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Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 total revenues were $897.8M, down 0.5% YoY and below consensus ($984.0M), while non-GAAP EPS of $1.68 missed consensus ($4.66) due to a $172M Xyrem antitrust settlement charge booked in SG&A; GAAP LPS was $(1.52) . Revenue Consensus Mean: $983.8M*, Primary EPS Consensus Mean: $4.66*; Primary EPS - # of Estimates: 16*, Revenue - # of Estimates: 17*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Neuroscience strength continued: Xywav +9% YoY to $344.8M and Epidiolex +10% YoY to $217.7M; oncology was softer (Rylaze −8% YoY, Zepzelca −16%) given protocol changes and competition .
- 2025 guidance: Total revenue affirmed at $4.15–$4.40B; SG&A (non-GAAP) raised to $1.47–$1.53B and R&D (non-GAAP) raised to $760–$810M to reflect Chimerix acquisition; non-GAAP ANI lowered to $250–$350M (from $1.4–$1.5B prior) given $885M acquired IPR&D related to Chimerix and the litigation settlements .
- Catalysts: ASCO oral presentation for Zepzelca 1L ES-SCLC maintenance data (June), HERIZON‑GEA‑01 top-line in 2H25, and dordaviprone PDUFA on Aug 18, 2025; management reiterated confidence in 2025 revenue outlook and minimal direct tariff impact in 2025 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Xywav and Epidiolex delivered growth: Xywav +9% YoY to $344.8M and Epidiolex +10% YoY to $217.7M; management cited robust demand and patient adds, with ~14,600 active Xywav patients exiting Q1 (≈450 net adds) .
- Pipeline/regulatory progress: sNDA submitted for Zepzelca 1L ES‑SCLC maintenance; CHMP positive opinion for zanidatamab in 2L BTC; HERIZON‑GEA‑01 PFS readout expected 2H25 .
- Chimerix acquisition completed, adding near-term commercial opportunity (dordaviprone) with Priority Review and Aug 18, 2025 PDUFA date .
What Went Wrong
- Oncology softness: Rylaze −8% YoY to $94.2M (COG protocol timing) and Zepzelca −16% YoY to $63.0M (competition, delayed progression to 2L), driving overall oncology net sales down 11% YoY .
- Litigation impact: $172.0M SG&A charge tied to Xyrem antitrust settlements reduced non-GAAP EPS by $2.34 and GAAP by $2.38; GAAP net loss was $(92.5)M .
- Top-line miss vs Street: Revenue ($897.8M) and non-GAAP EPS ($1.68) missed consensus, partly reflecting seasonality (Epidiolex inventory burn) and one fewer U.S. oncology shipping week in the quarter .
Financial Results
Segment/Product Revenues ($USD Millions)
Key KPIs
Estimate Comparison (Street vs Actual) – Q1 2025
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Note: Guidance updates explicitly incorporate the Chimerix acquisition (closed Apr 21) and $172M Xyrem antitrust settlements; the combined impact is ~$1.0B pre-tax adjustments, driving lower GAAP and non-GAAP ANI .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our focus on execution and operational excellence resulted in solid commercial performance, led by Epidiolex and Xywav… We are affirming our 2025 total revenue guidance range of $4.15–$4.40 billion” — Bruce Cozadd (CEO) .
- “We saw strong Epidiolex demand… expect it to reach blockbuster status in 2025” — Renée Galá (President & COO) .
- “We completed the submission of an sNDA to expand Zepzelca… results have the potential to be practice-changing” — Rob Iannone (EVP, R&D) .
- “This $172M charge… reduced our adjusted net income by $146M and our GAAP and non-GAAP EPS by $2.38 and $2.34 per share” — Phil Johnson (CFO) .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs/supply chain: Management expects no direct 2025 financial impact; sufficient U.S. inventory and optionality with U.S. oxybate CMO; flexibility to shift manufacturing if needed .
- Zepzelca vs Imdelltra: 2L pressure noted; 1L maintenance expansion seen as practice-changing with larger patient pool and longer duration; aim for NCCN inclusion .
- Rylaze normalization and AYA strategy: Protocol impact to normalize in Q2; ongoing education to drive AYA usage despite longer ramp vs pediatrics .
- Dordaviprone: Priority Review; no AdCom expected; ACTION Phase 3 enrolling; potential to transform care in H3 K27M-mutant diffuse glioma .
- Oxybate/IH: Majority narcolepsy adds are new-to-oxybate; IH competitive path for LUMRYZ blocked by patent/injunction through 2036; continued payer coverage (>90% commercial lives) .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results were below Street: Revenue $897.8M vs $983.8M*, and non-GAAP EPS $1.68 vs $4.66* (Primary EPS). The miss primarily reflects the $172M Xyrem antitrust settlement charge impacting both GAAP and non-GAAP, seasonality (Epidiolex inventory burn), and one fewer U.S. oncology shipping week (~7.7% fewer) .
- Outlook: With guidance revised to include $885M acquired IPR&D and higher SG&A/R&D, Street models should recalibrate 2025 non-GAAP ANI/EPS and tax rate to the updated ranges; revenue guidance was affirmed .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term trade: Q1 was a clean miss vs consensus driven by a large litigation charge; core Neuroscience demand (Xywav/Epidiolex) remains solid. Watch for ASCO Zepzelca oral and sentiment shift toward 1L maintenance adoption potential .
- 2025 setup: Revenue held at $4.15–$4.40B, but expenses and tax raised; non-GAAP ANI slashed to $250–$350M on AIPR&D and settlements—rebase models accordingly .
- Catalysts: dordaviprone PDUFA (Aug 18), HERIZON‑GEA‑01 PFS top-line (2H25), CHMP/EC outcome for zanidatamab in EU BTC; each can expand Oncology trajectory .
- Zepzelca trajectory: Expect continued 2L competition short term; 1L maintenance label/guideline inclusion could reaccelerate growth and extend treatment duration—monitor guideline updates post‑ASCO .
- Oxybate durability: Xywav’s differentiation (low sodium, dosing flexibility) and IH runway remain intact; management views 2026 generic Xyrem dynamics as manageable given non‑AB rating and payer/clinical positioning .
- Tariff risk mitigants: Inventory coverage and U.S. manufacturing optionality reduce 2025 exposure; minimal direct impact expected .
- Legal overhang reduced: Booking of class settlement charge advances resolution; track court approvals and any residual cases .