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LITTELFUSE INC /DE (LFUS)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 was in line with company guidance: net sales $529.5M (down 0.8% YoY), adjusted EPS $2.04, while GAAP EPS was a loss of $1.57 due to $93M of non‑cash goodwill and intangible impairments; free cash flow was a strong $134.8M .
- Management signaled the electronics destocking cycle is behind them; Electronics book‑to‑bill reached its highest level since Q2’22, with Passives firmly above 1 and power semis still below 1 but improving .
- Q1 2025 guidance: sales $520–$550M, adjusted EPS $1.70–$1.90, and ~26% adjusted tax rate; for FY 2025, FX/commodities a ~1% sales headwind but ~$0.22 EPS tailwind, capex $90–$95M, and Elmos/Dortmund fab volumes contributing ~2% sales growth with neutral EPS .
- Catalysts/risks: improving order trends in Electronics and HVAC/industrial safety strength vs. continued softness in power semis and European industrial demand; non‑cash impairment centered on EV charging exposure highlights near‑term industrial headwinds .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Electronics destocking largely complete; “book‑to‑bill is at its highest level since the second quarter of 2022… Passives… above 1” (power semi below 1 but improving) .
- Strong cash generation and balance sheet: Q4 cash from operations $160.6M, FCF $134.8M; year‑end cash $724.9M and net leverage 1.2x .
- Transportation and Industrial margin progress: Transportation operating margin 9.0% in Q4 (full‑year expansion of 530 bps); Industrial Q4 operating margin 17.1% (+440 bps YoY) with HVAC and safety strength .
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What Went Wrong
- Non‑cash impairments ($93M) led to GAAP EPS loss; primarily related to Industrial controls & sensors and Automotive sensors (weak EV charging infrastructure trends) .
- Electronics profit mix: Q4 Electronics operating margin 12.3% (below historical peaks) amid elongated cycle and power semiconductor softness, especially tied to Europe/industrial end markets .
- Macro/segment headwinds persist: continued soft power semi demand and European industrial weakness; management expects a gradual industrial recovery and mixed transportation backdrop entering 2025 .
Financial Results
Quarterly trend (oldest → newest)
Q4 year-over-year comparison
Segment breakdown – Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
KPIs and balance sheet
Notes: Q4 GAAP loss driven by non‑cash impairments of ~$93M; adjusted margins/EBITDA exclude non‑GAAP items per reconciliations .
Guidance Changes
Company met Q4 2024 guidance ranges provided on Oct 29 (sales $510–$540M; adj EPS $1.90–$2.10) with actual $529.5M and $2.04, respectively .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our performance and results came in as we expected, as both sales and earnings were within our prior guided range… we exited the year with the electronics destocking cycle behind us and signs of distribution inventory replenishment emerging.” — CEO Dave Heinzmann .
- “Adjusted operating margin finished at 12% and adjusted EBITDA margins were 18.1%… Q4 GAAP diluted loss per share was $1.57 and adjusted diluted earnings was $2.04.” — CFO Meenal Sethna .
- “We expect first quarter sales in the range of $520 million to $550 million… EPS $1.70 to $1.90… tax rate of 26%.” — CFO .
- “We completed our acquisition of the Dortmund semiconductor fab… For 2025, we expect about a 2% total sales growth from volumes sold to Elmos and a neutral EPS impact.” — CFO .
- “Electronics book‑to‑bill is at its highest level since the second quarter of 2022… Passives… above 1… power semiconductor remains below 1, [but] improved order rates in the quarter.” — CEO .
Q&A Highlights
- Electronics book‑to‑bill and channel view: inventory correction “largely behind” with Passives/protection above 1; power semi below 1 but improving; North America/Asia momentum, Europe sluggish .
- Transportation margin framework: continued expansion expected in 2025 driven by pricing, footprint, and cost reductions, offsetting declining car builds and FX/commodity volatility .
- HVAC demand risk: management does not expect a Q1 “air pocket”; pivoting to industrial HVAC to backfill any residential softness .
- Impairment details: ~$93M primarily within Industrial controls & sensors (intangible) and goodwill in Industrial and Automotive sensors; tied to weak EV charging infrastructure outlook .
- Tariffs: footprint aligned to end markets; history of collaborating with customers; willing to pass on costs if necessary .
Estimates Context
- We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) Wall Street consensus for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 but the request was blocked due to a daily limit; consensus estimates were unavailable at time of writing. Results were within company guidance: Q4 sales $529.5M (guide $510–$540M) and adjusted EPS $2.04 (guide $1.90–$2.10) .
- Implication: Street models will likely adjust for (1) non‑cash impairment below the line, (2) improved Electronics order trends vs lingering power semi weakness, and (3) FY25 modeling items (tax 23–25%, capex $90–$95M, Elmos contribution, FX/commodity impacts) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix normalization: Electronics destocking appears over, with Passives book‑to‑bill >1; watch for order conversion to revenue through 2025, especially outside Europe .
- Power semi lag: industrial/power semi remains the soft spot (Europe‑centric); expect a gradual recovery rather than a sharp rebound .
- Margin execution: Transportation and Industrial have durable cost/pricing/footprint levers; 2025 margin expansion looks achievable even on mixed volumes .
- Cash and balance sheet strength: robust FCF and 1.2x leverage give dry powder for “thoughtful” M&A and buybacks/dividend maintenance .
- Dortmund fab adds strategic capacity: ~2% FY25 sales contribution via Elmos volumes (neutral EPS) while expanding long‑term power semi capabilities .
- Near‑term setup: Q1 guide embeds higher tax and FX/commodity dynamics; sentiment likely hinges on sustained bookings improvement in Electronics and stabilization in power semis .
- Risk watchlist: tariffs/geopolitics, European industrial softness, EV charging demand normalization, and Pillar 2 tax headwind .
References: Littelfuse Q4 2024 press release and financial tables ; Q4 2024 earnings call transcript (prepared remarks and Q&A) –; Q3 2024 press release and tables –; Q2 2024 press release and tables –; Dortmund fab acquisition press release .