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Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. (KD)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY2026 delivered solid margin expansion and earnings, but revenue was modestly below plan and missed consensus; KD reaffirmed FY26 guidance and increased its buyback by $400M, signaling confidence in H2 acceleration .
  • Revenue was $3.72B (-1% y/y; -3.7% cc), driven by continued removal of low/no‑margin third‑party content and elongated sales cycles; Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% y/y to $641M (17.2% margin) and adjusted EPS was $0.38 .
  • Versus S&P Global consensus, KD beat on EPS ($0.38 vs $0.358*) but missed revenue ($3.72B vs $3.84B*); management said revenue was ~$(100)M below internal target on timing and mix, with an estimated ~4% growth drag from content removal .
  • Strategic engines remain healthy: hyperscaler‑related revenue grew 65% y/y to $440M, Kyndryl Consult grew 28% y/y, and LTM book‑to‑bill remained >1 with $15.6B LTM signings vs $15.0B LTM revenue .
  • Near‑term catalysts: reaffirmed FY26 outlook (1% cc revenue growth; ~18% adj. EBITDA margin; ≥$725M adj. PTI; ~$550M FCF), larger buyback, agentic AI offerings/Bridge automation at scale, and a tuck‑in acquisition (Solvinity) to strengthen sovereign/private cloud capabilities .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Material profitability improvement: Adjusted EBITDA up 15% y/y to $641M (17.2% margin, +250 bps y/y); adjusted pre‑tax income up to $123M (+$78M y/y) and adjusted EPS $0.38 .
    • Growth engines scaling: hyperscaler‑related revenue up 65% y/y to $440M; Kyndryl Consult revenue up 28% y/y; 25% of signings include AI content .
    • Capital allocation and balance sheet: $400M buyback expansion; Q2 repurchases of 2.9M shares ($89M); net leverage ~0.7x adjusted EBITDA; investment grade ratings .
    • Management quote: “We expect activity to strengthen in the second half of fiscal 2026, supported by our pipeline…” – CEO Martin Schroeter .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top‑line shortfall: Q2 revenue was about $100M below internal target; sales cycles on expanded renewals remained elongated; removal of low‑margin third‑party content produced an estimated ~4% revenue growth drag .
    • Revenue decline y/y: $3.72B (-1% y/y; -3.7% cc) as the company prioritized profitable mix over legacy low‑margin content .
    • Quarterly signings fell y/y due to a difficult comp (prior‑year included a $1.8B mega‑deal): Q2 signings $2.8B vs $5.6B (y/y -49%), though LTM signings still healthy at $15.6B .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Revenue ($B)$3.80 $3.743 $3.721
GAAP Net Income ($M)$68 $56 $68
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.28 $0.23 $0.29
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$698 $647 $641
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)18.4% 17.3% 17.2%
Adjusted Pre‑tax Income ($M)$185 $128 $123
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.52 $0.37 $0.38

Results versus S&P Global consensus (Q2 FY2026):

MetricS&P Global ConsensusActual
Revenue ($B)$3.840*$3.721
Adj. EPS ($)$0.358*$0.38
Adj. EBITDA ($M)$618.33*$641
# of EPS / Revenue Estimates4* / 3*
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global

Segment revenue (Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2025):

Segment ($M)Q2 FY2026Q2 FY2025
United States$899 $960
Japan$581 $604
Principal Markets$1,334 $1,318
Strategic Markets$906 $892
Total$3,721 $3,774

KPIs and operating highlights:

KPIQ2 FY2026
Hyperscaler‑related revenue ($M)$440
Kyndryl Consult revenue growth (y/y)28%
Quarterly signings ($B)$2.8
LTM signings ($B)$15.6
LTM revenue ($B)$15.0
Free Cash Flow ($M)$22
Cash & Equivalents ($B)$1.331
Total Debt ($B)$3.127

Context/Drivers:

  • Revenue headwinds were mainly self‑inflicted by design (removal of third‑party content) and elongated cycles on larger, expanded renewals; management estimates removal reduced growth by ~4% in Q2 .
  • Profitability reflects “three‑A” initiatives (Alliances, Advanced Delivery, Accounts) and post‑spin mix shift; Bridge automation is generating ~$875M annual savings run‑rate (+$50M q/q) .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 FY26)Current Guidance (Q2 FY26)Change
Adjusted Pre‑tax IncomeFY2026≥$725M ≥$725M Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA MarginFY2026~18% ~18% Maintained
Free Cash FlowFY2026~$550M (cash taxes ~$175M) ~$550M (cash taxes ~$175M) Maintained
Constant‑currency Revenue GrowthFY2026~+1% ~+1% (implies 4–5% H2 growth) Maintained

Management reiterated H2 revenue inflection driven by higher opening backlog contribution, accelerating Consult and hyperscaler growth, and a record pipeline .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 FY2025 and Q1 FY2026)Current Period (Q2 FY2026)Trend
Hyperscaler alliancesFY2025: $1.2B hyperscaler revenue; Q4: $375M; exceeded FY25 target . Q1: $400M (+86% y/y) toward $1.8B FY26 target .$440M (+65% y/y); positioned to exceed initial $1.8B FY26 target .Strengthening
Kyndryl ConsultFY2025: +26% y/y; Q4: +45% y/y . Q1: +30% y/y .+28% y/y; LTM run‑rate ~$3.4B cited on call .Sustained double‑digit growth
Revenue headwinds from content removalFY2025 narrative: content pruning drove y/y declines but improved margins . Q1: down 2.6% cc; mix prioritization continued .Estimated ~4% growth drag in Q2; elongated cycles on expanded renewals; revenue ~$100M below internal target .Headwind fading into H2
AI/Agentic AI & BridgeFY2025: Bridge savings ~$775M run‑rate; FY26 initiatives ongoing . Q1: launched Agentic AI framework .Bridge: 186M automations and 15M insights/month; ~25% of signings include AI content .Scaling adoption
Pipeline/Book‑to‑billFY2025: record $18.2B signings; Q4: +53% y/y . Q1: LTM signings $18.3B .LTM signings $15.6B; book‑to‑bill >1; H2 signings and revenue expected to improve .Healthy; timing variability
Capital allocationFY2025: began buybacks; strong cash ops . Q1: ongoing repurchases .+$400M buyback authorization; 2.9M shares repurchased in Q2; net leverage ~0.7x .More shareholder returns

Management Commentary

  • “Our second quarter performance reflects the momentum we’re building across key growth priorities… We expect activity to strengthen in the second half of fiscal 2026.” – CEO Martin Schroeter .
  • “Revenue for the quarter again came in about $100 million below what we were targeting… an estimated ~4% drag on revenue growth in Q2” from removing third‑party content .
  • “Kyndryl Bridge now performs more than 186 million automations and generates 15 million actionable insights each month…” .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA increased 15% y/y… Adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.2%… We bought back 2.9 million shares… and announced a $400 million increase in our share repurchase program.” – CFO David Wyshner .
  • “Our outlook… FY26 adjusted EBITDA margin ~18%, free cash flow approx. $550 million, and 1% full year constant currency revenue growth (implies 4–5% growth in the second half).” – CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Capital allocation priorities: continue investing in organic growth and tuck‑ins while returning capital; buybacks sized to trail cash flow; reiterated new $400M authorization .
  • AI monetization: ~25% of signings include AI content across Cloud, Digital Workplace, and Apps/Data/AI; focus on data architecture/migration, AI‑enabled workflows, and agentic AI development .
  • Capex: targeted at ~4–5% of revenue, majority to support customer infrastructure; free cash flow is after capex .
  • Sales cycles/pipeline: cycles consistent but expanded‑scope renewals/new logos require care; stronger H2 starting point from backlog, Consult capacity, and hyperscaler momentum .
  • Demand by vertical/geography: strongest in Retail/Travel and TMT; Industrials/Public a bit lighter; pitch centers on end‑to‑end mission‑critical solutions .
  • M&A: agreement to acquire Solvinity (terms undisclosed in PR), with management noting ~€100M purchase price on the call; bolsters sovereign/private cloud in Europe .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 FY2026 vs S&P Global consensus: revenue $3.721B vs $3.840B* (miss); adjusted EPS $0.38 vs $0.358* (beat). EBITDA comparable to consensus was above expectations on a non‑GAAP basis ($641M vs $618.33M*), though definitions may differ .
  • Estimate implications: near‑term top‑line estimates may moderate on elongated cycles and content pruning, while margin/earnings estimates may rise modestly given sustained three‑A execution, Bridge efficiencies, and mix shift to post‑spin contracts .
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin/earnings story intact (three‑A initiatives, Bridge automation) despite near‑term revenue headwinds; KD beat EPS but missed revenue vs S&P consensus .
  • H2 setup constructive: stronger opening backlog contribution, accelerating Consult/hyperscaler growth, and a robust pipeline support the reaffirmed FY26 outlook (4–5% H2 revenue growth implied) .
  • Strategic mix shift continues to favor profitability over low‑margin legacy content; management quantified an estimated ~4% revenue growth drag in Q2 from content removal .
  • Structural demand drivers—IT modernization, cybersecurity, and AI/agentic AI—are expanding scope with existing customers; ~25% of signings include AI components; Bridge telemetry at meaningful scale .
  • Capital returns increasing: additional $400M buyback and Q2 repurchases signal management confidence; net leverage ~0.7x and investment‑grade profile provide flexibility .
  • Watch catalysts: H2 signings/booking conversion, hyperscaler revenue trajectory, Consult growth pace, and integration of Solvinity to enhance sovereign/private cloud capabilities in Europe .
  • Risk checks: deal timing variability (renewals/new scope), macro uncertainty in Industrials/Public, and continued top‑line drag from legacy content removal until fully lapped .

Appendix: Additional Relevant Press Releases

  • Agreement to acquire Solvinity, expanding sovereign/private cloud capabilities for sensitive workloads; terms undisclosed in PR (management referenced ~€100M on call) .