SI
Samsara Inc. (IOT)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 FY2025 delivered durable growth and record profitability: revenue $346.3M (+25% YoY; +36% adjusted), non-GAAP gross margin 78%, non-GAAP operating margin 16%, and adjusted FCF margin 14% .
- Ending ARR reached $1.458B (+32% YoY; +33% adjusted) with 2,506 customers >$100K ARR (+36% YoY); large-customer mix rose to 55% of ARR .
- Guidance initiated for Q1 FY2026 ($350–$352M revenue; non-GAAP EPS $0.05–$0.06) and FY2026 ($1.523–$1.533B revenue; non-GAAP EPS $0.32–$0.34), implying continued growth with ~11% non-GAAP operating margin for FY2026 .
- Consensus estimates (S&P Global) were unavailable at the time of analysis due to API limits; however, Q4 and FY25 actuals exceeded prior company guidance midpoints on revenue, margins, and EPS, which should support positive estimate revisions and sentiment near term .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record profitability at scale: Q4 non-GAAP gross margin 78%, operating margin 16%, free cash flow margin 14%; CFO highlighted quarterly records across all key non-GAAP profitability metrics .
- Enterprise momentum and mix shift: 2,506 customers >$100K ARR (+36% YoY), 14 additions >$1M ARR in Q4, average ARR per large customer increased to $323K, and large-customer ARR mix rose to 55% .
- Strategic narrative on data and AI: “We’re operating at a rare combination of growth, scale, and profitability… partnering with some of the world’s largest and most complex operations organizations” — CEO Sanjit Biswas ; “We processed over 14 trillion data points annually, reflecting over 50% YoY growth” — management highlighting AI leverage .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP losses persist despite improvement: Q4 GAAP net loss $(11.2)M and GAAP loss per share $(0.02), though sharply better YoY vs $(113.4)M and $(0.21) .
- Sales cycle variability: Management emphasized multi-year sales cycles with large enterprises are “longer and more variable” and expansions mostly over time versus wall-to-wall upfront — a potential source of intra-quarter timing risk .
- Macro/geopolitics and tariffs uncertainty: Q&A flagged U.S. macro, geopolitical tensions, and potential tariff impacts; management planning scenario mitigations but noted uncertainty persists .
Financial Results
Headline Metrics vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter
Notes: Adjusted growth accounts for constant currency and Q4 FY2024 14th week normalization .
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Balance Sheet and Cash Flow (Selected)
- Q4 Operating Cash Flow $53.9M; Adjusted FCF $48.5M .
- Cash & equivalents at Q4: $227.6M; Short-term investments $467.2M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Fiscal year 2025 was another year of durable and efficient growth. We’re operating at a rare combination of growth, scale, and profitability.” — CEO Sanjit Biswas .
- “Q4 was highlighted by surpassing $100M in quarterly net new ARR… and achieving quarterly records for gross margin, operating margin, and free cash flow margin.” — CFO Dominic Phillips .
- “We’ve built one of the world’s largest operational data assets… 14T+ data points annually, >50% YoY growth.” — Management highlighting AI/data leverage .
- “Large strategic enterprise sales cycles can span multiple years and are more variable… many have clear paths to becoming $10M+ ARR.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- ARR extra week impact: Q4 FY2024 had a 14th week; CFO noted ARR impact is difficult to quantify, but a framework implies ~+$7M to net new ARR last year as a rough heuristic (not adjusted in reported ARR) .
- Asset Tags trajectory: Strong attach across industries; customers experimenting with phased rollouts; early but promising for FY2026 .
- Macro/tariffs: Customers seek ROI amid uncertainty; Samsara planning mitigations; guidance philosophy unchanged and conservative to start FY2026 .
- Mix of new vs expansion: Q4 net new ACV roughly 50/50; expansions target NRR ~115% core / ~120% large customers .
- Margin drivers: Operating margin outperformance driven mostly by revenue outperformance; margins tend to lever in back half .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 FY2025 and Q1 FY2026 were unavailable at analysis time due to API limits. As a result, explicit “vs. consensus” beats/misses cannot be provided. Values normally retrieved from S&P Global.
- Given actuals exceeded prior company guidance midpoints for Q4 and FY2025 revenue, non-GAAP margins, and EPS, we expect sell-side models to revisit upward for profitability and FY2026 EPS assumptions; monitor for updated consensus when available .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Profitability inflection continues: record Q4 margins and FY2025 non-GAAP operating margin at 9% signal durable scale benefits and efficient growth .
- Enterprise mix and multi-product adoption are compounding: higher ARR per large customer and rising large-customer ARR mix support sustained ARR expansion .
- Product velocity broadens TAM: Asset Tags and connected worker offerings (Workflows, Training) add non-vehicle growth vectors, reinforcing platform stickiness .
- International frontiers provide secondary growth engine: 17% net new ACV from MX/UK in Q4, aided by localized features; expect continued investment .
- Risk monitor: macro/tariffs and long enterprise cycles can add timing volatility; management’s conservative guidance start and scenario planning mitigate near-term risk .
- Near-term trading: Actuals ahead of company guidance and initial FY2026 guide with ~11% non-GAAP Op margin should support positive sentiment; await consensus updates to confirm beats/misses.
- Medium-term thesis: Platform leverage (data+AI) and multi-product expansions across asset-heavy industries underpin a durable growth+profitability profile at rising scale .