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NORDSTROM INC (JWN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 results were solid: net sales $3.35B (+4.6% YoY), diluted EPS $0.27 (adjusted EPS $0.33), with gross margin up 60 bps to 35.6% on strong regular price selling; comps +4%, GMV +5.3%, digital +6.4% (34% mix). Rack net sales rose +10.6% while Nordstrom banner net sales rose +1.3% .
- Guidance nudged up at the low end: FY24 revenue now flat to +1% (prior -1% to +1%) and comparable sales +1% to +2% (prior flat to +2%); EBIT margin/EPS ranges maintained (EBIT margin 3.0–3.4%; adjusted EBIT margin 3.6–4.0%; EPS $1.40–$1.70; adjusted EPS $1.75–$2.05) .
- Execution highlights: 12 Rack openings in Q3 (23 YTD), launch of BOPUS and store fulfillment at 100+ Rack stores, continued RFID rollout, and Marketplace scaling to 300+ sellers; management emphasized “great brands at great prices” driving Rack momentum .
- Caution flags: noticeable late-October sales slowdown and a shorter holiday season; inventory up 5.9% YoY (above sales growth) with quality described as healthy; liquidity remains strong ($1.2B available; ~$397M cash) .
- Near-term stock catalysts focus on holiday sell-through, Rack omnichannel (BOPUS/store fulfillment) ramp, and shrink improvements amidst continued operational optimization .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad-based top-line and margin expansion: total comps +4%, gross margin +60 bps to 35.6% on regular-price sales; “customers responded to newness” and key brands across banners, with digital +6.4% .
- Rack momentum and expansion: Rack net sales +10.6%; 12 Q3 openings (23 YTD), with omnichannel enhancements (BOPUS and store fulfillment at 100+ stores) to serve convenience-oriented off-price customers .
- Tech/ops progress: RFID rollout and supply chain speed gains (e.g., >40% improvement in returns processing speed) driving better customer experience and margin outcomes .
What Went Wrong
- Demand deceleration: “noticeable decline in sales trends towards the end of October” against a shorter holiday (five fewer days between Thanksgiving and Christmas) .
- Inventory a touch high: inventory +5.9% YoY versus +4.6% sales; cold-weather categories (boots/sweaters/outerwear) lagged in some regions amid warm weather .
- Shrink still elevated: while improving slightly, shrink “remains at all-time highs,” limiting the pace of margin expansion .
Financial Results
Income Statement Summary (USD Millions, except per-share and %)
Segment Net Sales (USD Millions)
KPIs and Mix
Guidance Changes
Note: Management commentary also referenced an EBIT margin range “of 3.6% to 4.0%,” which aligns with adjusted EBIT margin in the formal guidance tables; we cite the explicit 8-K guidance tables above for consistency .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Erik Nordstrom (CEO): “We delivered solid results with net sales reaching over $3.3 billion, along with earnings per share of $0.33… Both Nordstrom and Nordstrom Rack delivered 4% comparable sales growth… digital sales growth of over 6%.” . “There was a noticeable decline in sales trends towards the end of October” .
- Pete Nordstrom (President): Women’s apparel (Vince, Veronica Beard), active (On, HOKA, Vuori) and shoes drove Nordstrom banner growth; private brands (Nordstrom, Zella, Open Edit) delivered double-digit growth; inventory slightly high, with cold-weather categories slower in some regions .
- Cathy Smith (CFO): “Total company net sales increased 4.6%… Gross profit… expanded 60 basis points to 35.6%… Our EBIT margin expanded 45 basis points to 2.9%… We ended the third quarter with $1.2 billion in available liquidity, including just under $400 million in cash” .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin expansion drivers: top-line growth is the biggest lever; supply chain/technology efficiencies and shrink reduction are key to multiyear EBIT uplift .
- Rack omnichannel: BOPUS/store-fulfillment now live in 100+ Rack stores; RFID-driven inventory accuracy is an enabler; expected to support sales, margins, and CX .
- Inventory and weather: inventories slightly above preferred level; cold-weather categories (boots/sweaters/outerwear) were slower amid warm weather; plan to stay clean into spring .
- Rack growth runway: model ~20–25 new Racks per year; under-penetrated relative to peers; convenience-led catchment (15-minute drive-time) supports local demand .
- SG&A leverage: at ~2–3% inflation backdrop, SG&A leverage typically begins around ~1% comp at Nordstrom banner; Rack new stores aid top-line leverage .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) was unavailable via our feed at this time due to a temporary mapping limitation; therefore, we cannot provide versus-consensus comparisons for Q3 FY2025 performance or forward quarters. We will refresh when the S&P Global mapping is restored [tool limitation acknowledged].
- Company guidance implies modestly higher FY24 revenue/comps at the low end, with margin frameworks unchanged; given late-October softness and a shorter holiday, consensus adjustments may focus on Q4 cadence and gross margin sustainability (mix/promotionality) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Rack is the growth engine: double-digit Rack net sales growth, accelerating store openings (23 YTD), and new omnichannel capabilities (BOPUS/store-fulfillment) should support traffic conversion and margin via better unit economics and inventory productivity .
- Digital momentum is durable: +6.4% digital in Q3, Marketplace scaled to 300+ sellers, and ongoing search/discovery enhancements improve conversion and choice count .
- Margin path intact but dependent on shrink and mix: gross margin improved on regular-price sell-through; further EBIT gains require continued shrink normalization and operational gains .
- Inventory quality is healthy though levels are slightly elevated; clean-up in weather-sensitive categories and strong holiday execution are important near-term drivers .
- Guidance bias modestly constructive on revenue/comps; watch Q4 cadence (shorter holiday, election/ macro noise) and promotional intensity; management staying prudently cautious .
- Liquidity is solid ($1.2B) and cash ~ $397M, providing flexibility through peak season and store growth plans .
- Context: Post-quarter, Nordstrom completed a go-private transaction (May 20, 2025) with the Nordstrom family and Liverpool; common stock delisted May 21, 2025, with new capital structure and ABL facility put in place .
Appendix: Additional Q3 Items
- Dividend: Board approved a quarterly dividend of $0.19 (payable Dec 18, 2024; record date Dec 3) .
- NYC Flagship Holiday Activation: “The Blizz on 57th Street” experiential campaign to drive traffic/engagement .