LC
Ladder Capital Corp (LADR)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 was a reinvestment quarter: GAAP diluted EPS was $0.09 and distributable EPS was $0.20, with after-tax distributable ROAE of 6.6% as Ladder redeployed liquidity from record 2024 payoffs into $329M of new loans and $521M of AAA securities .
- Balance sheet strength and flexibility remain a core theme: liquidity of ~$1.3B (including ~$480M cash), 83% of assets unencumbered, 72% of debt unsecured at a 5.2% weighted average coupon; gross leverage of 1.83x and adjusted leverage of ~1.4x position Ladder to prudently add leverage as originations scale .
- Corporate actions are supportive: Board increased the repurchase authorization to $100M in April; Fitch subsequently upgraded Ladder to investment grade (BBB-) in May, making it the only commercial mortgage REIT with an investment-grade rating — a potential multiple/cost-of-capital catalyst .
- Estimates context: Q1 distributable EPS missed consensus (0.20 vs 0.218*) and “total revenue” missed (Actual ~$51.2M vs ~$59.8M*), while Q4 2024 had a revenue beat and a slight EPS miss; originations expected to accelerate, which could drive estimate revisions as loan yields outpace securities carry .
- Near-term stock reaction catalysts: IG rating uplift and higher buyback authorization, combined with management’s expectation for originations to exceed Q1 and potential conduit securitization tailwinds if the curve steepens .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Origination momentum and pipeline: New loan originations ($329M) outpaced payoffs ($181M); 74% of originations were multifamily or industrial; pipeline under application is ~$250M .
- “We originated $265 million of first lien balance sheet loans at credit spreads ranging from 270 to 700 basis points and averaging 394 basis points over 1 month SOFR.” — Brian Harris .
- Liquidity and unsecured funding mix: ~$1.3B liquidity, 83% asset base unencumbered, 72% of debt unsecured at 5.2% coupon; repurchased $20M of unsecured bonds, called a CLO, repaid $323M of secured CLO debt .
- Securities portfolio build at attractive spreads: Added $521M AAA securities at ~5.79% unlevered yield in Q1; portfolio $1.5B at 5.67% unlevered yield and continued adding into widening in April — all unencumbered for additional liquidity .
What Went Wrong
- Earnings vs consensus headwinds: Q1 distributable EPS and “total revenue” were below Street consensus, reflecting timing of redeployment and muted payoffs vs prior year; Q1 GAAP diluted EPS fell to $0.09 from $0.25 in Q4 .
- Nonaccrual additions: Two loans totaling $38.7M (hotel and office) were placed on nonaccrual; nonaccrual loans at $116M across 4 loans; however, CECL reserve held at $52M .
- Lower carry vs prior quarter: Net interest income decreased to $20.3M from $27.2M in Q4 2024 as the portfolio shifted and payoffs muted earnings temporarily; total other income also declined quarter-over-quarter .
Financial Results
Note: “Total revenue” below is defined as Net Interest Income + Total Other Income per company statements.
Segment/KPI highlights (current quarter unless noted):
- Loan portfolio: $1.7B, 8.7% WAVG yield; originations $329M; payoffs $181M; future funding commitments $40M .
- Securities: $1.5B AAA/investment grade, 5.67% WAVG unlevered yield; added $521M in Q1 and >$160M in April; 99% investment grade, 96% AAA; portfolio unencumbered .
- Real estate: $892M portfolio, $12.2M NOI in Q1; sold one net lease property for $13M proceeds, gains: $0.9M distributable and $3.8M GAAP .
- Credit & reserves: nonaccrual loans $116M (4 loans); CECL reserve $52M (~$0.41/share) .
- Liquidity/leverage: ~$1.3B liquidity incl. ~$480M cash; 83% assets unencumbered; 72% debt unsecured at 5.2% coupon; gross leverage 1.83x; adjusted leverage ~1.4x .
Guidance Changes
Management provided qualitative guidance rather than numeric ranges; dividend declared for the quarter.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Getting paid back is the most important part of the mortgage business… we’re excited to redeploy the liquidity generated from loan payoffs into new loans at lower reset basis” — Pamela McCormack .
- “We expect to favor more investments in loans… when volatility causes spikes in credit spreads… we benefit from the ability to pivot and add more highly rated liquid securities” — Brian Harris .
- “As of March 31, 2025, Ladder’s liquidity was $1.3 billion… gross leverage was 1.83x… 72% of our debt… unsecured… at 5.2%” — Paul Miceli .
- “We are under no pressure to issue any new debt and will only do so if we believe conditions are attractive” — Brian Harris .
- “Our business plan is unfolding… cash and T-bills into securities… as we write higher-yielding loans” — Brian Harris .
Q&A Highlights
- Origination spreads and mix: Average spreads ~394 bps over 1M SOFR with a wide 270–700 bps range; 74% multifamily/industrial; liquidity and speed support premium pricing in special situations .
- Originations trajectory: Management expects originations to exceed Q1 pace despite market volatility; intent to migrate out of securities into higher-yielding loans .
- Net lease strategy: Properties are “for sale every day”; likely minor decline over next 2 quarters, then potential growth with a steeper curve enabling attractive arbitrage .
- Securities and hedging: Preference for floating-rate, short-duration AAA instruments (e.g., 2-year AAAs/CLOs); limited use of swaps and minimal leverage; “best hedge is the price you buy at” .
- Asset allocation: No fixed “steady-state” mix; expect more loans, more conduit if curve steepens, fewer securities/cash over time supported by the undrawn $850M revolver .
Estimates Context
Values with asterisks retrieved from S&P Global.
Implications: Q1 misses reflect timing of redeployment, lower net interest income vs Q4, and temporary muted payoffs; management’s expectation to exceed Q1 originations and preference for higher-yielding loans over securities suggest potential upward bias to forward revenue/EPS trajectories if execution accelerates .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Ladder is pivoting from cash/T-bills to higher-yielding loans while maintaining robust liquidity and modest leverage — a setup for earnings expansion as originations scale .
- The increased $100M buyback authorization and Fitch IG upgrade (BBB-) improve capital flexibility and could compress funding costs and support valuation multiples .
- Near-term earnings cadence hinges on originations outpacing payoffs and conduit activity returning with curve steepening; management expects positive momentum .
- Credit remains contained: nonaccruals at ~$116M with no impairments taken and CECL at ~$52M; underwriting discipline and reserve coverage provide downside protection .
- Securities portfolio is an opportunistic earnings lever: unencumbered AAA assets added into widening spreads provide stable carry and optionality to finance or rotate into loans .
- Dividend coverage likely improves as redeployment progresses and leverage prudently increases toward the 2–3x target range; dividend held at $0.23 for Q1 .
- Tactical drivers for the stock: IG rating validation, rising buyback capacity, accelerating originations and potential conduit contribution; watch curve dynamics, tariffs/macro volatility, and securitization windows .