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INTUIT INC. (INTU) Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY25 revenue was $3.283B (+10% YoY), with Global Business Solutions (GBS) Online Ecosystem +20% and Credit Karma +29% driving strength; GAAP EPS was $0.70 and non-GAAP EPS $2.50 .
  • Full-year FY25 guidance was reiterated: revenue $18.160–$18.347B (+12–13%), GAAP EPS $12.34–$12.54 (+18–20%), non-GAAP EPS $19.16–$19.36 (+13–14%) .
  • Q2 FY25 guidance: revenue $3.812–$3.845B (+13–14%), GAAP EPS $0.84–$0.90, non-GAAP EPS $2.55–$2.61; Consumer revenue expected to decline single digits due to retail channel promo timing largely tied to desktop, shifting revenue into Q3 without changing FY expectations .
  • Strategic catalysts: launch of Intuit Assist for QuickBooks delivering “done-for-you” AI experiences (e.g., invoice reminders get paid ~5 days sooner), bolstering adoption and service attach; management highlighted mid‑market momentum with QBO Advanced/Intuit Enterprise Suite (IES) online ecosystem revenue up ~42% .
  • Capital allocation: $570M repurchases, $1.04 dividend (16% YoY increase), cash/investments ~$3.4B, debt ~$6.1B .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • AI-driven platform execution: “We’ve had a strong start…delivering ‘done-for-you’ experiences, enabled by AI with access to AI-powered human experts” (CEO) ; Intuit Assist now generally available to all U.S. QBO customers, showing improved conversion, retention, and service adoption (CEO) .
  • Mid‑market acceleration: Online ecosystem revenue for QBO Advanced and IES grew ~42%, with strong customer examples and high ARPC; management argues mid-market is high margin and more lucrative over time (CEO/CFO) .
  • Credit Karma momentum: Revenue +29% to $524M led by personal loans (+11 pts), auto insurance (+9 pts), and credit cards (+8 pts), aided by more stable rates and product improvements (CEO/CFO) .

What Went Wrong

  • Desktop ecosystem declined 17% in Q1, reflecting model transition; recovery to growth expected in Q2 (CFO) .
  • Consumer (-6%) and ProTax (-7%) down due to lapping the extended California tax filing deadline last year (press release) .
  • Mailchimp churn at the lower end of the base; discovery/usability for very small customers needs improvement, with several quarters expected to realize outcomes at scale (CEO) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs prior year and prior quarter

MetricQ1 FY24 (oldest)Q4 FY24Q1 FY25 (newest)
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.978 $3.184 $3.283
GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$307 $(151) $271
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($USD Millions)$960 $730 $953
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.85 $(0.07) $0.70
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.47 $1.99 $2.50
GAAP Operating Margin (%)10.3% (calc. from operating income/revenue) -4.7% (calc.) 8.3% (calc.)
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)32.2% (calc.) 22.9% (calc.) 29.0% (calc.)
Cash from Operations ($USD Millions)$(97) N/A$362

Note: Operating margin values are calculated from reported revenue and operating income; citations reference the underlying reported figures.

Segment and Business Mix for Q1 FY25

Segment/MixRevenue ($USD Millions)YoY Growth
Global Business Solutions Group (GBS)$2,500 +9%
Online Ecosystem (subset of GBS)$1,900 +20%
Credit Karma$524 +29%
Consumer Group$176 -6%
ProTax Group$39 -7%

KPIs and Operational Metrics

KPIQ1 FY25 Value
QuickBooks Online Accounting revenue growth+21% (drivers: customer growth, price, mix)
Online Services revenue growth (money, payroll, Mailchimp)+19%
Total online payment volume growth+17%
International online ecosystem growth (constant currency)+10%
QBO Advanced + IES online ecosystem revenue growth~+42%
Credit Karma growth contributions (product points)PL +11 pts; Insurance +9 pts; Cards +8 pts

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($B)FY25$18.160–$18.347 $18.160–$18.347 Maintained
GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY25$4.649–$4.724 $4.649–$4.724 Maintained
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY25$7.241–$7.316 $7.241–$7.316 Maintained
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY25$12.34–$12.54 $12.34–$12.54 Maintained
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY25$19.16–$19.36 $19.16–$19.36 Maintained
GBS segment revenue growthFY25+16–17% (Online ~+20%, Desktop low single digits) +16–17% (Online ~+20%, Desktop low single digits) Maintained
Consumer segment revenue growthFY25+7–8% +7–8% Maintained
ProTax segment revenue growthFY25+3–4% +3–4% Maintained
Credit Karma revenue growthFY25+5–8% +5–8% Maintained
Revenue ($B)Q2 FY25N/A$3.812–$3.845 New
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q2 FY25N/A$0.84–$0.90 New
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)Q2 FY25N/A$2.55–$2.61 New
Dividend per share ($)Next payment$1.04 (Q4 declaration) $1.04 payable Jan 17, 2025 Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 FY24)Previous Mentions (Q4 FY24)Current Period (Q1 FY25)Trend
AI/Intuit Assist24M TurboTax users used Assist; plan to scale done‑for‑you across platform ~1M businesses engaging with Assist; future growth not in guidance Assist GA for U.S. QBO; improved conversion/retention/service attach; launch with invoice reminders and cashflow agents Scaling across products
Mid‑market/IESFocus on mid‑market; QBO Advanced +28% in FY24 Building go‑to‑market; high ARPC mid‑market customers QBO Advanced/IES online ecosystem +~42%; high margin, lucrative; 200+ sales hires ramping Accelerating
Payments/MoneyPayments TPV +22% in Q3; strong money suite investments TPV +19% in Q4; Bill Pay adoption Online payment volume +17%; storms and calendar days impacted Q1, expected to accelerate Solid; temporary factors
MailchimpLapping price changes; intl focus Integrating with QuickBooks; mid‑market & intl priorities Higher churn in very small customers; fixes to first‑time use/discoverability; several quarters to improve Near‑term headwind
Consumer Assisted TaxTurboTax Live revenue +17% FY24; full service doubled Early marketing before season; assisted share take Early marketing lifted consideration; Q2 retail promo timing shifts desktop revenue to Q3 Ongoing disruption of assisted
Credit KarmaMixed macro; +8% Q3 Return to growth; FY25 LT growth updated +29% Q1; ~50-50 product/macro drivers (rates stable, product engagement) Strong recovery
Desktop TransitionCompleting subscription shift; Q1 FY25 revenue shift noted Desktop enterprise high single-digit growth expected Desktop −17% Q1; expected to return to growth in Q2 Transitioning, improving

Management Commentary

  • “We’ve had a strong start to the year…delivering ‘done‑for‑you’ experiences, enabled by AI with access to AI‑powered human experts” (CEO) .
  • “Online ecosystem revenue grew 20%…mid‑market grew approximately 42%…we’re seeing good adoption of our services” (CFO) .
  • “Intuit Assist…now generally available to all U.S. QuickBooks Online customers…we learned improved conversion, improved retention, and adoption of services” (CEO) .
  • “Credit Karma revenue growth accelerated to 29%…strength in personal loans, auto insurance and credit cards” (CFO) .
  • “It [mid‑market] is very high margin, very lucrative, high ARPC…platform‑driven services and higher mix make it more lucrative” (CEO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Drivers behind online ecosystem +20%: strong retention after price changes, mix shift toward mid‑market (~+42%), services adoption; supports reaffirmed FY guidance (CFO) .
  • Mailchimp churn at lower end is idiosyncratic to product complexity for small customers; deep integration effort expected over several quarters; not macro-driven (CEO) .
  • Q2 Consumer revenue decline reflects retail promo timing in desktop, shifting revenue into Q3 without changing units/FY revenue (CEO) .
  • Payments volume +17% was impacted by East Coast storms and fewer days; expected to accelerate (CEO) .
  • Mid‑market economics: high ARPC and high margin; platform leverage and AI make sales lift efficient (CEO) .
  • Spending timing: lighter EPS beat and Q2 EPS guide reflect front-loaded marketing and mid‑market go‑to‑market investments while optimizing ROI for the full year (CFO) .

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus estimates (revenue, EPS) for Q1 FY25 and Q2 FY25 were unavailable at time of request due to a temporary access limit, so we cannot quantify beats/misses versus consensus. Management reaffirmed FY25 guidance and provided Q2 ranges (see Guidance Changes above) .

MetricQ1 FY25 ActualS&P Global ConsensusQ2 FY25 Guidance
Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.283 Unavailable (SPGI daily limit exceeded)$3.812–$3.845
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.70 Unavailable$0.84–$0.90
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.50 Unavailable$2.55–$2.61

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Quality of growth: Q1 strength was driven by higher‑value ecosystems (GBS Online +20%, mid‑market ~+42%) and Credit Karma (+29%), supporting margin trajectory over FY25 (management reiterated full-year guide) .
  • Near-term optics: Q2 Consumer decline is timing-related (desktop promotions), shifting revenue to Q3; not indicative of underlying demand; Desktop expected to return to growth in Q2 .
  • AI adoption catalyst: Intuit Assist should lift conversion, retention and services attach across QuickBooks, TurboTax, Credit Karma, and Mailchimp, creating multi‑year monetization optionality .
  • Mid‑market thesis: High ARPC, high margin, and platform leverage suggest durable growth and improving mix; ongoing go‑to‑market ramp should be monitored (200+ hires) .
  • Watch Mailchimp execution: Churn at the very small customer segment is a fixable UX/product issue; management guided several quarters to see improvement; not a macro drag .
  • Capital returns intact: $570M buybacks and $1.04 dividend (16% YoY increase) highlight confidence and cash-generation resilience .
  • Actionable: The narrative for stock movement centers on sustained 20% online ecosystem growth, AI‑enabled service attach, and mid‑market acceleration, versus near-term desktop/Consumer timing noise; FY25 guide maintained is supportive for medium‑term multiple stability .

Citations:

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