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    InterDigital (IDCC)

    IDCC Q2 2025: Guides $136M-$140M recurring revenue off Samsung deal

    Reported on Aug 1, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$245.18Last close (Jul 30, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$252.09Open (Jul 31, 2025)
    Price Change
    $6.91(+2.82%)
    • Robust Licensing Agreements: The Samsung arbitration outcome delivered a historic agreement with a 67% uplift over the prior deal, significantly raising recurring revenue and ARR, which highlights the strength and value of InterDigital’s IP portfolio.
    • Record Financial Performance: Q2 2025 results were exceptional with revenue reaching $300M, an all‐time high ARR of $553M, record non-GAAP EPS of $6.52, and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 79%, demonstrating strong operational execution.
    • Strong Future Growth Prospects: Strategic investments in six gs technology and adjacent verticals—such as smart cities, industrial IoT, and healthcare—position the company to further expand its licensing business and capture new market opportunities.
    • Contract Renewal & Expiration Risks: Management noted that some contracts are due to expire next year. While historical renewals (e.g., 67% increase for Samsung and 15% for Apple) have resulted in higher contract values, there’s uncertainty over whether renewals will continue at such favorable terms, which could compress recurring revenue if future renewals are less aggressive.
    • Regulatory & Litigation Uncertainties: Executives acknowledged potential issues such as proposed tariffs on IP and ongoing litigation (including the Disney case). These regulatory and legal uncertainties introduce risks of unforeseen costs or delays, which could negatively impact the company’s earnings trajectory.
    • Reliance on One-Time Catch-Up Revenue: A significant part of Q2 revenue resulted from one-time catch-up revenue from the Samsung arbitration. If similar non-recurring revenues do not materialize in future quarters, the underlying growth rate may slow, exposing the company to revenue volatility.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Revenue

    FY 2025

    $660,000,000 to $760,000,000

    $790,000,000 to $850,000,000

    raised

    Adjusted EBITDA

    FY 2025

    $400,000,000 to $495,000,000

    $551,000,000 to $569,000,000

    raised

    Non-GAAP EPS

    FY 2025

    $9.69 to $12.92

    $14.17 to $14.77

    raised

    Free Cash Flow

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Exceed $400,000,000

    no prior guidance

    Recurring Revenue

    Q3 2025

    no prior guidance

    $136,000,000 to $140,000,000

    no prior guidance

    Adjusted EBITDA Margin

    Q3 2025

    no prior guidance

    About 52%

    no prior guidance

    Non-GAAP Diluted EPS

    Q3 2025

    no prior guidance

    $1.52 to $1.72

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Robust Licensing Agreements & IP Portfolio

    In Q3 2024, emphasized major licensing deals with OPPO, TPV, Lenovo, and a strong patent portfolio, while Q4 2024 highlighted a wide array of agreements across smartphones, consumer electronics, IoT, and video services.

    Q2 2025 detailed record deals including the concluded Samsung arbitration with an all‐time record agreement, an expanded smartphone program, and significant progress in consumer electronics and IoT licensing.

    Increased licensing activity with record deals and expanded portfolio strength, showing more favorable sentiment in driving recurring revenues.

    Arbitration Outcomes & Litigation Uncertainties

    Q3 2024 and Q4 2024 focused on ongoing arbitrations with Samsung and Lenovo and discussed litigation uncertainties such as the multi-jurisdictional Disney enforcement.

    Q2 2025 reported the successful conclusion of the Samsung arbitration (his largest ever) and noted progress in the Lenovo arbitration while maintaining awareness of ongoing litigation uncertainties.

    Improved outcomes in key arbitrations (e.g., Samsung) have reduced some uncertainties but litigation (e.g., Disney) remains a cautionary note, resulting in an overall more positive outlook.

    Contract Renewal & Expiration Risks

    Q3 2024 and Q4 2024 discussed upcoming expirations such as the Xiaomi contract and smaller revenue expirations, with an emphasis on the renewal process and potential for higher valuation renewals.

    Q2 2025 acknowledged expiring contracts and stressed that past renewals (Samsung at 67% and Apple at 15% increases) illustrate a robust process that typically secures higher contract values.

    A consistent concern with an established renewal process that produces higher value, maintaining stable sentiment with a positive historical track record.

    Diversification into Emerging Markets and Adjacent Verticals

    Q4 2024 emphasized diversification through consumer electronics and IoT, including new deals with TV manufacturers and litigation in video services; Q3 2024 did not specifically mention this topic.

    Q2 2025 expanded on diversification by highlighting opportunities in emerging verticals such as smart cities, industrial IoT, healthcare, and 6G development, along with significant growth in consumer electronics (e.g., new HP agreement).

    An increased emphasis on diversification into adjacent verticals beyond traditional smartphone markets, indicating a strategic broadening of revenue sources.

    Record Financial Performance & Growth Metrics

    Q3 2024 showcased strong performance with revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and increasing ARR, while Q4 2024 detailed record revenue figures, high adjusted EBITDA, and strong cash flow metrics that set new company records.

    Q2 2025 reported record revenue of $300 million (vs. $224 million in prior Q2), an all-time high ARR of $553 million, improved EBITDA margins, record non-GAAP EPS, and significant free cash flow generation.

    Consistent and increasingly strong financial performance with record-breaking results that underscore growing investor confidence and long-term strength.

    Fixed Fee Contract Structures

    Q3 2024 mentioned that the majority of large accounts are signed on fixed fee contracts under NDAs without discussing limitations.

    Not mentioned in Q2 2025.

    The topic is absent in the current period, indicating it may be a lower priority or less of a focus in recent discussions [N/A].

    Dilution Risk from Convertible Instruments

    Q4 2024 provided details on dilution risk from convertible notes, including sensitivity to stock price and hedging impacts.

    Not mentioned in Q2 2025.

    Dilution risk was addressed previously but is not mentioned in the current period, suggesting less emphasis or resolution in capital structure concerns [N/A].

    Stable Cost Structure & Predictable Tax Profile

    Q3 2024 briefly touched on related financial aspects with mention of a stable tax rate in the mid- to high teens, but without in-depth discussion on cost structure.

    Q2 2025 explicitly highlighted a stable cost structure with no incremental costs on new agreements and reaffirmed a predictable tax profile, with long-term rates expected in the mid- to high teens.

    An enhanced focus in Q2 2025 on cost efficiency and tax predictability, reinforcing operational stability and favorable margins.

    Reliance on One-Time Revenue Events

    Q3 2024 and Q4 2024 discussed aspects of catch-up revenue as part of recurring revenue dynamics and noted that while one-time revenue events occur, the focus remains on recurring revenue growth.

    Q2 2025 again noted the impact of one-time catch-up revenue (such as $119 million from the Samsung arbitration) which contributed significantly to quarterly results, yet recurring revenue remains a key focus.

    The discussion remains consistent across periods with recognition of significant one-time revenue events while emphasizing that the core strategy relies on long-term, recurring revenue streams.

    1. Tech Value
      Q: What does Samsung win imply?
      A: Management highlighted that the 67% uplift in the Samsung arbitration reflects the strength of their foundational research and IP portfolio, bolstering confidence in future licensing deals.

    2. Recurring Revenue Breakdown
      Q: How much recurring revenue from Samsung?
      A: They indicated that Samsung’s recurring revenue increased from a baseline of $78M per year to delivering $33M quarterly, with additional catch‐up revenue separately accounted for.

    3. Recurring Revenue Outlook
      Q: What baseline recurring revenue is expected?
      A: With current agreements alone, management now projects recurring revenue of roughly $136M to $140M next quarter, establishing a clear recurring baseline moving forward.

    4. Cost Structure Impact
      Q: Any extra cost with Samsung win?
      A: Management confirmed that there’s no significant incremental cost from the Samsung agreement, meaning the additional revenue maintains a 100% gross margin impact.

    5. Future Tech Investment
      Q: How will 6G and vertical investments affect results?
      A: They are actively investing in foundational technology, expecting 6G to unlock opportunities in industries like smart cities, industrial IoT, and healthcare, although precise figures remain unquantified.

    6. Tax & Tariff Concerns
      Q: What about tax rates and IP tariff proposals?
      A: Management noted that while the tax rate is trending in the mid- to high-teens, any potential IP tariff proposals remain uncertain and are being closely monitored without current adjustments.

    Research analysts covering InterDigital.