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II

INTRUSION INC (INTZ)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Third consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth: Q4 revenue $1.68M, up 11% q/q and 23% y/y, driven by a large U.S. DoD contract (Shield + consulting) and new customer additions; gross margin moderated to 75% on mix, while net loss improved to $(2.0)M with EPS $(0.36) versus $(1.80) y/y .
  • Balance sheet reset is the key catalyst: ~$14.5M raised across late Dec/early Jan and elimination of ~$10.1M notional Series A preferred; cash rose to $4.9M at 12/31/24, and management says they’re virtually debt-free, removing going-concern and 2025 dilution fears absent compelling M&A .
  • Strategic initiatives to accelerate growth: AWS Marketplace listing for Shield Cloud, revamped channel program, increased digital marketing; sales focus shifting to $100K+ deals as pipeline mix skews larger .
  • Product innovation continues: AI-driven Shield Command Hub and new Shield Sentinel (100Gb monitoring) launched; early paying customer feedback positive with additional units shipping in Q1 .
  • Estimates context: Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus not available at time of analysis; no formal quantitative guidance provided. We therefore cannot score beat/miss vs estimates at this time (S&P Global consensus unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Third consecutive quarter of sequential revenue growth,” underpinned by the DoD award and 20 new Shield logos in 2024; near-zero churn sustained .
    • Balance sheet repair: $14.5M proceeds, elimination of Series A preferred ($10.1M notional), virtually debt-free, and removal of going-concern language—improved customer conversations and strategic flexibility .
    • Product momentum: AI-enhanced Shield Command Hub and new Shield Sentinel targeting large enterprises/telecoms; units shipping in Q1 to initial paying customer .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Gross margin compression to 75% (from 79% y/y) due to mix; shield revenue down $0.1M y/y and q/q to $0.4M in Q4; mix-dependent variability likely to continue .
    • Growth cadence impacted by deal slippage and onboarding delays; management cites need to improve time-to-revenue and forecast reliability .
    • No formal guidance; shield ARPU variability persists (deals range from $5K–$10K up to a few hundred thousand annually), complicating predictability until larger-deal focus scales .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$1.37 $1.50 $1.68
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$1.08 $1.16 $1.26
Gross Margin %79% 77% 75%
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$3.50 (implied: $3.2M in Q4’24, down $0.3M y/y) $3.20 $3.20
Operating Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.39) $(2.04) $(1.90)
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$(2.82) $(2.05) $(1.96)
Diluted EPS ($)$(1.80) $(0.35) $(0.36)
Cash and Equivalents ($USD Millions, period-end)$0.14 $1.05 $4.90

Segment/Revenue Mix (Q4 2024):

  • Consulting Revenue: $1.3M; up $0.3M q/q and up $0.4M y/y .
  • Shield Revenue: $0.4M; down $0.1M q/q and y/y; prior-year customer loss offset by new logos and DoD contract .

KPIs and Balance Sheet:

  • New Shield logos signed in 2024: 20; near-zero churn .
  • DoD contract: $2.0M (Shield + consulting); expected additions/expansions over coming quarters .
  • Capital actions (Dec/Jan): ~$14.5M proceeds; elimination of ~$10.1M notional Series A preferred; virtually debt-free; baby-shelf limitation removed .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Company revenue/EPS/margins2025/near-termNone providedNone providedNo formal guidance disclosed
Capital raising2025N/ANo intention to raise capital in 2025 absent compelling inorganic opportunityStatement of intent (not numeric guidance)
Sales/Go-to-market2025N/AFocus on $100K+ direct deals; channel program revamp; AWS Marketplace listing in processStrategic shift, execution update

Notes: Management did not issue quantitative revenue, margin, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or segment guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Balance sheet/liquidityQ2: financings to bolster liquidity; net loss improvement q/q . Q3: cash $1.1M; debt-to-equity conversion aided interest expense .~$14.5M proceeds; elimination of ~$10.1M Series A; virtually debt-free; removal of going-concern; enhanced flexibility (baby shelf no longer applies) .Strong positive inflection in liquidity and risk profile.
Federal/DoD tractionQ2: first large-scale Shield adoption by government . Q3: $2.0M DoD award; zero churn; 7 new logos .DoD contract a material driver of Q4 revenue; management expects additions/expansions .Pipeline expanding; federal cycle “fluid,” slight elongation possible near-term .
APAC momentumQ3: strong demand in Philippines/APAC; growing pipeline .Continued pipeline expansion; broader opportunities cited .Sustained positive momentum.
Product & AIQ3: AI features in Shield Command Hub; frequent updates .AI-driven Command Hub emphasized; new Shield Sentinel (100Gb) shipping to paying customer .Broadening portfolio for larger enterprises/telecom.
Go-to-marketQ2: sales focus, expanding logos . Q3: ongoing POCs; cost control .AWS Marketplace listing in process; channel revamp; heavier digital marketing; focus ≥$100K deals .Pivot to scale/larger contract mix.
Churn/retentionQ3: near-zero churn maintained .Near-zero churn reiterated .Stable retention.
Listing/complianceQ3: NASDAQ minimum bid notice received .NASDAQ compliance regained on recent share-price improvement .Listing overhang eased.

Management Commentary

  • “We are virtually debt-free, have eliminated the Series A preferred stock and have enough cash in the bank to fund our operations through fiscal year 2025 and beyond.” — CEO Tony Scott .
  • “We are in the process of making our Shield Cloud product available in the AWS marketplace… We are increasing our digital marketing… [and] revamping our channel program…” — CEO Tony Scott .
  • “In the fourth quarter of 2024, revenues were $1.7 million, an increase of 11% sequentially and 23% when compared to the prior year period… Consulting revenue… $1.3 million… Shield revenue… $0.4 million.” — CFO Kimberly Pinson .

Q&A Highlights

  • Inorganic opportunities: No active deals; would consider acquisitions/tech that broaden portfolio and reduce customer confusion around capabilities .
  • Marketing/promotion: Plan to materially increase visibility via social media/influencers, leveraging new financial flexibility; spend expected to rise but remains efficient .
  • Deal sizes and mix: Historical variability ($5K–$10K to a few hundred thousand annually); sales team refocused on ≥$100K deals; larger pipeline mix now .
  • Federal demand outlook: Cyber remains a priority despite administrative changes; some elongation possible for new awards; steady on existing contracts .
  • Cash deployment and hiring: Intend to invest cash prudently; considering selective sales hires and channel leadership to accelerate growth .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 revenue and EPS, but the request could not be fulfilled at this time (consensus unavailable). As such, we cannot determine beat/miss vs Wall Street for Q4 2024 based on S&P Global.
  • Implication: Sell-side coverage may be thin; investors should anchor on sequential and y/y trends and watch for estimate initiation/updates post-balance sheet reset.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet transformation reduces existential risk and dilution concerns, enabling management to pivot from financing to growth execution; this is the near-term narrative driver .
  • Revenue trajectory improving (Q2→Q3→Q4); watch for acceleration as DoD contract expands and AWS Marketplace/channel initiatives ramp; mix will dictate margins (consulting vs. Shield) .
  • Margin volatility tied to mix (75% in Q4 vs 79% y/y); sustained Shield growth would be margin-accretive over time; track Shield revenue and mix disclosures .
  • Larger-deal focus (≥$100K) and channel revamp aim to improve deal quality and forecasting; evidence of pipeline skewing larger is encouraging .
  • Product portfolio broadened (AI-driven Command Hub, Shield Sentinel) to address large-scale environments—early customer traction noted; look for multi-unit deployments in 1H25 .
  • Listing overhang removed (NASDAQ compliance regained), and going-concern language withdrawn—positive for customer confidence and partner engagement .
  • Near-term watch items: formal guidance cadence (none yet), Shield ARR/mix transparency, federal award timing, operating expense discipline as marketing/sales investments step up .

Detailed Quantitative Exhibits

Q4 2024 Revenue Detail (as disclosed)

SegmentQ4 2024 ($USD Millions)q/q Change ($)y/y Change ($)
Consulting$1.30 +$0.30 +$0.40
Shield$0.40 $(0.10) $(0.10)

KPIs and Capital Actions

KPI / ActionDetail
New Shield logos (2024)20
Shield churnNear-zero
DoD award$2.0M; combined Shield + consulting
Cash & equivalents (12/31/24)$4.9M
Capital raises (Dec/Jan)~$14.5M proceeds; elimination of ~$10.1M Series A preferred (notional)
Debt/complianceVirtually debt-free; going-concern removed; NASDAQ compliance regained

Notes: Management referenced use of non-GAAP measures on calls generally; no non-GAAP figures were reported in these earnings materials .