IC
IDEX CORP /DE/ (IEX)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 delivered record sales of $863M (+9% reported, +3% organic) and adjusted EPS of $2.04 (+11% YoY), supported by price/cost and execution, with discrete tax benefits; GAAP EPS was $1.62 (+13% YoY) .
- Segment performance was solid: HST up 19% reported (Mott acquisition), FSDP up 8% organically with record sales, FMT flat (+3% organic) on price capture; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 60 bps to 26.4% .
- 2025 outlook guides organic growth of 1–3% and adjusted EPS $8.10–$8.45, with Q1 2025 organic sales down 3–4% and adjusted EPS $1.60–$1.65 as projects shift and share-based comp timing weighs early; adjusted EBITDA margin target 27.5–28% for FY25 .
- Stock catalysts: integration of Mott tracking ahead of expectations, blankets and project awards in HST (pneumatics/data centers, pharma, satellite comms), platform optimization/delayering savings ($0.43 EPS) and price/cost tailwinds; semicon capital equipment recovery calibrated for 2H25 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “Record sales of $863 million” with adjusted EPS +11% YoY; adjusted gross margin up 40 bps on price/cost and productivity .
- HST delivered impactful projects (pharma, satellite communications, energy transition) and Mott’s first-quarter performance at IDEX was strong; “accretion timing is tracking ahead of our original expectations” .
- FSDP set “another quarter of record sales” driven by automation in integrated fire systems; segment delivered +8% organic sales and strong price/cost .
What Went Wrong
- Reported gross margin fell 20 bps to 42.5% given unfavorable mix, higher employee-related costs, and fair value inventory step-up charges from acquisitions/divestitures; adjusted margin improved but reported compressed .
- Free cash flow declined 12% to $157M on timing of customer deposits, project deliveries, and inventory payments; conversion fell vs prior year quarter (129% to 101%) .
- HST organic sales were flat as ongoing life sciences, automotive, and semicon capital equipment softness offset price capture and targeted growth initiatives .
Financial Results
Segment net sales and margins:
Q4 vs guidance and estimates:
*Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to data limits; consensus could not be retrieved.
KPIs and cash conversion:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “IDEX teams drove a strong finish… positioning us for dynamic growth in markets powered by global megatrends. Our 80/20 mindset allows us to… self-fund the buildout of scale” .
- CEO: “Mott… achieved strong results… delivering a significant advanced filtration systems project… accretion timing is tracking ahead of our original expectations” .
- CFO: “We have $0.43 of adjusted EPS support lined up for 2025… on top of another $0.20… from traditional productivity” .
- CFO: FY25 guide: organic +1–3% yields adjusted EPS $8.10–$8.45; adjusted EBITDA margin 27.5–28%; CapEx ~$90M; corporate costs ~$110M .
- CEO: On semicon timing: “Customer-specific inventory adjustment pressure points in the early part of the year… correct… in the back half” .
Q&A Highlights
- Q1 softness drivers: ~$40M projects pulled into Q4 (
80% HST), share-based comp timing ($0.20 EPS headwind), sequential headwind ~$0.42 from these two items . - Segment pacing for Q1: FMT down mid-single digits, HST down low-to-mid single digits, FSDP up low single digits to reach −3% to −4% organic .
- Price/cost: Positive 60–80 bps spread in FY25; ~+$10M incremental pricing in 2H due to lag in price actions .
- Platform optimization/delayering: Structural SG&A and gross margin leverage; target HST low-to-mid-30% EBITDA over time; FMT >30% and FSDP ~30% .
- Tariffs: Highly localized model; multiple scenarios; price protection given mission-critical tech; electronics components acknowledged as a lagged exposure point .
- Semicon recovery: MRO steady; leading-edge bookings robust; capital equipment recovery paced to 2H25 with customer-specific inventory corrections in 1H .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 could not be retrieved due to data limits; precise beat/miss vs consensus is unavailable*. Versus prior company guidance, adjusted EPS landed within the $2.01–$2.06 range; GAAP EPS came in slightly below the guided $1.64–$1.69; organic growth met the low end (+3%) .
*Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable due to data limits.
- Implications: Sell-side models likely to adjust for FY25 margin trajectory (27.5–28% adj. EBITDA) and front-loaded compensation headwinds in Q1; semicon capex recovery and blanket orders suggest 2H25-backloaded revenue/EPS cadence .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q4 quality: Strong price/cost and project execution lifted adjusted EPS; reported gross margin compression reflects mix and acquisition accounting; core cash conversion normalized on timing effects .
- 2025 setup: Flow-through from platform optimization ($0.43 EPS), productivity ($0.15–$0.25), and price/cost supports margin expansion; near-term headwinds in Q1 from project timing and compensation reset .
- HST leadership: Blankets in pneumatics for data centers, pharma and satellite comms, plus Mott accretion ahead of plan position HST to lead organic growth (near high end of 1–3%) .
- Semicon bifurcation: MRO/Sealing Solutions steady; capital equipment recovery calibrated for 2H25 with customer-specific inventory adjustments in 1H; bookings at the leading edge are constructive .
- FSDP resilience: Integrated fire systems automation continues to gain share (>10% of platform revenue), supporting low-mid single digit growth; watch mix impacts on margins .
- Intelligent Water: Multi-year municipal funding tailwinds and analytics-led “collection system” positioning; Subterra complements inspection analytics; durable growth vector .
- Capital deployment: Active proprietary M&A funnel; balance sheet capacity maintained; integration discipline demonstrated with Mott .