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IAC Inc. (IAC)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 revenue was $589.8M and Adjusted EBITDA was $29.1M; GAAP operating loss was $20.4M and diluted loss per share was $0.27, with losses driven by legal and severance items offset by a $17.5M unrealized gain on MGM .
- People Inc. delivered its eighth straight quarter of Digital revenue growth (+9% to $269.0M) with performance marketing +38% and licensing +24%; advertising fell 3% on lower programmatic volumes amid Google AI Overviews impact .
- IAC repurchased $100M of stock (2.8M shares) in Q3, $300M YTD (7.3M shares), and ended the quarter with $1.0B cash and $1.45B People Inc. long‑term debt; MGM stake: 64.7M shares (24% of MGM) valued at ~$2.1B as of 10/31/25 .
- FY25 guidance updated: Total Adjusted EBITDA $234–$258M (down from prior $247–$285M) and People Inc. Adjusted EBITDA $325–$340M (lowered bottom end from $330M); Q4 outlook calls for People Digital growth +7–10%, Print −20–25%, Care revenue −7–9%, Search revenue $35–$45M .
- Stock narrative catalysts: Microsoft AI licensing partnership (Publisher Content Marketplace with Copilot), rising off‑platform audience, cost actions (~6% workforce reduction), and continued buybacks; mgmt emphasized strategic focus on People Inc. and MGM and litigation against Google ad tech as a potential recovery of “hundreds of millions” in damages .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- People Inc. Digital revenue grew 9% to $269.0M on 56% affiliate commerce growth and strong licensing (Apple News+, syndication) while premium ad categories like Travel/Tech/Finance held up; Digital operating income rose 22% to $37.5M .
- AI monetization: People Inc. signed as a premier publisher for Microsoft’s Publisher Content Marketplace; Microsoft Copilot will be the first buyer, validating paid content models for AI use .
- Capital return: IAC repurchased $100M in Q3 ($300M YTD) and highlighted perceived valuation discount versus cash and MGM stake, positioning buybacks as a core allocation tool .
Management quotes:
- Barry Diller: “People and MGM are IAC… there is a huge discount in the value of our shares and a mind blowing discount in the value of MGM” .
- Neil Vogel: “Our AI conversations are heating up… Microsoft has committed to paying for content… Copilot is going to be the first buyer” .
What Went Wrong
- Advertising revenue declined 3% as Core Sessions fell 6% YoY; the increasing prominence of Google AI Overviews reduced search‑driven impressions, though off‑platform views grew strongly .
- Emerging & Other recorded $21M in legal fees/settlement costs, driving segment to −$20.0M Adjusted EBITDA; Q3 “Other expense, net” also included a $32.6M adverse verdict tied to a 2015 real estate gain .
- Care.com profitability compressed (Adj. EBITDA $7.8M, −57% YoY) on higher S&M spend (rebrand), lease impairment ($2.5M), and severance ($1.0M); Enterprise revenue softened on employer budget tightening .
Financial Results
Consolidated YoY
Sequential Trend (last three quarters)
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Estimates vs Actual (S&P Global consensus, Q3 2025)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Significance:
- Revenue: Missed by ~$11.2M (−1.9%) versus consensus.
- EPS: Missed by ~$0.47; GAAP diluted EPS (continuing ops) −$0.27 differs from S&P “Primary EPS” construct .
- EBITDA: Missed materially versus consensus (actual $12.1M vs $51.0M).
Segment Performance (Revenue and Profitability)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Non‑GAAP exclusions and effects:
- “Certain Items” totaled $34.8M in Q3 (People severance $15.2M partially offset by $5.2M lease gain; Care lease impairment $2.5M and severance $1.0M; Emerging & Other legal $21.4M). Ex‑items: operating income $14.4M; Adjusted EBITDA $63.9M .
Balance sheet and cash:
- Cash & equivalents: $1,005.5M; long‑term debt: $1,406.8M (People Inc.), net leverage <4.0x per credit agreement; shares outstanding 77.4M as of 9/30/25 .
- Nine‑month FCF: $13.5M (operating cash flow $27.5M; capex $14.0M), down from $114.5M YoY on working capital and lease amendment payments .
Guidance Changes
Notes: People Inc. FY25 Adjusted EBITDA excludes ~$41M lease gains (Q1 & Q3) and $15M Q3 severance costs .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus: “We’ll get lean and crystal clear that People and MGM are IAC until something else wildly compelling comes along” .
- MGM thesis: “Everything else in MGM is trading at less than three times EBITDA… it will not continue” .
- AI marketplace: “We are physically in the room with Microsoft… Copilot is going to be the first buyer… both à la carte and ‘all‑you‑can‑eat’ models can be viable” .
- Cost/investment: “$60M run rate savings—think half realized in margins, half reinvested in high‑ROI digital activities” .
- Legal: “We seek to recover hundreds of millions of dollars in damages” (Google ad tech case) .
Q&A Highlights
- MGM value via IAC: Owning MGM “cheaper” through IAC given implied negative value on private holdings; buybacks continue .
- One‑time items: Q3 severance and lease gain at People; Care impairment/severance; legacy legal matter concluded; forward costs negligible .
- Google litigation: Case timing accelerated; ~$4M spend in Q4; opportunity for substantial damages .
- Off‑platform margins: Incremental Digital EBITDA margins on off‑platform “neutral to slightly accretive” relative to ~28–30% digital margin .
- Outlook: Solid Q4 despite session headwinds; licensing and performance marketing to support growth .
Estimates Context
- Q3 actuals vs S&P consensus: Revenue missed by ~1.9% ($589.8M vs $601.0M); EPS missed by ~$0.47 (Primary EPS −$0.366 vs $0.101); EBITDA missed materially ($12.1M vs $51.0M). Management emphasized the distorting impact of one‑time legal and severance items on GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Street models likely to revise lower for FY25 consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Care enterprise trajectory; People Inc. FY25 range narrowed but preserves high end, reflecting resilience in non‑sessions revenue and licensing .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- People Inc. continues to demonstrate durable Digital growth (+9%) despite search disruption; watch sustained momentum in licensing, commerce, and Decipher+ ramp into 2026 .
- The Microsoft AI marketplace deal is a tangible step toward recurring AI content monetization; look for additional AI licensing updates over coming quarters .
- Near‑term profit headwinds stem from discrete legal/severance items; ex‑items Q3 Adjusted EBITDA would have been $63.9M—track Q4 legal spend and margin recovery .
- Care.com shows consumer stabilization but enterprise headwinds; FY25 Adj. EBITDA guided to $45–$50M—monitor Q4 declines (−7–9%) and 2026 return to growth plan .
- Search remains structurally pressured (−41% YoY); focus shifts to off‑platform audience growth and premium direct monetization .
- Capital allocation remains supportive (buybacks $300M YTD) with mgmt intent to streamline non‑core holdings; potential for discount narrowing catalysts .
- MGM stake is a key value lever; mgmt sees “emergency” multiple and potential value realization over time; IAC’s combined strategy offers optionality .
Notes:
- All document-based figures cited directly from IAC’s Q3 2025 Form 8-K and earnings presentation/transcript [1:x], [2:x], [3:x], and related press releases **[1800227_20251103NY13775:0]** **[1800227_20251008NY93200:0]** **[1800227_2b45ba3748c6492aaeda903f4258fa3b_0]** **[1800227_2dc281ddb81541559f876f4aceb0d092_0]**.
- S&P Global consensus and actuals table values are retrieved from S&P Global.