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Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc (JAZZ)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 total revenues were $897.8M, down 0.5% YoY and below consensus ($984.0M), while non-GAAP EPS of $1.68 missed consensus ($4.66) due to a $172M Xyrem antitrust settlement charge booked in SG&A; GAAP LPS was $(1.52) . Revenue Consensus Mean: $983.8M*, Primary EPS Consensus Mean: $4.66*; Primary EPS - # of Estimates: 16*, Revenue - # of Estimates: 17*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Neuroscience strength continued: Xywav +9% YoY to $344.8M and Epidiolex +10% YoY to $217.7M; oncology was softer (Rylaze −8% YoY, Zepzelca −16%) given protocol changes and competition .
  • 2025 guidance: Total revenue affirmed at $4.15–$4.40B; SG&A (non-GAAP) raised to $1.47–$1.53B and R&D (non-GAAP) raised to $760–$810M to reflect Chimerix acquisition; non-GAAP ANI lowered to $250–$350M (from $1.4–$1.5B prior) given $885M acquired IPR&D related to Chimerix and the litigation settlements .
  • Catalysts: ASCO oral presentation for Zepzelca 1L ES-SCLC maintenance data (June), HERIZON‑GEA‑01 top-line in 2H25, and dordaviprone PDUFA on Aug 18, 2025; management reiterated confidence in 2025 revenue outlook and minimal direct tariff impact in 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Xywav and Epidiolex delivered growth: Xywav +9% YoY to $344.8M and Epidiolex +10% YoY to $217.7M; management cited robust demand and patient adds, with ~14,600 active Xywav patients exiting Q1 (≈450 net adds) .
  • Pipeline/regulatory progress: sNDA submitted for Zepzelca 1L ES‑SCLC maintenance; CHMP positive opinion for zanidatamab in 2L BTC; HERIZON‑GEA‑01 PFS readout expected 2H25 .
  • Chimerix acquisition completed, adding near-term commercial opportunity (dordaviprone) with Priority Review and Aug 18, 2025 PDUFA date .

What Went Wrong

  • Oncology softness: Rylaze −8% YoY to $94.2M (COG protocol timing) and Zepzelca −16% YoY to $63.0M (competition, delayed progression to 2L), driving overall oncology net sales down 11% YoY .
  • Litigation impact: $172.0M SG&A charge tied to Xyrem antitrust settlements reduced non-GAAP EPS by $2.34 and GAAP by $2.38; GAAP net loss was $(92.5)M .
  • Top-line miss vs Street: Revenue ($897.8M) and non-GAAP EPS ($1.68) missed consensus, partly reflecting seasonality (Epidiolex inventory burn) and one fewer U.S. oncology shipping week in the quarter .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$902.0 $1,055.0 $1,088.2 $897.8
GAAP EPS ($)$(0.23) $3.42 $3.11 $(1.52)
Non-GAAP EPS ($)$2.63 $6.61 $6.60 $1.68
Gross Margin % (GAAP)88.7% 88.7% 87.4% 87.5%
Gross Margin % (Non-GAAP)92.4% 92.6% 91.6% 91.7%

Segment/Product Revenues ($USD Millions)

ProductQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Xywav$388.5 $401.0 $344.8
Xyrem$58.1 $49.3 $37.2
Epidiolex/Epidyolex$251.6 $275.0 $217.7
Rylaze/Enrylaze$98.8 $101.5 $94.2
Zepzelca$85.8 $78.3 $63.0
Defitelio/defibrotide$65.8 $57.7 $40.7
Vyxeos$34.3 $53.2 $29.5
Ziihera (zanidatamab)$1.1 $2.0
High‑sodium oxybate AG royalties$58.2 $55.3 $48.9

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Active Xywav patients (approx.)13,625 14,150 14,600
Net Xywav patient adds~400 ~525 ~450
IH patients (subset of active Xywav)~3,550 ~3,900 ~4,225

Estimate Comparison (Street vs Actual) – Q1 2025

MetricConsensusActual# of Estimates
Revenue ($USD)$983.8M*$897.8M 17*
Primary EPS ($)$4.66*$1.68 16*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 25, 2025)Current Guidance (May 6, 2025)Change
Total Revenues ($B)FY 2025$4.15–$4.40 $4.15–$4.40 Maintained
Gross Margin % (GAAP)FY 202588% 88% Maintained
Gross Margin % (Non-GAAP)FY 202592% 92% Maintained
SG&A ($M, Non-GAAP)FY 2025$1,250–$1,310 $1,470–$1,530 Raised (Chimerix + settlements)
R&D ($M, Non-GAAP)FY 2025$720–$770 $760–$810 Raised (dordaviprone programs)
Effective Tax Rate (Non-GAAP)FY 202513%–15% 35%–45% Raised (mix/adjustments)
Net Income (GAAP)FY 2025$560–$720 $(615)–$(450) Lowered (to loss: AIPR&D + settlements)
GAAP EPS ($)FY 2025$9.15–$11.50 $(10.00)–$(7.50) Lowered
Net Income (Non-GAAP)FY 2025$1,400–$1,500 $250–$350 Lowered (AIPR&D + settlements)
Non-GAAP EPS ($)FY 2025$22.50–$24.00 $4.00–$5.60 Lowered
Acquired IPR&D ($M)FY 2025$870–$900 Added (Chimerix)

Note: Guidance updates explicitly incorporate the Chimerix acquisition (closed Apr 21) and $172M Xyrem antitrust settlements; the combined impact is ~$1.0B pre-tax adjustments, driving lower GAAP and non-GAAP ANI .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Tariffs/macro & supply chainNoted general macro; no direct impact quantified No direct 2025 tariff impact discussed; inventory strength Sufficient U.S. inventory for 2025; de minimis direct tariff impact; U.S. CMO capacity for oxybate Stable/Prepared
Oxybate market dynamicsXywav growth; AG royalties up; Xyrem erosion Xywav record Q4; warned 2026 generic dynamics Xywav +9% YoY; majority adds new-to-oxybate; IH growth; LUMRYZ IH path blocked by patent/injunction Positive for Xywav
Zepzelca competitive landscapeAnnounced positive 1L maintenance trial Filing plan in 1H25; 2L remains leader 2L pressure from Imdelltra; 1L maintenance expected to be practice-changing; NCCN inclusion targeted Mixed near-term; improving on 1L
Rylaze protocol impactTemporary revenue timing shift Normalization expected early 2025 Normalization expected in Q2; AYA education underway Improving
Zanidatamab program (Ziihera)Pan-tumor and GEA Phase 3 ongoing EmpowHER-BC-303 initiated; $2B+ multi‑indication potential CHMP positive opinion in 2L BTC; HERIZON‑GEA‑01 top-line in 2H25 Building momentum
Regulatory/legalRoutine forward-looking risk Epidiolex settlements “late 2030s” runway Xyrem antitrust class settlement booked ($172M); GAAP loss Overhang reduced
Corporate development2030 notes; share buybacks Active BD, delevered balance sheet Chimerix acquisition completed; dordaviprone PDUFA 8/18 Accretive pipeline

Management Commentary

  • “Our focus on execution and operational excellence resulted in solid commercial performance, led by Epidiolex and Xywav… We are affirming our 2025 total revenue guidance range of $4.15–$4.40 billion” — Bruce Cozadd (CEO) .
  • “We saw strong Epidiolex demand… expect it to reach blockbuster status in 2025” — Renée Galá (President & COO) .
  • “We completed the submission of an sNDA to expand Zepzelca… results have the potential to be practice-changing” — Rob Iannone (EVP, R&D) .
  • “This $172M charge… reduced our adjusted net income by $146M and our GAAP and non-GAAP EPS by $2.38 and $2.34 per share” — Phil Johnson (CFO) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Tariffs/supply chain: Management expects no direct 2025 financial impact; sufficient U.S. inventory and optionality with U.S. oxybate CMO; flexibility to shift manufacturing if needed .
  • Zepzelca vs Imdelltra: 2L pressure noted; 1L maintenance expansion seen as practice-changing with larger patient pool and longer duration; aim for NCCN inclusion .
  • Rylaze normalization and AYA strategy: Protocol impact to normalize in Q2; ongoing education to drive AYA usage despite longer ramp vs pediatrics .
  • Dordaviprone: Priority Review; no AdCom expected; ACTION Phase 3 enrolling; potential to transform care in H3 K27M-mutant diffuse glioma .
  • Oxybate/IH: Majority narcolepsy adds are new-to-oxybate; IH competitive path for LUMRYZ blocked by patent/injunction through 2036; continued payer coverage (>90% commercial lives) .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 results were below Street: Revenue $897.8M vs $983.8M*, and non-GAAP EPS $1.68 vs $4.66* (Primary EPS). The miss primarily reflects the $172M Xyrem antitrust settlement charge impacting both GAAP and non-GAAP, seasonality (Epidiolex inventory burn), and one fewer U.S. oncology shipping week (~7.7% fewer) .
  • Outlook: With guidance revised to include $885M acquired IPR&D and higher SG&A/R&D, Street models should recalibrate 2025 non-GAAP ANI/EPS and tax rate to the updated ranges; revenue guidance was affirmed .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term trade: Q1 was a clean miss vs consensus driven by a large litigation charge; core Neuroscience demand (Xywav/Epidiolex) remains solid. Watch for ASCO Zepzelca oral and sentiment shift toward 1L maintenance adoption potential .
  • 2025 setup: Revenue held at $4.15–$4.40B, but expenses and tax raised; non-GAAP ANI slashed to $250–$350M on AIPR&D and settlements—rebase models accordingly .
  • Catalysts: dordaviprone PDUFA (Aug 18), HERIZON‑GEA‑01 PFS top-line (2H25), CHMP/EC outcome for zanidatamab in EU BTC; each can expand Oncology trajectory .
  • Zepzelca trajectory: Expect continued 2L competition short term; 1L maintenance label/guideline inclusion could reaccelerate growth and extend treatment duration—monitor guideline updates post‑ASCO .
  • Oxybate durability: Xywav’s differentiation (low sodium, dosing flexibility) and IH runway remain intact; management views 2026 generic Xyrem dynamics as manageable given non‑AB rating and payer/clinical positioning .
  • Tariff risk mitigants: Inventory coverage and U.S. manufacturing optionality reduce 2025 exposure; minimal direct impact expected .
  • Legal overhang reduced: Booking of class settlement charge advances resolution; track court approvals and any residual cases .