *.
- Street models likely need to adjust for: continued Search weakness, People Inc. margin investment phase in H2, and care.com gradual ramp; offset by licensing/off-platform strength and cost discipline in Corporate .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Expect stock narrative to focus on People Inc.’s accelerating digital growth versus margin compression; watch Q3 EBITDA/margin progression to validate ROI from D/Cipher+, PEOPLE app, and MyRecipes .
- Consensus: Broad Q2 misses on SPGI metrics increase scrutiny; models should normalize for non-operating MGM mark-to-market and reflect segment divergence (Search pressure; Care.com early turn) *.
- Balance sheet: People Inc. refinancing extends maturities and improves flexibility; IAC holds $1.1B cash and an MGM stake marked ~$2.3B as of 8/1/25, enabling opportunistic capital deployment/buybacks (9.2M shares authorization remaining) .
- Guidance: FY25 EBITDA range tighter; People Inc. high end trimmed—monitor Q3 delivery (digital revenue +7–9%, EBITDA $68–$73M) and Q4 seasonal margin scale .
- Care.com: Product/brand overhaul is the key swing factor; sustained KPI stabilization and conversion will be a medium-term margin lever .
- Strategic value: Off-platform/licensing growth reduces reliance on Google and mitigates AI/SERP risk; supports multi-channel monetization and brand durability .
- EPS volatility: MGM unrealized gains/losses drive GAAP EPS; focus on operating metrics (Adjusted EBITDA, segment OI) for core performance assessment .
Footnote: Values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global consensus/actuals via GetEstimates and may reflect metric definitions (e.g., EBITDA) that differ from IAC’s reported non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA.
Additional Reference Data
- Liquidity snapshot (6/30/25): Cash & equivalents $1.1B (IAC $831M; People Inc. $263M), long-term debt $1.45B (People Inc.), weighted average borrowing cost 7.4%, net consolidated leverage <4.0x at People Inc. .
- Free cash flow (6M ended 6/30/25): Operating cash flow −$2.7M; FCF −$11.8M due to working capital and capex, partially offset by higher Adjusted EBITDA .
- Share repurchases: 9.2M shares remaining in authorization as of 8/1/25; $200M repurchased YTD by Q1 .