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KI

KFORCE INC (KFRC)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 revenue was $334.3M and diluted EPS was $0.59; results were largely consistent with expectations and essentially in line with S&P Global consensus (Revenue $334.3M vs $334.2M cons., EPS $0.59 vs $0.59 cons.) .
  • Sequential improvement: both Technology and Finance & Accounting (FA) Flex grew modestly; gross margin expanded 40 bps sequentially to 27.1% as payroll tax resets rolled off; operating margin improved to 4.5% from 3.5% in Q1 .
  • Q3 2025 guidance calls for revenue of $324–$332M and EPS of $0.53–$0.61; management emphasized guidance was impacted by late-quarter client-specific project ends/reallocations and does not reflect a deterioration in underlying tech demand, which they characterize as stable .
  • Strategic narrative: growing consulting-led mix, stable ~$90/hr tech bill rate, building AI/data/cloud pipelines; Workday implementation expected to yield ~100 bps operating margin benefit post go-live by 2027; continued capital return ($17.4M in Q2; dividend maintained at $0.39) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Sequential Flex growth in both Technology (+1.8% GAAP; +0.2% billing-day adjusted) and FA (+2.1% GAAP; +0.5% adjusted) with consolidated gross margin improving 40 bps q/q to 27.1% and operating margin +100 bps q/q to 4.5% .
    • Consulting-oriented solutions remained a key driver, supporting above-peer tech resilience and margin stability; tech average bill rate around $90 remained stable over ~3 years .
    • AI/data/digital/cloud pipelines building; concrete examples of agentic AI workflow engagements underscore opportunity; FA repositioning to higher-skilled roles showing sequential growth and higher bill rates .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Year-over-year revenue (-6.2%) and EPS (-21.3%) declined; direct-hire revenue was softer and pressured gross margin year over year; healthcare costs were higher y/y .
    • Q3 outlook implies modest sequential revenue decline, driven by late-quarter project ends and spend reallocations at a small number of clients, rather than broad demand erosion .
    • Flex margins y/y were modestly lower in Technology due to healthcare costs; SG&A % delevered y/y amid lower revenue and ongoing enterprise investments (Workday, India development center) .

Financial Results

Revenue and EPS vs Estimates and Prior Periods

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M)353.3 343.8 330.0 334.3
Revenue Consensus ($M)*351.2342.1333.8334.2
Revenue Surprise ($M / %)+2.1 / +0.61%+1.7 / +0.49%-3.8 / -1.14%+0.1 / +0.03%
Diluted EPS ($)0.75 0.60 0.45 0.59
EPS Consensus ($)*0.6880.5940.4690.594
EPS Surprise ($ / %)+0.062 / +8.95%+0.006 / +1.03%-0.019 / -3.96%-0.004 / -0.73%

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Profitability and Margins

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Gross Profit Margin %27.8% 26.7% 27.1%
Flex GP %26.2% 25.0% 25.8%
SG&A as % of Revenue21.8% (77.7/356.3) 22.8% 22.2%
Operating Margin %5.5% (19.7/356.3) 3.5% 4.5%
Net Income ($M)14.2 8.1 10.4
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)24.8 16.8 19.9
Diluted EPS ($)0.75 0.45 0.59

Segment Breakdown

SegmentQ2 2024 Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2024 Flex GP %Q1 2025 Flex GP %Q2 2025 Flex GP %
Technology327.9 306.3 310.5 25.9% 24.9% 25.6%
Finance & Accounting28.4 23.7 23.8 29.7% 27.2% 28.5%

KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Flex Hours (000s)4,057 3,726 3,787
Direct Hire Revenue ($M)7.5 7.5 5.9
Direct Hire Placements (#)374 342 269
Avg Direct Hire Fee ($)20,161 21,830 21,964
Tech Avg Bill Rate CommentaryStable ~$90/hr over ~3 years Stable ~$90/hr Stable ~$90/hr

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($M)Q3 2025N/A324–332 N/A (new period)
Diluted EPS ($)Q3 2025N/A0.53–0.61 N/A (new period)
Gross Profit Margin %Q3 2025N/A27.0–27.2 N/A (new period)
Flex GP %Q3 2025N/A25.7–25.9 N/A (new period)
SG&A as % of RevenueQ3 2025N/A22.4–22.6 N/A (new period)
Operating Margin %Q3 2025N/A4.0–4.4 N/A (new period)
WASO (M)Q3 2025N/A17.7 N/A (new period)
Effective Tax Rate %Q3 2025N/A21.0 N/A (new period)
Dividend per Share ($)Q3 20250.39 (declared for Q2 record date) 0.39 (declared for Q3) Maintained

Management noted Q3 guide was affected by “client-specific dynamics” (late project ends/reallocations) and not indicative of broader demand conditions, which remain stable in Technology .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesStabilized tech demand; strategic initiatives advancing Consulting-led mix growing; AI/data/digital/cloud pipelines; agentic AI workflow use cases with market-leading tech clients Improving pipeline; early-phase AI demand building
Macro/Trade/PolicyOngoing uncertainty; cautious investment posture “One Big Beautiful Bill” reduced tax uncertainty; global trade negotiations remain unsettled; demand-constrained environment persists Mixed macro; cautious but stable
Mix & MarginsGross margin y/y pressure from healthcare costs and mix Sequential flex margin up 80 bps; y/y flex margin modestly lower on healthcare costs; overall spread stable/slightly better Sequential improvement; y/y headwind from healthcare persists
Delivery model (near/offshore)Building India development center Near/offshore slightly accretive to margin; no meaningful impact on avg bill rate yet Gradual, supportive
Internal transformationEnterprise investment (e.g., Workday) ongoing Workday go-live 2026; ~100 bps op margin benefit expected, annualized by 2027 Execution continues; benefits 2026–2027
FA businessY/Y declines through 2024 Sequential growth; repositioned to higher-skill accountant/analyst roles; mid-$50/hr bill rate Stabilizing with sequential improvement

Management Commentary

  • CEO framing: “We are pleased to have delivered sequential Flex revenue growth… Overall results were largely consistent with expectations… we are continuing to operate in a demand-constrained environment… third quarter guidance was affected by client-specific dynamics… not indicative of the current stable demand environment.”
  • COO strategic highlights: Consulting-led solutions driving relative outperformance and margin stability; stable tech bill rate (~$90); pipelines improving in data/AI/digital/cloud; examples of agentic AI workflows at leading tech clients; FA Flex expected to be up sequentially in Q3 on a billing-day basis mid-single digits .
  • CFO financial color: Sequential gross margin up 40 bps on seasonal payroll tax dynamics; y/y GM down 70 bps on higher healthcare costs and direct hire mix; SG&A % managed within expectations; Q3 guide (revenue $324–$332M; EPS $0.53–$0.61); effective tax rate was 24.6% in Q2 with lower rate expected in Q3 due to tax credit finalization; continued buybacks/dividend with net debt ~ $67.5M targeted .

Select quotes:

  • “Demand… remains stable… our third quarter guidance was affected by client specific dynamics… not indicative of the current stable demand environment.” — CEO
  • “Consulting-led offerings… key driver to our overall technology top-line outperformance… bill rate [~$90] has remained stable over the past three years.” — COO
  • “We expect Q3 revenues to be in the range of $324 million–$332 million and EPS to be between $0.53 and $0.61.” — CFO

Q&A Highlights

  • AI adoption timing: Most clients remain in foundational readiness (governance/data/cloud/security); a minority are deploying AI in products; significant long-term opportunity in data modernization and emerging AI roles .
  • Project ends/guide: Q3 guide reflects a few late project ends tied to client spend reallocations, not overall tech spend reductions; underlying new assignments/starts/attrition trends stable; pipeline remains strong .
  • Margin drivers: Y/Y gross margin pressure from healthcare cost inflation and lower direct hire mix; spreads stable to slightly improving; consulting mix supportive (400–600 bps higher gross margin) .
  • Near/offshore: Slightly accretive to margin; not materially impacting avg bill rates; supports blended delivery to meet client cost objectives .
  • Workday benefits: ~100 bps operating margin benefit expected, beginning to materialize post go-live in late 2026 with full annualization in 2027 .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 printed essentially in line with consensus (Revenue $334.3M vs $334.2M*, EPS $0.59 vs $0.59*). Q1 2025 had modest misses (Revenue $330.0M vs $333.8M*, EPS $0.45 vs $0.469*). Q4 and Q3 2024 were slight beats on both metrics.*
  • Given Q3 2025 guidance ($324–$332M, $0.53–$0.61), Street models may drift lower for Q3 near-term; management attributes the outlook to client-specific reallocations rather than broad demand deterioration .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution remains solid with sequential Flex growth and margin improvement; results were in line with expectations/consensus, supporting the “stable but demand-constrained” narrative .
  • Q3 guide reflects temporary client-specific project ends; watch for reacceleration if pipelines in data/AI/digital/cloud convert and FA continues to stabilize .
  • Mix shift toward consulting-led engagements is a structural positive for spreads/margins and helps anchor the ~$90/hr tech bill rate .
  • Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA trajectory supports cash generation; capital return remains active ($17.4M in Q2) with dividend maintained at $0.39 .
  • Medium-term margin expansion potential: Workday and enterprise initiatives targeting ~100 bps operating margin benefit by 2027; longer-term objective to reach double-digit operating margins as revenue scales .
  • Monitor healthcare cost trends and direct hire mix as key variables for gross margin; also track effective tax rate (Q3 guided to 21%) .
  • Catalyst map: conversion of AI/data pipeline to revenue, stabilization/acceleration in Tech Flex volumes, FA sequential improvement sustainability, and progress on enterprise initiatives could drive multiple and estimate revisions .

Additional data and disclosures:

  • Q2 2025 summary of operations, balance sheet, and non-GAAP reconciliations are provided in the 8-K/press release exhibits .
  • Conference call prepared remarks and replay are available via the investor relations site .