Littelfuse - Q4 2023

Transcript

Operator (participant)

Good day, everyone, and welcome to Littelfuse's fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Today's call is being recorded. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Head of Investor Relations, David Kelley. Please proceed.

David Kelley (Head of Investor Relations)

Good morning, and welcome to the Littelfuse fourth quarter 2023 earnings conference call. With me today are Dave Heinzmann, President and CEO, and Meenal Sethna, Executive Vice President and CFO. Yesterday, we reported results for our fourth quarter, and a copy of our earnings release and slide presentation is available in the investor relations section of our website. A webcast of today's conference call will also be available on our website. Please advance to slide 2 for our disclaimers. Our discussions today will include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements may involve significant risk and uncertainties. Please review yesterday's press release and our Forms 10-K and 10-Q for more detail about important risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations. We assume no obligation to update any of this forward-looking information. Also, our remarks today refer to non-GAAP financial measures.

A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measure is provided in our earnings release, available in the investor relations section of our website. I will now turn the call over to Dave.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thank you, David. Good morning, and thanks for joining us today. Let's start with highlights on slide 4. 2023 was a solid year for Littelfuse, as our global teams remained focused on driving sustainable long-term growth and profitability. We made considerable progress with existing and new customers as our differentiated technologies and global scale allowed us to secure meaningful new business wins and drive industry innovations. We are helping our customers solve complex challenges, further positioning us as a leading enabler of structural growth themes, including sustainability, connectivity, and safety for years to come. We also delivered resilient margin performance and record cash generation, all while navigating a challenging macro environment. For the full year, we recorded sales of $2.4 billion and achieved an adjusted operating margin of 16.5%.

Our 2023 results reflect our ability to execute through cycles, delivering more resilient profitability versus prior macro downturns. Our ongoing portfolio diversification strategy and well-positioned cost structure allowed us to mitigate the impact of channel inventory reductions and pockets of end demand weakness, as we delivered full-year adjusted earnings per share of $11.74. Furthermore, we demonstrated the resiliency of our business and strength of execution as we generated $457 million in operating cash and $371 million in free cash flow, both records for the company. We launched our 5-year growth strategy in early 2021 and have delivered strong performance within the first three years, as shown on slides 5 and 6. Within our strategy, we target double-digit average annual sales growth, coupled with sustained profitability and leveraged earnings growth.

3 years in, we have averaged 18% annual revenue growth, driven by organic momentum and complementary acquisitions that enhance our leading technical and engineering expertise within the high-growth end markets. Similarly, 3 years into the strategy, we have delivered average annual adjusted earnings growth of 22%, as we have effectively leveraged our disciplined cost structure and sales growth to deliver strong profit and earnings expansion. I want to thank our global teams for their persistent commitment to serving our customers and significantly growing our business. Turning to the current dynamics in our served end markets, we continue to see inventory destocking across our electronics commercial vehicle distribution channels in the fourth quarter. We are also seeing a subset of OEM customers continue to work down inventory levels. In the quarter, our electronics book-to-bill remained below 1.

We expect inventory destocking well into the new year, but as inventory levels stabilize, we expect to return to normalized order rates during 2024. Though we are experiencing a longer than typical electronics channel destocking following robust growth in 2021 and 2022, we are well positioned to drive strong performance in the recovery. On slide 7, turning to electronics end market demand and design activity, demand continued to be soft in consumer products, personal devices, and appliances in the quarter. Despite these near-term headwinds, we continue to be a leading technology enabler in the broad electronics market and have the track record to deliver strong execution and meaningful long-term growth. Structural electronics end market drivers such as artificial intelligence, automation, and more stringent safety requirements remain a key opportunity as our customers continue to rely on us for technology expertise and enable innovation.

We are seeing excellent traction with new product introductions across key electronics platforms, as well as continued robust design activity across our diverse technology offerings. Taking a closer look at electronics design activity, we had meaningful wins across a broad set of product categories and end market applications, highlighted by data center, medical, and building solutions, among others. In the quarter, we won multiple circuit protection opportunities for building solution customers in Europe. We also won business for a smart home application for multiple regions. We had a meaningful win in a medical equipment application in the Americas. Finally, we delivered multiple data center wins in the quarter across technology offerings, including switches and fuses. Long term, we believe the use of artificial intelligence and computing will drive strong demand for our products in data center applications.

Taking a step back, our superior, reliable technology offerings positions us well to continue winning across an increasingly diverse and evolving electronics end market. Turning to Slide 8, in industrials, we continue to drive growth with customers, delivering solid momentum in utility, energy storage, and industrial drives. Although we experienced further softness in residential HVAC, construction, and charging infrastructure in the fourth quarter, while we see renewable, commercial HVAC, and industrial safety growth into 2024, we expect softer demand in other pockets of the broader industrial sector. Despite the ongoing softness in certain industrial end markets, we see longer-term momentum across our diverse exposures, reflecting ramping infrastructure spend, increasing electrical efficiency requirements, and global commitments to decarbonization. We believe we will continue to benefit via deep engineering expertise and product offerings, as well as continued strong execution, reflected in ongoing strong design wins and broad customer momentum.

Taking a step back, industrial design activity remains robust across our exposures. We saw success in North America in renewables, where we won a multi-technology application for a utility-level solar customer. We won business for multiple HVAC solutions, driven by our designing capabilities and customer support. We also secured wins for a broad set of EV infrastructure applications across multiple regions, including for Level Two and DC Fast Chargers, where our superior quality and reliability are critical for the safety of these high-power systems. Finally, we had a multi-technology win for an industrial OEM in North America, where we will be providing our temperature sensors and contactors. Moving to Slide 9, within transportation and our passenger vehicle exposure, we continue to leverage our balanced product capabilities and broad technology leadership to enable ongoing industry innovations.

We are seeing continued electrification, new business, and design momentum, and we believe our more conservative EV planning, which assumed a gradual industry transition, is proving prudent as our investments, go-to-market strategy, and planned content expansion are unchanged. Our traditional core low-voltage products also continue to deliver key wins globally, and we remain the leading provider in many core product categories. As an example, we continue to see strong traction in China in the quarter, demonstrating our entrenched customer relationships and broad product leadership. Furthermore, we are a key enabler of electrification advancements, including in-vehicle technology such as telematics and active safety adoption, such as ADAS. Factoring the broad product offering and technology leadership, we continue to have a well-rounded automotive content outgrow story. Looking ahead, we will also continue to ramp current sensor investment ahead of launches, supported by our meaningful design pipeline and strong win cadence.

As a reminder, current sensors play an important role in electric drive and battery management applications. As we have discussed previously, we are confident in our positioning as a key player in the emerging category, as supported by our strong customer traction to date, but also our technology offering and long-standing expertise within the vehicle electrical system. Given our longtime circuit protection leadership, we are a key customer partner and technology enabler at the electrical system engineering level, and current sensors are designed in by those same customer engineers and for the same applications as our core offering. Strategically, we view current sensors as a great example of an adjacent technology that will further round out our already strong position in our vehicle electrical systems application.

As part of our regular portfolio review process, we are continuing to review our passenger vehicle sensor portfolio as we transition our focus to current sensor launches expected in the coming quarters. Regarding our commercial vehicle exposure, we are taking a long-term strategic view on our business and footprint. We expect our previously disclosed commercial vehicle actions will last through 2024, as we continue our product line pruning initiatives and cost structure reductions. While this will impact our full year 2024 results, including a more pronounced impact on our transportation segment, we believe our actions will position our commercial vehicle business for long-term success, and we remain confident in our positioning in the market. We expect to ultimately exit certain low-margin product lines to optimize our product and customer mix.... Meenal will provide additional color on the impact to 2024 results.

Taking a closer look at passenger vehicle design activity, we closed the year strong with multiple wins across both our low and high voltage product portfolio for customers in all regions. Our safety critical solutions are essential for next generation architecture, and we secured wins for high voltage fuses, current sensors, and for onboard charging applications in EMEA with several OEMs. We also continued to show momentum in China, securing a meaningful low voltage win in the quarter. Finally, within commercial vehicles, we secured wins for high voltage products and switch applications in construction equipment and low current switches for material handling applications. We also won business in Australia for a heavy-duty truck application, leveraging our strong switch technology offerings and broader portfolio to design a semi-custom solution. I will now turn the call over to Meenal to provide additional color on our financial performance and outlook.

Meenal Sethna (EVP and CFO)

Thanks, Dave. Good morning, everyone, and Happy New Year! Thank you for joining us today. Please turn to slide 11 to start with our fourth quarter results. Revenue in the quarter was $534 million, down 13% versus last year. Sales were down 14% after adjusting for foreign exchange. GAAP operating margins were 12.1% and adjusted margins, 13.2%. Adjusted EBITDA margins finished at 19.6%. Fourth quarter GAAP diluted earnings per share was $1.71, and adjusted diluted EPS was $2.02. Let's turn to slide 12 for full year performance. We finished the year with sales of $2.36 billion, down 6% versus last year and down 10% organically. GAAP operating margins were 15.3%.

Adjusted operating margins finished at 16.5%, and adjusted EBITDA margins were 22.3%. Excluding an FX headwind of 60 basis points, OI and EBITDA margins would have finished at about 17% and 23%, respectively. We're very pleased with the resiliency of our company margins this year, which were 200 basis points stronger than our performance in the prior down cycle. Our portfolio diversification and strength of execution have been foundational in achieving our upper teens operating margin target while managing through a correction cycle. GAAP diluted EPS was $10.34, and adjusted diluted EPS finished at $11.74. Our full-year GAAP effective tax rate was 21%, and adjusted effective rate was 20.1%.

Our full-year rate finished about 150 basis points higher than projected, due to greater shifts in earnings mix across jurisdictions. The true-up for the full-year rate is reflected in our higher than anticipated fourth quarter tax rate. Turning to cash, we generated operating cash flow of $457 million and free cash flow of $371 million for the year, both records for the company. Our free cash flow conversion from net income was 143%, significantly higher than our target of 100%, as we proactively managed working capital declines aligned to our sales decrease. Our cash generation continues to validate the strengths of our business model, and we expect to generate approximately 100% free cash flow conversion going forward.

During the year, we allocated about $200 million in cash towards strategic acquisitions, including the down payment of a 200-millimeter fab. We returned $62 million to shareholders via our quarterly dividend and repaid debt of $121 million. We ended the year with over $550 million in cash on hand and net debt to EBITDA leverage of 1.3 times. Our cash generation model, coupled with our strong balance sheet, gives us the ability to allocate capital for both growth and return to shareholders. Let's move to segment highlights for the fourth quarter and full year, starting with electronics on slide 13. Sales were down organically 21% and 16% for the quarter and year, respectively. Channel destocking continued through the quarter, with an ongoing decline in weeks of inventory at our channel partners.

Across end markets, consumer-facing areas remained soft, and we saw increasing signs of weakness across a broad set of industrial end markets. Automotive markets remained strong. Operating margins in the quarter were 18%, while EBITDA margins finished at 24.7%. We finished the year with segment operating margins over 22% and EBITDA margins over 28%, well-positioned above our 20% operating margin target. We demonstrated the broader resiliency across the segment from continued portfolio diversification, disciplined execution, and improved cost structure. Moving to our transportation segment on slide 14, segment organic sales declined 5% for both the quarter and the year.... In the passenger vehicle business, sales grew 5% organically in the quarter and 4% for the year.

Growth in the quarter was led by continued product launches we supported, especially in China, tempered by impacts from the extended UAW strike earlier in the quarter. Within commercial vehicles, sales for the quarter were down 13% organically and down 14% for the year, as inventory destocking continued at our distribution partners. For the segment, operating margins were 4.7% and 5% for the quarter and year, respectively, while EBITDA margins finished at 10.8% in the quarter and 11.2% in the year. Profitability has improved across the passenger vehicle business through footprint optimization, which we've largely completed. We have extended our margin improvement initiatives to a review of our auto sensor portfolio and will exit some existing low-margin product lines. We are also expanding investments for our growing current sensor offerings.

With a solid pipeline of design wins, we are increasing resources in advance of product launches in the coming quarters. As Dave noted, we are extending our strategic portfolio review across the commercial vehicle business. We expect this to lead to broader portfolio pruning across our customer and product line mix. We're also expanding our cost reduction activities, both near term and longer-term structural actions. We expect these segment-wide activities to extend over several quarters. For 2024, we expect the auto sensor and commercial vehicle portfolio pruning to reduce transportation segment sales growth by 6%-8%, heavier weighted towards the commercial vehicle products. We remain positive on the long-term growth profile and mid-teens margin profitability target for the segment, and expect these actions and investments to drive progressive margin expansion.

On Slide 15, the industrial segment grew 5% organically for the year, but signs of expanding industrial and market weakness led to a 5% organic sales decline in the quarter. Sales were softer than expected in the quarter, with ongoing weakness across the residential HVAC markets, along with slower construction and MRO markets, as well as some OEMs working down pockets of excess inventory. Operating margins finished at 12.7% in the quarter and 16.4% for the year, both growing over prior year. Adjusted EBITDA margins were over 18% in the quarter, expanding over 300 basis points, and over 21% for the year, expanding over 200 basis points. Let's turn to the forecast on Slide 16. We still see a moderated macro environment. Many of the electronics end markets have stabilized, but we've not seen significant signs of improvement.

We're also seeing more softness across a broader set of industrial markets, including some customers working down excess inventory levels from 2023. We expect inventory rebalancing at our distribution channel partners, both electronics and commercial vehicle, continuing into the first half of this year. We expect 2024 car build levels to be flat over 2023 at about 89 million cars. Inflationary trends have moderated in some areas, but we see continued increases in wages and energy costs, as well as transportation costs with the current geopolitical dynamics. With this backdrop, we expect first quarter sales in the range of $505 million-$530 million. At the midpoint, that's a sales decline of 15% versus last year. We expect sales to decline across both electronics and industrial segments, with slight growth in the transportation segment.

We project adjusted EPS to be in the range of $1.65-$1.85, which includes a tax rate in the range of 20%-21%. Please turn to Slide 17 for our full year 2024 expectations. We expect to return to sales growth during the year, but expect that to be tempered about 2%-3% based on the transportation segment portfolio actions. At current foreign exchange rates, FX is not expected to materially impact our full year sales, but has about a $0.07 headwind to earnings. We expect company operating margins to continue averaging in the upper teens for the year, with variability across quarters. By segment, we expect electronics operating margins to continue averaging above 20%, industrial margins in the upper teens, and transportation to improve progressively to high single digit operating margins by year-end.

In addition, we're assuming $66 million in amortization expense and about $40 million in interest expense, and we expect to invest $100 million-$110 million in capital expenditures. We are estimating a full year tax rate of around 21%. With the ongoing global tax legislation a headwind on tax rates, we expect to maintain our tax rate in the low 20% range going forward. We are continuing to evaluate opportunities to mitigate these rate increases. Despite the impact from the slower macro environment, our 2023 financial performance was much stronger than past market cycles. We distinctly improved our profitability and cash generation as we continued to enhance our operating model and capabilities.

Our 2024 priorities will focus on areas we can control: readiness for our return to growth, driving profitability improvements within the transportation segment, and continuing our trajectory of best-in-class profitability and cash generation. I'd like to recognize our employees and partners for their contributions and the continued progress we have made as a company. With that, I'll turn it back to Dave for some final comments.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks, Meenal. In summary, on slide 18, 2023 was a solid year for Littelfuse, and exemplary of our resilient business model. We generated record cash flow and executed well, as evidenced by our resilient margin performance, which outpaced our profitability levels in prior downturns. We saw continued robust design activity and believe we strengthened our customer relationships, expanded our leadership, and broadened our presence in attractive high growth end markets. Three years into our most recent five-year growth strategy, we are outpacing our targets, and our strong execution is overshadowing a continued dynamic underlying macro environment. And while we expect continued macro variability into the new year, we remain confident that we will return to growth during 2024. We also have a very strong balance sheet and significant financial capacity, and strategic M&A will continue to be a capital deployment focus.

We believe our diversified business model, strong technology offerings across the end markets, and well-positioned cost structure will drive continued long-term top-tier value for our stakeholders. Again, I want to thank our global Littelfuse team for their unwavering commitment to our customers and supplier partners. We were recently recognized again as one of America's most responsible companies by Newsweek, an honor that would not be achievable without the hard work of our team, as well as our strong customer and supplier partnerships. With that, I will now turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.

Operator (participant)

At this time, I'd like to remind everyone to ask a question, press Star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Luke Junk with Baird. Your line is open.

Luke Junk (Senior Analyst of Vehicle Technology and Mobility)

Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. For starters here, Dave, hoping you could just double-click on areas of your passive portfolio that might turn the fastest as you return to growth. Any new clues there? And then any updated perspective from your distributor partners would also be helpful, just in terms of the progress that they've made working inventory lower, and then maybe if you can square all of that, just how it figures into your continued expect to return to growth during 2024.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Sure. Thanks, Luke, for the question. You know, within our passives business, obviously, we've got several different technologies, kind of at different stages. You know, and also through distribution, some of our semiconductor protection products that heavily flow through distribution. And what I would say is we had some that kind of, you know, kind of hit their peak a little earlier than others, started a correction a little earlier. I would say our semiconductor protection business kind of started the correction a little later than the others, although it's got a heavy auto exposure, so that's one that we don't expect to necessarily elongate further. So it's a mix. It's kind of hard to give you a good read on it.

What I will tell you, it's been making steady month-over-month progress in the distribution, kind of over-inventory situation. And we'd estimate kind of in the range of... You know, we've made our way through maybe 70% of the excess inventory in our distribution channels. So the turn, you know, really to return to growth, does not require an end market uptick. What it requires is that we get to, you know, a stable inventory position, and then order rates kind of return to more normal sorts of levels. As far as timing, it's a little hard to kind of place that, and I think the downturn has been a little elongated because the end customers and our EMS, the EMS customers probably carried a bit more inventory than typical. So that's kind of elongated this down cycle.

So the visibility is a little challenging as to say when. However, you know, it's certainly our belief, while the destocking kind of continues well into 2024, that we will hit that point where inventory settles out at its normal operating range, and that'll create the return to growth and be a tailwind for us.

Luke Junk (Senior Analyst of Vehicle Technology and Mobility)

Got it. And then for a follow-up, maybe a question for Meenal. I'm looking at just transportation margins and your expectation for progressive improvement going forward, and I was just hoping you could help us rank order some of the drivers in that business between price recovery, the portfolio pruning we've discussed again today, any, you know, additional overhead reduction and then ultimately the importance of volume growth in that business on the path to high single-digit margins exiting this year.

Meenal Sethna (EVP and CFO)

Sure. Thanks, Luke. So why don't I do this? Let me break it down into, into two parts, right? Our transportation segment is made up of both an automotive business and our commercial vehicle business. And I'll tell you, on the automotive front, you know, we're really pleased with the progress that we've made there. We you know, I, I have been talking for some time about a number of footprint adjustments that we were making to really scale it, to a, a smaller footprint and to really better align to the car builds going on. That's largely, largely completed. We've been seeing the benefits come through on that. The team had really also worked on pricing as well, and so that's, that's been a good, a good adjustment that we've made there.

Dave talked a little bit about some additional actions that we're taking around looking at the portfolio, specifically around some non-core automotive sensor parts of our business, you know, low margin, low growth. So that's something that we're continuing to do. A little bit of headwind to the sales line, but that'll help from a margin expansion perspective. And I'd also say, you know, we're investing for the long term with current sensing. That's a little bit of a headwind right now on the transportation segment overall. But in general, that's gonna pay back as we start to see sales come about later this year and really into 25. So I'd say good progress in automotive. On the commercial vehicle front, I'd say we're working on actions. We definitely have more to go after, and we know that.

Volume recovery, to your point, is pretty key here, right? With all the destocking that we've been talking about going on, sales are down, much more than a normal trend line. So when we get back to more normalized run rates, we'll see some good margin recovery there. There's footprint work that's underway, more to go, as well as cost reductions, and this is both for us operating and also more administrative areas that we're looking at. So we're working through that. And I'd say probably some deeper portfolio pruning here, a combination of, as I talked about with our really, you know... Past couple years, we acquired Carling, and even just taking a step back on our legacy business, and that's gonna be a headwind a bit on sales, but will help on the margin expansion.

So, you know, I'd say overall, we are taking the steps that we need to take, working our way through, by the way, some other headwinds on inflation and FX, and we've got to get through that. But it's, it's taking us a little longer than, you know, than we might like, but at the same time, you know, we know what we need to do, and we have confidence in these markets and these businesses, and we'll get there.

Luke Junk (Senior Analyst of Vehicle Technology and Mobility)

Got it. I'll leave it there. Thank you.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks for your questions, Luke.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of Matt Sheerin with Stifel. Your line is open.

Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Yes. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. A question on the electronics segment. And I mean, you talked about getting back to 20% operating margin for the year. It looks like revenue in Q1 is gonna be down, you know, 20+% year-over-year. It looks like operating margins would be below 16% or so, if I did the math right. So what are the drivers other than volume return to volume growth, which we don't know exactly when that's gonna hit? What are the other drivers of getting those margins up, particularly in an environment when we may start to see some more pricing pressure as volumes come back?

Meenal Sethna (EVP and CFO)

Sure. You know, so I would, I would take a step back on electronics. A lot of the work that we had done was really very foundational, right? We had talked about the past few years, all the work that we had done in relation to the ICES acquisition, a lot of supply chain work. Volume plays a key part in that as well, and just some operational efficiency that we've had. For us, on the pricing side, right, the pricing was really meant to offset the cost inflation that we had seen. So it wasn't a change in the market or changes in the long-term pricing strategy necessarily, but that was really to make sure that we were keeping up and/or in some cases, staying ahead on the cost inflation side.

So with the sustainable floor of the things that we had done, all the efficiencies, et cetera, as volume starts to come back, right, Dave talked in an earlier question about at some point we'll see inventory destocking stop, and we'll start to see some recoveries. The incremental from those, from every sales dollar tends to be pretty strong for us, so that'll be a big part of margin recovery. And I'd also say, you know, during this time, we continue to manage our cost structure and our discretionary spend, as we always do, during the challenging market times. So while we may have quarters that are not at the 20% range, I still expect the year to be at that level.

Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, okay, great. Thank you. And just back to the order rates and electronics, could you tell us, Dave, what the book-to-bill is, and has that changed materially in the last quarter or so?

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Yeah, we have not really. It remains well below one still, and we really haven't seen it change too much from, you know, third quarter to fourth quarter to the end of January. It's been reasonably stable as there's continuing to kind of work to kind of bring down that inventory level at the distribution partners of ours. So, although it's certainly not above one, where we'd love to see it, you know, it's been reasonably stable at the level it's at.

Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

... Okay, great. And just one last question, if I may. Just regarding your M&A strategy, and obviously that's been a big part of your growth rate. You've been very successful there, but it sounds like you're sort of inwardly focused here on trying to improve margins across the business, dealing with this correction. So, are we to assume that you're gonna be maybe more focused on the business than acquisitions? Or if there's attractive opportunities, will you do that?

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Yeah, no, you know, we believe we can walk and chew gum at the same time on this. So, absolutely, M&A continues to be a focus area for us. Our balance sheet is quite strong. We have a good funnel of opportunities as we've kinda looked to diversify the end markets we're targeting and kinda the technology niches where we think we can add value with our current customers. You know, we continue to evaluate those. Yes, we haven't had acquisitions we've announced in the last couple of quarters. However, they can be a little lumpy, so we continue to drive that. We continue to see that as a way to sustain and continue to grow our organic growth pattern over the long time.

So while we clearly are focused on execution and making sure that we're managing through the downturn, you know, more effectively than we have in the past, which we're demonstrating, we still see M&A as, as a key opportunity for us, and we continue to be quite busy in that space.

Matt Sheerin (Managing Director and Senior Equity Research Analyst)

Okay, fair enough. Thanks very much.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks for your questions, Matt.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of David Williams with the Benchmark Company. Your line is open.

David Williams (Equity Research Analyst)

Hey, good morning. Thanks for letting me ask a few questions here. So I guess maybe if you could just talk first about the geographic demand divergences, maybe in auto, but also industrial, if you're seeing anything that stands out geographically. Thank you.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Sure. You know, I would say if we look at the fourth quarter from a geographic standpoint, you know, maybe the big area of difference is in transportation, where, you know, China was quite strong in the fourth quarter and really outperformed what we expected there. With the launch of a lot of new vehicles, both high voltage, but an awful lot of low voltage applications, where we saw really strong performance there. I would say North America, although overall car build was okay, with the UAW strike in the fourth quarter, GM, Ford particularly, were a little softer for us than we anticipated, and we have high, you know, high content opportunities there. So that maybe hurt us a little bit there. But overall, you know, that's kind of the mix we saw in transportation.

On the industrial side, what I would say is our industrial is probably heavier North America content, with growth in Europe and in Asia, and we generally continue to see broad-based softness in China that, you know, kind of crossed everything but transportation. We see a lot of softness in the Chinese market right now. Other than that, I think North America, we saw particular softness in residential HVAC, which is a market that we target in industrial. And, you may have seen reports there with kinda excess inventory of units in the field and at distribution. You know, some of the HVAC residential in North America was down, like, 30% in the fourth quarter, so certainly that weighed a bit on us there.

David Williams (Equity Research Analyst)

Great. Thank you. And then maybe just the destocking seems like it's been kind of rolling through and been heavier in certain segments, but just are you seeing, I guess, areas where the inventory is running lean or has come back to more normalized levels? Or are you seeing maybe just commentary across your segments in terms of the inventory? Thanks.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Yeah. I think, on the inventory side of things, in general, in our channel partners in the industrial space, I would say inventories remain kind of, you know, at normal levels. So we don't have any, you know, significant concerning areas in the industrial distribution space. There are some OEMs, like residential HVAC, where we sell into that are a little heavy. And of course, in our transportation side of our business, the automotive piece, we don't really use distribution, so that's more of a direct relationship. Commercial vehicle is a space where we're seeing that over-inventory in our channel partners. That's been coming down, of course, as it has been in electronics.

As I spoke about earlier, we're kind of—we're well into the burn of excess inventory, and the challenge a little bit is watching POS with our distribution partners because the end customers are also burning inventory. So that's kind of put a dampening impact on the POS with our customers—with our distribution partners. So watching that balance between their POS and where it's at and our inventory position, at what speed we're burning inventory, that's, that's something we, of course, have always kept an eye on and continue to watch. But clearly, we're well into the inventory destocking, and it's, you know, it's a little challenging to see when exactly the turn is, but it will be coming. And when it comes, then, then we'll get that return to growth. Thanks for your questions, David.

Operator (participant)

Again, if you'd like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Joshua Buchalter (Managing Director and Equity Research of Semiconductors)

... Hey, guys. Morning. Thank you for taking my questions. It sounds like within the electronics and some of the other segments as well, as we go through this extended destocking, your utilization rates and factory loadings are kind of just you're keeping them flat right now as their inventory burns through. Is that a fair assumption? And I guess any metrics you can give on how depressed utilization rates internally are right now, as we think about what leverage could look like, as demand and POS kicks back in? Thank you.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Sure, sure. Utilization rates, of course, vary by product lines and factory locations, and certainly utilization rates are lower than we'd like to operate at. So when we do begin to see a return, you know, there'll be nice drop-throughs on the returned volume as we see that. And it varies by technology, right? How heavy the fixed cost is in the factory. So in some cases, we're able to flex our costs pretty aggressively, you know, and balance to our flow through of orders, and it's not a major overhang for us. Other areas, it's a little more challenging. And so that's it really a balance, and it's by business unit, by technology, how we manage that.

Clearly, you know, as volumes begin to come back later this year, yes, the drop-through should be very healthy.

Joshua Buchalter (Managing Director and Equity Research of Semiconductors)

Thanks, Dave. And maybe for Meenal, thank you for the color on the revenue impact of the sensor product portfolio review. Anything you can give us on gross or operating margins and potential OpEx savings as you go through this, the realignment? Thank you.

Meenal Sethna (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, so I, I would say in general, what they talked about earlier for overall for the transportation segment, we see progressive improvement through 2024. It will be improvement coming both out of gross profit. We'll see improved gross margin, and we'll see an improved OpEx level as well, lower OpEx dollars, improved OpEx level as we go through some of these restructurings. I'd say it's probably gonna be a little more pronounced in gross profit because with volume, you know, Dave has been talking about, as we, as we continue to see volume come back in different areas, that, that incremental margin tends to be pretty strong. Couple that with the footprint actions that we're taking, and still, I think a couple of areas of remnant pricing that we're working on as well. I think we'll see more of the pronounced benefit coming from gross profit.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Yeah, and I think it's important to recognize and, you know, in this automotive sensor pruning we're doing, it's kind of more of what we've done in the past. This is kind of normal for us, and it's a bit of a headwind, you know, on growth, you know, in the automotive passenger car piece of it. However, from an expense standpoint, we've shifted resources to current sensing. And so current sensing and our investment in that space is kind of ahead of revenue. As you know, we've had really nice design win cadence in the current sensor side of things. Revenues will start to kick in late 2024 and through 2025. But of course, our shifting resources and investing further in current sensing kind of, you know, kind of balances off, you know, where we're going there.

Also, I think important, the pruning is much heavier in the commercial vehicle space than it is in the passenger car space. In that case, we clearly will be taking cost out on both the variable side and the fixed side to address that.

Joshua Buchalter (Managing Director and Equity Research of Semiconductors)

Thanks, Dave. Thanks, Meenal.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks for your questions, Josh.

Operator (participant)

Your next question comes from the line of David Silver with CL King. Your line is open.

David Silver (Senior Managing Director of Specialty, Chemicals, Materials, Industrials, Analyst Marketing)

Yeah, hi, good morning, thank you. I guess I was just wondering, you know, you've talked a lot about the pruning that's going on on the sensor side. I guess I was just gonna ask if maybe you could extend that thinking to, you know, maybe a couple of your recent acquisitions in general. I'm thinking the C&K Switches acquisition and, you know, maybe at this stage, you know, Carling has been thoroughly kind of vetted and worked through. But, you know, what would you say, looking back, I mean, what would you say, you know, the pruning or the maybe somewhat outdated element in the portfolios there have been, and how do you think those areas are set up for 2024?

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Yeah. So I think, I think if we look at portfolio pruning and managing that, first of all, it's a normal part of what we do every year, and, you know, it's an ongoing sort of process. I would say the fortunate thing is, in C&K, we don't see significant areas of pruning that we're needing to do there. There has been price optimization that we've had to address there and, you know, kind of going through the destocking phase there, but we don't see a lot of pruning that's necessary in the C&K. We've talked actively about it. The biggest area of pruning is in commercial vehicle, and a big, big part of that is Carling. And we talked about this a couple of quarters ago, that, the first year of ownership of Carling, there was this huge backlog, right?

So we were very focused on supporting customers and working our way through that backlog and cleaning that up, which probably put the pruning a little bit to the back burner while we were going through that. We started in earnest in that activity last year, and you know, it's kind of carrying over into this year and those pruning actions there. Again, we're talking about automotive sensors coming up, but I think it's important to recognize the pruning we're doing on automotive sensors is pretty small. It's not significant. The bigger pruning is really in the commercial vehicle space. That is, a heavy amount of that is Carling.

Meenal Sethna (EVP and CFO)

Yeah, and, and David, you know, what I would add is, you're hearing us talk more about this pruning today, but if I take a couple steps back, you know, I would, I would say part of our, our value creation, whether it's legacy businesses or even with acquisitions, is portfolio management overall. So with every, with every acquisition we make, right, you don't see everything during diligence. You don't do these deep dives. But as part of the value creation process, we'll go through. We'll take a look at the products we're selling. We'll take a look at profitabilities in regions, and customers, and product lines. Some, frankly, may not have a good strategic fit with where we're going with the company, and we'll do some different things with that.

So the only reason you hear us talking a little bit more about it today and at different periods of time is, we feel that it's gonna be material as we go into 2024 to our sales, right? And the return to growth is we wanted to make sure that we just, we highlight that so that you understand where our transportation segment growth, when it looks maybe lower than it should be, it'll be because of the pruning. It's not because there's anything wrong with the underlying portfolio.

David Silver (Senior Managing Director of Specialty, Chemicals, Materials, Industrials, Analyst Marketing)

No, thank you for that. And I certainly understand pruning is probably an ongoing process all the time, and when you choose to talk about it, it is more, more selective. I had a follow-up question, I apologize, a little sore throat today. On the EV development programs that you're involved in. So, you know, I do recall that you're working with virtually every, you know, major and emerging EV operation globally. And you know, that gives you kind of a little bit of insight into, I guess, development progress. But there's been a number of headlines, as you're well aware, of kind of companies potentially kind of rethinking the trajectory of their spend and maybe the direction of their spend more directly.

From your perspective, maybe comparing today to, let's say, six months ago, what would you say the attitude or the approach - has the approach to development, either in scale or in direction, for your major EV customers, you know, has there been a shift that, you know, that you think is worth calling out? And just to fine point, I mean, this would be the EV developments that end up in your electronics segment, rather than programs for, I guess, the more traditional vehicles in your transportation program. Thank you. Transportation segment. Thank you.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Sure, sure. So, so certainly, lots of, lots of press these days around EV adoption rates and what's going on there. What I can tell you is that our win cadence in both electrification and electronification applications in the auto space continue to be quite robust. In fact, our win rates in 2023 versus 2022 were up 17%, in the value of the wins that we achieved in those, those spaces overall. So while perhaps we've always taken a little bit more of a prudent view of how quickly EVs would evolve, so we always have modeled a bit, you know, lighter slope to the growth than maybe what's been out in the press or maybe what the broader projections have been.

So while it's certainly slowed down in some spaces, it's not wildly different than kind of what our expectations have been at the EV adoption rate. In Asia, EV adoption rates continue to be extremely robust, and the bulk of the big swing up in adoption rates really been driven out of Asia, followed by Europe. So we see a little bit of slowing, but I think it gets maybe outsized kind of view, particularly here in North America, where adoption rates have been relatively slow. So what I would tell you is the engineering groups we're working with at the OEMs continue to be very, very focused on electrification and electronification in the vehicles. So the design cycles continue to be robust. Our wins in those spaces and the cadence of wins continues to be quite robust.

We're not overly concerned with maybe a slightly slower slope in adoption rate in EVs.

David Silver (Senior Managing Director of Specialty, Chemicals, Materials, Industrials, Analyst Marketing)

Okay, great. Thank you very much.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks for your questions, David.

Operator (participant)

I will now turn the call over to management for closing remarks.

Dave Heinzmann (President and CEO)

Thanks, everyone, for joining today. That concludes our Q&A session. Thank you for joining us again and for your interest in Littelfuse. Have a great day.

Operator (participant)

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.