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JACOBS SOLUTIONS INC. (J)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 continuing-ops revenue rose 4.4% to $2.96B, adjusted net revenue up 4.3%; adjusted EBITDA increased 12.5% to $289M with adjusted EBITDA margin at 13.6% (+~100 bps YoY). Adjusted EPS was $1.37 (+28% YoY); GAAP EPS was $2.38 (benefited by $187M mark-to-market gain on AMTM) .
  • Backlog climbed 22.5% YoY to $21.85B; Q4 book-to-bill was 1.67x (TTM 1.35x), underpinning FY25 organic growth in Water & Environmental, Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing and Critical Infrastructure .
  • FY25 guidance: adjusted net revenue mid-to-high single-digit growth, adjusted EBITDA margin 13.8–14.0%, adjusted EPS $5.80–$6.20, reported FCF conversion >100%; tax rate ~26% (higher vs FY24/FY23 due to prior discrete tax benefits) .
  • Strategic separation completed Sept. 27; $911M proceeds used to repay debt; Jacobs retains 7.5–8% AMTM stake and shareholders own ~51% (potentially up to 55%); management expects monetization of the AMTM stake in 1H CY’25, supporting capital returns and optionality .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Double-digit growth in Water & Environmental adjusted net revenue; broad-based strength across North America, UK/Ireland, Australia/New Zealand with major awards (e.g., LA progressive design-build for recycled water) and record-scale bookings in company history .
  • Backlog momentum: total backlog +22.5% YoY to $21.85B; Q4 book-to-bill 1.67x and TTM 1.35x; management: “these are some of the largest bookings that we’ve had… proof is in the numbers” .
  • Margin expansion and cash generation: adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.6% in Q4; FY24 FCF from continuing ops $718M; net leverage ~1.0x; ongoing share repurchases ($472M authorization remaining) and dividend growth ($0.29, +12% YoY) .

What Went Wrong

  • Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing growth moderated by an unfavorable revenue adjustment tied to an EV battery customer bankruptcy in Europe; management expects acceleration in FY25, led by Life Sciences and diversification in semis .
  • Critical Infrastructure growth lagged in certain international markets; management cites UK budget certainty and wins in Australia/NZ supporting recovery in FY25 .
  • FY25 tax rate headwind (~26%) vs prior years due to nonrecurring discrete tax benefits; restructuring outflows of $75–$95M in FY25 (declining through FY25) .

Financial Results

Headline Metrics (Continuing Operations)

MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.834 $2.960
Adjusted Net Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.032 $2.119
GAAP EPS - Continuing Operations ($)$0.63 $2.38
Adjusted EPS - Continuing Operations ($)$1.07 $1.37
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$256.9 $289.0
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)~12.6% (calc: $256.9M/$2.032B) 13.6%

Notes: Q4 2024 GAAP EPS benefited from ~$187M AMTM mark-to-market gain; adjusted EPS excludes this and restructuring/intangibles amortization per company reconciliation .

Segment Breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)

Segment MetricQ4 2023Q4 2024
Infrastructure & Advanced Facilities – External Revenue ($USD Billions)$2.546 $2.671
I&AF – Adjusted Net Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.744 $1.829
I&AF – Segment Operating Profit ($USD Millions)$162.1 $177.9
PA Consulting – Revenue ($USD Billions)$0.288 $0.289
PA Consulting – Segment Operating Profit ($USD Millions)$59.5 $61.7
Total Backlog ($USD Billions)$17.84 $21.85
I&AF Backlog ($USD Billions)$17.53 $21.47
PA Consulting Backlog ($USD Millions)$311 $378

KPIs

KPIValue
Q4 Book-to-Bill (Revenue Basis)1.67x
TTM Book-to-Bill1.35x
Reported Free Cash Flow (FY24, $USD Millions)$933.6
Free Cash Flow Conversion (FY24)>100%
Net Debt (~$USD Billions)~$1.1; net leverage ~1.0x LTM adjusted EBITDA
Dividend (Declared Sept. 26, 2024)$0.29 per share (+12% YoY)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted Net Revenue GrowthFY 2025Not previously providedMid-to-high single digits YoY New
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY 2025“13.8%+” (stand-alone target discussed) 13.8%–14.0% Refined/maintained
Adjusted EPSFY 2025Not previously provided$5.80–$6.20 New
Reported FCF ConversionFY 2025Not previously provided>100% New
Tax RateFY 2025Lower in FY24/23 due to discrete benefits (no specific prior target) ~26% Higher vs prior years
Restructuring Cash OutflowsFY 2025Not previously provided$75–$95M; declining through FY25 New
DividendOngoing$0.29 declared (Sept. 26) Management committed to long-term dividend growth Maintained with upward trajectory

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 2024 (Prior-2)Q3 2024 (Prior-1)Q4 2024 (Current)Trend
Water & EnvironmentalStrong awards (Miami-Dade, UK AMP8/9; PFAS regs a tailwind) Double-digit growth; record P&PS backlog; global wins Double-digit adjusted net revenue growth; major LA recycled water award; multi-geo strength Strengthening
Life Sciences & Advanced MfgPipeline doubling; GLP-1, oncology; semis/data centers growing Robust LS; semis diversification; AI data centers expanding LS growth primary driver FY25; EV battery customer bankruptcy impacted Q4; semis customer/about India expansion Improving ex one-off
Critical Infrastructure/TransportIIJA ramp into ’26/’27; significant Amtrak win Int’l pauses (UK elections, Saudi reprioritization) but US steady; record book-to-bill NA steady; UK/Australia/NZ recovery expected; Middle East pipeline intact Recovering
Cost/Margin DisciplineP&PS adj. op margin record 15.3%; corporate costs trending to ~$50M post-sep Continued margin expansion; stand-alone EBITDA margin target ≥13.8% Q4 adj. EBITDA margin 13.6%; guide 13.8–14.0% FY25; efficiencies annualize Expanding
Backlog & Book-to-BillBacklog +2% YoY; gross profit in backlog +7% Q3 book-to-bill 1.29x; record P&PS backlog Backlog +22.5% YoY; Q4 book-to-bill 1.67x; TTM 1.35x Stronger
Macro/UK/Middle EastUK water strong; Saudi pipeline diverse UK election pause; Saudi reprioritization; IIJA/CHIPS tailwinds UK budget certainty aiding wins; Middle East opportunities ongoing; US expected to grow faster Stabilizing
Tax & RestructuringFY24 tax ~22–27% (adj. effective rate by quarter) Stand-alone margin ≥13.8% discussed FY25 tax ~26%; restructuring outflows $75–$95M Headwind diminishing

Management Commentary

  • CEO on strategic focus: “A more sharply focused company operating in robust end markets… we believe Jacobs is in an excellent position to create substantial shareholder value” .
  • CFO on FY25 outlook: “Adjusted net revenue to increase mid- to high single digits… adjusted EBITDA margin 13.8% to 14%… adjusted EPS $5.80 to $6.20… tax rate ~26%” .
  • CEO on backlog/quality: “These are some of the largest bookings that we’ve had… proof is in the numbers” .
  • End-market positioning: “Global investment spending across life sciences, semis and data centers is creating a robust backdrop for Jacobs in FY ’25 and beyond” .
  • Capital allocation: “Committed to returning cash… repurchased $403M and paid $143M dividends in FY ’24; $472M authorization remaining” . “We hope to monetize [AMTM stake] in the first half of calendar ’25” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Backlog vs revenue guidance discrepancy: Multiyear nature and lifecycle bell curve drive mid-to-high single-digit revenue growth despite very strong bookings; margins at/above corporate averages .
  • Pipeline strength and visibility: Double-digit pipeline growth across Water & Environmental and Life Sciences; contracted component for FY25 revenue higher than historical; US expected to grow faster than international near-term .
  • Restructuring/tax dynamics: Restructuring outflows to decline through FY25; FY25 tax rate ~26% is a headwind vs FY24/FY23 discrete benefits .
  • PA Consulting outlook: Exit margins improving; backlog growth aligns with Jacobs; anticipated inflection in FY25 .
  • Capital deployment optionality: Near-term focus on debt paydown, buybacks, dividends; M&A remains an accelerant longer-term; expected monetization of AMTM stake in 1H CY’25 .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global were unavailable at the time of this analysis due to data access limits. As a result, explicit “vs. consensus” comparisons could not be provided. Management’s guidance implies mid-teens growth in adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA at midpoints for FY25, with sequential growth through Q4 FY25 and typical seasonality driving Q1 FY25 below Q4 FY24 .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Backlog/book-to-bill momentum is the core thesis driver: Q4 book-to-bill 1.67x and backlog +22.5% YoY create visibility for FY25 growth, notably in Water & Environmental and Life Sciences/Advanced Manufacturing .
  • Margin expansion story intact: Q4 adjusted EBITDA margin 13.6%; FY25 guide 13.8–14.0% supported by operational efficiencies annualizing, global delivery leverage, and mix improvement .
  • Near-term headwinds manageably transitory: EV battery customer bankruptcy impacted Q4 revenue in Europe; tax rate step-up to ~26% is a known headwind, but restructuring cash outflows decline through FY25 .
  • Capital allocation optionality: Strong FCF (>100% conversion), low net leverage (~1.0x), $472M buyback authorization, and expected AMTM stake monetization in 1H CY’25 are potential catalysts for shareholder returns .
  • Regional narrative: US poised to outgrow international in FY25; UK budget clarity and Australia/NZ wins support international recovery; Middle East pipeline remains robust (airports, water, transport) .
  • Strategic focus post-separation: Simpler, higher-margin portfolio (I&AF + PA) with targeted end-markets (water/environmental, life sciences/advanced manufacturing, critical infrastructure) should reduce complexity and support sustained margin/FCF expansion .
  • Upcoming catalysts: FY25 sequential growth cadence, Investor Day (Feb. 18, Miami) for long-term model detail, and potential AMTM monetization .

Additional Relevant Q4 Press Releases

  • Company announced timing for fiscal Q4 and full-year results (Oct. 29) .
  • Quarterly dividend declared ($0.29, payable Nov. 22) .
  • Completion of spin-off/merger with Amentum and new focused portfolio outlined (Sept. 27) .

Quantitative and qualitative information cited from Jacobs’ Q4 FY2024 8-K and press release and Q4 FY2024 earnings call transcript: and prior quarters for trend context: .