Janus International Group - Q1 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Hello, welcome to the Janus International First Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. Currently, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, you may press star then zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would like to now turn the call over to your host, Mr. John Rohlwing, Vice President of Investor Relations and FP&A. Thank you. You may begin, Mr. Rohlwing.

John Rohlwing (VP, Investor Relations and FP&A)

Thank you, operator. Thank you all for joining our first quarter 2023 earnings conference call. We hope that you have seen our earnings release issued this morning. Please note that we have also posted a presentation in support of this call, which can be found in the Investors section of our website at janusintl.com. As a reminder, today's conference call may include forward-looking statements regarding the company's future plans and prospects. These statements are based on our current expectations. We undertake no duty to update them. It is important to note that the company's actual results may differ materially from those anticipated. Factors that could cause actual results to differ from anticipated results are contained in the company's latest earnings release and periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We encourage you to review those factors carefully.

We will be discussing or providing certain non-GAAP financial measures today, including Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, adjusted net income, and adjusted EPS. Please see our earnings release and filings for a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measure. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Ramey Jackson, who will provide an overview of our business and give an operations update, and our Chief Financial Officer, Anselm Wong, who will continue with a discussion of our financial results and outlook before we open up the call for your questions. At this point, I'll turn the call over to Ramey.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. Building on our record financial and operational momentum achieved in 2022, we delivered another quarter of outstanding results to start 2023. Notable considering the first quarter is typically our softest of the year. Customer demand continues to be robust as the long-term bullish fundamentals we see across our end markets remain largely insulated from the broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Our customers, in particular in self-storage, are enjoying high demand and strong business fundamentals that should drive a sustained period of investment in facilities, and our best-in-class products and solutions are well positioned to help them achieve their goals. Once again, I would like to thank all of our employees, without whom our continued strong performance and success wouldn't be possible. Now turning to some specific thoughts around the quarter.

Janus once again produced outstanding operational and financial results that included solid year-over-year gains in revenues, strong margin improvement, further deleveraging, and solid cash generation. We've told you repeatedly how fundamentals inherent throughout the industry are fueling investment decisions by our customers to add much needed capacity through either new construction or conversions and expansions, and that our margin profile is similar regardless of the path they take. The particular strength this quarter from R3 continues the recent trend of new capacity coming via conversions and expansions. Nokē had another strong quarter as we continue to ramp up our capabilities and expand our market penetration. As we discussed on our fourth quarter call, at year-end there were approximately 166,000 total installed units, and during the first quarter we grew to 204,000 total installed units.

Our remote Access Control Technologies, particularly Nokē, represent the best our industry has to offer, and we're excited by both the accelerating adoption of its use and the future it has in store. Now shifting to the financial highlights for the quarter. We delivered consolidated revenues of $251.9 million, an increase of nearly 10% as compared to the same period last year. This growth comes across all sales channels with particular strength in our R3 segment that was up 26.9% year-over-year, as well as low single digit increases in both new construction and commercial. Our Adjusted EBITDA of $61.2 million came in at 37% higher than Q1 2022, which represents an Adjusted EBITDA Margin of 24.3%, an improvement of 480 basis points year-over-year.

During the quarter, productivity initiatives and commercial actions more than offset higher costs we continue to experience in many parts of our business, particularly labor and logistics. Our company continues to generate strong cash flows, which Anselm will discuss in further detail shortly. Over the past 12 months through the end of the first quarter, our free cash flow conversion of adjusted net income was 88%. We expect cash conversion to remain solid over time, putting us in a strong position to focus on maintaining a robust balance sheet while also being flexible to respond to value enhancing M&A opportunities as we identify them. Speaking of the balance sheet, our net leverage remains a key focus for our board and our management team.

I'm extremely proud that we were able to reduce our net leverage this quarter by nearly a half a turn, putting us at 2.4x net debt to trailing twelve-month Adjusted EBITDA at quarter end and well within our target range of 2x-3x. Solid execution, strong underlying fundamentals, and prudent uses of cash put us in this enviable position today, allowing us to run the business with a healthy balance sheet while being able to analyze both organic and inorganic growth opportunities. Before I hand it over to Anselm, I'd like to talk about our progress towards our long-term objectives laid out on our last earnings call. We are driving towards achieving all these targets by expanding our industry leading positions in our end markets, growing Nokē adoption with our self-storage customers, driving efficiencies across the platform, and executing value-accretive M&A.

With respect to our stated long-term goals, our top-line growth to start the year, which is all organic at this point as DBCI and ACT were acquired in 2021, positions us well to achieve our full year target range of 4%-6% organic revenue growth. Our EBITDA margins of 24.3%, which were up dramatically year-over-year, are trending well towards our long-term target range of 25%-27%. Our strong conversion of adjusted net income to free cash flow to start the year sets us up to achieve our target conversion range of 75%-100% for full year. As I mentioned earlier, our net leverage is comfortably inside our target range. Our end markets remain strong and resilient, we look to leverage our leadership position to capture additional share and create long-term value for all of our stakeholders.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Anselm Wong for an overview of the financials and our updated outlook for the full year.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Ramey, good morning, everyone. In the first quarter, revenue of $251.9 million was up 9.8% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by solid demand in all three of our sales channels. R3 led the way and was up 26.9%, while new construction and commercial and other were both around 2%-3% higher versus the prior year quarter. The diversity and stability of our offerings is particularly evident when you look at our revenue mix for the quarter, which was almost perfectly split into thirds across our three sales channels. The impressive growth from our R3 segment in the quarter continues to be bolstered by new capacity additions in the form of conversions and expansions.

Our customers' focus on adding new capacity remains weighted towards our R3 offerings as opposed to greenfield new construction sites, driven by the availability of idle brick-and-mortar retail capacity to our customers. In new construction, growth was slower than in the previous year as first quarter 2022 was positively impacted by pent-up demand that occurred during pandemic impacted 2021. In the first quarter, we continue to see construction times elongate as permitting and other delays persist. In commercial and other, growth has started to normalize compared to a very strong first quarter of 2022, which included benefits from commercial actions and market share gains. Our products are used in broad range of end markets, including hotels, warehouses, pharmacies, schools, and many others. We see continued potential for growth in commercial and other.

Adjusted EBITDA of $61.2 million was up 37% compared to the year ago quarter. The combination of solid demand, commercial actions, and cost saving initiatives continues to help offset increases in labor as we work to scale the business for continued growth, including additional investments in Nokē, driving us closer to the margin profile we view as more representative of our business. Adjusted EBITDA Margin for the quarter was 24.3%, an increase of 480 basis points from the year ago quarter. Our contracts today and going forward are designed with flexibility to accommodate moves in our input costs. By design, eliminating prolonged lag in the cost recovery in times of high inflationary impact.

For the first quarter of 2023, we produced adjusted net income of $26.4 million, which was up 31.6% from first quarter 2022. Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.18 compares to $0.14 in the year-ago quarter. We had another solid quarter of cash flow generation. First quarter cash from operating activities was approximately $50.2 million, and free cash flow was approximately $44.2 million. This adds to our multi-year trend of strong conversion of adjusted net income to free cash flow, representing a trailing twelve-month free cash flow conversion of 88% of adjusted net income. We continue to focus on initiatives to improve working capital and strengthen our metrics.

From a balance sheet perspective, we closed the quarter with $658.4 million of total debt, $69.6 million of cash and equivalents, and a net leverage of 2.4x net debt to Adjusted trailing twelve months EBITDA, down from 2.8x at the end of 2022. Our performance demonstrates our ability to delever quickly. We remain focused on maintaining our leverage within our target range of 2.0x-3.0x. Interest expense in the first quarter was $16 million. During the quarter, we paid down $50 million of our first lien term loan facility using cash on hand, which should help us partially offset the adverse impacts of rising rates in 2023.

We were pleased to see that our credit rating was upgraded at Moody's two weeks ago, reflective of the strong efforts we have made. Turning to our 2023 outlook. Based on our solid first quarter results, continued strong backlog and current visibility of end markets, we are raising our full year 2023 outlook for revenue and Adjusted EBITDA. We now expect revenue to be in the range of $1.06 billion-$1.08 billion, a 5% increase at the midpoint compared to our full year 2022 results, driven primarily by a combination of commercial actions and volume related organic growth. We expect growth in 2023 to reflect the strong underlying fundamentals we see across all three sales channels.

We are raising our expectations for Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $253 million-$278 million, representing a 17% increase at the midpoint versus our full year 2022 results. Given the strength in our margins in the first quarter, we expect the second half margin to be balanced with the first half margin. We expect full year results to reflect a solid year of margin improvement in our business as we pursue our long term objective to deliver healthy Adjusted EBITDA Margin in a range of 25%-27% over the next several years. Thank you. I will now turn the call back to Ramey for closing remarks.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Great. Thank you again, Anselm. We executed well in the first quarter, setting the table to deliver on our increased full year outlet while advancing our plans to achieve our longer-term objectives. We are in the early innings of what we believe is a strong multi-year demand environment, one that should drive record revenues, improve EBITDA margins, and strong cash flow generation, all while maintaining a more conservative balance sheet. The continued strength in our results is directly attributable to the outstanding execution by our team and the fundamentals in our end market. I expect we will build on this momentum across 2023 as we drive towards another record year. Thank you again for joining us. Operator, we can now open up the lines for Q&A, please.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star then one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question comes from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Daniel Moore (Partner and Director of Research)

Thank you, Ramey, Anselm, John. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Morning, Dan.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Morning, Dan.

Daniel Moore (Partner and Director of Research)

Start with you've described your visibility as being a year or even significantly more in advance. Last quarter, I think you said the dashboard was very positive. Just talk about to what extent that visibility remains intact at least through the remainder of fiscal 2023 and into 2024. , how would you describe the order pipeline across R3 as well as new construction and commercial versus maybe 3 or 6 months ago?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah, good question, Dan. Nothing's changed from quarter to quarter. Our pipeline backlog remain robust. All of our indicators indicate strong momentum, not only in kind of new construction but also R3. Nothing's changed from that capacity.

Daniel Moore (Partner and Director of Research)

Helpful. really healthy sequential growth in Nokē placements. Just update us on the traction and testing for Nokē, particularly among the larger REITs. I think Carrier recently entered the market with a competing product. , is that a good sign or a concern from your perspective?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah, I think , we've always said it's too good of an opportunity for others not to enter the market. I think it kind of validifies what we're doing at Nokē. As , Dan, we've been at this for a while. We have a lot of the first mover kind of aches and pains from growing and building it out. As also, we're the leader in kinda doors and hallways, and we're able to integrate that product into our manufacturing process. There's certainly a a heavy moat around that segment. We couldn't be more bullish there moving forward. Our orders continue to accelerate.

In terms of customer adoption, we're seeing more of it becoming a standard to certain customers, going from a test phase to kind of full portfolio adoption. We're very happy with that progress. , as we mentioned on the last call, we've added kind of bench strength to that segment, we're really pleased where we are from a scalability perspective and also customer care. We're happy with where we are there.

Daniel Moore (Partner and Director of Research)

I'll sneak in the last one. It's just thinking about the combination of Extra Space and Life Storage. Do you foresee any near term disruptions in terms of their CapEx plans? , probably more importantly, looking out to 2024 and beyond, is there anything you can tell us about the potential opportunity in terms of rebranding, signage, et cetera? Thanks.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Look, both REITs are very good customers and have been for a very long time. They both have different models in terms of how they add capacity and how they go to market with refurbishment. We're in a really good spot to help them kind of integrate those two businesses together. I think they're on record kind of speaking to the allocation of dollars from a rebranding perspective. I don't know where they are with that, but what I can tell you is we're certainly in a good spot to really help them accelerate that integration.

Daniel Moore (Partner and Director of Research)

All right. I'll jump back with any follow-up. Thank you.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thanks, Dan.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Dan.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question is from Stanley Elliott with Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

Hey, good morning, everyone. Thank you for the question.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Hey, Stanley.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Hey.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

Hey, starting off, could you repeat what you said about the margin progression first half versus second half? I think I know what you said, but just to make sure.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Yeah. If you look at the margin, Stanley, we had originally guided that the second half would be stronger than the first half. You saw how our first quarter went much stronger coming in. What we're looking at is that still the second half will be stronger, but it'll be closer to the first half. It's good news for us. It's driven by our commercial actions and our costs coming down faster than we thought, which is, again, good news for us from a margin point of view.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

You guys have done a really nice job of kind of working on the commercial side of the organization, given the volatility in steel. Started to see steel move up again here most recently. How should we think about the ability to kinda offset some of those costs when we start thinking about things six months, a year out, et cetera?

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Yeah. I think as , Stanley, we actually had previously revised all our contracts to give us the flexibility to adjust price when costs like steel move in that direction. I think the definite ability to do it is there. I think at the same time, we wanna be smart about being competitive in all the deals that are out there. I think, I think the redoing of the contracts has allowed us that flexibility to do what we need to do.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

Great. Lastly for me on Nokē, nice sequential pickup. What are you learning from your customers there? , in the past, I guess you've talked about maybe potential add-ons for other products, other services down the road. Is that seem to be something that is of interest to them, or is it more just kinda making sure we have the lock system in place and rolling that out as a kinda more industry standard?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah, that opportunity still exists. What I can say is we're uber focused on the product line that we have, helping customers integrate and understand the operational benefits of the system. then from there, it's more of an education on data, right? We've yet to really take advantage of the amount of data that results in this technology rollout, and I think there's a tremendous amount of opportunity, a lot of upside on the pricing side from a data perspective. We're, we're kind of staying tight where we are with deployment, but there's certainly opportunities as we move forward to expand kind of, content.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

I guess one last quick one. Are you having any problems or seeing anything on the supply chain side that would keep you from continuing to accelerate the Nokē orders?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah. Kudos to the procurement team. We've done a really good job in securing all of the equipment that we need for manufacturing. We're in a good spot there as well.

Stanley Elliott (Director)

Perfect. Thanks, guys. Best of luck.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thanks.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Stanley.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question is from Jeff Hammond with KeyBank. Please proceed with your question.

Jeff Hammond (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Hey, good morning, everyone.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Morning, Jeff.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Good morning.

Jeff Hammond (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)

I wanna go back on it sounds like your backlog and pipeline visibility is still very good. Clearly, a lot of concerns around tightening lending standards. I'm just wondering, one, if you're seeing any of that anywhere, and maybe just speak to customer segmentation between the larger institutional and public REITs versus maybe the smaller organizations?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Great question. Look, as , we kinda break those up into institutional and non-institutional. There's no question around cost of capital, interest rates, things of that nature. Quite frankly, Jeff, we're not seeing that on our dashboard. , we feel like certainly in our backlog, we verified funding in our backlog, so we're comfortable with those projects moving forward. Then on the pipeline side, there's just a tremendous amount of new opportunity coming in, and I think it's a testament to the end market. I think self-storage has proven to be resilient. I think lenders understand the asset class better. Yeah, I mean, we're cautiously optimistic, notwithstanding the noise around what's going on with interest rates and lending and things of that nature.

As it relates to today and what we can see a year in advance we're very optimistic.

Jeff Hammond (Managing Director and Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, great. That's good to hear. Just for the commercial business, maybe level set us on the growth rate kind of decelerating. Is that just simply comps, or are you starting to see that?

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Warehouse market start to normalize? just maybe, I know there was some share pickup and how you're thinking about kind of stability of that, of that share gain.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah. Look, that segment had a good quarter. There's no question it's difficult comps, right? There was a tremendous amount of spend, and availability from our perspective. We were able to manufacture where others weren't able to get product out in time. We picked up a lot of new customers. As I've said kind of previously the opportunity for our business is to try to maintain that share as much as possible. There's no question that we'll lose some of those top accounts, but at the same time, that's our opportunity, is just to maintain the service model and our ability to get product out as quickly as possible and service our customers. That's really it.

We don't really focus on the end market because, as , that's more of an R3. That's where we found our sweet spot with a lot of the replacement work, that has less to do with architectural specifications and more to do about service and on-time delivery, and that's kind of where we're focusing.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Okay, great. Then just a housekeeping item, just maybe level set us on how you're thinking about GAAP interest expense for the year.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Yeah. If you looked at what we had in Q1, you saw the amount was approximately about $16 million of interest expense. You saw the pay down about $50 million. If you do the math, you'd see a slight adjustment down for the other quarters. Our expectation is that like everyone else, is another quarter of rate increase there and maybe it's a halting there. Again, can't predict the future there, but it kinda. If you do the math there, it should be in and around that same Q1 number you saw, a little lower than that.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Okay. Thanks, guys.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thank you.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. Our next question comes from John Lovallo with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Spencer Kaufman (Director, Equity Research)

Hey, guys. Good morning. This is actually Spencer Kaufman on for John. Thank you for the questions. The first one, if we just take a look at your updated revenue and EBITDA guidance for the year, how should we think about the puts and takes versus your prior expectations? Are you essentially just taking the 1QB and leaving your prior assumptions for the second through fourth quarter unchanged? Has anything gotten better or worse since mid-March?

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, I think we. As you saw the Q1 beat we got there, I think, yeah, essentially we're seeing the rest of the balance of the year still pretty good. Like we said, our visibility into backlog helps us confirm that. We've kind of raised for what the beat in Q1 was.

Spencer Kaufman (Director, Equity Research)

Okay. That makes sense. , to the extent that interest rates settle lower as we move through the year and existing home sales potentially reaccelerate, I mean, would you expect demand for self-storage to benefit from that? How should we think about that?

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah. Look, That's hard to say, but keep in mind, it's an event-based business, . it it thrives off of events, regardless if it's new housing, interest rates, things of that nature. Hard to answer that question specifically, but we'll point you to the kind of drivers of self-storage.

Spencer Kaufman (Director, Equity Research)

Okay. Last one, if I could just sneak this in. , for the outlook on EBITDA margins for the full year would imply about 24.8%. Can you just discuss the path to how you expect to get there? , on follow-up to that, do you expect that the 1Q gross margin of 39.7% will be the low for the year? How should we think about that piece? Thanks.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

I think the way I would think about it is that, like we've already discussed, is that we should still see some drivers in terms of cost improvement going through into the second half that will benefit. The first half we said is driven by still a lot of pricing.

Spencer Kaufman (Director, Equity Research)

Mm-hmm.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

that's helping us there, and then we'll get volume in the back half. I think from a margin rate point of view, our expectation is that it would be in and around that rate you saw for Q1, with probably some improvement due to the cost benefits that we're seeing going through the second half.

Spencer Kaufman (Director, Equity Research)

Okay. Got it. Thank you, guys. Good luck.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

Thank you. As a reminder, please press Star one to ask a question at this time. Thank you. Our next question comes from Cullen Rose with Stoic Point. Please proceed with your question.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Hey, guys. Good morning.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Morning.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Congrats on a strong start to the year. I guess the question.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Cullen.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

, you have continued to beat and raise past expectations, I think. You get about 10 questions per call about the state of the industry, and can you say it's strong and market demand is stable. It looks like you guys will be either at or below your leverage target, low end of your leverage target by the end of this year at this pace. Yet the stock doesn't really react. Nobody seems to care. It trades at a pretty healthy free cash yield and probably a pretty serious discount to the average buildings product company, and probably a serious discount to the higher quality buildings product companies with margins and returns like this.

I'm curious on the capital allocation, how you guys factor that in and think about the trade-offs of the M&A strategy, which I think you've been consistent about and has been successful versus buying back your own stock at these levels, given what seems to be a pretty material discount for the quality of this business and the stability of the numbers that you guys continue to put up.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Yeah, thanks for the question. There's a lot to unpack there, certainly. Agree with your sentiments around share price and comps, and I'm just gonna leave that at I'll just leave that there. As it relates to capital deployment, yes, we are de-leveraging in a meaningful way. This business generates a lot of cash, and in terms of allocation, that's something that we're certainly working with our board of directors, super focused on our options. That puts us in a really good spot, not only from paying down debt or buybacks or also M&A, and that's part of our DNA. That's certainly something that we're always looking at. Anselm, do you have anything to add?

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, no, I think Ramey is right. We're constantly looking at it. I think you're right. You kind of do the forward-looking forecasts. We're in the leverage ratio, puts us in a much even better place than we're at even currently for this quarter. I think at the same time, I just have a reminder, just from a cash flow point of view, we have some key investments in production within our factories, in our West Coast as well as in Europe, to actually improve capacity for us there.

There is some use of the cash there that is the right thing for us to grow the business, and we'll continue to look at M&A, like Ramey said, is that, it's just that, as , it's a tough market for deals out there right now, but it doesn't mean we're not still looking.

Cullen Rose (Co-founder)

Yeah, appreciate that. Well, there's one company for sale every day that you could buy. Would encourage you to consider that in the range of options. Congrats again on a great start to the year. Thanks.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Thank you.

Anselm Wong (EVP and CFO)

Thanks.

Operator (participant)

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back over to Ramey Jackson for closing comments.

Ramey Jackson (CEO)

Okay, great. Thank you everyone for joining us today. We appreciate your support of Janus International and look forward to updating you on our progress. Have a great day.

Operator (participant)

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.