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NORDSTROM INC (JWN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 results were solid: net sales $3.35B (+4.6% YoY), diluted EPS $0.27 (adjusted EPS $0.33), with gross margin up 60 bps to 35.6% on strong regular price selling; comps +4%, GMV +5.3%, digital +6.4% (34% mix). Rack net sales rose +10.6% while Nordstrom banner net sales rose +1.3% .
  • Guidance nudged up at the low end: FY24 revenue now flat to +1% (prior -1% to +1%) and comparable sales +1% to +2% (prior flat to +2%); EBIT margin/EPS ranges maintained (EBIT margin 3.0–3.4%; adjusted EBIT margin 3.6–4.0%; EPS $1.40–$1.70; adjusted EPS $1.75–$2.05) .
  • Execution highlights: 12 Rack openings in Q3 (23 YTD), launch of BOPUS and store fulfillment at 100+ Rack stores, continued RFID rollout, and Marketplace scaling to 300+ sellers; management emphasized “great brands at great prices” driving Rack momentum .
  • Caution flags: noticeable late-October sales slowdown and a shorter holiday season; inventory up 5.9% YoY (above sales growth) with quality described as healthy; liquidity remains strong ($1.2B available; ~$397M cash) .
  • Near-term stock catalysts focus on holiday sell-through, Rack omnichannel (BOPUS/store fulfillment) ramp, and shrink improvements amidst continued operational optimization .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based top-line and margin expansion: total comps +4%, gross margin +60 bps to 35.6% on regular-price sales; “customers responded to newness” and key brands across banners, with digital +6.4% .
  • Rack momentum and expansion: Rack net sales +10.6%; 12 Q3 openings (23 YTD), with omnichannel enhancements (BOPUS and store fulfillment at 100+ stores) to serve convenience-oriented off-price customers .
  • Tech/ops progress: RFID rollout and supply chain speed gains (e.g., >40% improvement in returns processing speed) driving better customer experience and margin outcomes .

What Went Wrong

  • Demand deceleration: “noticeable decline in sales trends towards the end of October” against a shorter holiday (five fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas) .
  • Inventory a touch high: inventory +5.9% YoY versus +4.6% sales; cold-weather categories (boots/sweaters/outerwear) lagged in some regions amid warm weather .
  • Shrink still elevated: while improving slightly, shrink “remains at all-time highs,” limiting the pace of margin expansion .

Financial Results

Income Statement Summary (USD Millions, except per-share and %)

MetricQ1 FY2025 (May 4, 2024)Q2 FY2025 (Aug 3, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Nov 2, 2024)
Net Sales$3,221 $3,785 $3,347
Diluted EPS-$0.24 $0.72 $0.27
Adjusted EPS-$0.24 $0.96 $0.33
Gross Profit Margin %31.6% 36.6% 35.6%
SG&A % of Net Sales35.8% 34.4% 36.6%
EBIT Margin %-0.6% 5.0% 2.5%
Adjusted EBIT Margin %-0.6% 6.4% 2.9%

Segment Net Sales (USD Millions)

SegmentQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Nordstrom (Full-line + Digital)$2,040 $2,514 $2,077
Nordstrom Rack + Last Chance + Rack Digital$1,181 $1,271 $1,270
Total$3,221 $3,785 $3,347

KPIs and Mix

KPIQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025Q3 FY2025
Total Company Comparable Sales+3.8% +1.9% +4.0%
Nordstrom (banner) Comparable Sales+1.8% +0.9% +4.0%
Rack Comparable Sales+7.9% +4.1% +3.9%
Digital Sales Growth-0.2% +6.2% +6.4%
Digital as % of Net Sales34% 37% 34%
GMV Growth+4.9% +3.5% +5.3%
Ending Inventory YoY-6.3% +8.3% +5.9%
Liquidity (Avail.)~$1.2B $1.5B $1.2B
Cash & Equivalents$428M $679M $397M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2 FY2025)Current Guidance (Q3 FY2025)Change
Revenue (incl. credit)FY2024-1% to +1% vs 53-wk FY2023 Flat to +1% vs 53-wk FY2023 Raised low end
Comparable SalesFY2024Flat to +2% vs 52-wk FY2023 +1% to +2% vs 52-wk FY2023 Raised low end
EBIT MarginFY20243.0%–3.4% 3.0%–3.4% Maintained
Adjusted EBIT MarginFY20243.6%–4.0% 3.6%–4.0% Maintained
EPS (Diluted)FY2024$1.40–$1.70 $1.40–$1.70 Maintained
Adjusted EPSFY2024$1.75–$2.05 $1.75–$2.05 Maintained
Effective Tax RateFY2024~27% ~27% Maintained

Note: Management commentary also referenced an EBIT margin range “of 3.6% to 4.0%,” which aligns with adjusted EBIT margin in the formal guidance tables; we cite the explicit 8-K guidance tables above for consistency .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1–Q2 FY2025)Current Period (Q3 FY2025)Trend
Supply chain optimization, speedFocus on consistent inventory flow; asset impairment from halting a PNW omni center; RFID rollout underway >40% faster returns processing; continued RFID benefits; improved delivery/fulfillment speed Improving
Rack growth and footprint11 new Racks YTD by Q2; plan to open 12 more; mid-to-high teens IRR on new Racks 12 opened in Q3; 23 YTD; continued store whitespace opportunity Expanding
Off-price omnichannel (BOPUS/store-fulfillment)Not yet at Rack in Q2Launched BOPUS and store-fulfillment in 100+ Rack stores; inventory accuracy key via RFID New capability scaling
Digital/MarketplaceMarketplace launched; +15k items, ~100 brands; digital +6.2% in Q2 300+ Marketplace sellers; digital +6.4% Scaling
ShrinkSlight improvement off highs Still at all-time highs; improvements needed for long-term margins Stabilizing from elevated base
Demand/macro/promoQ2 Anniversary Sale on plan; customer count/trips up Late-Oct slowdown; shorter holiday; expect promotional Q4 per normal seasonality More cautious

Management Commentary

  • Erik Nordstrom (CEO): “We delivered solid results with net sales reaching over $3.3 billion, along with earnings per share of $0.33… Both Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack delivered 4% comparable sales growth… digital sales growth of over 6%.” . “There was a noticeable decline in sales trends towards the end of October” .
  • Pete Nordstrom (President): Women’s apparel (Vince, Veronica Beard), active (On, HOKA, Vuori) and shoes drove Nordstrom banner growth; private brands (Nordstrom, Zella, Open Edit) delivered double-digit growth; inventory slightly high, with cold-weather categories slower in some regions .
  • Cathy Smith (CFO): “Total company net sales increased 4.6%… Gross profit… expanded 60 basis points to 35.6%… Our EBIT margin expanded 45 basis points to 2.9%… We ended the third quarter with $1.2 billion in available liquidity, including just under $400 million in cash” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin expansion drivers: top-line growth is the biggest lever; supply chain/technology efficiencies and shrink reduction are key to multiyear EBIT uplift .
  • Rack omnichannel: BOPUS/store-fulfillment now live in 100+ Rack stores; RFID-driven inventory accuracy is an enabler; expected to support sales, margins, and CX .
  • Inventory and weather: inventories slightly above preferred level; cold-weather categories (boots/sweaters/outerwear) were slower amid warm weather; plan to stay clean into spring .
  • Rack growth runway: model ~20–25 new Racks per year; under-penetrated relative to peers; convenience-led catchment (15-minute drive-time) supports local demand .
  • SG&A leverage: at ~2–3% inflation backdrop, SG&A leverage typically begins around ~1% comp at Nordstrom banner; Rack new stores aid top-line leverage .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable via our feed at this time due to a temporary mapping limitation; therefore, we cannot provide versus-consensus comparisons for Q3 FY2025 performance or forward quarters. We will refresh when the S&P Global mapping is restored [tool limitation acknowledged].
  • Company guidance implies modestly higher FY24 revenue/comps at the low end, with margin frameworks unchanged; given late-October softness and a shorter holiday, consensus adjustments may focus on Q4 cadence and gross margin sustainability (mix/promotionality) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Rack is the growth engine: double-digit Rack net sales growth, accelerating store openings (23 YTD), and new omnichannel capabilities (BOPUS/store-fulfillment) should support traffic conversion and margin via better unit economics and inventory productivity .
  • Digital momentum is durable: +6.4% digital in Q3, Marketplace scaled to 300+ sellers, and ongoing search/discovery enhancements improve conversion and choice count .
  • Margin path intact but dependent on shrink and mix: gross margin improved on regular-price sell-through; further EBIT gains require continued shrink normalization and operational gains .
  • Inventory quality is healthy though levels are slightly elevated; clean-up in weather-sensitive categories and strong holiday execution are important near-term drivers .
  • Guidance bias modestly constructive on revenue/comps; watch Q4 cadence (shorter holiday, election/ macro noise) and promotional intensity; management staying prudently cautious .
  • Liquidity is solid ($1.2B) and cash ~ $397M, providing flexibility through peak season and store growth plans .
  • Context: Post-quarter, Nordstrom completed a go-private transaction (May 20, 2025) with the Nordstrom family and Liverpool; common stock delisted May 21, 2025, with new capital structure and ABL facility put in place .

Appendix: Additional Q3 Items

  • Dividend: Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.19 (payable Dec 18, 2024; record date Dec 3) .
  • NYC Flagship Holiday Activation: “The Blizz on 57th Street” experiential campaign to drive traffic/engagement .